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	<title type="text">Nilay Patel | The Verge</title>
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			<title type="html"><![CDATA[Apple’s OpenAI lawsuit is about who gets to define the post-smartphone era]]></title>
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							<summary type="html"><![CDATA[Today on Decoder, I’m talking with Hayden Field, The Verge’s senior AI reporter, about the major trade secrets lawsuit between Apple and OpenAI and what this tells us about OpenAI’s future. By now I’m sure most Decoder listeners are familiar with Apple’s allegations in this case. The company says a number of ex-Apple employees at [&#8230;]]]></summary>
			
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<p class="has-drop-cap wp-block-paragraph">Today on <em>Decoder</em>, I’m talking with Hayden Field, <em>The Verge</em>’s senior AI reporter, about the major trade secrets lawsuit <a href="https://www.theverge.com/tech/964350/apple-openai-lawsuit-trade-secrets">between Apple and OpenAI</a> and what this tells us about OpenAI’s future.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">By now I’m sure most <em>Decoder</em> listeners are familiar with <a href="https://www.theverge.com/tech/964843/apple-openai-lawsuit-wildest-claims">Apple’s allegations in this case</a>. The company says a number of ex-Apple employees at OpenAI targeted Apple’s trade secrets in job interviews and even downloaded files from Apple’s servers related to hardware manufacturing. The claims are shocking, although OpenAI denies them, and we have yet to see the company’s legal response.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Hayden has been covering OpenAI for years now, and she also j<a href="https://www.theverge.com/ai-artificial-intelligence/965294/openai-apple-trade-secrets-lawsuit-sam-altman-ipo">ust talked to a bunch of lawyers</a> who specialize in intellectual property and trade secret law to get a sense of how serious this case is. The answer is not entirely positive for OpenAI, which spent $6.5 billion to <a href="https://www.theverge.com/news/671838/openai-jony-ive-ai-hardware-apple">acquire legendary Apple designer Jony Ive’s AI hardware startup, io Products</a>, back in 2025.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">As you’ll hear Hayden explain, Apple is a notoriously tenacious litigant, and we have lots of tech industry history to back up that reputation. But those cases were against companies at the scale of Microsoft and Samsung, giant corporations that could afford the cost and distraction of this kind of litigation.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">OpenAI isn’t yet that kind of company. It’s still burning cash and a little strategically adrift as it tries to compete in both enterprise and consumer markets, and it’s turning over executives on a regular basis. So Hayden and I spent a lot of time talking about what this case might mean for a company that defined the early part of the AI boom, but which lately always seems to be in a crisis of one sort or another.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Okay: <em>Verge</em> senior AI reporter Hayden Field on the Apple-OpenAI lawsuit, and how the AI industry might change because of it. Here we go.</p>

<iframe frameborder="0" height="200" src="https://playlist.megaphone.fm?e=VMP8735488557" width="100%"></iframe>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><em>This interview has been lightly edited for length and clarity.&nbsp;</em></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Hayden Field, you&#8217;re the senior AI reporter for </strong><strong><em>The Verge</em></strong><strong>. Welcome back to </strong><strong><em>Decoder</em></strong><strong>.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Thanks. Great to be here.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Once again, we&#8217;re going to talk about OpenAI, Hayden.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Once again, it never stops.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>We&#8217;re going to talk about whether OpenAI can maintain focus at a time of great distraction, which seems to be a theme with that company. Although this time, it&#8217;s not their own distraction. It&#8217;s a distraction from out in the world, maybe caused by some of their own behavior.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Of course, we’re talking about the Apple trade secret lawsuit. It feels like a big deal. Apple is accusing OpenAI of stealing all kinds of information from that company, even in job interviews — asking people in job interviews to tell them what they know about Apple products. Tell us briefly about this lawsuit and what&#8217;s going on here.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Definitely. So, it is crazy. I wrote a piece last week titled <a href="https://www.theverge.com/ai-artificial-intelligence/965294/openai-apple-trade-secrets-lawsuit-sam-altman-ipo">“Sam Altman didn’t need another lawsuit,”</a> and that&#8217;s really the situation here. It seems pretty egregious from some of the claims that Apple is making. A former Apple employee was allegedly soliciting trade secrets over interviews, asking people to maybe bring pieces of hardware outside the Apple office to OpenAI to do a “show and tell” in interviews, things like that.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">There&#8217;s a lot of allegations being made that are pretty crazy. But then when I actually interviewed a bunch of experts last week, they said they&#8217;ve seen all of this before, a lot. It&#8217;s just they haven&#8217;t seen all of it in one case with two key players.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Some of this stuff is pretty egregious, if it turns out to be true. But also, to the experts in the space, they&#8217;re saying, &#8220;Oh, we see this all the time with trade secrets cases. It&#8217;s not crazy. What&#8217;s really crazy is that it&#8217;s all in one case and that it&#8217;s two really large companies.&#8221;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>It&#8217;s really interesting. It&#8217;s just a pattern, maybe not worth diving into at great length, but in the &#8217;90s, Apple pushed copyright law to the limit. They sued Microsoft for allegedly infringing on how the Mac looked and felt with Windows. I will point out that Windows still exists, Microsoft is fine.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>And then in the 2000s and early 2010s, Apple pushed patent law to the limit, suing Samsung for allegedly violating a bunch of patents with Android and Galaxy phones because Apple felt that they had protected the iPhone. Samsung eventually paid about $1 billion in damages and those cases just went around in circles forever.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>But I&#8217;ll point out that Android still exists, Samsung is doing just fine. Apple may have redefined patent law around 3G and 4G licensing, but fundamentally, it did not actually succeed in stopping its competitors with intellectual property lawsuits.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>So, you go from copyright to patent and now trade secrets, which is the third big intellectual property, and Apple&#8217;s doing it again with OpenAI. My big question is whether OpenAI can just pay the money the way that Microsoft and Samsung were able to just pay the money. If you look at Samsung, spending $1 billion in penalty fees to get Galaxy phones off the ground and be a major competitor in mobile is maybe the easiest and best investment that company ever made.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>But I don&#8217;t know if OpenAI is the same company at the same moment. It certainly seems like all of the Apple employees that went over to OpenAI maybe pushed the limit too much, at least from the story that Apple&#8217;s telling us right now.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">It&#8217;s pretty crazy reading the wildest claims from the lawsuit and also the messages that were being exchanged. One of them allegedly accessed Apple confidential information on a device and then said, &#8220;LOL! So funny that I can access this.&#8221; There&#8217;s a lot there.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I&#8217;ve been wondering the same thing. It really depends on Apple&#8217;s willingness to be petty or be super logical here. When I interviewed a bunch of lawyers about this, they said Apple is a notoriously tenacious litigant, as we&#8217;ve seen in those past cases. But also, they really will take things far. They have a lot of money and they&#8217;re willing to use it. It really just depends on how mad they are.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I think that they would potentially settle if OpenAI paid them enough, but will OpenAI be able to do that? They&#8217;re already having a really tough year. They&#8217;re about to IPO, all the investors are looking at their bottom line, wondering when they&#8217;re going to turn a profit. It&#8217;s a tough time to be shelling out a ton of money to Apple. We&#8217;ll have to see what they do.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I think it&#8217;s going to go to trial and be a very drawn-out years-long thing. That&#8217;s what a lot of the lawyers I interviewed said as well. But I could see a world in which they just figure out a way to get all this money together and pay and maybe Apple accepts it.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>In the Samsung patent cases, they lasted forever. In the middle of it, Tim Cook was at a Code Conference and I asked him, &#8220;What are you doing? Is this accomplishing anything?&#8221; And he looked at me very seriously and he said, &#8220;Well, we think the fees for licensing standard essential patents are out of whack.&#8221; And I was like, &#8220;That is not the reason you&#8217;re doing any of this. That&#8217;s not the point, the point is that you were mad and you wanted to run this lawsuit to ground and you&#8217;re going to run this lawsuit to ground no matter what the nominal reason is.&#8221;</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>That feels like a big piece of the puzzle here. OpenAI has taken a bunch of Apple employees. Famously Jony Ive, Apple&#8217;s most famous designer, is working with OpenAI on hardware devices. Tang Tan, who is OpenAI&#8217;s chief hardware officer. He had a reputation at Apple for &#8220;playing fast and loose,&#8221; that&#8217;s from </strong><a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-07-11/openai-engineer-s-lol-moment-set-stage-for-legal-fight-with-apple"><strong>Mark Gurman at </strong><strong><em>Bloomberg</em></strong></a><strong>.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>He seems like the central character in the story, not so much Jony Ive, but Tang Tan. And that piece where it&#8217;s a bunch of ex-Apple people maybe playing too fast and loose almost feels like it&#8217;s personal, almost feels like there&#8217;s a lot of emotions involved. Talk about Tang Tan and talk about what all these folks are alleged to have done that feels like it&#8217;s a little more personal than your standard big corporate dispute.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">On what you said about talking to Tim Cook, I truly believe people underestimate companies’ pettiness. We&#8217;ve seen it in recent years, like with the OpenAI-Elon Musk lawsuit. There are so many things that could have been avoided if companies weren&#8217;t trying to just be petty, which is fine. They can do that, they have enough money to do that. But people underestimate how much that plays a part sometimes in these things.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">As for Tang Tan, yeah, he worked at Apple for 24 years. He was the VP of the Apple Watch. He left in 2024 to work on Jony Ive&#8217;s hardware company, io Products, which obviously OpenAI <a href="https://www.theverge.com/news/671838/openai-jony-ive-ai-hardware-apple">ended up purchasing</a>.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">OpenAI then appointed him as chief hardware officer. So he had a C-suite role at OpenAI, but this is after 24 years at Apple. According to Apple&#8217;s lawsuit claims, he was the mastermind of a lot of this trade secrets gathering, regarding interviews that he would conduct and ask about secret code-named projects. And then the person being interviewed would feel like maybe they were able to tell him stuff because, oh, well, why would he know the name of this project or these details about it if he wasn&#8217;t involved also? So, they felt they could speak more freely, allegedly.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">There were other times that he asked, &#8220;Hey, why don&#8217;t you bring some batteries or other pieces of hardware outside the Apple office that you&#8217;ve worked on in the past so that we can do a show and tell?” It&#8217;s very interesting to go through these claims. It just seemed like he really was not worried about what was going to come of this, if these claims are true.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>The other major character here is Jony Ive, Apple&#8217;s very famous ex-designer who worked with Steve Jobs and all of those famous projects. I would say Ive reportedly has a very testy relationship with Apple.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Now that he&#8217;s left, he&#8217;s certainly made that clear in various interviews and statements. And he&#8217;s working with Sam Altman on new devices. He made a video with Sam Altman, which I can only describe as a </strong><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rDNyFN_eMec&amp;t=26s"><strong>romantic coffee date</strong></a><strong>.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Absolutely.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>In which they described the phone and the laptop as legacy devices.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">It was instantly memed. I have to say the memes were amazing.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>It&#8217;s very good. And they shut down half of San Francisco to make it. I thought Ive calling the phone and the laptop legacy devices in that video was just a straight shot at Apple. These are the things that he made, that he revolutionized in many, many ways. And he&#8217;s like, &#8220;These are over now.&#8221;&nbsp;</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>You can say a lot about whether that&#8217;s true, whether that can come true, and I want to talk about that in a little bit. But it&#8217;s notable to me that Jony Ive is not mentioned in this lawsuit. There&#8217;s a line Apple wouldn&#8217;t cross, and it&#8217;s mentioning the fact that it&#8217;s Jony Ive who went to OpenAI and started hiring all of his old designers, who sold a big portion of his company to OpenAI. And now, they&#8217;re trying to make hardware and allegedly stealing trade secrets. But Jony Ive, he&#8217;s not part of it. We&#8217;re just going to leave his name out of it.&nbsp;</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Is that because he&#8217;s too famous? Is that because it&#8217;s too nuclear? Is it because he&#8217;s still friends with Laurene Powell Jobs? What do you make of that?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I think it may be more that he knew how to cover his tracks. It could be that he&#8217;s too powerful or any of the things you said, but I really feel like it&#8217;s just that he has other people doing his dirty work for him. The other stuff in this lawsuit is pretty egregious, and they&#8217;ve found it all. So if they found some really intense stuff on Jony Ive, would they really not put it in the lawsuit? There&#8217;s some bad blood between them. I just feel like they would put it in there.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">This is just speculation, but when you&#8217;re in a powerful enough role, you don&#8217;t have to do all this stuff yourself. You have other people doing it for you and you also know how to cover your tracks. So, to me, maybe they just didn&#8217;t have anything on him.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Yeah, or he&#8217;s distracted </strong><a href="https://www.theverge.com/transportation/939226/ferrari-luce-design-terrible-ev-jony-ive-apple"><strong>designing Ferraris no one likes</strong></a><strong> or whatever it is he&#8217;s doing, but he&#8217;s not in this. I do think that&#8217;s notable because the reason Sam Altman would hire Jony Ive is to make a credible claim to the next device. Whatever that category of AI-powered device is going to be, you hire the most famous designer to say, &#8220;I made the iPhone and I&#8217;m going to make this thing.&#8221;&nbsp;</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>And then it seems like OpenAI also wanted a bunch of Apple&#8217;s know-how in order to make that thing. What do you make of that, that OpenAI needed hardware know-how from Apple? Or at least Apple alleges that OpenAI needed hardware know-how from Apple to make whatever the next thing is?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">To some extent, whether you&#8217;re talking about trade secrets or just regular legal aboveboard know-how from hiring their employees, of course they needed it. They&#8217;ve seen a ton of hardware in AI crash and burn and they&#8217;re <a href="https://www.theverge.com/gadgets/615135/humane-ai-pin-shutdown-disaster">trying to not become the next Humane AI Pin</a>. It can be incredibly embarrassing to make an AI hardware device in this day and age. Chances are you&#8217;re probably going to fail miserably and become a laughingstock. And so, if you want to avoid that, of course you need to get the best people on your side.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Hardware is hard, as everyone says, so of course they want to get experts in there that have experience actually being incredibly successful at hardware. That&#8217;s not surprising to me and I think it&#8217;s a smart decision. OpenAI has demonstrated in the past —&nbsp; and this is typical of every tech company, it&#8217;s not just OpenAI— that sometimes they’re a little bit disconnected from what the consumer actually wants.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">You roll something out, no one really wants it. Okay. With software that&#8217;s a little easier to pivot from, as we&#8217;ve seen from OpenAI <a href="https://www.theverge.com/ai-artificial-intelligence/963654/openai-chatgpt-atlas-ai-browser-shut-down-sunset">deleting its side quests</a> and stuff. They&#8217;re like, &#8220;Oh, <a href="https://www.theverge.com/ai-artificial-intelligence/902368/openai-sora-dead-ai-video-generation-competition">we&#8217;re not doing this anymore</a>. We&#8217;re not doing this anymore. We&#8217;re <a href="https://techcrunch.com/2026/06/07/openai-is-still-working-on-that-super-app/">rolling this into that</a>.&#8221; With hardware, you can&#8217;t do that. You’d better have it right from the get-go.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I’m glad you said consumer, because that brings me to what I think is the heart of the matter for OpenAI, which is that it was going to be the consumer AI company, Anthropic famously focuses on enterprise and it’s been lucrative for them; maybe that’s where all of the money is. But OpenAI was going to take down Google, maybe through Bing, maybe through its own app. It was going to be a consumer company.&nbsp;</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>The only reason you would make hardware is to go attack the consumer, to go attack the iPhone. So, OpenAI&#8217;s ambitions, at least as I could see them, were first to take market share from Google, which is one of the most lucrative businesses in the history of the world, and then to go attack the iPhone, which is the most famous and culturally dominant tech product that has ever existed.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I don&#8217;t know how it can do either of those things. It doesn&#8217;t seem like consumers even want these products or want AI at this scale. I don&#8217;t know where that revenue comes from in consumer, and the college students are </strong><a href="https://www.theverge.com/ai-artificial-intelligence/935602/graduates-boo-ai-ceos"><strong>all booing AI at graduation</strong></a><strong>. Does OpenAI just need to pivot to enterprise? Does it need to spend its time spinning its wheels at consumer hardware devices before it figures out its business?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">OpenAI has pivoted so many times internally. Its most recent pivot was that it was going to focus on its key revenue drivers, which are enterprise and coding. They’ve said that a million times. OpenAI folded Sora, Atlas, the sexting feature. It feels like years ago, but it’s <a href="https://www.theverge.com/news/799312/openai-chatgpt-erotica-sam-altman-verified-adults">crazy that that was in the past year</a>.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">They&#8217;ve done a lot of this, and so, everyone thought, &#8220;Okay, they&#8217;re going for it, they&#8217;re doing enterprise,&#8221; because that&#8217;s the tried-and-true money maker here, especially in a year that they&#8217;re going to IPO. To be fair, yes, they had already planned to do the hardware device before this whole pivot and cutting out the side quests. I guess they can&#8217;t afford to cut out this potential side quest because they&#8217;ve already spent a lot on it, it&#8217;s happening no matter what. So now they&#8217;re just trying to make it as successful as it can.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I&#8217;ve only been on the AI beat for six years. That is a long time in AI, and maybe I&#8217;m missing something, but I just do not see a market when everyone is buying an OpenAI hardware device. If I&#8217;m wrong, we can come back on here and laugh at my clip from July 2026. A smart speaker, okay, maybe people buy it just to be a smart speaker like Google Home, that&#8217;s what I use mine for.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I think it&#8217;s going to be one of those things that a few people really, really, really love and that the general public probably does not adopt because it&#8217;s difficult to get them to adopt anything unless all their friends have it. There&#8217;s a social aspect. You&#8217;re going to be a laughingstock with green text if you don&#8217;t have an iPhone. No hate to Android people, I&#8217;m just saying sometimes you don&#8217;t get added to the group text or something. It&#8217;s sad and it&#8217;s not right, but there&#8217;s got to be some public buy-in if you&#8217;re going to be adopting a new piece of hardware a lot of the time.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>We founded </strong><strong><em>The Verge </em></strong><strong>at the start of the smartphone boom. Just thinking back on it, it was never a question of whether people would adopt smartphones. That was obvious. It was obvious to us, maybe it wasn&#8217;t obvious to everyone, but we were in it and the only thing that wasn&#8217;t obvious was who would win.&nbsp;</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>After a while it became obvious that Apple would win. How many iPhone killers did we cover 15 years ago? And they all came and went, and they looked like new operating systems. Windows Phone existed. The Palm Pre ran an operating system called webOS. Android was ascendant. Nokia tried to do its own thing and then they pivoted to Windows Phone.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>At the end of the day, we ended up with iOS and Android and everything else fell into line. Maybe the whole tech industry hates this and they hate paying the App Store fees, but this feels like that same kind of moment where OpenAI is going to put out a hardware device, it&#8217;s going to run its own operating system. Elon Musk is </strong><a href="https://www.theverge.com/science/960442/spacex-phone-prototype-elon-musk"><strong>fulminating about Starlink and xAI putting out their own phone</strong></a><strong>, maybe running their own operating system, apparently the run-up to IPO, they were showing it to people.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I just have really dumb questions that, to me, mirror the same questions we asked about new smartphone operating systems 15 years ago. Are you going to make a Gmail client? Is it going to have Instagram? Because if you don&#8217;t have those things, you don&#8217;t actually get to replace the phone. And if you don&#8217;t replace the phone, well, I&#8217;ve got the beta of iOS 27 on my iPhone right here and Siri AI is definitely good enough to just get through the day.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">That&#8217;s what really gets me here, because the smartphone replaced the dumb phone. So okay, you’ve got to have something way better than the smartphone. Are you going to? Doubtful, but we&#8217;ll see.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">But the other thing that gets me here is how many devices OpenAI is reportedly working on. Reportedly it’s five hardware devices, and the screenless smart speaker is the first one. How can they come up with five? That&#8217;s what I want to know. What are the five? And shouldn&#8217;t you be putting all your resources toward one? It&#8217;s already hard to make one. I&#8217;m a little dubious of five successful AI hardware devices. Even one is a long shot, but five is a little bit crazy.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I&#8217;m sure there&#8217;s a lot and some will come and go. The thing that I think about, particularly when it comes to Jony Ive and his approach to hardware — which is familiar at this point, we&#8217;ve watched him launch a lot of hardware at Apple — is Ive tends to focus on new input methods for new devices.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>The iPod had the click wheel and that really defined the form and function of the iPod. The iPhone has a multitouch screen that really defined the form and function of the iPhone and then the iPad. If you&#8217;ll remember the Apple Watch, they launched it with great fanfare about the scroll wheel on the side. I don&#8217;t know if that came to pass, but they really thought that was a big deal when they launched the Apple Watch.&nbsp;</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>This is Ive&#8217;s go-to path: “We find a new input mechanism, we&#8217;re going to define the product around it.” I know exactly what that should be for AI — it&#8217;s a natural language input. You can just tell the computer whatever you want and it&#8217;ll figure it out and it&#8217;ll go off and do it for you.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>But we&#8217;re however many years into the AI revolution?Three or four years into this version of it? And it doesn&#8217;t quite work yet. I think this is why the AI devices keep failing, as you keep mentioning. Because you can talk to a Humane Pin all day and all night and it will pretend to understand you and then not actually be able to do the things on the other side of it.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>That feels like the problem in AI right now. There&#8217;s these flashes of brilliance and then there&#8217;s these limits of capability. Where do you think we are in that process of figuring out exactly what it can and can&#8217;t do? And how do you think that limits a hardware device?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">We&#8217;re still in the midst of it. I personally use AI all the time, obviously in my personal life to test things out, see what it can do. Month to month, I see how it&#8217;s improved, at least from my own personal experience, which is all anecdotal.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">But just the other day I was trying to look up a lot of addresses of companies because I wanted to map something out. I would say maybe 60 percent of the ones I looked up were completely wrong, just wrong. It made me a whole table. And it was like, &#8220;Yeah, don&#8217;t worry, all these are definitely correct.&#8221; And then 60 percent wrong. I&#8217;m like, &#8220;A lot of these are wrong.&#8221; They&#8217;re like, &#8220;Oh, sorry, my mistake.&#8221;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Yeah, my favorite.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">It&#8217;s like, &#8220;Oh yeah, you&#8217;re right. You caught me.&#8221;&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">It&#8217;s right about a lot of stuff a lot of the time. But as we all know from when we were an intern back in the day, or if we&#8217;ve ever had an intern, there are certain things that are just easier to do yourself if you&#8217;re not 100 percent sure the person is going to get it right.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">So what I wonder is, for a hardware device like this, there are a lot of low-stakes questions you can ask it and it&#8217;ll be fine. But for higher-stakes things, it&#8217;s simpler to just look it up yourself or do it yourself even than put it out there when it&#8217;s going to be a potentially wrong answer.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Is this going to end up like a Google Home situation, where you&#8217;re just using it as a speaker and you&#8217;re asking it what the weather is because it doesn&#8217;t really matter that much if it&#8217;s wrong? But as we know, it can only really be super useful if you can trust it with those higher-stakes types of questions. And so, saying, &#8220;Hey, what time does Emily&#8217;s flight get in tonight because she&#8217;s staying with me? What flight is she on?&#8221; Or, “Is it delayed?&#8221; If it gets that wrong, okay, I&#8217;m not going to be ready for her to come in from the airport.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>This does seem like the core problem. Will there be enough progress? Certainly the industry will claim that it’s made great progress on hallucinations. Whether that’s the lived experience of people who use these products, I think that’s up for debate. But the industry claims they&#8217;ve made great progress here.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>The other piece is, will OpenAI have access to all of your data and personal context to make this useful in an environment with a smart speaker, where you can just say whatever you want to it? That, again, brings you back to whether it’s going to have a Gmail client. Where&#8217;s the Gmail client going to run? Are you going to let OpenAI log into your Gmail, so when you ask for flight information, it can go look at it? Or are you just going to default to opening Gmail on your phone and asking it because Google already has it? This seems like a version of competition that really depends on how comfortable you are handing over all of your data to various AI providers. And I&#8217;m just not sure OpenAI is that one.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The other part of this is that — and obviously this is a vocal minority here, it&#8217;s not like the majority of OpenAI users — a lot of people are extremely worried about ads. Anthropic <a href="https://www.theverge.com/ai-artificial-intelligence/873685/anthropics-first-super-bowl-ad-dunks-on-chatgpt">capitalized on that with its Super Bowl ads</a> that were anti-AI ads. OpenAI has been dealing with that fallout and just trying to say, &#8220;Hey, don&#8217;t worry, we&#8217;re not going to influence answers, we&#8217;re just going to raise a similar ad underneath the answer.&#8221;&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">But it can be unnerving, whenever I use ChatGPT and an ad surfaces. It just makes me feel like it&#8217;s less private. It&#8217;s just a little bit strange and I feel like everyone gets that unnerved feeling. Even if it&#8217;s not affecting the actual answer, it&#8217;s still reminding you that it&#8217;s not a space where they’re not trying to sell you something. Someone is always trying to sell you something.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">There&#8217;s already a lot of loss of trust right now in AI labs, if anyone trusted them to begin with. Right now, it&#8217;s at an all-time low. We&#8217;re seeing the rise of AI populism. We&#8217;re seeing lots of death threats against AI CEOs, as <a href="https://www.wsj.com/us-news/the-ai-backlash-has-tech-executives-fearing-for-their-lives-30c43972"><em>The Wall Street Journal</em> covered the other day.</a> There&#8217;s a lot of backlash, like you were saying about college kids booing AI at graduations. We&#8217;re seeing a huge backlash right now, and I just think it&#8217;s a strange time to be releasing a public-facing, “every consumer should buy this” AI hardware device.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>That connects to a bigger issue for OpenAI in this Apple lawsuit, which is that the AI industry right now is basically built on unauthorized taking. I&#8217;m saying that instead of theft because there are a lot of lawsuits. I know our audience wants me to just call it theft and maybe it is just theft. And maybe we can just say that when we get to the end of the road of 10,000 different lawsuits. But that part of the AI industry feels like we have to studiously ignore it.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>There&#8217;s a trillion-dollar question over whether training data is fair use that is as of yet unresolved. We can just </strong><a href="https://chatgptiseatingtheworld.com/2024/08/27/master-list-of-lawsuits-v-ai-chatgpt-openai-microsoft-meta-midjourney-other-ai-cos/"><strong>go down the list of lawsuits</strong></a><strong> where all of these companies have to defend themselves about training data. And if they lose any one of them, maybe this whole industry cost structure falls apart.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>The inputs to AI right now are free. They just took the internet and they took all the books. We just saw, as a result of a hack, that Suno had to </strong><a href="https://www.theverge.com/ai-artificial-intelligence/966072/suno-ai-music-training-scraping-youtube-hack"><strong>basically admit that it had scraped all of the music</strong></a><strong> off of YouTube illegally. It just didn&#8217;t have permission, and I think YouTube feels a certain way about that and certainly the artists on YouTube feel a certain way about that.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Here&#8217;s Apple saying OpenAI also took its hardware designs and its manufacturing know-how. It didn&#8217;t have permission for that either, those are Apple’s secrets. OpenAI hired people and they concocted this scheme to take all of that stuff without permission.&nbsp;</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Again, culturally, this just feels like part of the AI industry to me, that they think they can just take everything to build super intelligence as fast as they can. And once they get there, all will be forgiven. But the public doesn&#8217;t seem to like it. Certainly, artists and writers and musicians don&#8217;t seem to like it, and now Apple doesn&#8217;t like it.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>It feels like this lawsuit is going to be a proxy for that as much as anything else. Can you take all this stuff without permission? I&#8217;m not sure OpenAI has the cultural capital to fight back. What are they going to say?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">It&#8217;s really ironic that this whole industry is only possible because of the amount of data it&#8217;s consumed, whether aboveboard or not. And AI labs, as well as just tech companies in general, get so litigious when others take that information elsewhere. So this whole thing is pretty ironic.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The AI industry is really famously cliquish. It&#8217;s almost incestuous, it&#8217;s like you work with the same people here, then you depart and go elsewhere. Then that same company buys your start-up that you created and then you leave that start-up to go somewhere else and you get acqui-hired by your old friend that worked at this other place. A lot of industries are like that, but this industry specifically is so much like that. And so yeah, I think it&#8217;s a bit ironic on both counts.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">People are going to leave Apple, and okay, they&#8217;re going to take some trade secrets. Was this incredibly egregious? Yes, some of these claims are crazy. But also, like you were mentioning, a lot of the reason that any of these companies are even successful in the first place is because of all the unauthorized taking they&#8217;ve done. It&#8217;s an interesting time to be watching all this play out.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>All the AI companies get really mad when, I don&#8217;t know, </strong><a href="https://www.theverge.com/ai-artificial-intelligence/967781/chinese-ai-models-open-source-moonshot-kimi-k3-alibaba-qwen"><strong>Chinese AI companies distill their models</strong></a><strong>. I&#8217;m just thinking about a jury and how Apple will play this case to a jury and be like, &#8220;You stole all the music, didn&#8217;t you? And then you also stole our manufacturing designs. And don&#8217;t you get mad when the Chinese companies distill ChatGPT?” </strong><strong><br></strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>In the course of your reporting, does it ever occur to the people in the AI industry that being mad about distillation is the exact same feeling that artists and musicians have about all of their work being put into the model in the first place?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I haven&#8217;t seen any of them even acknowledge that or at least even hint toward it one time, which is crazy. It just feels like there&#8217;s a disconnect there. They get so, so angry about distillation, they&#8217;re saying, &#8220;It&#8217;s against our terms of service!&#8221; They can&#8217;t even say it&#8217;s illegal, just against the terms of service. They write open letters to the government. They even come together with their mortal enemies and other AI labs to unite against distillation. So, it&#8217;s just interesting to me thatI&#8217;ve never seen that occur to them.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I know a lot of people are probably listening to this and that they&#8217;re mad at me, and mad at us, for not making the claim that Apple is just filing this lawsuit because it was behind in AI. It missed with Apple Intelligence, it took a long time to catch back up, it&#8217;s only shipping it now. It had to go to Google and </strong><a href="https://appleinsider.com/articles/26/03/25/apple-is-distilling-google-gemini-into-smaller-chunks-for-on-iphone-ai-processing"><strong>distill Google&#8217;s Gemini models</strong></a><strong> and put them in its new </strong><a href="https://www.theverge.com/ai-artificial-intelligence/946705/apple-private-cloud-compute-ai-siri-intelligence-wwdc"><strong>Private Cloud Compute system</strong></a><strong>, and all the stuff that it needed to do. But that is shipping now.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Do you feel like the broader AI industry is just looking at Apple lashing out at being late? Because I have heard a lot of glimmers of that, that this is just Apple trying to slow down the biggest threat in consumer as it launches Apple Intelligence and tries to catch back up.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">That could be definitely part of it. Everyone knows Apple has been famously incredibly behind in AI and it&#8217;s been a big topic of conversation and an embarrassment for the company for years. So, that could definitely be part of it.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">But this lawsuit is not about someone &#8220;stealing trade secrets&#8221; for Siri. It&#8217;s about hardware, specifically “show and tell” of hardware, things like that. Hardware is something that Apple does amazingly and they are pretty much by all accounts the best at.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">So, I think some people are thinking that. It&#8217;s a benefit for Apple if they&#8217;re able to kneecap a competitor from pulling ahead in any way. But the fact that this is a trade secrets lawsuit about hardware specifically I think has rolled back a few of those claims; it&#8217;s not like they&#8217;re trying to claim that OpenAI is stealing Siri AI&#8217;s secrets that it may not have many of.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>[Laughs] They&#8217;re like, &#8220;Please take everything we know about Siri AI. That will truly kneecap you.” Apple can afford the distraction, you&#8217;ve mentioned this already in this conversation. Apple can just hire a bunch of lawyers and set them off to be as tenacious as they want. Maybe the rest of Apple won&#8217;t even notice that that&#8217;s happening, because they&#8217;re busy making the next iPhone.&nbsp;</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Apple spent however many years and like $10 billion trying to make a car and it just didn&#8217;t work. It didn&#8217;t even occur to the rest of Apple that was happening. They just kept shipping phones and laptops and everything was just fine.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>OpenAI is not that company. OpenAI might not even have enough executives to absorb the cost of another distraction. They keep leaving. Greg Brockman, who&#8217;s the president of OpenAI, seems to be running the entire company himself.&nbsp;</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>As you&#8217;ve been reporting on the story, has it occurred to OpenAI that they&#8217;re going to need more people to do more things? Because I look at that company and they just keep shedding all of their talent and pivoting, as you said, from one thing to the other and they&#8217;ve landed on “we need to compete with Anthropic.” But it doesn&#8217;t seem like they can afford distraction at this scale in any way, shape, or form.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">They can&#8217;t. This is like the final battle. Actually, there are going to be a lot more battles, but this is a key battle in the longstanding AI arms race. This is the IPO year. Things are coming to a head. Investors are looking very closely at these companies in a way they haven&#8217;t before. They&#8217;re looking for them to turn a profit, or at least have a way to turn a profit in a way that they have not really paid too much attention to before, and it&#8217;s all coming down to the line. They cannot afford a distraction right now.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">They are reshuffling, restructuring, changing executives around. When I&#8217;ve asked them about this, they will say, &#8220;Well, it&#8217;s all been one large plan that we&#8217;ve just been doing in little pieces. It&#8217;s not like we&#8217;ve pivoted a million times, we&#8217;ve always been going towards one thing and these are just different steps along that journey.&#8221; But it doesn&#8217;t always read that way to the general public.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">In some ways, yes, Greg Brockman is taking control of product. That’s because Fidji Simo, the AGI chief, took leave because of her health and then she <a href="https://www.theverge.com/ai-artificial-intelligence/963738/openai-fidji-simo-steps-down-ceo-advisor">left permanently because of her health</a>. So, it&#8217;s not all things that the company could control, but I do think there have been a lot of defections even from the rank-and-file staff. They&#8217;ve got to get more people. They&#8217;ve got to hire more, which will require even more money, and it&#8217;s not the time to get distracted by anything.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>It&#8217;s worth noting that there&#8217;s some reporting saying OpenAI will delay its IPO. And as you and I are sitting here speaking, SpaceX&#8217;s stock price has dipped below its IPO number. These mega IPOs, they&#8217;re in some kind of danger. It might not be a good idea to do this, especially if you don&#8217;t have the revenue or, more importantly, the profits to back it up. Do you think there&#8217;s some risk that this lawsuit is the straw that pushes OpenAI to delay its IPO?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Absolutely. Reporting showed that Sam Altman was originally worried about filing its Form S-1 before Anthropic. Then it didn&#8217;t do that. <a href="https://www.theverge.com/ai-artificial-intelligence/941016/anthropic-has-officially-filed-to-go-public">Anthropic did it first</a> and then — and this is me just speculating — it seems like after Anthropic won that part of the race, <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/06/25/technology/openai-ipo-artificial-intelligence.html">OpenAI backed off</a> and said, &#8220;Okay, well, should we actually do this right now? We were trying really hard to win, but let&#8217;s look at the facts here.&#8221; That&#8217;s why it said, &#8220;Okay, it might be early next year, it might not be this year.&#8221;&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">That was before Apple&#8217;s lawsuit dropped. So now of course I&#8217;m sure OpenAI is thinking, &#8220;Okay, should we delay it even more? Especially because there&#8217;s no way we&#8217;re going to beat Anthropic to an IPO.&#8221; It seems like that might be a smart idea.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>If you can put out a great hardware device and make some big splashy profitable entry into the consumer market, that&#8217;s a good story to tell in an IPO. But if you can&#8217;t do that because everything you do is going to end up in litigation or in messy discovery on the way to litigation, maybe that all just has to be set to the side.&nbsp;</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>That&#8217;s pretty much my last question here. I feel like my thesis on this show and on </strong><strong><em>The Verge </em></strong><strong>generally has been, &#8220;Okay, I understand how this is going to work for software development and I understand how this is going to work in enterprise, although even that&#8217;s pretty shaky still. But consumers don&#8217;t love this stuff.” That there are 900 million free ChatGPT users is not a reflection of anything other than, well, Google Search got really bad and this thing will tell you it loves you.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>But it hasn&#8217;t turned into, “We should build more data centers.” It hasn&#8217;t turned into, “We culturally love the products of AI.” It’s turned into, “Get this slop out of my face and we&#8217;re going to boo you at graduation and we&#8217;re going to come to the town board meetings and say we don&#8217;t want data centers.”</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">T<strong>here&#8217;s some huge gap there. Do you think OpenAI can close that gap? Because it has always been the company chasing the big consumer product vision, the big consumer market. If it can&#8217;t close the gap, it should just shut it down and compete with Anthropic for enterprise uses. I don&#8217;t know which one it&#8217;s going to be. Do you have a sense through all this reporting if OpenAI has realized how existential the consumer side of the debate is?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I think they know to some extent, but not the full extent. tThey will get at it in speeches, in research papers, in tweets. They have some PR lines where they will acknowledge that this is a thing, but I just don&#8217;t think they realize how deeply this crevice goes. The gap is so wide. I don&#8217;t see them being the only company to close it — if it&#8217;s ever going to be closed. People are extremely worried about so many things when it comes to AI and they&#8217;re very emotional about it.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">It&#8217;s not just logic. I think if it was just a logical gap — some people logically think it&#8217;s not good, some people logically think it is good — I think they could probably close that. But when emotions come into play, no, I don&#8217;t think that they will be able to fully bridge that gap.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">For me, when I became an AI reporter six years ago, none of my friends really knew or cared what I wrote about. That was fine. It was really niche, whatever. Starting four years ago, it would come up at the bar, at the club. I&#8217;ll be walking down the street, someone&#8217;s asking me about it, and they don&#8217;t know I&#8217;m an AI reporter. So, when they learn I&#8217;m an AI reporter, it happens even more. But just randomly, this is coming up for people and making them extremely emotional. So yeah, I just don&#8217;t think OpenAI is going to be the company to bridge that gap.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">We&#8217;ll see what happens with the hardware of it all. A lot of people I&#8217;ve been seeing — TikTok creators, creators on other platforms — are trying to change the narrative here, saying, &#8220;Hey, don&#8217;t get left behind. Learn how to use this stuff.&#8221; And it&#8217;s something that can be valid, but the way that they&#8217;re framing it a lot of the time is more, &#8220;Oh, it&#8217;s such a high learning curve. You must learn how to use it before it leaves you behind.&#8221;&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">It&#8217;s not that high of a learning curve, it depends on how you&#8217;re using it, but you know what I mean. Sometimes it is, yeah, if you&#8217;re using Codex and doing all sorts of intense vibe coding, yes, of course it is. But if you&#8217;re just chatting with a chatbot, it&#8217;s really not a high learning curve.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I personally believe all that algorithmic social video content is an astroturfing campaign. That&#8217;s just me. That&#8217;s a conspiracy theory, we&#8217;re going to leave that aside. I do want to pitch you a video series called “Hayden in the Club,” where you just go to the club and talk to people about AI.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">[Laughs] I would love to do that officially instead of just having it happen to me unofficially all the time.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>It&#8217;s been a long time since I was in the club. That was not what the club was like when I was younger. Things have changed.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Hayden, this has been great. I have a strong suspicion you&#8217;re going to be back on this show talking about this lawsuit and OpenAI for the rest of this year. We&#8217;re going to have to have you back very soon.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Can&#8217;t wait. Thanks.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><em><sub>Questions or comments? Hit us up at decoder@theverge.com. We really do read every email!</sub></em></p>
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			<entry>
			
			<author>
				<name>Nilay Patel</name>
			</author>
			
			<title type="html"><![CDATA[Dr. Jill Lepore on why AI backlash is vital for the future]]></title>
			<link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="https://www.theverge.com/podcast/967884/jill-lepore-history-ai-artificial-state-elon-musk" />
			<id>https://www.theverge.com/?p=967884</id>
			<updated>2026-07-20T11:04:05-04:00</updated>
			<published>2026-07-20T11:00:00-04:00</published>
			<category scheme="https://www.theverge.com" term="Decoder" /><category scheme="https://www.theverge.com" term="Podcasts" /><category scheme="https://www.theverge.com" term="Policy" /><category scheme="https://www.theverge.com" term="Politics" />
							<summary type="html"><![CDATA[Today, I’m talking with Harvard professor and New Yorker staff writer Dr. Jill Lepore about her new book, The Rise and Fall of the Artificial State, which comes out on August 25. Jill is one of the best writers there is at identifying institutional patterns in history, and Decoder is a show about systems, so [&#8230;]]]></summary>
			
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<p class="has-drop-cap wp-block-paragraph">Today, I’m talking with Harvard professor and <em>New Yorker</em> staff writer Dr. Jill Lepore about her new book, <em>The Rise and Fall of the Artificial State</em>, which comes out on August 25.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Jill is one of the best writers there is at identifying institutional patterns in history, and <em>Decoder </em>is a show about systems, so this book could not possibly be more in our zone.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">You build systems by measuring things — gathering information, quantifying it as data, and taking action on it. And Jill’s big thesis in the book is that this kind of systemic measurement is really a dehumanizing act, one that flattens human concerns into something, well, artificial.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">These artificial structures touch everything — not just in the more obvious places like in apps or AI, but all the way up to politics and governance itself, and Jill’s insights here are a telling portrait of the way Big Tech and its billionaire figureheads have managed to break the very idea of the state itself.&nbsp;&nbsp;</p>

<div class="wp-block-vox-media-highlight vox-media-highlight"><img src="https://platform.theverge.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/chorus/uploads/chorus_asset/file/24792604/The_Verge_Decoder_Tileart.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;crop=0,0,100,100" alt="" title="" data-has-syndication-rights="1" data-caption="" data-portal-copyright="" />


<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><em>Verge</em> subscribers, don&#8217;t forget you get exclusive access to ad-free <em>Decoder</em> wherever you get your podcasts. Head <a href="https://www.theverge.com/account/podcasts">here</a>. Not a subscriber? You can <a href="https://www.theverge.com/subscribe">sign up here</a>. </p>
</div>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">You’ll hear Jill tell me she wanted to write a “kind of grumpy book,” but in my reading, it’s a pretty dead-ahead look at the last century and a half of technological and social developments and how we got to a place where bots are maybe running everything.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Jill’s idea of the artificial state starts with the very idea of quantification, from the first stabs at taking a census thousands of years ago to the invention of modern political polling in the 1930s. But where she really sees a big pivot — and the era she and I talked about most — is in the 1980s, when we saw the emergence of the Silicon Valley culture we have today, when computers got personal, and when computer-aided targeting and microtargeting really truly became both possible and commonplace, both for ads and for political campaigns.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">What Jill and I did disagree about is some of her pessimism about the internet, because the internet is what made jobs and careers like mine — and businesses like <em>The Verge</em>, and shows like <em>Decoder</em> — even possible at all. There really was a great democratizing of access that happened in the late 20th century and into the 21st, as people got online, and not all of it was as illusory as maybe the great hopes for Twitter after the Arab Spring turned out to be.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">But as I said, Jill thinks in systems, and so her response, about the way systems of power keep adapting to how people use new technology, was as illuminating as ever.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Of course, we also talked about the future — including where she thinks she still sees hope for the future. And yes, that does include <a href="https://www.theverge.com/ai-artificial-intelligence/935602/graduates-boo-ai-ceos">college kids booing the AI CEOs</a> at graduation ceremonies.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Okay: Dr Jill Lepore, on the Artificial State. Here we go.</p>

<iframe frameborder="0" height="200" src="https://playlist.megaphone.fm?e=VMP2484941224" width="100%"></iframe>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><em>This interview has been lightly edited for length and clarity.</em></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Dr. Jill Lepore, you&#8217;re a staff writer at </strong><strong><em>The New Yorker</em></strong><strong>, you&#8217;re a professor of history and law at Harvard University, and most importantly, you&#8217;re the author of a new book, </strong><strong><em>The Rise and Fall of the Artificial State</em></strong><strong>. Welcome to </strong><strong><em>Decoder</em></strong><strong>.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Hey, thanks for having me.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I am really excited to talk to you. I&#8217;m a big fan of your work over the years. And I have to say, this book is one of the most </strong><strong><em>Decoder</em></strong><strong>-y, </strong><strong><em>Verge</em></strong><strong>-y, Nilay-Patel-strike-zone books of all time.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><em>[Laughs] </em>Wow. I&#8217;m not sure how to take that, but I guess that&#8217;s good.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>The producers and I just had a thrill ride reading this book. It is essentially about how computers and measurement flatten us and then systems can take advantage of that flattening. Like I said, it&#8217;s in the strike zone.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>So let&#8217;s just start at the very beginning for folks. The book is called</strong><strong><em> The Rise and Fall of the Artificial State</em></strong><strong>. Tell us what the “artificial state” is. Define it so we can start from that foundation.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">What I mean by the artificial state is a successor to the liberal nation-state, the constitutional democracy under which our freedom of speech, free discourse, and constitutional rights are central to our experience as citizens within a nation-state.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">We talk a lot about democratic decay and democratic backsliding, and there&#8217;s a whole public discussion of what&#8217;s happening with democracy, but I don&#8217;t think we talk about the nation-state as much as we might. And that is to say the state itself.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">And so what I mean by the ‘artificial state’ is a state in which more and more of the functions of the nation-state have been taken over by private multinational corporations. The easiest example of that to think about is what is euphemistically called the public square, which is where people get information about how to vote, what&#8217;s going on in the world, how to make decisions, and how to exercise their rights and duties as citizens.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Our public discourse is almost entirely privatized and owned by corporations. As many, many people have demonstrated — it&#8217;s not news to your listeners or to anyone — the priority of public discourse is not the free expression of ideas and democratic deliberation, it is the monetization of attention and of outrage.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">More than that, a fairly recent vintage is the fact that public platforms in which we exchange ideas as citizens and democracies are dominated by bots. All of them have been <a href="https://www.cnbc.com/2026/03/26/ai-bots-humans-internet.html">inverted</a> for several years now, or different numbers of years, from X to Facebook to TikTok. There are far more bots than humans on those platforms.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Many of those bots are owned by corporations and have particular acts, their own kind of financial interests, but they&#8217;re owned by state actors, non-state actors, criminals, and terrorists. What we&#8217;re at risk of is losing the liberal constitutional democracy and having it become supplanted by what I describe as the artificial state.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>One of the things that really struck me about this is at least America&#8217;s conception of itself, the United States&#8217; conception of itself is this messy, multi-part democracy. The Senate loves to call itself the most deliberative body in the history of the world, and it&#8217;s supposed to be a whole bunch of people that are ruled by the consent of the governed and we&#8217;re all arguing.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Your thesis is that that&#8217;s what we say about ourselves, but actually we&#8217;ve automated away and numerically quantified away a bunch of that, and we are now run maybe by bots on Twitter, or at least politicians are overwhelmed by bots on Twitter and they&#8217;ve outsourced their thinking, or there are consultants that are turning us all into polling data. Is that the trajectory we&#8217;re on that ends the nation-state? Is that the core of the idea?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Yeah. It has a long history, but the acceleration of these developments in the age of artificial intelligence is really considerable. I&#8217;ll give you two examples that stretch out across a century. In the 1930s, we see the invention of so-called scientific polling. George Gallup starts the American Institute of Public Opinion research in 1935.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">What polling does gradually over the middle decades of the 20th century is replace the kind of door-to-door precinct walking that campaigns would need to do, right? If I&#8217;m running for election in some neighborhood, I have to go talk to people. I’m going to go to baseball games, basketball games, and the public library. But increasingly, it became less necessary for political campaigns to do that because they could subcontract out political polling.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">You can find out what political opinion is in a neighborhood if you want to run a campaign just by doing data mining and data analysis.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">We might say, &#8220;That makes politics so much more efficient. Those campaigns can more efficiently use their money and they can get their message out to the right people.&#8221; But if you think about each one of those conversations that people used to have — “I&#8217;m a campaign volunteer and I&#8217;m going to go and I&#8217;m going to sit in on some PTA meeting,” or, “I&#8217;m going to go to a basketball game in some neighborhood and talk to the parents who are there” — all those conversations are the civic glue that holds a civil society together.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Replacing that chatting under a street lamp about, &#8220;What do you think about this guy?&#8221; with just extracting data, which is where we are now, is a much more artificial politics than we have had before.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">There&#8217;s been great coverage lately of emerging trends for the 2026 election in the US,and around the world, where a lot of people report that even in these primaries that have been going on over the spring and summer, they&#8217;ll ask ChatGPT, &#8220;How should I vote in the primary?&#8221; Meanwhile, many of the campaign messages that you&#8217;re getting have been crafted by artificial intelligence. The fact that you are getting them is a decision made by artificial intelligence. In a way, it&#8217;s AI versus AI in these upcoming elections, or even in elections that are already transpiring.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">You can see how you could fall into that step, just going downhill on skis. But I wanted to write a grumpy book to say, &#8220;Let&#8217;s pause for a minute. What&#8217;s at the bottom of that hill? Is that an icy pond and we&#8217;re going to just go through the ice and we&#8217;re all going to drown in there? Or is that a beautiful new political world?&#8221; And I think it looks pretty perilous.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>The book traces this evolution step by step as you&#8217;re describing; this is a slow build to maybe where we&#8217;ve gotten today.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>As you point out several times in the book, there are a bunch of science fiction authors in the &#8217;50s and &#8217;60s who were looking at computers and drawing a picture of the future. Some of them picked utopia, and there are entire movements about technocratic utopia that emerge, and a lot of them pick dystopia. They draw a picture of computer-aided dystopia. You point this out. Everyone has heard the </strong><a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Torment_Nexus"><strong>Torment Nexus</strong></a><strong> meme. It&#8217;s in the book. You use it in the book. Our modern industrialists have read dystopian science fiction and decided that is the model of the future that they&#8217;re attempting to build.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I&#8217;m curious why you think they&#8217;ve all gotten it wrong, from Elon Musk to Peter Thiel on down, and if that is an inflection point for us to actually pick a different future.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">It&#8217;s a big thing, starting in the &#8217;30s, to imagine a future in which the president of the United States is chosen by a machine.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">There are a bunch of examples of this from the &#8217;30s, where people are really worried about totalitarianism and the dehumanization of people as a consequence of the machine age. But there&#8217;s also a lot of this in the 1950s. For instance, <a href="https://www.astro.sunysb.edu/fwalter/HON301/franchise.pdf">a classic story by Isaac Asimov</a> that I think is from 1955, called “Franchise,” and it&#8217;s set on the days before November 4th, 2008, the day Obama won the presidency.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">In that imagined future, there&#8217;s this machine called the Multivac that determines, using polling data, who in the United States is the average man, the most representative man. The sampling method that pollsters use has been perfected mathematically by this computer to pick the average person. And that&#8217;s the only person who votes. And then that guy has to go into hiding because if people don&#8217;t like who was elected or the presidency goes badly, his life is destroyed.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">There&#8217;s a lot of this stuff in science fiction, but Sam Altman <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7dCPytNTnjk">was on Joe Rogan</a> and he started talking about how great it would be if AI chose the president of the United States. Yes, he was fucking around, but he was also serious. &#8220;Wouldn&#8217;t that be great? Because it&#8217;s so efficient and we don&#8217;t have to bother and it spares us the labor.&#8221;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">And that general premise, that “Why would we bother to do something that a machine can do for us?” without the realization that the rest of us would have. There are some things we want to do, including meaningful work: writing, making art, and doing things for ourselves.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I know these are very smart people, but they&#8217;re not humanists. Thiel would say that he&#8217;s a political philosopher. I&#8217;m not so convinced of that. The capacity for humanistic inquiry, reading, and reasoning is not something you see in great evidence in that culture.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">It&#8217;s been bred out, in a way, of the culture of Silicon Valley. Even if you look back to the &#8217;90s and the culture of the celebration of the serial entrepreneur as the new man of progress, that particular kind of cultural formulation was all about the disavowal of the past.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">It doesn&#8217;t matter what came before. You want to start a ride service, you don&#8217;t study taxis or figure out where delivery service came from. You don&#8217;t look at traffic patterns. You don&#8217;t study anything in the past, you just start new. You just imagine it all new and you destroy what came before. There&#8217;s such a rejection of the knowledge and wisdom of earlier human beings.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The posture of the humanist is one of humility. Isn&#8217;t it magisterial and majestic how Homer wrote <em>The Odyssey</em> so long ago and it&#8217;s still so powerful? The timelessness of literature and the arts, the infinite beauty of humanity&#8217;s capacity for making things, it&#8217;s just not the ethos. It’s, &#8220;No, we&#8217;ll do it better. It doesn&#8217;t matter what anybody did before.&#8221; It&#8217;s, &#8220;We&#8217;re innovating, we&#8217;re disrupting.&#8221;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The culture so fetishizes the future that it doesn&#8217;t have that, &#8220;Let&#8217;s listen to what other people who came before might have known, that&#8217;s still wisdom.” That makes for a very poor reading of literature. We could have a great argument about what Isaac Asimov meant by that story. It&#8217;s not a determinant, I&#8217;m not the authority on Isaac Asimov, but I&#8217;m not going to ask Sam Altman what a short story means.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Well, he would just ask ChatGPT.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">That&#8217;s right.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>There&#8217;s something very interesting about this cast of characters, particularly Peter Thiel who comes up in your book, Elon Musk who comes up in your book somewhere over 100 times I think. They are falling back to literally Catholicism as some kind of moral foundation for whatever decisions they&#8217;re making. And whether or not they&#8217;re misreading Catholicism is irrelevant to them. They&#8217;re often <a href="https://edition.cnn.com/2026/07/02/us/peter-thiel-aspen-pope-china-ai-cec">in fights with the Pope</a>, which is just not something a straight reading of Catholicism would allow you to do.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>There&#8217;s an entire culture of thinking — I won&#8217;t call it a philosophy, because I don&#8217;t think it&#8217;s quite that developed — around first principles. “We&#8217;re going to do first principles thinking and that will lead us to some disruptive outcome.” It often, to me at least, feels like where that first principle begins is a choice about what to ignore from the past.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I see that over again in your book, in the culture we live in at large, that deciding what to set aside is the big decision. That&#8217;s an assumption that is often not questioned as we go step by step towards a more quantified society, a more automated society.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>But there&#8217;s something messy about democracy that is very, very important. The decision we&#8217;re making now is to actually set that mess aside in the name of, I don&#8217;t know, efficiency, potentially happiness. I&#8217;m curious if you see that setting-aside is happening by accident or on purpose?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I think of these guys as really instrumental. They&#8217;re not pursuing knowledge for its own sake. They are deeply interested in exploration and wonder, and one of the things I really love about this moment is the fascination with space and space exploration, which I think is tremendously exciting. Harnessed to militarization in certain commercial projects is like, &#8220;Wow, we went from <em>Star Trek</em> to <em>Star Wars</em> really fast.&#8221;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">But the sense that what you might want to know about the world can be just because it&#8217;s worth knowing rather than that you can use it to extract money from other people, I just don&#8217;t think that&#8217;s part of that tech culture. It&#8217;s just not. A humanist commitment to knowledge for the sake of the accumulation of wisdom, leading a better life, and understanding the world with greater clarity and greater compassion is largely mocked in that world as “woke” or “feminine” or “libtard,” whatever. Especially with the conservative turn of the tech world, it takes on weird valances.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">It is really purposeful. “This kind of knowledge is not worth having [because] we can&#8217;t make money off of it. If we had that kind of knowledge, it might slow down what we&#8217;re trying to do. And what we&#8217;re trying to do is win the AI race and determine the future of humanity.” The lack of curiosity about the bigger world and the place of these really thrilling inventions within it, I don&#8217;t know, I find it bizarre. This causes a lot of self-reflection on my part. A lot of these people are my former students. I teach at Harvard. We send so many students off to work in Silicon Valley, and then they talk this way and what happened? What did we do wrong? Do you not have a sense of obligation to the human condition?</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>You have a number of these markers. Walk us through some of them, from “the internet and social platforms will cause an outbreak of democracy” to where we are now in 2026.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">That first began to emerge in the 1980s. If you go back to 1984 and the launch of the Apple Macintosh and <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VtvjbmoDx-I">that famous, iconic Apple TV ad</a> from the Super Bowl in January of 1984,&nbsp; the promise was that the personal computer would be revolutionary. As I&#8217;m sure you&#8217;ve talked about in your show and your audience really understands, the celebration of the personal computer as emancipation came out of the counterculture. There&#8217;s this great book, <em>From Counterculture to Cyberculture</em>, that&#8217;s about the so-called “California ideology” that marries counterculture libertarianism to computer utopianism.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">And you see that realized in 1984 with the launch of the Macintosh: “We&#8217;re going to defeat totalitarianism in the form of the giant mainframe IBM” that&#8217;s associated with two things at the time — big businesses, which are the only places that can afford these giant IBM mainframes that are running payroll systems and stuff for big corporations, and the Republican Party, which actually has a ton of IBM mainframes. The Democrats have basically no computers. It&#8217;s a huge problem for the Democrats in the 1970s and 1980s. So there&#8217;s this whole feeling that the personal computer is going to advance liberty, personal freedom, and therefore democracy. It&#8217;s a libertarian vision, but it&#8217;s about emancipation. And it&#8217;s an ad. At the end of the day, it&#8217;s just an ad campaign.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">There were people who said, &#8220;Well, exactly how does the personal computer emancipate? It&#8217;s great. I would like one. It&#8217;s fun to have. I also like a nice toaster, but my toaster isn&#8217;t going to emancipate me. What is it about?” You begin to see new tech computing products as very carefully packaged with an ideal about personal liberation. By the time you get to the &#8217;90s, and the opening of the internet to commercial traffic, you see the scaling of that promise. “Now we all are going to have personal communities that are going to be linked to one another, and so society is going to become emancipated and democratized. We&#8217;re going to have a digital democracy.” Even though it&#8217;s a little bit like when political pundits make election forecasts and they&#8217;re wrong half the time, but no one ever remembers even what they forecasted. How do you even have a job?</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The people in the &#8217;80s said the personal computer was going to liberate people. Well, it didn&#8217;t. But then in the &#8217;90s, the internet was going to democratize societies. Well, it didn&#8217;t. That was just an ad campaign. And not that there aren&#8217;t plenty of people that sincerely believe that; there certainly is tremendous democratizing potential for the internet. There was a lot of promise there, but it&#8217;s not realized for all kinds of reasons.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">That&#8217;s already two strikes, but then you get to 2004 and all the emerging social media says, &#8220;Oh, Facebook, we&#8217;re going to democratize this. We&#8217;re going to connect everybody. Everyone will be able to be close to one another.&#8221; That also doesn&#8217;t happen.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Then the ad campaign now, the packaging of somehow AI is going to do this. “What we need is democratic AI.” And that doesn&#8217;t mean we as a polity have a say, it just means that democratic countries should lift all restrictions and regulations so that democracies can have AI before authoritarians. It&#8217;s an old story.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Can I push back on this a little bit? Because I personally struggle with that ad campaign, but the reality of it. There&#8217;s not a world previous to the internet where a guy like me who grew up in Wisconsin with no connections to the media ends up interviewing you, a Harvard professor. The internet needed to arrive. Publishing needed to be democratized. For whatever reason, AOL needed to pay a bunch of bloggers $12 a blog post, and then somehow decide that I should be one of those people. A lot of things had to happen where gatekeepers did fall away, and people like me were allowed to go find their audience. And I see it every single day now with young people who style themselves as creators or YouTubers, that they know that they can start a business and reach people on these platforms in some way.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>The flip side of that is that I do think a bunch of gatekeepers, the men who own these platforms — it’s largely men — realized they could turn the knobs. Elon Musk could buy X and he could take X from a platform where, when it was known as Twitter, lots and lots of activists could find each other and shape public opinion. And now X is whatever X is, and mostly racists find me. That&#8217;s my experience of that platform whenever I participate.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Mark Zuckerberg started a Supreme Court for Facebook moderation because he wanted to recapitulate the machinations of democracy for people who had been banned for being crazy in their local Facebook groups. Maybe that worked and maybe it didn&#8217;t. My friend Casey Newton&#8217;s going to have something to write about in </strong><strong><em>Platformer </em></strong><strong>for the rest of his life as that experiment continues. But Zuckerberg said, &#8220;This is kind of dumb. I&#8217;m turning it off. We&#8217;re doing community notes here. No more moderation.&#8221;</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>There&#8217;s some kind of pendulum swing. I agree with you, this is largely an ad campaign, but a lot of people were able to find each other. A lot of new people were allowed to gain a much larger platform with which to affect the culture, if not society at large. How do you put that in the context of the artificial state? I&#8217;ll just preview it. My next question is going to be about targeted advertising, which I think is an enormously influential piece of the puzzle. But it&#8217;s that dynamic that I struggle with, it&#8217;s not purely an ad campaign.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I&#8217;ll come at that in a couple of different ways while granting that you absolutely have a point. I&#8217;ll figure out where we could maybe see a line. We tend to forget that, for instance, up until fairly recent history, maybe the 1980s, very few newspaper reporters in the United States had college degrees. They were people, mostly men, but there were a lot of women beat reporters and women editorial writers who started out delivering newspapers, working at the press, working the printer presses at newspapers, climbing their way up. I mean, there&#8217;s a reason Jimmy Olson is in the newsroom with Clark Kent in the 1930s comic books. They&#8217;re street kids and they know the streets and they start reporting. I don&#8217;t think they&#8217;re that different from coming up with a $12 blog post payment.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">That&#8217;s what happens in every industry, unsurprisingly. A new medium emerges, the daily paper or the twice-daily paper. The interview is invented. Eyewitness reporting is invented, the byline is invented. The history of the newspaper is all about an explosion of new kinds of doors that different people can walk through to report on the world to other people, and then more people can learn about the world because these newspapers are different.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">There&#8217;s an explosion in the democratization of any new technology of communication when it starts. By definition, if you can make a technology of communication cheaper and faster, you&#8217;re going to reach more people and more people are going to be involved in producing it. That happens with the first weekly newspapers, with the penny press in the 1830s, with the telegraph in the 1840s. It happens with how the telephone changes news reporting, the wire service in the Mexican-American War. It happens with the radio in the 1920s. It happens with TV in the 1950s.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">In fact, what&#8217;s interesting about that is that each of those transformations reshapes the party system. There have been seven party systems in American history and they all turn on a new emerging communications technology, which unsettles the relationship between the elites and the people. The people get more power. The parties just have to get realigned.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">But what always happens is the elites regain power. They don&#8217;t like it. They don&#8217;t like the news boys becoming beat reporters, becoming editors. They say, &#8220;Who are these nouveau people?&#8221; To use your metaphor, they turn the dial, they regain control, they consolidate their power over the medium, and then it has to wait for the next communications technology revolution.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The tricky thing about the moment that we&#8217;re in now is the emerging technologies are not restoring power to the people. They&#8217;re not turning the wheel this way, they just keep going that way. I teach undergraduates. I see them go out in the world. There are no fucking jobs for them! You want to be a writer, you want to be an artist, you want to be a movie maker, you want to be a screenwriter, where are you going to get a job? The whole culture industry is imploding. I don&#8217;t think this is a magnificent time to be out there being an influencer. You still don&#8217;t have health insurance. You still can&#8217;t buy a house. I just don&#8217;t think we&#8217;re in a moment of emancipation that&#8217;s responding to that consolidation.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Some people are like, &#8220;It&#8217;s great. I like that these billionaires have all this power over our culture.&#8221; I don&#8217;t, but we&#8217;re continuing to rotate in their direction. I don&#8217;t think it&#8217;s turning back. That&#8217;s how I would grant for you that there&#8217;s always something thrilling, emancipatory, illuminating, increasingly inclusive about a new communications technology. I wouldn&#8217;t deny that, and so you&#8217;re right to that degree, it&#8217;s not just an ad campaign, but I do think we&#8217;re in an exceptional moment right now.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I said I was going to ask about targeted advertising, and one of the reasons I think the pendulum has swung back so sharply is a reaction to what you might call identity politics. In the book, you say that identity politics as we know it is made possible by computer-run sorting and targeting. The algorithms on these platforms will put us all together, and then we will say, &#8220;Here&#8217;s an identity. We&#8217;re a bloc. We have some political power as a bloc. Deal with us.&#8221;</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>That seems true. I think we&#8217;ve all had that experience. We&#8217;ve seen that play out both in the culture, in our politics more broadly, but you can push back on that. You can say, &#8220;No, we don&#8217;t like that. Identity politics bad. That&#8217;s too woke,&#8221; and you can see the culture react to that. You can certainly see politicians and billionaires react to that.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>But I don&#8217;t think identity politics is only a product of quantifiability, of computer-aided targeting and sorting. It certainly existed before. Do you think the identity politics of today is defined by the fact that we all exist on platforms, or do you think it&#8217;s just shaped by it? What&#8217;s the relationship there?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I remember being quite struck reading an article from 1968 in a magazine that I think was called <em>Science and Technology</em>, a popular magazine, like the <em>Wired</em> of the 1960s, by this guy, Ithiel de Sola Pool, who was an MIT political scientist..</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">In 1968, he was asked [alongside] JCR Licklider, the inventor of the internet, to speculate on what the computer revolution would mean by the year 2000. They were both really smart guys and they had really, really fascinating things to say. Ithiel de Sola Pool, this political scientist, said, &#8220;Certainly by then there will be personal newspapers. You will log onto your computer in the morning, and it will be networked,&#8221; because the computer was moving in 1968 from being a storage and data processing device to being a communications device, being both of those things. So he said, &#8220;You will be able to log onto your computer in the morning and be a personal computer.&#8221;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">And Pool said, &#8220;There really won&#8217;t be able to be party politics if you have your own newspaper because a political party is the organization of political dissent, of shared political priorities. I don&#8217;t think we&#8217;ll even have interest group politics,&#8221; like the Black Congressional Caucus or the Corn Farmers Association. &#8220;I don&#8217;t think we&#8217;ll even have that. We&#8217;ll really only be able to have personal politics. I just think that our notion of a representative government where we agree to elect people to represent not my individual interests, but the interests of my community, we won&#8217;t be able to do that because no one will have a sense of what is in the interest of their community. You&#8217;ll only have the sense of your own interests, and that&#8217;s not how a representative democracy works. Our system of government will be incompatible with our technology of communication.&#8221;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Smart people saw this 50-60 years ago, and I think smart people see it now happening all the time. It&#8217;s something that is complicated for political campaigns to work with. You read interviews now with campaign consultants who say, &#8220;I really do not want to use these tools. I really do not want to do micro-targeted messaging, voter by voter, with deep-fake AI ads to convince people to vote for my candidate. I really believe in my candidate, but I don&#8217;t want to use these tools. But I have to use these tools because there&#8217;s no moratorium on using these tools, and therefore, I have to use the tools that I think my enemy will also use.&#8221; It&#8217;s a sad moment. I don&#8217;t think there&#8217;s anybody — well, I don&#8217;t know, there are probably some wretched human beings out there really excited to do deep-fakes and win elections that way, but most people in politics are not loving this moment.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I said I was going to ask about targeted advertising, and I started with identity politics for a reason. If I look at how money on the internet is made broadly today, it is targeted advertising. I&#8217;m just thinking about your line about identity politics and how it&#8217;s made possible by computer-run sorting and targeting. Computer-run sorting and targeting is advertising. That is the modern advertising industry at scale. “We will find you, the person who is most susceptible to whatever advertising message we have, we might know so much about you that we can target that message even more tightly to you in an automated way, and we will deliver it to you.”</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>The big tech companies have all gotten in trouble for over-sorting people. Meta </strong><a href="https://www.propublica.org/article/facebook-doj-advertising-discrimination-settlement"><strong>got sued</strong></a><strong> for creating ad categories that were protected classes by race and gender. Other platforms have gotten in trouble for not delivering housing advertisements to certain groups that were supposed to receive them or otherwise were discriminated against. You see this play out over and over again that there&#8217;s all kinds of sorting we&#8217;re not supposed to do, that we&#8217;ve actually made illegal. The algorithms don&#8217;t know this, the platforms maybe want to ignore it, and their entire model is delivering the right message to you at the right time so that you might buy something. Whether that is a foam mattress that you&#8217;ll pay for as a direct-to-consumer or whether it&#8217;s a political candidate, that&#8217;s the business we&#8217;re in.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I&#8217;m wondering how you see that connecting to the artificial state. We&#8217;re going to measure everybody, quantify everybody, we&#8217;ll do capitalism at scale, and now we&#8217;re going to subsume our politics into it. Because you&#8217;re saying that the politicians themselves understand that maybe they shouldn&#8217;t do that.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">It&#8217;s helpful to remember that that&#8217;s not an invention of the internet or the personal computer era, or certainly not of the artificial intelligence era. There is a great book by my colleague, Liz Cohen, <em>Consumers&#8217; Republic</em>, that argues that the consumer replaced the citizen as the individual entity of consequence in the United States in the 1950s, in the postwar era with the peacetime conversion of wartime factories. Consumption was what was going to save the country and advance the country&#8217;s interests, and American growth and American strength was associated with consumerism. In my lifetime, that&#8217;s been the way that we live. That&#8217;s not where the country was founded, and that&#8217;s also not inevitable.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">But the system that you&#8217;re describing with targeted advertising, which is effectively what the internet currently is, I actually don&#8217;t think that&#8217;s going to last. We&#8217;re not acting online primarily as citizens. Certainly I don&#8217;t feel that I am. I&#8217;m chiefly acting online as a consumer. I remember the day that I noticed that. In like 2000 I had a baby, and Google started sending me ads for breast pumps. I said, &#8220;Fuck this.&#8221; Remember when you were outraged by that and you say, &#8220;I hate that they know that I had a baby. That makes me mad. I didn&#8217;t tell them that&#8221;? But now we just accept it..</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Everyone&#8217;s phones are listening to them and it&#8217;s whatever.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Everyone&#8217;s phones are listening to them. You&#8217;re getting on a flight, you know that someone&#8217;s going to offer you Dramamine online. But that seemed, to a lot of people, inevitable and almost natural because the consumers&#8217; republic is how we&#8217;ve lived for such a long time.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I&#8217;m not trying to offer up a Luddite or nostalgic reading here, but when you walk down a city street, there&#8217;s City Hall and there&#8217;s the post office, and — this is going to make me sound like I&#8217;m 112 years old — there&#8217;s the JCPenney and the Walgreens. There are different places. It&#8217;s now just the one place where the information that City Hall might have about you or the information you might wish to share at City Hall, your house has been reappraised and you want to question that, or you&#8217;ve got a parking ticket and you want to appeal it, those were in one place. And then if you&#8217;re going to go buy ibuprofen or new socks, that was a different place. It&#8217;s now all corporatized and privatized. But the privatization of the public square is a transformation that is a long time coming.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I&#8217;d be very curious to hear what you think about this, but the people that I read increasingly say the internet is just going to be for bots in fairly short order and the humans aren&#8217;t really going to be on it. It&#8217;s just going to be agentic AI doing your stuff. It&#8217;s really just going to be machines talking to machines, which is in a way what people thought it was going to be to begin with. I think that actually offers some prospect for restoring the real world as a distinctive place for how we engage with one another as families, communities, and governments. But where we are now, if this continues, I don&#8217;t see how democracy endures the corporatization of all public discourse.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>We have had many, many, many tech CEOs on the show and </strong><a href="https://www.theverge.com/podcast/823909/the-doordash-problem-ai-agents-web-amazon-perplexity-lawsuit"><strong>we have asked them very directly</strong></a><strong>, &#8220;What happens when no one uses your app anymore, when it&#8217;s just the bots and the agents doing my bidding, and all of your business model has to fall away, and you are just a provider of Toyota Camrys?&#8221;</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Yeah, yeah! What do they say? What do they say?!</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>It breaks down in two ways. Anybody who offers a physical service says, &#8220;Yeah, it was really hard to build this business. Go ahead and try to disrupt me with your bots. You won&#8217;t.&#8221;The </strong><a href="https://www.theverge.com/podcast/801767/zocdoc-ceo-oliver-kharraz-ai-medical-healthcare-doctors"><strong>CEO of Zocdoc</strong></a><strong>, the </strong><a href="https://www.theverge.com/podcast/922909/dara-khosrowshahi-uber-drivers-ai-hotels-service"><strong>CEO of Uber</strong></a><strong>, and the </strong><a href="https://www.theverge.com/decoder-podcast-with-nilay-patel/679470/taskrabbit-ceo-ania-smith-labor-gig-economy-work-ai-automation"><strong>CEO of TaskRabbit</strong></a><strong> all say, &#8220;Yeah, go ahead and try. Try to find an army of people to come hang up your TV on demand. That&#8217;s our database, that&#8217;s our labor supply, and we will not be disrupted, because you can&#8217;t replace us.&#8221;</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Anybody who runs a virtual business or something that&#8217;s more software is freaking out. Amazon is basically freaking out. They&#8217;re a front end to a bunch of drop-shippers. They can be replaced. They&#8217;re the ones </strong><a href="https://www.theverge.com/ai-artificial-intelligence/892401/amazon-perplexity-ai-shopping-agent-court-order"><strong>suing Perplexity</strong></a><strong>. And Perplexity is saying, &#8220;Our software is the new labor, and you&#8217;re discriminating against our labor,&#8221; which I&#8217;m still trying to puzzle out. </strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Do I believe that the agentic AI is equivalent to my labor? Should it have the same rights as me? That is an open question that I think the internet is not quite ready for, but it seems like the bleeding edge of what it actually means to even have an internet. If I can deploy bots out onto the internet on my behalf, should they have the same rights as I do, or do you actually need me and all the friction that I come with in order to build a business model, and do you have a right to that business model? I&#8217;m wondering if you know the answer, because that&#8217;d be great for me. I could just skip to the end.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Yeah, I totally don&#8217;t know the answer. I&#8217;m fascinated by every time I look at the height of the tidal wave of the coming techlash, it&#8217;s higher and higher. I don&#8217;t see that manifesting itself in an effective way, but we&#8217;re in for really bumpy times.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>The other piece of it that strikes me is all of &#8220;the internet will go away&#8221; is wishful thinking on a part of the companies. They want this internet to go away. The economics of this internet are really well-known to them. There are a bunch of gatekeepers that just extract fees at every turn of this internet.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Most famously there&#8217;s Apple. I think Elon Musk and Mark Zuckerberg and a whole bunch of other people would like to have business models that are not restricted by the iOS App Store and Apple&#8217;s 30 percent fees and however they feel about privacy. Saying, &#8220;We can build a new internet that&#8217;s all bots,&#8221; gets you away from the iPhone, gets you away from this device where Apple gets to decide what the internet is for in big and meaningful ways. </strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>But I think people like Instagram, and I don&#8217;t think they&#8217;re going to give up their phones. That keeps you in a world where there&#8217;s at least something happening, where you&#8217;re looking for other people in some way. And that to me is maybe the heart of the solution.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I&#8217;ll connect it to the fact that you&#8217;re a college professor. You&#8217;re at the height of the techlash, as you just said. I&#8217;m watching college students boo AI at graduation ceremony after graduation ceremony and talk about it on the social platforms in big and meaningful ways. That seems like if there&#8217;s any kind of market pushback that leads to a political pushback that leads to actual change, that&#8217;s where it comes from, and that still came from the internet itself.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">No, it came from those people in a quad sweating in their stupid caps and gowns making a lot of noise together. It came from an actual group of humans in physical space together. I wouldn&#8217;t look to college or public school administrations to be of any help because they&#8217;re all just saying, &#8220;Oh, we made a deal with OpenAI. Here&#8217;s your not-so-free tool you have to use now.” Institutions, not just individuals, have to have positions of moral integrity in this moment, and I don&#8217;t see a ton of evidence of that. You see it maybe in the publishing industry, it&#8217;s very self-interested, and I think you see it in some state governments and some local governments, but I don&#8217;t think you see it in big law firms, big universities.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I gave these lectures at Yale last year that are the basis for this book on the artificial state and had a lot of group meetings with Yale students. I had been told by a colleague that at the very first meeting of the AI task force, which the faculty thought was going to be about what our pedagogical position should be about — [was instead about] “We’re going to use this task force to deliberate on what&#8217;s the proper time and place for using these incredibly powerful tools, and then what places are maybe not good places.”</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">He said, &#8220;The first meeting of the task force was about how we can brand AI at Yale so that it&#8217;s really sexy and people are excited about it. Are we going to call it YaAI? What&#8217;s the branding strategy here?&#8221; The faculty said, &#8220;What are you actually talking about? You brought us here to have a branding conversation?&#8221;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I&#8217;m in a lecture hall with this wonderful group of students. I said, &#8220;Let&#8217;s just have a good discussion now. What about just having there be a two-week moratorium starting tomorrow? The president of the university could announce it tonight that, for two weeks, every class on campus is going to be a discussion section involving staff, faculty, and students on what our community policy should be about using this tool this year.”</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The students said, &#8220;Let&#8217;s do that. Why can&#8217;t we do that? Why can&#8217;t we have a discussion about it?&#8221; The staff and the faculty said, &#8220;Why are we not doing that?&#8221; You say, &#8220;Why are we not doing that?&#8221; That&#8217;s why the students are mad. They&#8217;re paying all this money, taking on all this debt, working their asses off to be replaced by machines and have no capacity, be granted no fulfillment of the role of student, scholar, citizen, member of a community, and what that means and should mean.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">It&#8217;s such a mismatch of the Silicon Valley rhetoric of the future of humanity. &#8220;This is bigger than the wheel or the invention of fire,&#8221; [against] like, &#8220;But we don&#8217;t give a shit what you think or want.&#8221; That&#8217;s what gives me hope, that restlessness around that. There was a resounding applause around this idea, and you will notice this is not what Yale did. Yale instead branded its relationship with OpenAI, and now it&#8217;s a corporate agreement.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Let me connect that sense, that lack of agency that you&#8217;re describing, to what we see in our politics writ large. I think a lot of people are going to their local town/community planning meetings where a data center is being proposed. They&#8217;re saying no, and then it&#8217;s happening anyway. We see this playing out. Little &#8220;D&#8221; democratic politics are failing people in obvious ways. “Here&#8217;s this data center that you don&#8217;t want, and you&#8217;ve literally come to the meeting to register your opposition. Well, we&#8217;re doing it anyway because the town needs the jobs,” or whatever excuse is being put forward.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>We see this maybe most notably in Utah. Kevin O&#8217;Leary is <a href="https://www.theverge.com/ai-artificial-intelligence/943234/kevin-oleary-agrees-to-downsize-massive-utah-data-center">going to build a data center</a> no matter how much those people in Utah want it or not. And maybe the elected officials get thrown out because they said yes, and that will be the mechanism of change there. But actually, the representatives are not doing what the people want. The people feel this lack of agency.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Your entire book is about the decaying of the liberal nation state. I could point to that very tiny thing. People don&#8217;t feel agency about data centers, and say, &#8220;That&#8217;s the tip of the spear. That&#8217;s what&#8217;s going to break it wide open.&#8221; If you don&#8217;t believe in your local government and you haven&#8217;t believed in your national or state government for a long time, what&#8217;s left? Is that recoverable? The thing that I&#8217;m worried about the most is maybe that&#8217;s not recoverable. If you can&#8217;t even keep the data center from showing up in your backyard, what else is there to believe in? If you can&#8217;t even get Yale to take a beat and talk to you, what else is there?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Yeah. I don&#8217;t know, man. That is really grim.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>No, no, you&#8217;re supposed to depress </strong><strong><em>me</em></strong><strong>. It&#8217;s the other way around.</strong><strong><em> [Laughs]</em></strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I love that people are showing up and having those arguments. And if you were a smart community development board, you&#8217;d get ahead of that and say, &#8220;There are some good arguments for this data center that are honest arguments, and then there are some real arguments against it. Let&#8217;s have an open forum, and let&#8217;s see what the people think. And let&#8217;s also educate ourselves and the community,&#8221; because there&#8217;s a lot of dumbass stuff out there about data centers, I&#8217;m sure, certainly on both sides.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I don&#8217;t know. I think the fact that that&#8217;s happening and is likely to really influence these elections is meaningful. There are political consequences for just going along to get along. But it&#8217;s part of a much bigger problem with money and American politics and the relationship between corporations and government, so there&#8217;s no really easy fix for that.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">To your question, structurally, is there any going back? My <a href="https://current.fas.harvard.edu/stories/jill-lepore-her-pulitzer-prize-winning-we-people-history-us-constitution">last book</a> was about the history of the US Constitution. And one of the claims I make in this book is that it&#8217;s a problem for American politics and government when the Constitution becomes unamendable. The US Constitution hasn&#8217;t been meaningfully amended <a href="https://americanhistory.si.edu/explore/exhibitions/american-democracy/online/vote-voice/getting-vote/sometimes-it-takes-amendment/twenty-sixth">since 1971</a>. Instead, the Supreme Court amends the Constitution in how it acts. So the longer that goes on, the more resentful people are of the Supreme Court.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">When people ask, &#8220;Would we ever get that back?” the example I often give is jury service. One thing that people really believe in is jury duty. Even if they don&#8217;t like to do it, they believe in it. They think it&#8217;s a good thing to have, that it involves fairness in our criminal justice system. Even if, objectively, juries often make the wrong decision, people believe it&#8217;s good that we are asked to go to a room with strangers and deliberate over what&#8217;s true and what&#8217;s not true.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">But imagine that, for some reason, jury service was abolished in 1971. And now in 2026, someone said, &#8220;You know what would actually be good would be bringing back jury duty, and having 12 random people decide whether or not your kid is guilty of aggravated assault.&#8221; There&#8217;s no way we would bring it back because trust in one another in civil society has so evaporated. That&#8217;s what&#8217;s worrying about the decay of people&#8217;s sense of, &#8220;We live in a representative government. If the majority of us don&#8217;t want this thing and we tell our elected officials we don&#8217;t want this thing, then we&#8217;re not going to have it.&#8221; And then when you repeatedly find out that you are going to have it in spite of what you want, your ability to believe in how the system works has really deteriorated.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">A lot of that sapping away of our civic strength and our capacity as citizens to deliberate with one another and hear one another out is because of the incursions of the artificial state.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I want to end by asking about a phenomenon that I see more and more, especially after AI got booed at all the college graduations. It&#8217;s amazing. Between that and the data center pushback, it seems like the industry has decided that they need a new tack. They need to communicate more. OpenAI is just running around and its executives are like, &#8220;We have a marketing problem. We just need to market it better.&#8221;</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Google’s CEO </strong><a href="https://www.theverge.com/podcast/936445/sundar-pichai-ai-search-google-zero-youtube-web"><strong>was on the show</strong></a><strong>, and he said, &#8220;I don&#8217;t think it&#8217;s a marketing problem. We actually have to prove that the products are useful to people.&#8221; That&#8217;s what the Microsoft CEO says. There’s a range of opinions here.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>The thing that all of them have started saying over and over and over again is that the democratic process should be trusted to put the guardrails on them. The CEO of Skydio </strong><a href="https://www.theverge.com/podcast/949195/skydio-ceo-adam-bry-autonmous-drones-china-red-lines-military"><strong>was on</strong></a><strong>. He is a drone maker. He supplies drones to the military and various governments, and he will tell you it&#8217;s as much power companies as the police, but don&#8217;t worry about the police. The democratic process is going to stop the police from infringing on your rights with drones. Maybe.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I hear it with Anthropic, which just proposed a federal regulator for AI that will determine who runs the frontier models and do safety checks on them, and that&#8217;s the democratic process. I could probably make a list of every big tech executive at some point saying, &#8220;Democracy will stop us. We trust democracy.&#8221;</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Your entire book is about technology fraying democracy to its very core. Is this just self-serving on their part? Now that they&#8217;ve broken it, they&#8217;re saying, &#8220;That&#8217;s the thing that will stop us,&#8221; and they know that it won&#8217;t. Or is this actually the moment for democracy to reassert itself because they&#8217;re asking for it?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Yes to both. It is self-serving on their part, and this goes pretty far back. Some years ago, OpenAI had this whole democratic inputs project where they&#8217;re going to get democratic inputs on how AI should run. This is where Claude&#8217;s constitution comes from. “We&#8217;re going to have a collective constitution. We&#8217;re going to crowdsource constitutional drafting.”&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The individuals involved in the democratic inputs project for OpenAI and the collective constitutional project for Anthropic really cared about those things. They knew nothing about the political process. They knew nothing about representative democracy, nor did they care to learn. The way collective constitutionalism worked, the democratic inputs project worked was basically just turning people into data points. “We&#8217;ll do hyper-scaling. Every American will be able to point and click and vote.”</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">That&#8217;s not deliberative democracy. Actually, people have to be in a room together. They need to talk to one another. There needs to be a process. There need to be rules. There needs to be a parliamentarian. There need to be votes. There need to be rules about vetoing votes. There need to be rules about speech and process.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">So when they talk about, &#8220;Democracy will save us,&#8221; what they mean by democracy is something that I think, for most political scientists, is unrecognizable as a democratic process. It&#8217;s a buzzword for them. It&#8217;s been convenient for them at different moments in their recent past, and it seems convenient now.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">That said, that doesn&#8217;t mean this isn&#8217;t a moment that people who care about involving ordinary people in discussions around, &#8220;What do we want? What would be right? I ought to learn a little bit more about this, and I want to talk to some people, and I want to hear what my neighbors think. And I want to sit down with the town council, the neighborhood council and work it out.&#8221; That is the chief argument in my book. That can still happen. That should still happen, and I think it has to still happen.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>That seems like the next step. It seems like getting the college kids together to boo is maybe the thing that will solve democracy. As a college student who booed the Iraq War, I still want to believe this, whether or not that went my way. Dr. Lepore, this has been amazing. Thank you so much.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">A lot of fun. Thanks so much for having me.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><em><sub>Questions or comments? Hit us up at decoder@theverge.com. We really do read every email!</sub></em></p>
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			<entry>
			
			<author>
				<name>Nilay Patel</name>
			</author>
			
			<title type="html"><![CDATA[‘No company is going to go to jail for you’: Proton’s CTO on balancing privacy, policy, and trust]]></title>
			<link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="https://www.theverge.com/podcast/966074/proton-cto-bart-butler-privacy-encryption-surveillance-age-verification" />
			<id>https://www.theverge.com/?p=966074</id>
			<updated>2026-07-16T09:59:05-04:00</updated>
			<published>2026-07-16T10:00:00-04:00</published>
			<category scheme="https://www.theverge.com" term="Decoder" /><category scheme="https://www.theverge.com" term="Podcasts" /><category scheme="https://www.theverge.com" term="Policy" /><category scheme="https://www.theverge.com" term="Privacy" /><category scheme="https://www.theverge.com" term="Tech" />
							<summary type="html"><![CDATA[Today on Decoder, we’ve got the first of a two-part series on the systems that run the world: I’m talking with Bart Butler, the CTO of Proton, the company that makes private and secure productivity software. You probably know it best for Proton Mail, which is encrypted by default, but the company also has docs, [&#8230;]]]></summary>
			
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<img alt="A photo illustration of Proton CTO Bart Butler." data-caption="" data-portal-copyright="Image: The Verge / Photo: Proton" data-has-syndication-rights="1" src="https://platform.theverge.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2026/07/DCD-Bart-Butler.png?quality=90&#038;strip=all&#038;crop=0,0,100,100" />
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<p class="has-drop-cap wp-block-paragraph">Today on <em>Decoder</em>, we’ve got the first of a two-part series on the systems that run the world: I’m talking with Bart Butler, the CTO of Proton, the company that makes private and secure productivity software.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">You probably know it best for Proton Mail, which is encrypted by default, but the company also has <a href="https://www.theverge.com/tech/903554/proton-now-offers-an-entire-bundle-of-office-services">docs, sheets, a calendar</a>, and even a new AI assistant called Lumo, all built and marketed around the idea that they should be vastly more private than the products from Big Tech companies.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">You’ll hear Bart say pretty plainly that the thing Proton sells, at a high level, isn’t really the products themselves, but actually trust. And trust in the software world isn’t only about the people who run the companies, but also the technology they develop and sell and the corporate structure in place to make sure that technology is built against the right incentives. Pure <em>Decoder</em> bait, in other words. The challenge is that Bart also says part of Proton’s mission is very much to succeed at being a viable competitor to Big Tech, and that means the company has to grow and expand to competitive scale, all while preserving its core values.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">This philosophy, and that challenge, is baked directly into Proton’s structure and even its physical location — the company and its servers are based in Switzerland, in part because of the Swiss government’s geopolitical neutrality. Two years ago, Proton also transitioned to a nonprofit structure governed by a foundation, which is a familiar model used by all kinds of companies that ostensibly operate in the public interest, but which has failure modes of its own, as <a href="https://www.theverge.com/news/807875/openai-microsoft-for-profit-agi">we just saw with OpenAI</a>.</p>

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<p class="wp-block-paragraph">We talked about all of that, but I really wanted to talk to Bart because he’s responsible for the technical construction of some very complex systems that interact with all these complex politics. I really wanted to know how you translate all these lofty ideals and concepts like user trust into real, privacy-centric products and features that can withstand all this policy pressure.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">For example, earlier this year, the Swiss government <a href="https://www.404media.co/proton-mail-helped-fbi-unmask-anonymous-stop-cop-city-protestor/">requested payment data</a> that led the FBI to unmask a protester associated with the Stop Cop City movement in Atlanta, Georgia, a request Proton complied with. So of course I had to ask Bart about all that, and what it means that the US government can use words like “terrorism” to coerce foreign governments to apply pressure on Proton — and how the company decides when and how to take on those fights. </p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">This pressure manifests in all kinds of ways. Proton is on the record <a href="https://www.vice.com/en/article/proton-says-it-will-leave-switzerland-if-controversial-swiss-law-passes/">saying it will leave Switzerland</a>, and Bart says it would also consider ditching its operations in EU countries like Germany and Norway if various surveillance laws working their way through European courts <a href="https://www.wired.com/story/a-majority-of-european-lawmakers-voted-against-letting-big-tech-read-our-messages-theyre-going-to-anyway/">continue to threaten Proton’s privacy mission</a>. Bart told me these aren’t just empty threats and that Proton is in the process of figuring out what it would mean to leave Europe if things get, in his words, more “dystopian.”</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">There is a whole lot in this one. We ran pretty long because we got so deep in the weeds. We first spent the time talking through the broad frameworks before talking about the very real problems of child safety, age verification, and AI — all of which are testing Proton’s values with some of the highest-stakes problems on the internet today. But we took the extra time to get there, and I hope you’ll think it was worth it.&nbsp;&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Okay: Bart Butler, the CTO of Proton. Here we go.</p>

<iframe frameborder="0" height="200" src="https://playlist.megaphone.fm?e=VMP8586650749" width="100%"></iframe>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><em>This interview has been lightly edited for length and clarity.</em></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Bart Butler, you&#8217;re the chief technology officer at Proton. Welcome to </strong><strong><em>Decoder.</em></strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Thank you. Happy to be here.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I&#8217;m excited to talk to you. It feels like Proton sits at the center of an escalating, spiraling debate about how we build technology systems, how we regulate them, and how consumers can protect their data or have any control at all over their data at the center of it.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Let&#8217;s start at the very start. I think most people understand Proton as ProtonMail, but there&#8217;s now a suite of office products and productivity products. Describe what Proton is and how you see all the products working together.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">So Proton is an ecosystem, if you will — a collection of products that all share the same DNA in the sense that they fundamentally are, in many cases, versions of products you can buy elsewhere, but that are privacy preserving, right?&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Yes, we started with mail. We also have a VPN. We have a Proton Drive, which is our file storage, photos, and collaborative real-time docs. We have a calendar. We have a password manager called Proton Pass. We have Meet, which is a video conferencing software. So we have a whole collection of products that do things in some cases very similar to other products that you might be more familiar with, but are also privacy-preserving.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>One of the reasons I&#8217;m excited to talk to you specifically as chief technology officer is the idea that there&#8217;s a set of products that are familiar, but the company running them is going to behave better than the other company, is a familiar pattern in this industry.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Sure, it is.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>And Proton promises that the products are actually architected differently.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Yes.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>That from the very beginning, the way the products are built is actually what makes and keeps the promise of protecting privacy, not a benevolent CEO or a benevolent board of directors. We&#8217;ll come to that. There&#8217;s some of that in the mix here.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">There&#8217;s some of that, too. There&#8217;s some corporate structure stuff, but yes, I also consider that there are actually, I would say, two primary structural… or maybe systems. You could call them systems engineering at a broader scale, but structural constraints on how Proton operates.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The first is that we encrypt all the data we can. So if we wanted to turn around and sell that data to somebody, we can&#8217;t. It&#8217;s mathematically not possible for us to do it, right? This also has other benefits. We can&#8217;t easily lose it to hackers or other interested parties, and there&#8217;s some data that we can respond to for, say, legal requests, but there&#8217;s some data we can&#8217;t. And this helps us; basically, we can&#8217;t give up data that we don&#8217;t have access to.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The second is the business model. I mean, there are other SaaS players, of course, that do this. I don&#8217;t think there are a whole lot of B2C consumer-based SaaS players at our size who do this, but our revenue model is getting paid by our users, right? So we don&#8217;t sell ads. The products are not carrots to get people to come in and give us their data so we can sell it to advertisers. And that means that those users — the ones who pay our bills, pay our salaries — allow us to grow the business.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">If we were to betray them, then that would essentially undermine the value of the business. We have tied the value of the business and the growth of the business to protecting our users so that our interests are aligned. This is also very important because temptations are a thing. People respond to incentives, and we have structurally arranged our company such that those incentives are aligned with the people to whom we have promised to protect.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>If I were to very reductively summarize what you just said, it is that we take money from consumers, and what we sell them is encrypted versions of popular services that they rely on, like email, a VPN, and an office suite.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Do you think consumers understand that what they&#8217;re buying is the technology solution, or are they buying the promise of privacy? Or is it some mix? Because I&#8217;m not actually sure consumers really understand at mass scale how it all works, right? They think their iPhones are listening to them.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">What I will tell product people and engineers in meetings about new features is that if you&#8217;ve mentioned the word encryption to the user, you&#8217;ve already failed. I mean, people don&#8217;t understand what this is. That&#8217;s fine. Our goal is to make products that are as usable and as functional as our competitors, or more functional.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I mean, I don&#8217;t want to sound entirely derivative. We do have features that nobody else has that are often geared towards privacy and functionality for people who need confidential communications. However, in general, we&#8217;re selling the promise. We&#8217;re selling the promise that we&#8217;re a different kind of company. We&#8217;re selling the trust — and that trust is critical. Without trust… That is where the real value of the company is. Now, that trust is backed up by technology, right? But we&#8217;re selling the trust.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>The reason I&#8217;m pushing on it, and specifically I&#8217;m happy that you mentioned trust, is that the big tech players will all make the same kinds of promises about your data being private. Facebook will happily tell you that they don&#8217;t sell an ounce of your data. It&#8217;s actually not in their interest to sell the data because the ad targeting that they do depends on the data being theirs and not anyone else&#8217;s. We can get into this for days and days and days.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I&#8217;m just curious where you see that trust being expressed or where you feel like that trust is most communicated from Proton. Because if you ask me, as a more technical person, I do look at the architecture of “it&#8217;s all encrypted” and probably mathematically, it&#8217;s impossible to get into. Sure, we&#8217;ll come to how much metadata can be shared with authorities because there&#8217;s some debate about that.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>But that&#8217;s the piece that resonates for me as opposed to trusting you or a board of directors. Some other people just look at the promises and take them at face value. Then there&#8217;s some set of regulators that say, &#8220;Actually, we have a bunch of other interests in being able to see the data that goes on here, and we actually don&#8217;t trust you to be a good player in the ecosystem.&#8221;</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>So when you think about trust, does it come down to “the data is encrypted, and that&#8217;s the core promise we&#8217;re making, and anything that breaks that also breaks the whole product”? Or is there some other dimension of trust that is important at Proton as you build the systems?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">So end-to-end encryption is obviously important. It&#8217;s the gold standard, and it&#8217;s what we strive for. However, there are definitely features that we… privacy, at least to me personally, is about control. There are some times when I want an integration with an external service or something like this, and I mean, my choices are no integration or breaking end-to-end encryption.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Our goal is to make it so the user has an informed choice and control over who sees their data. So it&#8217;s not the same as never sharing your data or never sharing your photos with anybody. But the point is, instead of sharing your photos with somebody like Facebook who might monetize them, it&#8217;s sharing your photos with grandma and grandpa, and only grandma and grandpa.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">That&#8217;s not to say that encryption is everything, but I think we&#8217;ve set up… I don&#8217;t know if we want to get into the corporate structure right now. But we&#8217;ve set up the fundamental engineering, which backs up the trust. People like you look at the architecture and say, &#8220;Okay, this is encrypted. This is important to me.&#8221; And then you go tell somebody else, and to that other person you say, &#8220;I trust Proton because of this, this, and this.&#8221; The other person, all they know is, &#8220;Hey, I know Nilay, I trust him, and he says Proton is good.&#8221;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">There&#8217;s a whole cohort much, much greater than the techie cohort. The techie cohort is our core, of course, and has been since the beginning, but there&#8217;s a whole cohort of people who trust Proton because of other people they know. And by now, I mean it might just be people they trust on Reddit, right? But other people they know say Proton is there.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">And what I&#8217;m trying to say is we have set up&#8230; We&#8217;ve all been getting object lessons in the rules, bylaws, laws, other things that can be worth something, but ultimately are worth something when they are&#8230; Personnel really matters, right? Who enforces them really matters. So we have the technical layer, which is designed to constrain what we can do technically, and then we also have the legal and corporate structure layer, which is its defense in depth, basically. It&#8217;s defense in depth. All of these things are interlocking guarantees to our users that we are trustworthy. Ultimately, that&#8217;s the most important thing about the business.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I do want to come to the corporate structure. It is </strong><strong><em>Decoder</em></strong><strong> after all, but just one more turn on the product set itself. You started with ProtonMail. You&#8217;ve got the other suite of products, including now an AI Assistant.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>You talked about the fact that the business model is the consumers paying money directly for the products. Is ProtonMail still the core product that&#8217;s making the most money? Are the other lines of business growing? How does this look?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">So we don&#8217;t disclose direct financials. Mail and VPN are the two oldest products, and as you might expect, they are the two largest products still. But we also have a lot of people who buy bundles and buy multiple products. We try to make the products work well together in an ecosystem. Some products are more tightly bound than others.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The new products, the more recent ones like Calendar, are very tightly tied to Mail, of course, but we also have Drive and Pass. Those are not as big as the older products. They have less of a head start, if you will, but they are growing rapidly. So they all contribute, but yeah, they contribute differently. Often, I&#8217;m not going to say it&#8217;s exactly how old they are, but those that have had the bigger runway are usually bigger, right?</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>One of the patterns with consumer productivity software is that the suites get bigger, the bundles get bigger, and then the companies realize the class of customers that will actually pay for increased productivity is enterprise.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Yeah.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>We see this over and over again in this space. Notion did it, Dropbox did it. I can go on and on and on about companies that we’ve covered as consumer software companies that eventually pivoted to being enterprise companies. Does Proton feel that same pressure, that you&#8217;re going to have to go have more corporate clients, enterprise clients, to grow? Or are you still focused on consumer?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">This is a very, very interesting question. I think we definitely feel the pressure. There’s… what is it? I don&#8217;t know if it&#8217;s apocryphal or not, but the old John Dillinger quote like, &#8220;Why do I rob banks? Well, it&#8217;s where the money is.&#8221; There&#8217;s a little bit of that in “Why do you go B2B?” Well, it&#8217;s where the people who have budgets and are willing to pay for this are.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I think we&#8217;re definitely considering it. Even as a primarily consumer-focused business, we have a lot of people in small businesses, in particular, who use our products for business purposes. You just use the consumer. And we&#8217;ve also made forays into small business offerings and things like that.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I think this is something that growth will probably demand. And I think there are a lot of businesses for whom things that we offer — confidentiality, non-US-based and European sovereignty type stuff in particular, and just our reputation — are very appealing to those businesses. That said, we have to strike a balance. And today, our business is B2C. We&#8217;re not going to jettison the B2C business. I also think that having the B2C business as strong as it is is a competitive strength.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I mean, as you said, there are several that have transitioned to B2B from B2C. But at the same time, I think there are a lot more B2B players that start B2B and stay there. And one of the things that we&#8217;re looking at… Communication between businesses and their customers is certainly important, and confidentiality is important there. You see things like WhatsApp&#8217;s forays into having businesses connect to consumers who have WhatsApp. I think that when the time comes to really make a push to B2B, the B2C user base and product suite will be a benefit to us.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>One of the tensions there as AI infiltrates more and more businesses is that frontier model companies want every ounce of data. I think a bunch of big enterprises are very leery of giving a bunch of data to frontier model companies. The AI works best when they have a bunch of data, and so there&#8217;s this big choice about how much of your business you will expose to Claude. How much of yourself will you expose to Claude to get the most value out of those models?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Proton sits right in the middle of that with a technical architecture that you&#8217;re saying would provide choice, but it also seems like the game for a lot of these companies is to just hand everything over and say, &#8220;Go run my business, AI.&#8221; How do you see that working with your enterprise customers today?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Yeah. I mean, it&#8217;s a fraught decision. It&#8217;s giving all their sensitive data over. And they feel like, in many cases, they don&#8217;t have a choice. In some ways, that’s why we developed Lumo, our AI offering, which I think may have been left off the list before, unfortunately. I think we just launched Lumo 2.0, which is a big revamp of the models we use. And part of that is… The goal of the Lumo project in general is to have something that integrates with the rest of our products and can do this in a safe way.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">This is to address this sort of trade-off between whether I give random AI companies — possibly in different countries, possibly having compliance problems, all those other things — do I give them all my sensitive business data, or can I do it in a way that is still more protected? Now, in many ways, there are still trade-offs on our side to make, but we keep it in-house within Proton with the guarantees that we give. That should be a more attractive option for those kinds of workloads, and that&#8217;s what we&#8217;re hoping for as we develop Lumo.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I think this does bring us to the </strong><strong><em>Decoder</em></strong><strong> questions about structure and organization because that&#8217;s where it feels like the structure has to be, where the trust lies, not necessarily the technical architecture. So how is Proton structured today? How many people are there?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">So, Proton today is approximately 650 people total. That includes engineering, support functions, marketing, et cetera. It also includes customer support, which we do in-house. We always have. We are a corporation called Proton AG, a Swiss corporation.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">However, a controlling stake in Proton AG is held by the Proton Foundation, which was seeded with shares from Andy, our CEO, and other early employees. There are other fellow travelers with, I would say, somewhat similar structures. Signal and Mozilla, and our reasons are the same.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The Proton Foundation’s controlling stake in the Proton company means it is empowered to protect the mission. It&#8217;s a Swiss foundation. I&#8217;m not a lawyer, but I&#8217;ve been told it&#8217;s very difficult to change. Its job is the guardian of the values and the mission of Proton. So if Proton, the company, were to stray from that mission, the Proton Foundation would be empowered to correct course, if that makes sense.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Has that ever happened?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">No. Thus far, no. We have our founder and CEO, Andy Yen. Andy founded the company, and as long as he is in charge, I don&#8217;t think that&#8217;ll be necessary. But if he gets hit by the bus, there&#8217;s a corporate structure that is designed to protect the mission going forward and to make sure the company doesn&#8217;t stray regardless.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Because of this ownership model, too, the company is insulated from, say, some sort of takeover or purchase that could also redirect its priorities. I think that factor, the tech, and the business model basically are interlocking protections against us betraying the compact that we have with our users.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>One of the things that strikes me as I talk to more and more companies that have transitioned to this kind of foundation model is that that structure is essentially there to insulate you from the rapacious demands of capitalism. You aren&#8217;t being pressured to make as much money every quarter as possible to do the things that would lead you to make the most money, and that means maybe the technology can develop in a pure and idealistic state of protecting privacy instead of chasing the dollars.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Do you feel that insulation? I mean, you do have to make money and pay your employees and grow in some way, but what&#8217;s the dynamic for you architecting the products?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">So the short answer is no, and the reason for that is that part of the mission for us is that we have to compete in capitalism. Our main competitor is Big Tech. Even though we are much smaller than Big Tech, where our users come from when we convert people, when we get new customers, they&#8217;re [coming from] Big Tech in general.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">We have to play the same game. This might be a little cheesy, but our corporate motto is “Privacy by default.” That “default” part is doing a lot of heavy lifting. I mentioned before that our goal is to design products that are easy to use and secure. There are plenty of tools that are secure, and nobody — but a few experts — uses them. And that&#8217;s fine. I&#8217;m not criticizing the existence of those tools, but our goal is to make tools that everybody can use without understanding the cryptography, without even knowing that it&#8217;s cryptography that they can use, and that are as easy to use and as feature-filled as our unencrypted and essentially data-mining competitors. It&#8217;s a tall order.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I&#8217;m not saying we&#8217;re 100 percent there yet, but that is the goal. But the default word in “privacy by default” means growth. It means we have to be at the scale where we can offer a real alternative to Big Tech. And small startups, small scaleups, being 100 times or 10 times smaller than Big Tech, are not going to cut it. In order to do that, we need to grow.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">So growth is actually part of the mission, if you will. That means that we have to be… the word is not rapacious, but we have to be as hungry, efficient, and growth-minded as we possibly can because that&#8217;s part of the mission to grow big enough to actually challenge the current paradigm. I mean, we can talk about all kinds of ways capitalism is broken right now, but we have to play the game.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Yeah. All right. I&#8217;m going to make a comparison that you are going to hate. I&#8217;m just letting you know. I know you&#8217;re going to hate it.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Okay.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Maybe the most famous “we&#8217;ll build a foundation to protect ourselves from the demands of the market and make sure the thing is healthy” idea is from OpenAI, which </strong><a href="https://www.theverge.com/news/807875/openai-microsoft-for-profit-agi"><strong>basically killed that structure in order to chase an IPO</strong></a><strong>, right?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Maybe they still have really important and idealistic ideas about how AGI should be developed. Maybe some people in that company really feel that way, and it just didn&#8217;t work, right? They needed to chase growth in very specific ways for whatever reason they felt. Maybe it was money, maybe it was just to take on Google Search the way that OpenAI felt like it wanted to; they had to change the structure of the company.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>That obviously happened. It&#8217;s like one of the most apocalyptic foundation moments that has ever happened. This thing just exploded or imploded onto itself. When you look at that, and then you look at, “Okay, we have to grow. To be the default, we have to grow to be big, but we&#8217;re making this promise that Google doesn&#8217;t have to make, or Microsoft doesn&#8217;t have to make,” where is the tension in that? How does that express itself as you design the architecture of the products, which might preclude some opportunities?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">What could also be our corporate motto — it&#8217;s not, but it could be — is go big or go home. We certainly don&#8217;t set modest goals in that regard. But I think that there are a couple of things that make it different. I mentioned before a lot of constraints, but one thing I didn&#8217;t mention is that we don&#8217;t have VC investors. We don&#8217;t have private equity investors. We aren&#8217;t burning other people&#8217;s money with VCs breathing down our necks that we must exit soon, or otherwise we go belly up.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">We built a sustainable business. We reinvest the profits from that business back into the business. And this insulates us from some of the pressure, which I&#8217;m sure OpenAI felt given that they were lighting enormous stacks of money on fire all the time, right? But that said, personnel is policy. I think that there&#8217;s certainly always this risk. At the same time, we found out a lot recently that sometimes rules, norms, or guidelines aren&#8217;t written. Unwritten or not, they&#8217;re not worth the paper that they&#8217;re written on.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">But that&#8217;s also where the architecture comes in. We make choices about the tech stuff, and obviously I&#8217;m on the tech side of this business, but we have made choices, and some of that is for business competitive reasons, right? We want to sell products where we say, &#8220;We can&#8217;t access your data. We don&#8217;t have access to data. We can&#8217;t lose it. We can&#8217;t sell it. We can&#8217;t do this.&#8221;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">But that also constrains us from deciding one day to turn around and sell it because we have locked it in a box, and we can&#8217;t access it, and therefore we can&#8217;t turn around and say, &#8220;You know what? Sorry guys, we changed our minds. We&#8217;re actually going to mine all this data and go.&#8221; Now, is anything perfect? No. But I mean, the structure is designed such that we have these interlocking, as I said, controls.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I think the other thing is that even if, say… The Proton Foundation is barred from selling Proton AG, as far as I&#8217;m aware, but even if, for some reason, something happens, the value of Proton is in the reputation. And we said this, and it has been a deliberate choice. The value of Proton is in the trust that we have. If Google bought us, it would have no value because Google does not have the credibility to run Proton. Do you see what I mean?</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>That&#8217;s just the default of Google buying anything. I just want to be very clear about that.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">[Laughs] No, they shut it down and then it&#8217;s gone, right?</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>The clock would start ticking that day.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Yeah. I know. It&#8217;s happened before, it&#8217;ll happen again, I&#8217;m sure. But the Proton Foundation structure is designed to say that “No, the company cannot be sold to a buyer.”</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>That&#8217;s the macrostructure. Just tell me about the more tactical structure inside the company that&#8217;s building a product. How is Proton itself structured? Is there a team that makes the Lumo assistant? Is there a team that makes email? Is it divisions? Is it functional? How does that work?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">So we do have a division structure, a business unit structure. We have certain products that are bundled together, like mail and calendar, so they&#8217;re bundled into the same division. The others are separate. So we have Lumo, we have Drive, we have Pass, and we have VPN. These are separate divisions. You make choices about corporate structure based on what communication you want to be the easiest. So that&#8217;s designed to allow people to move fast and to have autonomy and make decisions within their product.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">We also have cross-organizational teams, support teams, and things like that. And on that side, the trade-off of the business unit structure is that we sometimes have to work harder. It&#8217;s a little bit like corralling cats, right? Where you have to make sure that, “Okay, I&#8217;m building this feature that touches all the products. I need to make sure that all the products are on board and they have it in their planning so that we can ship them correctly.”</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">So you make decisions about that. We&#8217;ve made a deliberate decision to prioritize in-product communication. And then we try to compensate for the shortcomings of that in our cross-product communication. Then, as we transition to more and more ecosystem-based stuff, we may make different choices about the corporate structure to support that. The <a href="https://www.splunk.com/en_us/blog/learn/conways-law.html">whole Conway&#8217;s law thing</a>. You ship your org chart, but sometimes you want the best of both worlds, and this is where process comes along. It&#8217;s not always sexy, but you find it super important as you scale organizations, for sure.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>You might be the first </strong><strong><em>Decoder</em></strong><strong> guest to make the connection directly between the fact that I ask everyone how their company is structured and you ship your org chart, which is why I always ask, because it&#8217;s the fundamental truth.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">You do, and we struggle with that to some degree. We try to compensate for it. But yeah, you do ship your org chart. And therefore, if you want your products to look different, you should adjust your org chart to support that difference, right? I mean, ultimately.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>The other </strong><strong><em>Decoder</em></strong><strong> question I ask everybody is about decisions. You have a lot of decisions to make. You are trying to build a new kind of product architecture against a lot of the same constraints as your competitors. How do you make decisions? What&#8217;s your framework?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">How do I make decisions? We are a founder-led company. Andy started Proton. I was, I think, employee six, I want to say. That&#8217;s a funny story in itself. You know how I met Andy?</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>How&#8217;s that?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">He was my grad student at CERN. I was a postdoc at Harvard, and he was my grad student. And then he comes and finds me in Silicon Valley after I left physics and says, &#8220;Hey, you want to join my startup? You can be CTO.&#8221; Anyway, and here we are 11 years later.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">But he&#8217;s still heavily involved. He has a lot of input on product direction strategy, and he&#8217;s a visionary. I think he&#8217;s responsible for a lot of Proton&#8217;s success. He&#8217;s willing to take risks, that kind of stuff. I obviously believe in his leadership, or I wouldn&#8217;t still be here after 11 years. That said, I think one thing that sometimes happens with visionaries is they need to surround themselves with people who will challenge them when they get maybe a little too far over their skis, or to also make sure that we have ideas from other places.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">One thing that we really try to make sure of is that ideas are judged on their merits, not their origin necessarily. And so we have a senior leadership team whose job is to, yes, execute but also bring new ideas and sell them and things like this. I&#8217;m not going to say that we&#8217;re perfect in this because nobody is, and we have plenty of things that we can improve, but we try to push decision-making down the org. The whole point of an organization is that you have a way to align lots of different people in the same direction.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The trick is always: how do you get alignment in the same general direction while still having autonomy so that you&#8217;re not micromanaging everything? And I&#8217;m not saying we always get the balance right, but that&#8217;s the goal here. When we do this sort of orientation when we hire new people into Proton, one of the things we always say is: I want to hear… You&#8217;re not used to our way of doing things yet. So I want you to look at our way of doing things, and if you&#8217;ve experienced another employer or you think this is either crazy or inefficient, I want you to tell us. And we&#8217;re very clear, yes, of course we have a hierarchy, and part of this is our size, but we very rarely have more than, say, three or four levels of management.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">We always say, &#8220;Look, if you need to ping me, you need to ping the CEO, you need to directly talk to people, just do it.&#8221; It&#8217;s another thing, and again, I&#8217;m speaking for myself, but I think this is common throughout Proton: I tell people, &#8220;I&#8217;m not promising or obligated to agree with you, but you&#8217;re never going to regret telling me what you think,” basically.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">So we try to do that. And I credit Andy with this, but we have very little internal politics. Maybe this is just because we&#8217;re not very big yet, but we have zero tolerance for fiefdoms or internal politics, and that also makes things easier. There&#8217;s very much a sense that we&#8217;re all pointing in the same direction, and that it&#8217;s not my division that I&#8217;m trying to grow, it&#8217;s Proton in general.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I think that some of that comes with being a mission-driven company. I don&#8217;t know if you&#8217;ve ever had this experience, but for those of you who haven&#8217;t, I&#8217;ve had both. I was a physicist as part of the CERN collaboration a long time ago, and there you have the fundamental nature of the universe. I consider that a mission-driven occupation.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I also had a stint in Silicon Valley afterward, which had fun and interesting technical problems, but I missed that. And with Proton, the mission is really… We have to be careful that it doesn&#8217;t paper over organizational problems that we should really solve, let&#8217;s put it that way. But it really does make the job easier when everybody is aligned in that regard.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Let me ask you a question about that, and then I want to come to the pressures that Proton feels and how you put all of this structure into practice to resist those pressures. Early on in my career, I had no idea how to manage anyone. I went to a bunch of people and asked them a bunch of questions. One of the smartest mentors in all this sat me down and told me very seriously, &#8220;Look, you don&#8217;t hire people to make them like you. You hire people to change your organization.&#8221;</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I&#8217;ve taken that to heart, and maybe at 15 years into this, I&#8217;m like, &#8220;That&#8217;s actually a pendulum. You need people to buy into what you&#8217;re doing. Otherwise, every new person you hire is going to radically disrupt what everyone else is doing because they&#8217;re maybe over-empowered and they&#8217;re not actually on the same page.&#8221;</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Proton has a mission, right? You&#8217;re describing it as a mission-driven company. How do you strike that balance of wanting to hire new people and get the outside perspective on what you’re doing wrong and then not actually get knocked totally off track? Because it seems very important within a company like Proton.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I mean, culture is extremely important. It&#8217;s extremely important. That comes from the top as well. Andy, if you were to ask him what the most important thing in any business is, he&#8217;s very likely to say culture. As a result, we try to be very careful about who we hire. We hire relatively slowly. I wish we could hire faster.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I think hiring is one of the things that we could be better at, but we don&#8217;t do these massive hires, massive layoffs, things like this because&#8230; And we don&#8217;t hire so fast that we dilute the culture. We want to integrate people into the Proton culture, not necessarily… And yes, sometimes we have to change it, sometimes we have to evolve it, but we want that to be done in a deliberate way.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I also had maybe a similar evolution as a manager. I&#8217;ve been there through all of Proton&#8217;s growth phases. So early on, I wrote a lot of code, and then I was effectively a team lead. Then I was a manager of managers. At some point, I was running all of Proton&#8217;s engineering. Then I handed off some of the management things, but kept the CTO technical direction stuff.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">In that course, I definitely made a lot of mistakes too, right? Early on, I had to teach myself not to make other people like me, not to, maybe not micromanage, but not to just tell people what to do and have them execute it. And then I went through a phase later where I realized that, okay, people need to learn, people need to make their own mistakes. I want to import people with expertise; I&#8217;m not infallible. Let&#8217;s do this. That was probably too permissive. We had some… nothing catastrophic, but we had some expensive mistakes that I had a bad feeling about, but I let go through anyway. Because I was trying to do this.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>That&#8217;s the worst.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">So I think moderation doesn&#8217;t tend to be the sexiest thing to sell, but it is. It&#8217;s a balance. You don&#8217;t want to mandate how things are done, but you also want to make sure that you&#8217;re there to stop people from making truly catastrophic or expensive decisions. You can see the brick wall in the distance, and you want to make sure that doesn&#8217;t happen. Yeah, it&#8217;s not the most dramatic answer, but a lot of this is finding the right balance there, moderation.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>The reason I spent so much time on the technical and corporate structure side, as well as the culture, is that Proton faces a lot of pressure. And all of this, as you&#8217;ve described, is designed to resist that pressure and designed to build products that can&#8217;t be broken by that pressure in different ways. Let&#8217;s just start with, I don&#8217;t know, the governments of the world, which put a lot of pressure on Proton, and have found lots and lots of ways to get past the kinds of controls you put in place to protect user data.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>So we&#8217;ll just start with the splashiest one. In March, a </strong><a href="https://www.404media.co/proton-mail-helped-fbi-unmask-anonymous-stop-cop-city-protestor/"><strong>report from </strong><strong><em>404Media</em></strong></a><strong> found that Proton handed over the payment data of an account called Stop Cop City, which is located in the United States. They handed that data to the Swiss authorities, who then gave that data to the FBI, and that led to their identification. And this is metadata; I don&#8217;t think it&#8217;s actually the data, the contents of the emails.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Proton&#8217;s argument is, &#8220;Look, we never actually gave anything to the FBI. We just complied with a legal request from the Swiss government.&#8221; Let&#8217;s start at the very basics. What is the Swiss government legally allowed to request from you? And does the fact that they can just serve as a proxy for the United States government undermine any of this trust or put any novel kind of pressure on your structures?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">So any company anywhere is going to have a jurisdiction and be subject to jurisdiction. No company or individual is above the law. And no company is going to go to jail for you. That said, you can arrange structures such that there are safeguards here. And our safeguard, for instance, is that we are a Swiss company. And we&#8217;ve actually been asked repeatedly, &#8220;Hey, can you just respond to requests from friendly government agencies?&#8221;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">We have repeatedly said no because it can&#8217;t be our job to decide what is legitimate and what is not. That is not something that we can take on. So what we do is we engineer our products to have, within constraints, like making a product that people want to use and can use and does the job, but we engineer our products to be as private as possible.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">We are subject to Swiss jurisdiction. Mutual Legal Assistance Treaty requests, MLAT requests, come in from governments. The Swiss authorities decide what is legitimate and what is not. We have no stake in that. And then they issue an order, we comply with those orders, and that&#8217;s the way it has to be. We very deliberately chose our jurisdiction in a way that the Swiss are famously neutral. Every government is made up of humans, but they have a reputation for being reasonable people, and that system has worked pretty well.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">In general, there are countries that are less trustworthy than others, and those requests… We don&#8217;t have a lot of visibility into where the requests are coming from, but those requests we have on good authority are usually not honored. Whereas peoples’ opinions may vary these days, the FBI requests, they tend to be given a certain presumption of legitimacy, but they&#8217;re still evaluated by the Swiss authorities. And then what we do is we comply. We have no discretion here. And this would be the case for anything, but we have arranged the system such that we think it is one of the safest that can be constructed and stay legal.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>So let me just ask you about that, because you are a systems person; you&#8217;re describing a system.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Yeah.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>The failure point in that system, as you&#8217;re describing it to me, is that the Swiss government is going to make a bunch of decisions about what you have to comply with. The United States government, in this case specifically, I think, has realized that if they just say that everything is terrorism, the floodgates open on the mechanisms for data sharing.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>So in this case, this is an account called “Stop Cop City.” They said this is terrorism. Here in the United States, whether or not the government&#8217;s claims of everything being terrorism are legitimate or not, I think, is wide open for debate.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Sure.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>But it feels like they found what you would describe as an attack vector on the Swiss government&#8217;s mechanisms, where if you say these magic words, the Swiss government will come to you and start asking for metadata. Does that feel appropriate? Does that feel survivable?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I think a lot of this stuff, at some point, is going to be up to people. We&#8217;ve done the best we can, and I don&#8217;t think… People are going to have different opinions about which requests are legitimate or not, but we&#8217;ve done the best we can in saying that, &#8220;Okay, the Swiss authorities will decide, and then we will comply with whatever they say because we are a Swiss jurisdiction.&#8221;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">In the meantime, we do and can arrange — and, of course, there are laws that govern this — but we do whatever we can to minimize the amount of data that we can give. I mean, with payment data, we can encrypt it. We use payment processors. They can get it from lots of different sources. So if you have a credit card attached and there&#8217;s a legal request coming in, there&#8217;s not a whole lot we can do, right?</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">You mentioned systems… because I think this is important. What&#8217;s important to me, and I realize this… I don&#8217;t want this to sound callous for a specific hypothetical abusive case that might not have been&#8230; Mistakes can be made, of course. But I want a system like the system we have, which is that if the government has some sort of reasonable cause and can convince people in a defined process to give data, then yeah, the data should probably be given. What I really worry about is that we often live in a world where basically the government can instead ask, &#8220;Give me all your data, and I&#8217;m going to look for problems. I&#8217;m going to look for a crime.&#8221;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The word wiretap comes from a time when they had to literally go to your house and tap the wire. I don&#8217;t think it was really thought of at the time, but that — the actual physical act of having to do this — had a barrier to the fact that you couldn&#8217;t surveil everybody at once. It was simply logistically impossible. We live in a world today where you can surveil everybody, so we want to build services and systems where this is impossible, right? Where the default should be privacy, as I said, privacy by default.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Yes, we are also responsive to legitimate law enforcement requests, however you define legitimate. And that legitimate question will always be a matter of process, in which we, of course, are only one player in this process. But I think that&#8217;s the-</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Well, there&#8217;s legitimacy, and there&#8217;s a market dynamic here. So the Swiss government has applied a lot of pressure to Proton in the last few years. They want you to basically have an unencrypted VPN and be able to decrypt user data that was traveling over VPN. I believe Proton has </strong><a href="https://www.vice.com/en/article/proton-says-it-will-leave-switzerland-if-controversial-swiss-law-passes/"><strong>threatened to leave Switzerland over this</strong></a><strong>, and then you announced that you were going to </strong><a href="https://www.reddit.com/r/ProtonMail/comments/1m8n3yv/proton_is_moving_most_of_its_physical/"><strong>build a more distributed infrastructure</strong></a><strong> and place some of that infrastructure in Germany and Norway.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>We&#8217;re going to come to Chat Control. Yesterday, I think the EU </strong><a href="https://www.wired.com/story/a-majority-of-european-lawmakers-voted-against-letting-big-tech-read-our-messages-theyre-going-to-anyway/"><strong>passed a version of this law</strong></a><strong>, and Proton&#8217;s response was, &#8220;We&#8217;ll just leave the EU. We&#8217;re going to take ourselves out of this legal jurisdiction.&#8221; I want to talk about that stuff in detail, but just in the sort of broader context that you&#8217;re talking about right now, you&#8217;re picking, right? You&#8217;re picking a foundation, and often the response is, &#8220;Well, if you change the legal foundation here, we will leave.&#8221;</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Yeah.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>How real is that?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">It&#8217;s dead serious. With all due respect to Swiss authorities and everybody else, I think it would be absolutely suicidal to continue down this path. I mean, part of the Swiss brand is privacy. It&#8217;s been that way for 80 years, and they have a good, via Proton largely, but also, they have a good case for bringing that reputation and those economic advantages — because there are a lot of businesses, a lot of commerce, that require confidentiality — to the 21st century, to the digital age. And throwing it away is, I think, shortsighted to say the least. But no, it&#8217;s a serious threat. The thing about digital services is that they can be moved. There&#8217;s a lot of flexibility in this.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I mean, I guess if we get truly dystopian, there may be a world where there&#8217;s no place to move to, but at the moment there are options. It&#8217;s certainly also… It&#8217;s a threat. I mean, it&#8217;s a real threat. We hope not to have to do it. We hope that the powers that be are responsive to this and change course, but yeah.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>That&#8217;s a cost, right? I&#8217;m curious about this-</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">It&#8217;s a cost. Well, it is a cost. We&#8217;ll have to do it, but it&#8217;s maybe not as much of a cost as you might think. We already have employees in different countries. We have satellite offices, and we have other things. We have data centers in Germany. We have data centers in Norway. Not to be too blasé about it, but we could do a corporate inversion to somewhere else and then say, &#8220;Okay, all the legal requests have to come through here.&#8221; And all the data is in-</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>How does that play with “you can&#8217;t sell it”? The part where you&#8217;re like, &#8220;It&#8217;s a Swiss foundation. It&#8217;s very hard to sell.&#8221; You want to leave Switzerland and reincorporate in Germany. Is the Swiss government going to stop you?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I&#8217;m going to have to defer on that because I am not a lawyer. I have no idea, but I&#8217;m sure it&#8217;s possible.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I&#8217;m just curious because it feels like, at least as of this conversation, NATO still exists. Germany and Norway are still in the EU. There&#8217;s Swiss law, there&#8217;s German law, then there&#8217;s EU law. And the EU law is also getting increasingly intense about what they can scan and what they can&#8217;t scan.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I mentioned Chat Control earlier. That&#8217;s the law in the EU that would </strong><a href="https://www.euronews.com/next/2026/07/10/chat-control-10-passed-the-european-parliament-through-the-back-door"><strong>require service providers to scan the contents of messages</strong></a><strong> for CSAM material and for other kinds of infringing material. That&#8217;s a big problem. I think Proton said, &#8220;We will just leave the EU if you make us do this. This is going to break the core promise.&#8221;</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Yeah.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>If you move to Germany and Norway, and then the EU passes the harshest version of Chat Control, are you geared up to leave?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Yeah.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>How ready are you? Can you pull the switch tomorrow? Where would you go?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I don&#8217;t know, I&#8217;d have to consult with other people for that. I&#8217;m not deep in that, but it&#8217;s a real threat. I know it&#8217;s a real threat. I know we&#8217;ve made some preparations about where we could possibly land for this if both the EU and Switzerland become inhospitable to this.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">There are separate things. There are the practical challenges that we all know this stuff is happening. There&#8217;s a wave, whether it be age verification or breaking encryption or stuff like this, that seems to be in vogue right now, and it&#8217;s something we are fighting on the policy front. In my opinion, it&#8217;s very misguided. Hopefully, at some point, the fever breaks. You cannot brand a backdoor with an American flag and say that only good people can use it. It doesn&#8217;t work like that, or an EU flag or anything like that.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Maybe this comes a little bit back. So there&#8217;s the practical part. What do we do if this happens? What do we do if this happens? At the end of the day, governments hold a lot of power over policy, and you have to figure out how you can comply, or if you can&#8217;t comply, you leave, or you do something else. But there are a lot of countries in the world, and I think we will ultimately do what we have to.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The other part — just to, I guess, use your platform a bit to make the case — is that Chat Control, age verification, all this stuff, is a very bad idea. I don&#8217;t want to say… There are real threats to children online, and it&#8217;s not that we shouldn&#8217;t take them seriously, but there are ways to do this. We talked about systems thinking before and systems design. There are ways to do this that balance the appropriate concerns, that can gate mature material behind age gates that don&#8217;t reveal who you are.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Once you build a system that essentially abolishes anonymity online, how long before that system&#8230; I mean, it&#8217;s Chekhov&#8217;s gun. How long before somebody comes along to use it? If it&#8217;s built, somebody&#8217;s going to use it eventually for purposes that it wasn&#8217;t designed for.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">How long until China says, &#8220;Hey, identify all the dissidents for me who are using this”? Because they have to use their ID for everything on the internet. So we want to build systems, internet systems, that can&#8217;t be commandeered like this. This is how we build Proton, but I think this principle applies to the larger internet.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">This is a kind of thought experiment, right? I&#8217;m probably going to butcher this, but there was some crazy statistic that a huge fraction of East Germans were actually employed as informants by the Stasi on other East Germans in the height of the Cold War. And the Iron Curtain, of course, fell pretty much right before the dawn of the digital age, in some ways, the internet age.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I think you could argue — and I think you can look at counterexamples like China — that if some of the Eastern Bloc authoritarian regimes made it into the digital age, maybe they would have had enough control over information to not fall anymore because it&#8217;s so much easier to do this. So the fact that Facebook and Google, arguably with their ad ecosystems, have built the most sophisticated — okay, China’s is perhaps — but some of the most sophisticated surveillance systems ever built, but we do the most American thing ever with it, which is we use them to sell you crap you don&#8217;t need.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">But that doesn&#8217;t mean that&#8217;s the only use for those, and the fact that those are sitting on the mantelpiece like Chekhov&#8217;s gun, waiting for somebody to pick them up and do something truly horrific with them, is a threat to free society. All this other stuff with Chat Control and age verification is the same thing. It&#8217;s saying, “We have this harm. Let&#8217;s build a system to prevent this harm that then can be used for really nefarious purposes.” We need to make sure that we don&#8217;t engineer systems that threaten the existence of a free society. Sorry, that was my soapbox speech, but it&#8217;s something I care deeply about.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>The reason I asked you so much about the structure of the company and its culture and how the systems are built is that idealism is often expressed in Silicon Valley. I&#8217;ve heard it from all of the big companies that you have described. I hear it from big companies today, and then the compromises creep in.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>And sometimes the compromises are, &#8220;Well, we&#8217;re domiciled in the United States. We&#8217;re just going to have to listen. There&#8217;s nothing we can do. You can look at our warrant canary page to see how many legal requests we&#8217;re getting, and that&#8217;s going to be the answer.&#8221;</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Sometimes the compromises are, “Look, we have to grow. We have to get bigger, and that&#8217;s it.” And sometimes the compromises are “there&#8217;s no way to build the system that would protect people the way we want, and comply with the legal regimes.” I think encryption sits at the absolute heart of that tension.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I&#8217;ll give the example of Apple because I think everyone is familiar with Apple. Apple routinely resists these calls for a backdoor. [The company] is big enough to do it in the ways that it can do it, and then the </strong><a href="https://www.theverge.com/news/609546/apple-iphone-ipad-usb-restricted-mode-zero-day-exploit-patch"><strong>iPhone gets zero day-ed anyway</strong></a><strong>. It doesn&#8217;t matter. That cycle repeats in a way that it repeats. But if you talk to the folks at Apple, they say, &#8220;Look, the regulators come to us, and they&#8217;re like, &#8216;Just be smart. Just do some smart stuff, smart guys, and find a way to do a backdoor that will preserve privacy.'&#8221; And Apple&#8217;s response is, &#8220;You cannot.&#8221;</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">It&#8217;s impossible.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>We cannot nerd hard enough to solve this problem for you. I think there&#8217;s some willful ignorance on the part of the regulators; I think the regulators know this. And then I think there&#8217;s a massive number of activists who want to protect children. Maybe they do understand it, maybe they don&#8217;t understand it, but what they certainly understand at a visceral level is the kids are being harmed, right?&nbsp;</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>All of the other systems that everyone claims can ameliorate the problems or mitigate the risk to encryption do not actually exist, such that the kids are not being harmed at the rate they&#8217;re being harmed today. You sit in the middle of this. The governments of the world come to you. They&#8217;ve asked you for backdoors. They&#8217;ve asked you for client-side scanning of chat messages to detect CSAM. What&#8217;s your response to just be smart? Just nerd harder and figure it out?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I mean, it&#8217;s impossible to create a backdoor that can only be used by the good guys. And the consequences of the backdoors being used by the bad guys are basically catastrophic, right? I think you mentioned there are still harms being perpetrated at these rates and that&#8217;d be-</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Like at a massive scale. I do think it&#8217;s important to say that clearly. The harm is being perpetrated at a massive scale.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I mean, the concerns are legitimate, right? But we tolerate a lot of harms. We tolerate ingesting things that aren&#8217;t good for you if you&#8217;re an adult, right? And this is maybe US-centric, but there have been several… I mean, I don&#8217;t know if it&#8217;s still a precedent with the way things are going, but there have been several court precedents that have basically said that… I think this actually has to do with scanning or otherwise; they have said that, “Okay, these must be compatible and balanced against restricting the freedom of adults, to essentially be very, very secure.”</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">You can make society very, very, very secure by taking away all freedom whatsoever. You can do that. And this is a trade-off of what we want to make, but I don&#8217;t think people fully internalize the fact that too much security is maybe a world that they don&#8217;t want to live in as well.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I think it was Ben Franklin, again, not to be too American, but people who would trade in freedom for security deserve neither. I&#8217;m paraphrasing. I am American. I live in Europe now, but I am originally American. There are a lot of people who really beat the drum of freedom in the US, but are willing to essentially give away all their privacy.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I think privacy and freedom are inextricably connected. You cannot be free without privacy. So I think there&#8217;s a trade-off to be made here, and we can discuss what the trade-off is, but the trade-off should not be that we make the entire system transparent to whoever wants to look.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Because there are some really bad people who want to look. And even if you think that the government will never be that bad person, which seems naive, but even if you think that&#8217;s the case, there are all kinds of cyber criminals everywhere else. Those backdoors or vulnerabilities — I guess vulnerabilities are easier than backdoors — but those vulnerabilities that have been found or introduced in cryptography have a long history of being exploited by bad actors. The history is clear. It&#8217;s impossible to have a backdoor that can&#8217;t be exploited except by the people for whom it&#8217;s intended. So I think there are other ways to do this, I think we need to-</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Can you describe those other ways? I think maybe this is missing from the conversation. If there are other technical solutions to mitigate the harm, what would they look like?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">A lot of it would be getting in the weeds about how to do things.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Go ahead. That&#8217;s what this show is for.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Sure. For instance, there&#8217;s such a thing as zero-knowledge proofs, which basically involve the ability to prove that I am over 18 without actually giving you any other information about it. There are actually multiple ways to do that, some of which don&#8217;t involve zero-knowledge proofs, but these are a far cry from… Discord, which <a href="https://www.pcgamer.com/gaming-industry/one-of-the-worst-case-scenarios-for-id-age-verification-is-already-here-with-a-discord-breach-compromising-some-users-data/">got in trouble, I forget, a month or two ago over having a security breach</a> where they did age verification and then they had — I forget what it was — some sort of open [AWS] S3 bucket or something with tons of people&#8217;s IDs and stuff.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">This is not the right way to do it. But I guarantee you that people will do this wrong. If every website has to collect your ID, we are in deep [trouble]. So there are ways to have issuers have, say, a trusted person issue you an ID. It can be a local credential. It can be a credential. It can also be a credential that&#8217;s stored in the cloud, but in an encrypted way so the server can&#8217;t see what the credential is and then have your device selectively disclose, say, that the age is over 18, if the site that you go to requires that.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">It doesn&#8217;t have to be, “This is your address, this is your name, this is whatever.” It can just be, oh yes, this person has a cryptographically signed affidavit that says age over 18, let them in.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>That&#8217;s a technical solution to a regulatory demand, right? Do you think that the technical solution has to be written into the regulation, or is there to be some regime of “this is how to do it the right way”? Or do you think the industry has to come together and say, “We&#8217;re going to do zero-knowledge proofs”?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">No, I think it certainly helps if the industry comes together. There&#8217;s an EU ID initiative, which is actually fairly good. It&#8217;s not zero knowledge, but it&#8217;s fairly good. There are some problems with this kind of credential. Obviously, digital credentials can be copied, so you want to make sure that they don’t get copied and posted on the internet and used by a million people. So there are some anti-abuse trade-offs, right? You don&#8217;t want one guy&#8217;s ID from some country being used by every teenager in the US.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I would&#8217;ve been that teenager, just to be 100 percent clear. I would&#8217;ve absolutely been that teenager.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">[Laughs] Yeah, for sure. I think in general, the timescales are just so different. The history of writing exact solutions into regulatory frameworks is pretty dismal. But I think that the laws that do this could write things in ways that mandate privacy protections in a way that I think has not been done.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>That would lead to the technical solution. This is what I&#8217;m asking. The government says, &#8220;Look, you have to start doing age verification. The kids are looking at all kinds of weird stuff online. We have to start gating some of this content the way that we gate, I don&#8217;t know, porn stores physically.”</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Right.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>“Or we gate R-rated movies. Okay, we&#8217;ve got to do it.” And the industry is going to inevitably pick the cheapest solution; we&#8217;re just going to store driver&#8217;s licenses in S3 buckets.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Sure. Or they&#8217;re inevitably going to pick the solution that allows them to market that information in some way, right?</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>You sit in the middle of it. Your ideals and your structure prevent you from doing the cheapest, worst version of this.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Yeah.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>How do you make the industry match your values? Is it that the regulator mandates the solution, which you seem to think is a bad idea? Is it that they put constraints on the solution, which leads everybody to do the right thing? Where does that come from?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Oh, this is a tricky one. If I knew the answer, I would be pushing it. But I think partnerships are one of them. I think certainly regulatory guidelines about what you can store, what you can&#8217;t store, and how much you can know about your customers are probably key. I think this gets into maybe competition stuff a little bit, but a lot of potential harm also comes from full vertical integration of a lot of stuff.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">So mandating that things be separate entities, and thus, I&#8217;m not going to flush that out in this talk, but this can do a lot to prevent certain types of harms and temptations to abuse stuff. But I think regulation and having privacy requirements in the regulations is certainly the first step. And those compliant implementations there at least have that baked in.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I think also, this is again hard to do, but pushing it on the operating system manufacturers can also be kind of dangerous because it helps entrench those choke points. We already have a lot of choke points for Google, and Apple has these-</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>It&#8217;s funny. Apple really is pushing against this, but Apple loves to be entrenched as a choke point. Why do you think they&#8217;re </strong><a href="https://www.theverge.com/tech/942761/apple-texas-age-verification-app-store"><strong>pushing against being the age verifier</strong></a><strong>?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">That&#8217;s a good question, I don&#8217;t actually know. You&#8217;d think that they would jump at it, right? I mean, they certainly love being the choke point of the App Store and charging everybody 30 percent.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I know </strong><a href="https://www.theverge.com/news/693181/proton-is-joining-a-class-action-lawsuit-against-apple"><strong>you have been in a fight</strong></a><strong>.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Yeah.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Proton has been in a fight with Apple over App Store policies. This seems like one where their interest would be obvious to say, &#8220;Actually, we will maintain control. This 30 percent, stop bothering us about the 30 percent, regulators, because we will provide you with age verification.&#8221;</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Yeah. I mean, I think they might view it as simply a no-win game in the sense that you can KYC, or know your customer, as hard as you want, but there&#8217;s going to be some that slip through, and then you&#8217;re responsible. So maybe they just want a third party to do it, so that&#8217;s not their problem, right? I don&#8217;t know.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>That might be the whole answer.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Let me ask you this. We talked about age verification. I&#8217;m not sure there&#8217;s an answer that will solve every problem, but you&#8217;ve laid out some technical approaches that will at least balance the harms.&nbsp;</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>When I said that harm is happening at a massive scale, what I meant was CSAM — what I meant is child sexual abuse material. That is happening at a massive scale over the internet. We all know it. There are lots and lots of ways to mitigate it. And then there are just platforms we can&#8217;t see into, where it&#8217;s going to happen anyway. Proton is one of them. iMessage is actually another, if you fully encrypt iMessage. Apple gets a lot of criticism for that.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Apple’s response is the same as Proton&#8217;s: “There&#8217;s no way to do this. We simply cannot give you a way to do this that does not create backdoors for all the other bad actors. You want it, we&#8217;re not going to do it.”</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>What are the solutions to mitigating the harms of CSAM without creating backdoors? Because I feel like that is also missing from this conversation, especially when I talk to the activists who are laser-focused on the scale of the harm.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">So I can&#8217;t describe exactly what Proton does because anti-abuse is one of the things where security through obscurity really does actually help. It helps that the bad actors don&#8217;t know what we do. But I can say that you can fight CSAM without content scanning. It is possible.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">A lot of that is&#8230; Anyway, I probably shouldn&#8217;t say it, but you can fight CSAM. I&#8217;m not saying it&#8217;s the same. It&#8217;s not as effective as scanning everything, but also in the age of AI image generation, who knows what&#8217;s real or not. Not that AI-generated CSAM is good, but the point is you don&#8217;t know if there&#8217;s a real victim, is there not, et cetera.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">So I think that there are alternative things to scanning every image that you can do to fight CSAM. And we&#8217;ve done this for years, and it&#8217;s hard to know how effective we&#8217;ve been at it because we don&#8217;t really know what the denominator is. We have been, I think, at least in terms of networks that we&#8217;ve identified: we&#8217;ve identified something, and we&#8217;ve shut them down, and we&#8217;ve mitigated this.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">We have a strong interest in keeping bad actors of all kinds off the platform because our goal is… The mission&#8217;s not going to be served if it&#8217;s “Oh, this is a platform for criminals.” And as a result, it&#8217;s not. I mean, for the vast majority of Proton users… We put nearly 10 percent of the total company resources into fighting abuse. We are dead serious about making abuse as little as possible on the platform. So it can be done.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">It&#8217;s a cost center. It&#8217;s a cost center, and one that we eat. It doesn&#8217;t make us any money, but it can be done. I think the other thing is, and this is not only CSAM, but the fact that the digital sphere isn&#8217;t the only place where these crimes are committed. There&#8217;s the physical sphere too. There are the actual victims. There are actual people harmed by this. I think everybody wants their job to be easier. Cops are not exempt from this. So they would love to scan everything on the internet, and I don&#8217;t actually blame them for this request because it would make their jobs much easier, and they really do want to reduce harm.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">However, I think we do need to make a trade-off between that and the threat that is to free society as well. So I think that there&#8217;s probably more that can be done in the sort of physical space as well to fight these kinds of abuse with resourcing and whatnot. But I will say, and I&#8217;ll repeat it, content scanning is not the only way to do this. There&#8217;s also some content scanning that can be done without violating. It can be client-side; it can be other things. It can be done in secret. In some ways, this is very fraught, too, but there are things that can be done to do this that don&#8217;t violate privacy at a massive scale, which is a price that I think is simply too high.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>You&#8217;re saying there&#8217;s a system you can&#8217;t quite describe that is effective at stopping the harms of CSAM at scale. Is that verifiable from some of the people who wish to impose the regulations? Is it auditable? Security through obscurity has these problems, right? We have to trust you. A lot of this conversation has come back to how much we can trust Proton structurally and personally.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The problem is I don&#8217;t know what the denominator is. I don&#8217;t know if we found 50 percent of them; I don&#8217;t know if we found 10 percent of them. I don&#8217;t know if we found one percent of them, because all I know is the stuff we found. Even then, it&#8217;s probabilistic. We don&#8217;t see the images. We don&#8217;t know sometimes. Sometimes we have a better clue, but I won&#8217;t say how. But we don&#8217;t see the images in any case. We are not legally capable of doing that, and God knows we don&#8217;t want to subject our employees to that anyway.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">But no, we don&#8217;t know what the denominator is, so I don&#8217;t know how effective it is. I do know that we can correlate this to some degree with the kind of legal requests we get, and that those are pretty few and far between.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I would think that if this were a massive problem on the platform, we would get a lot more legal requests for metadata regarding this and stuff like this. And that is our proxy, not for CSAM in particular because we often don&#8217;t know where the requests come from, but in general, one of our proxies is, “Okay, how many legal requests are we getting for data?” As opposed to how good we are at anti-abuse. If legal requests go through the roof, which they haven&#8217;t, then obviously we have a big problem with anti-abuse, and that has not been the case.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">So I know that&#8217;s a wishy-washy answer, but that&#8217;s the problem. The data is private. We can&#8217;t read it. That&#8217;s our entire thing. We also have a reporting system, of course. People make mistakes like anyone else. So if they share an image, which can be reported, that can go. So there are lots of mechanisms. Again, I&#8217;m tiptoeing around saying any details because I don&#8217;t want this stuff to become ineffective. But we do a good job, I think, relative to external indicators that we can see.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I&#8217;ll give you an example where it&#8217;s not CSAM, but it&#8217;s a similar thing, okay? We used to get a lot of requests, relatively speaking, a lot of requests for ransomware accounts because people would go to Proton. Get a Proton email that they would, I don&#8217;t know, [link] with a Bitcoin something, right? Whatever. We would get this in the legal requests. We&#8217;d be able to look at that and say, &#8220;Oh, that&#8217;s definitely a ransomware account for various reasons.&#8221;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">We got really, really good at killing ransomware accounts. Now, we still occasionally will get [requests about] them, but they&#8217;ll have been disabled by us for abuse six months before we get the legal request. I&#8217;m using ransomware as an analogy, but we do have a feedback loop to know how good we are.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>So there&#8217;s something in your system, there&#8217;s some set of indicators that you can detect, and you&#8217;re just not going to tell me what they are. But there&#8217;s some set of indicators of how an account operates in your system that lets you know what it&#8217;s being used for?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Yes.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Has any government ever asked you what that set of indicators is?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">No.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Interesting. Hopefully, that doesn&#8217;t happen today. Cops, if you&#8217;re listening, forget that you heard any of this. We&#8217;re running out of time here. I do want to quickly, at the end, ask about AI. Because we&#8217;ve talked about systems and dynamics that I think are pretty familiar. I came up on Usenet and Slashdot, and I probably heard that quote about liberty and security 10,000 times. That is the foundation of my life on the internet.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">[Laughs] Sure.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>This debate, from, I don&#8217;t know, the &#8217;80s and &#8217;90s up until now, is the same. And maybe AI is going to flip over the whole apple cart. We can now do cybersecurity at scale in ways that governments are stepping in and stopping the models from shipping. Whether or not that is correct, that is the thing that is actually happening in the world.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>We can generate vast amounts of synthetic data that might trip all your detection systems, whether or not any harms are actually downstream of that data. You&#8217;ve shipped an AI assistant because a bunch of countries do not want to rely on American model companies, and having data sovereignty in Europe is important to them. That seems like a market opportunity for you.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>What is your approach to all of this? Are you reliant on the AI model? Are you reliant on frontier companies? Are you building your own model? How do you protect your data from them? All of this at the very end feels like it upsets, in significant ways, the structures and the systems we&#8217;ve been describing up until now.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I think I&#8217;m not quite as concerned. I don&#8217;t think it&#8217;s had as much of a dramatic effect on the topics that we&#8217;ve discussed, maybe. We have Lumo, our own internal, which is run. We control the systems that it&#8217;s running on, and we want to be independent of third-party models and things like that.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Is that actually a model you&#8217;ve trained, or is that reliable?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">No, it&#8217;s open-source models that we&#8217;ve compiled. And it&#8217;s a collection of open-source models that we stitched together based on their strengths and weaknesses. But yeah, we don&#8217;t have a billion dollars to set on fire to train our own models. This is actually why we might be one of the few AI companies that actually make money doing AI, because we don&#8217;t do any training, right? We sell the inference. Not that there&#8217;s not a lot of work involved in building Lumo, but yeah, we don&#8217;t train our own models.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I guess there are two different sides. There&#8217;s the “how is AI going to affect the industry in general?” and maybe “how it&#8217;s affected us and how we use it.” So for a lot of our stuff, in particular the client-side stuff, it is open source. The client-side stuff is not user secrets either. So we&#8217;ve tried models from Anthropic and ChatGPT. We&#8217;ve also tried Lumo with OpenAI because, at the end of the day, a lot of it is public anyway, and it&#8217;s not user secrets, so we&#8217;re going to use the best tool to make us go as quickly as possible.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">It has changed software engineering, probably permanently, in terms of the amount of time spent on actually writing code versus the other things. But maybe not so fundamentally. I mean, people talk about this SaaSpocalypse thing that every company&#8217;s going to be writing their own enterprise software. Personally, I just don&#8217;t buy it.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">There&#8217;s a very big difference between being able to cook up your own custom purchase order software, ERP, or whatever that works for your small business, maybe sort of, and then the kind of things that — whether it&#8217;s compliance, whether it&#8217;s scaling, whether it&#8217;s reliability, all these things which enterprises need that you&#8217;re not going to&#8230; I mean, I just cannot see every company building [their own]. “Oh, software is dead. We&#8217;re not going to have vendors to do this that can promise us things that we need.”</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I don&#8217;t know if I&#8217;m answering your question here, but the other thing about this is that, to me, if anything, it&#8217;s shifted what is valued in software engineering toward more senior-level skills, perhaps. But it&#8217;s not fundamentally changed what good software is, or how to architect good software. If anything, things like reviewing other people&#8217;s code… Well, today you&#8217;re reviewing other people&#8217;s code, and you&#8217;re reviewing the robot&#8217;s code, but it&#8217;s kind of the same skill.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">So maybe the balance before was a little more towards, okay, can you write code very quickly, accurately with this kind of thing? Where now it&#8217;s like, okay, it&#8217;s more towards, can you review code very quickly? Which is maybe a more senior-level skill. But it&#8217;s still part of the software engineer toolkit: designing good software, what good software means, what good software looks like.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">One thing that we&#8217;ve found, I think, is that LLMs work a lot better when your code is well-architected. If your code is well-designed, the LLM will actually work better. If your code is a spaghetti mess, the LLM will not work as well because they&#8217;re logic engines. There are more chances for them to get confused. So a lot of the fundamentals of building software — yes, the industry has changed — but a lot of the fundamentals of building software are different.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The other thing we found is that the time you spend writing code has gone down. Now, there are other bottlenecks in your pipeline that you have to address. Now maybe your [continuous integration] takes too long. Now maybe your other things take too long. So it may change what kinds of things you need to optimize, but at the end of the day, I think for most senior software engineers, the amount of time that they actually spent writing code was frankly not the hardest part of their job or what they spent most of their time on.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I think software is probably the most affected industry and the most tractable industry for LLMs that I&#8217;ve seen, at least so far. Obviously, there are other uses for it, but it&#8217;s software; it&#8217;s rule-based. You can test for correctness. You can mitigate a lot of the things that LLMs might go off the rails and hallucinate. At the end of the day, you need working code, right? So you can test this kind of stuff.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">You can mitigate a lot of the problems with LLMs. Software is your best-case scenario. And even then, from what I&#8217;ve seen, it&#8217;s an evolution. It&#8217;s not a revolution. It&#8217;s definitely a big change, but it&#8217;s largely a productivity change, not “dump everything, start over.” Maybe I&#8217;m wrong about that. And maybe as models improve, it&#8217;ll get more and more dramatic. But at the moment, it&#8217;s a hell of an opportunity for productivity. I think — and software is what I know best — the fears are a little overblown.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Let me ask you on the other side of that. You mentioned earlier that now it is possible to look at all the emails and do mass surveillance. Anthropic rolled up to the United States government like, “You can do this with our model. We don&#8217;t want you to because we don&#8217;t actually think it&#8217;s good enough, and we think there are real problems with doing that.”&nbsp;</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>You&#8217;re faced with that as well, right? You have your own internal AI model. Your users are probably generating more data inside of your systems than ever before with AI. It just seems like a thing that happens when you add AI to a system. The models get better when you feed them more data. They have a voracious appetite for data.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>That&#8217;s a lot of pressure on “we&#8217;re going to keep everything private.” It&#8217;s a lot of pressure on who gets to see your stuff, why they get to see it, and what they can do once they have it. And the value of having it seems to be going up. The value of collecting all the data seems to be going up.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Yeah.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>How do you respond to that, even as you have to roll out AI systems in order to compete with the big tech that is putting it literally everywhere?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I think this comes down to what I mentioned before: privacy is control. Privacy is self-determination in the sense that you control your data, and you control who it&#8217;s shared with. And maybe that “who” is an AI system, and that&#8217;s okay.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I think as long as this is an opt-in thing from the user… This is actually an internal debate, but we already have features. For instance, okay, we have a mailing list feature. Okay? I promise this has something to do with AI, with learning.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>[Laughs] It&#8217;s a big build; here we go.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">But we have a mailing list feature, and that feature is done in a way that it is private. I send you an email, or send the mailing list an email, and it sends the email to everybody else. The system doesn&#8217;t see it. But if you want people outside Proton on your mailing list, then we can&#8217;t do end-to-end encryption anymore. We have to turn it off.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">So when you add external people to your mailing list, you are prompted, &#8220;Hey, if you want to turn on external recipients, you need to turn off end-to-end encryption.&#8221; The user says yes, because that&#8217;s part of their workflow. They need it. At that point, we still don&#8217;t save a copy.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Everything saved on Proton is encrypted at rest. However, we do have a clear text email going through our system because we need to send it out to whoever the external recipients are, right? That&#8217;s the kind of model I see in the future with some of these. It&#8217;s not just AI systems; it&#8217;s also integrations where — and especially as we get more into business clients and stuff — I need this integration into my CRM, right? I&#8217;m going to choose to share this mailbox with my CRM. That&#8217;s okay. That can be a decision, and it&#8217;s our job to build a user interface that communicates what the consequences of that are.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">But privacy is fundamentally… It’s not about not sharing stuff. It&#8217;s not about not sharing your photos; it&#8217;s not about not sharing your data with third parties. It&#8217;s about sharing the data with third parties that you choose, and not just by default with everybody. That has been sort of the big tech paradigm for Web 2.0 or whatever you want to call it, the last two decades.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">So I think we can reconcile this with the Proton thing because it was never just about the encryption. The encryption is a tool to the end. It&#8217;s all about, hey, the fact that I stored data on somebody else&#8217;s computer on the internet does not mean that I give them control to do whatever they want with it, or that I trust them not to lose it. So we&#8217;re going to try and build a system where I retain that control, and I can still participate in modern online services, right?</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I feel like we&#8217;re going to have to have you back soon to see how that&#8217;s all put to the test. This is new.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Yeah.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I feel like in the next couple of years, we&#8217;ll find out more, so we&#8217;ll have you back soon. You&#8217;ve given us so much extra time. Bart, thank you so much for being on </strong><strong><em>Decoder</em></strong><strong>.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Thank you. Thank you so much; it was a blast. I appreciate it.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><em><sub>Questions or comments? Hit us up at decoder@theverge.com. We really do read every email!</sub></em></p>
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									</content>
			
					</entry>
			<entry>
			
			<author>
				<name>Nilay Patel</name>
			</author>
			
			<title type="html"><![CDATA[Even Nvidia’s head of automotive fights with Nvidia for compute]]></title>
			<link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="https://www.theverge.com/podcast/964614/nvidia-auto-xinzhou-wu-ev-ai-hyperion-autonomy-cars-tesla" />
			<id>https://www.theverge.com/?p=964614</id>
			<updated>2026-07-15T13:23:42-04:00</updated>
			<published>2026-07-13T11:00:00-04:00</published>
			<category scheme="https://www.theverge.com" term="Autonomous Cars" /><category scheme="https://www.theverge.com" term="Decoder" /><category scheme="https://www.theverge.com" term="Electric Cars" /><category scheme="https://www.theverge.com" term="Nvidia" /><category scheme="https://www.theverge.com" term="Podcasts" /><category scheme="https://www.theverge.com" term="Tech" /><category scheme="https://www.theverge.com" term="Transportation" />
							<summary type="html"><![CDATA[Today, I’m talking with Xinzhou Wu, who is the head of automotive at Nvidia.&#160; Nvidia is obviously in the news constantly because of the AI boom — it’s one of the most valuable companies in the world, because the AI industry can’t get enough of the company’s GPUs. But Nvidia is also a key supplier [&#8230;]]]></summary>
			
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<img alt="A stylized illustration of Xinzhou Wu" data-caption="" data-portal-copyright="Image: The Verge / Photo: Nvidia" data-has-syndication-rights="1" src="https://platform.theverge.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2026/07/DCD_20260713_XinzhouWu.jpg?quality=90&#038;strip=all&#038;crop=0,0,100,100" />
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<p class="has-drop-cap wp-block-paragraph">Today, I’m talking with Xinzhou Wu, who is the head of automotive at Nvidia.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Nvidia is obviously in the news constantly because of the AI boom — it’s one of the most valuable companies in the world, because the AI industry can’t get enough of the company’s GPUs.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">But Nvidia is also a key supplier to the auto industry. It’s had chips in cars for years now, and Xinzhou has been instrumental in building a complete autonomous driving system that automakers can just use. It’s already in newer Mercedes EVs, for example, as you’ll hear him mention several times.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">So I really wanted to get his perspective on how the auto industry is handling the big transition to self-driving EVs. That&#8217;s the goal every carmaker and supplier will tell you is coming, but which maybe seems farther away in 2026 than ever. The EV adoption cycle in the United States is <a href="https://www.theverge.com/transportation/896559/ev-cancellation-delay-hybrid-china">fully off track</a>, self-driving seems to forever be stuck trying to solve the final 20 percent of situations, and cars themselves just keep getting more expensive even as consumers are feeling the squeeze of inflation and rising energy prices across the board.</p>

<div class="wp-block-vox-media-highlight vox-media-highlight"><img src="https://platform.theverge.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/chorus/uploads/chorus_asset/file/24792604/The_Verge_Decoder_Tileart.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;crop=0,0,100,100" alt="" title="" data-has-syndication-rights="1" data-caption="" data-portal-copyright="" />


<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><em>Verge</em> subscribers, don&#8217;t forget you get exclusive access to ad-free <em>Decoder</em> wherever you get your podcasts. Head <a href="https://www.theverge.com/account/podcasts">here</a>. Not a subscriber? You can <a href="https://www.theverge.com/subscribe">sign up here</a>. </p>
</div>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">You’ll hear Xinzhou say there’s actually been startling progress in reinventing the fundamental nature of the car itself — something the industry calls the “software-defined vehicle,” controlled by just a handful of powerful computers instead of dozens or even hundreds of independent electronic control units, or ECUs. If you’re a <em>Decoder </em>listener, you have heard so many carmakers talk about the need to get away from ECUs; Xinzhou says that moment is basically here.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">We talked a lot about the Chinese car industry and how it’s been able to essentially get a head start because it began building on EV architectures and platforms, instead of having to manage a transition away from gas cars and all those ECUs. Xinzhou used to work at a Chinese original equipment manufacturer (OEM), so he has quite a bit of insight there.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">We also talked about working at Nvidia itself. It’s a unique company with a unique leader in Jensen Huang, and Xinzhou said his three years there so far have been a rapid learning experience. He didn’t shy away from the reality of needing to compete for resources and capacity against the company’s booming AI business. His description of what wins those arguments, especially when his customers are as slow and cost-averse as automakers, was fascinating.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Of course, we had to discuss AI and how Nvidia’s approach to autonomy brings together what Xinzhou calls the “classical” stack and the ability for reasoning models to operate the car. There’s a lot here, including the idea that you’ll have an AI model literally talking to itself to figure out how to drive your car, which I find both incredibly interesting and incredibly funny.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">And, of course, you can’t talk about electric cars or vehicle autonomy in the US without talking about Elon Musk and Tesla. So I asked Xinzhou pretty directly if Tesla full self-driving can actually do what Elon claims it will be able to do without using lidar. You tell me if you think his answer holds up.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Okay: Xinzhou Wu, head of automotive at Nvidia. Here we go.</p>

<iframe loading="lazy" frameborder="0" height="200" src="https://playlist.megaphone.fm?e=VMP3536151799" width="100%"></iframe>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><em>This interview has been lightly edited for length and clarity.</em></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Xinzhou Wu, you are the head of automotive at Nvidia. Welcome to </strong><strong><em>Decoder</em></strong><strong>.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Thanks for having me.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I&#8217;m really excited to talk to you. It feels like the very nature of what a car is is up for grabs. It feels like the automotive industry is in a period of massive realignment, almost as though there was a sense of where the car was going to end up as a product for several years, and that is because of EV transition difficulties, because of US-China trade war difficulties.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>All of that seems messier than ever before. A lot of car makers are retrenching, and it feels like your position in Nvidia gives you a pretty wide view of what&#8217;s going on in the car industry, because you supply so many of the major automakers in virtually every country.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>So let&#8217;s just start there. What&#8217;s your view of where the car industry is on this long, winding road to both autonomy and electrification?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">That&#8217;s an excellent question. I&#8217;ve been working in the automotive sector for probably 15 years, starting from my career in Qualcomm. I was heading the Qualcomm automotive team for a while. And obviously, we have heard the phrase “software-defined vehicle.” Right now with AI technology, it&#8217;s getting to the next phase, what we call an “AI-defined vehicle” essentially.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">With these massive technological innovations, the auto industry has changed pretty rapidly over the last decade. As you know, I also worked as part of a Chinese OEM for five years, heading their autonomous driving team.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Now I&#8217;m at Nvidia. So what I have seen over my 15 years of career is the opportunity to witness this massive change. The car went from, let&#8217;s say, mostly mechanical, plus electrical machines, to some things that we can upgrade the capability through over-the-air (OTA) software pretty rapidly. That&#8217;s what we call the “software-defined vehicle” era. Now, with the technology advancing towards generative AI, we are using AI to rewrite most of the software in the car. That&#8217;s what we call the “AI-defined vehicle.”</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">That has also, on one hand, accelerated the development pace of the vehicle capability. And on the other hand, it&#8217;s also changed the way we define “vehicle” as well. AI is impacting the whole industry at every level. It is really exciting to see how the world will evolve from here with these new technological innovations.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Let me pull apart some terms there. I hear them a lot from car makers who love to come on the show and tell me what&#8217;s going to happen to cars. But I think some of these terms are a little bit fuzzy on the edges.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>So you said “software-defined vehicle.” That&#8217;s a pretty fuzzy term. I think the idea there is we&#8217;re going to get rid of all of the ECUs in a car that currently control lots and lots of different systems. And we will centralize all of those components into maybe one or two big compute centers in a car. Tesla is very famous for having done this. Rivian has made a huge bet on that. Wassym Bensaid from Rivian was <a href="https://www.theverge.com/podcast/929940/rivian-wassym-bensaid-software-volkswagen-carplay-assistant-ai">just on the show</a> talking about that.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Other legacy car makers have tried to do this. We <a href="https://www.theverge.com/podcast/803379/gm-ceo-mary-barra-sterling-anderson-cadillac-iq-ev-autonomy-interview">had GM on the show</a>. They said, &#8220;Look, we don&#8217;t need to do that. We&#8217;re fine. We&#8217;ll do it our way.&#8221; Ford <a href="https://www.theverge.com/podcast/784875/ford-ceo-jim-farley-interview-ev-cars-china-trump-tariffs-carplay">tried to do this</a> in big ways. They had to set up a skunkworks and build an entirely new kind of way of making a car that they&#8217;re very proud of. There&#8217;ll be a truck coming out from that effort sometime soon, we&#8217;re told.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I don&#8217;t think the industry got there. That&#8217;s basically what I&#8217;m saying. The startup car makers got to the point where they could claim to have a software-defined vehicle where there were one or two big computers in the car controlling every system. The legacy automakers for the most part have not succeeded yet.&nbsp;</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I&#8217;ll put an asterisk on that. Maybe Ford will succeed with this new truck, but we don&#8217;t know yet. Do you think the industry broadly is going to get to software-defined vehicles or do you think the legacy automakers are going to stay where they are?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">100%. I had the opportunity to witness what happened in China from 2018 to 2023. The whole industry went through this massive change just in five years. Over there, not only the new auto OEMs, but also the legacy ones have to adapt. Everybody is adapting to a single central compute kind of electrical architecture because that&#8217;s how you compete.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">In the rest of the world as well — we have our partners as well through Drive and Drive autonomous vehicle (AV) collaboration, for example, with our partner Mercedes. Their current generation is essential computer-based architecture. It&#8217;s going to be in all their vehicles. For the other basic OEMs, we are working with all of them and trying to help them to convert or upgrade the architecture to a one or two computers route, because there will be infotainment, there will be basic driving or advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS), ECU. But I think the world is actually moving pretty rapidly in that direction.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Some of them obviously will be slower. Some of them will be faster. That&#8217;s the nature of this business. But I have no doubt that the world is basically evolving in that direction.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I&#8217;m actually curious about your history. You worked at XPeng, which is a Chinese car maker. It feels to me, sitting where I sit in the United States and being a car fan for a long time, that Chinese automakers had a fairly unique advantage in that they were not big global automakers. They were not operating at a massive scale. Electrification came. Tesla obviously built a bunch of capability in China to make cars. We all know how the Chinese manufacturing ecosystem works and they got to reset. They got to design a bunch of cars as EVs, clean sheet, basically the way the startup car makers in the United States got to, and build globally competitive cars from a totally new foundation without having to worry about a bunch of the stuff that legacy American car makers would have to worry about. And then, the Chinese government obviously <a href="https://www.reuters.com/business/autos-transportation/china-signals-it-will-pull-plug-subsidies-evs-with-five-year-plan-exclusion-2025-10-29/">subsidized</a> all that at huge rates.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>You worked there. Was that your experience? Is that basically how it went that they got to start fresh?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I think that&#8217;s just one side of it. They definitely have less of a legacy, less of a burden to worry about and that is an advantage. But what I also see is not only the new OEMs, but even the global players there have to adapt to the Chinese pace. At least from what I learned over there, everybody is going at that pace. Again, you want to be able to compete.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">But as you said, the wave&#8230; Software-defined vehicles have been there for a long time and Tesla is the one that&#8217;s really taking it to full production. I&#8217;m not sure if they’re the first one, but definitely to the largest extent. I have no doubt the OEMs in the rest of the world will follow as well.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I think every OEM right now will have to do this because this is how you compete, that is what you need to do to survive. Autonomy will become almost like a necessity for all the OEMs to have in their vehicles. We all believe in that future. And the only way to get there is to get to&#8230; First of all, there is the architecture I described, that enables software upgrades without having many, many discreet ECUs. Actually, I haven&#8217;t heard people arguing against that recently. Maybe you heard something different, but I think that&#8217;s a necessary step for everybody. At this stage, it&#8217;s almost like a table stake for the next generation’s architecture. Obviously we are talking to a lot of OEMs, but this is a consensus that the industry is moving towards.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I&#8217;m curious about the pathway there, because I agree with you that many, many people have said that is the end state and that enables everything that&#8217;s going to come next. It just feels like the path there has been much bumpier than the industry expected. Part of that is, I don&#8217;t know, that the Trump administration doesn&#8217;t like EVs. So EV sales and the tax credits here went away and maybe EV sales spiked as all that demand got pulled forward and maybe everybody wants a gas car now. And maybe all of this is harder when you don&#8217;t have a giant battery that can power all of these systems in perpetuity and you actually need to start the engine to get power to all these systems instead of having a 12-volt battery.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Or maybe it&#8217;s that the Chinese automakers are so competitive and so subsidized that the cost to do it for the legacy automakers is hard to overcome, because they do have the legacy infrastructure and dealer networks in the United States to care for and we&#8217;re just going to hold off on it. There&#8217;s something about the path to this agreed-upon future state of the car that seems harder than I thought it would be or that anyone on the show over the past five years has said it would be. I&#8217;m curious, from your perspective. You&#8217;re the supplier, you&#8217;re trying to sell the vision, you&#8217;re trying to put the chips in all the cars. From your perspective, what has made that path harder?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Well, you have said quite a few things.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The auto industry is very heavy. It involves massive supply chains and lots of companies, lots of employees. And to make a change in the architecture and whenever you push out a car, you have to support it for 10-15 years. Nvidia, as a supplier, is also making a similar commitment to our customers for whatever technology we supply including chipsets, other platforms, and our AV technology. We will have the commitment to support the same generation for 10-15 years, even for the current generation of chips. If you think about it from a Silicon Valley provider kind of perspective, it&#8217;s almost insane. But that&#8217;s the nature of the auto business. The nature of the business is that it will slow things down a bit. And that&#8217;s one thing.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The other thing is, because the technology is changing so fast and so differently from, let&#8217;s say, the automotive as we knew before and to the software-defined vehicle, to the AI-defined vehicle, you have to go through a different talent pool to be able to set up the company in a proper way and adapt to this new wave of technology innovations. That&#8217;s why Nvidia can come in and help. Because we believe the technology is getting to — we are mainly talking about the autonomous vehicle here, obviously. The technology is getting to a level of maturity. We are going to take this technology to mass production and a supplier can come in.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">That&#8217;s why we not only provide the AV technology, but we also are providing the whole platform starting from a chip, as well as to operating systems, an open source model, and <a href="https://www.nvidia.com/en-us/ai-trust-center/halos/autonomous-vehicles/">what we call Halos</a>, the safety operating system that helps the OEM to be able to adapt to this new world faster.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The nature of the business is that not everybody can run at the same speed. So for sure, because of the heaviness of this industry, it will take some time for everybody to get to the finish line. But again, my job in Nvidia is to try to help everybody to get to everything that moves that will be autonomous, to get to this vision as soon as possible.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Let me ask about your part at Nvidia now, because I think this brings us to the <em>Decoder </em>questions. I think everyone listening to the show is probably very familiar with the run Nvidia has been on with AI. It&#8217;s <a href="https://www.theverge.com/news/703482/nvidia-briefly-became-the-first-4-trillion-company-today">one of the most valuable companies</a> in the world. Every GPU that Nvidia can make is accounted for. How many people work at Nvidia Automotive?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">We have actually quite a sizable team, in the order of thousands on the automotive team. Because we are working on the whole platform, there&#8217;s hardware, software, model, and the infrastructure. It&#8217;s a pretty sizable team. Nvidia also has a lot of things we can leverage from the other teams as well. For example, I&#8217;m pretty sure you heard about <a href="https://www.nvidia.com/en-us/ai/cosmos/">Cosmos</a> and <a href="https://developer.nvidia.com/topics/ai/nemotron">Nemotron</a>. These are our basic open-source foundation models. We are leveraging heavily from work from their side as well.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>How is your team organized? You mentioned you&#8217;ve got hardware, software, and models. Is that the basic structure of the team or is it organized differently?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Yes. Well, on the engineering side, obviously we have product, we have strategy, we have something behind the scenes. Sometimes we call them unsung heroes. The map team, for example, which is still very critical for L3, L4, the high-level autonomy paths. And the data infrastructure.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>The literal navigation maps, that&#8217;s what you&#8217;re talking about.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Well, there&#8217;s HD map as well. So roughly, I divide my team that way. Yes.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>And then is that all global? Is that mostly in the United States? Where&#8217;s that located?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Mostly in the United States, but we do have a presence in China and Europe as well. Obviously, we are building a global product, a global platform, so we need a support team everywhere.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>You mentioned that you rely on some of the foundation models Nvidia has developed more broadly. How is your team structured inside of Nvidia? Does it fit into the AI strategy? Is it set apart? Are you more siloed? How does that work?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Oh, that&#8217;s a great question. At Nvidia, we have, let&#8217;s say, a centralized hardware team, which is responsible for the hardware roadmap on our GPU, the CPU, all the chipset strategy, and the productization. We have a centralized software team as well. The automotive team is a separate organization, which is very much more automotive-focused, with the mission of building the automotive platform to leverage the work from our hardware team and the software team and adapt to automotive. We have the model team as well.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Nvidia also has a culture of virtual teams. For example, our open-source model for Nemotron and Cosmos, they all sit across from our research team, the software team, and the hardware team. But they are virtual teams that work on these open-source foundation models. We can leverage that work and then in the automotive organization build up a model to help the AV industry have a powerful open-source model to work on.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>As I said, basically every GPU Nvidia can manufacture is accounted for in some way. It&#8217;s the nature of the AI industry right now. They&#8217;re going to go into some neocloud somewhere. Do you have to fight for resources, and attention against that business, which is growing at the speed and the scale it&#8217;s growing at?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Yes, believe it or not. <em>[Laughs] </em>Even Nvidia has a limited supply of GPU for compute. We have an internal priority, and I&#8217;m working with my colleagues basically almost on a weekly basis to decide how to set aside the different compute, sometimes for training, sometimes for testing, or resources for a different thread of work in the company. And sometimes we need Jensen [Huang, Nvidia CEO] to help, but yeah.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>How does that work? What does that debate look like? Is it an ROI debate? “If we put this much money in, we&#8217;ll get this much money out from our customers”? Is it a market size debate? What are the parameters of the conversation?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">It&#8217;s all of the above, as you can imagine. Revenue is important obviously, but also Nvidia, as you know, is a very strategic company. We value what Jensen sometimes calls the zero trillion dollar business. We are looking for new opportunities which can create a trillion-dollar business all the time. So, there need to be strategic priorities we set inside the companies in the new direction we go. You probably also know that we are not a market share company. It&#8217;s a balance between basically what brings the money right now and what can create the future, what can create opportunity for the company in the future.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Nvidia is a very uniquely run company. As you&#8217;ve mentioned, Jensen&#8217;s deeply involved in everything. I&#8217;ve seen <a href="https://fortune.com/2024/06/12/nvidia-ceo-jensen-huang-meeting-rule/">an interview</a> with him where he said he doesn&#8217;t have one-on-one meetings. He just meets with everyone all at once and everyone just hashes it out. What&#8217;s that like?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I&#8217;ve been at Nvidia for three years. It&#8217;s very unique, honestly. And it&#8217;s obviously not everybody all at once. It&#8217;s different groups. We all have a technical strategy product, a different part of the business reviews with Jensen. It&#8217;s super exciting for me, actually, an experience to learn from his strategic thinking and how he thinks about a product, how he thinks about a strategy. He&#8217;s also uniquely technically deep. It&#8217;s quite an inspiring experience as well to just see how much he&#8217;s keep up to date on the technical side. It’s, I would say, a once-in-a-lifetime experience and opportunity for me to be able to learn from Jensen.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">W<strong>hen you describe the opportunity for autonomy, particularly in the future, that seems like the big bet. “We&#8217;re going to bring to bear Nvidia&#8217;s compute excellence, and the power of AI to cars, and have them drive themselves.” What does that revenue model look like? Does it look like you&#8217;re just selling chips and software to automakers? Does it look like consumers pay a subscription, and some of that flows back to you? Where does the trillion dollars come from?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">That&#8217;s also an excellent question. Right now we firmly believe that everything that moves will be autonomous. Every mile driven by the car in the future will be autonomous. If you look at it, among all the cars, we drive 13 trillion miles per year. Right now the percentage of autonomous miles among all the mileage driven is probably negligible. I think it&#8217;s 0.006%, or something like that. So this is the opportunity in front of us. Nvidia&#8217;s view is that we&#8217;ll help the ecosystem together as soon as possible by providing all the foundation technology pieces again, starting from chips to operating systems, and then to what we call Halos. The Halos operating system is really important because it not only provides the SDK and the APIs for folks to develop models on our hardware, it also provides the safety guardrails for developers to put a model on it.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">We also define what we call <a href="https://www.nvidia.com/en-us/solutions/autonomous-vehicles/drive-hyperion/">Hyperion</a> as a hardware platform. That&#8217;s a production-ready platform, which includes the computer resource, the ECUs, and also the sensor suite. We think it&#8217;s necessary to achieve a different level of autonomy. On top of that, we provide <a href="https://www.theverge.com/tech/892395/nvidia-autonomous-vehicle-xinzhou-wu-interview">Alpamayo</a>, an open-source model, which we trained. It’s open-source not only in the model architecture, but also in the parameters and the data that you can use to fine-tune the model on our platform. On top of that, we also provide all the infrastructure needed. For example, simulation is really important for developing AV right now. We usually say that the AV problem is becoming a three-computer problem. There&#8217;s the training computer, there&#8217;s the simulation computer, and then there&#8217;s the inference computer in the car. All these technology pieces we want to provide to the ecosystem in a platform we call Nvidia Drive, so that folks can develop that technology on top of our platform.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">We hope that we can get a percentage of the revenue that the ecosystem can get from every mile that is driven autonomously in the future. This is where the trillion-dollar opportunity can come from.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>So, revenue per mile. That sounds like the core metrics that you&#8217;re chasing. Where does revenue per mile come from for a user? When I drive a car, do I pay a subscription? Or are you thinking it&#8217;s robotaxis everywhere, and they&#8217;re being monetized per ride? Where does revenue per mile come from, and how does that number go up?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">That&#8217;s right. Well, I think the world will embrace both models. One is robotaxis. As you see, there are quite a few successful ones in China, in the US, and in the world. We&#8217;ll see more hopefully going down this path. We&#8217;ll have a taxi-like fleet where you can enjoy taking you from place A to place B without a driver in the car.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I think the passenger fleet will also continue to exist for a long time because there are many people who still prefer a private space during travel. It&#8217;s like many people still prefer to own their house as compared to renting an apartment. There&#8217;s an economy behind this as well. We think both models will thrive. That&#8217;s why we are working with both the robotaxi companies and the other OEMs, as well as the AV software developer companies to help them by supplying different technology pieces from Nvidia.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>One of the interesting dynamics through at least the electrification portion, over the past five years, has been legacy automakers realizing that they had become insurance companies and financing companies, and their suppliers were making the cars. They had lost control of car design in a big way. The tier-one suppliers to the big automakers were in many ways in charge of big subsystems of the cars. When they wanted to do an over-the-air update, they had to go talk to 15 different suppliers to get that done. I&#8217;ve heard this complaint dozens and dozens of times on the show. And they all kind of realized, “We need to take back the engineering of the car. We need to be much more firmly in control of the platform of the car.”</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>It sounds like in autonomy, for a variety of reasons, Nvidia sees an opportunity to become the main supplier to a wide variety of car makers. That&#8217;s obviously the intention with them thinking, “We need to take control of the car.” Tesla might use Nvidia chips, but they are very proud of the fact that they wrote every line of that code, and that is their platform, and they&#8217;ve made their technology bets. Rivian, I think Wassym is very proud of the fact that he is in charge of that platform company, and he&#8217;s going to build that platform. RJ [Scaringe, Rivian CEO] is <a href="https://www.theverge.com/podcast/790685/rivian-ceo-rj-scaringe-r2-tariffs-china-ev-apple-carplay">certainly very proud</a> of the fact that Rivian is that kind of company.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>What&#8217;s the dynamic there? Because it doesn&#8217;t seem like every car maker can stand up the technology bet and forward invest on the hope that the revenue will pay off. They will need a supplier like Nvidia to show up with a ready-made platform and business model. Is that tilting more in your favor now? Have we gotten out of those woods, or is it still up in the air?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I think the beauty of the Nvidia business model on the automotive side is that our platform is completely open. We provide multiple layers of services, and depend on what OEM or robotics companies need. They can select what they want to work with us up to which layer for, as you mentioned, Tesla. Some OEMs are so capable. They even want to build their own inference to paint the car. Even for that, we&#8217;re okay. We&#8217;ll still continue working with them. Actually, we are working with Tesla and many OEMs who are building using their own inference chip by collaborating with them in the cloud. We even try to help optimize their models. With different OEMs, we have different collaborations, because we still have the simulation computer and the training computing in the infrastructure we are working with them.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">For some of the OEMs, they would like to have a more turnkey solution. We are very happy to work with them as well. In that case, we are going to go all the way. We are working like a tier one, or tier 1.5, just to go hand by hand. This is our driver AV kind of partners, for example, Mercedes. We work very closely with them to define the products they want, and then also adapt our driver AV stack to work seamlessly in their vehicle. The engineers from both sides work pretty closely to make it adapt well with the Mercedes design DNA and the customer experience they would like to offer.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">This is really important for us. We are not picking winners per se. We try to help OEMs based on their capability at different levels. The openness is really important for our engagement model with OEMs.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>One of the reasons I&#8217;m so curious about this is that you mentioned training models. You mentioned in other interviews that you&#8217;re doing synthetic data to train autonomy in different ways. I&#8217;m very curious about that. It just strikes me, looking at the industry. Waymo has this gigantic lead in autonomous miles driven, and they&#8217;re very proud of it, and that&#8217;s helped make their cars as successful as they are in the markets they&#8217;re in. Tesla has a huge number as well because they&#8217;re training on the actual cars that are being driven. Not every automaker can figure out how to get to a billion autonomous miles driven.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">That&#8217;s right. Yes.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>They&#8217;re going to have to rely on some third party to get them to at least the status quo, if not beyond. It feels like Nvidia is sitting there ready to be that third party. Is that a lot of the sales pitch to the automakers? “You can just buy our technology in whatever open capacity that you want, and we will quickly get you to a competitive state”?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I would say this is the one compelling point for OEMs to engage with Nvidia in the Hyperion ecosystem, in the Drive ecosystem. Because one of the key defining things for Hyperion is the compute architecture, and also the sensor architecture is the data sharing. For anybody who engages and becomes an Nvidia Drive partner, we share data through our existing program, through which we collect millions of hours of data. Through the different car programs, we are also accumulating that data from different OEMs. And then we can build a model, first of all, which is trained with all this data. We make sure at least the data collected in our different car programs is shared with the OEM. That&#8217;s number one. Number two is in the new era, we strongly believe compute is data as well. So, as you mentioned, there&#8217;s a lot of synthetic data.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">There&#8217;s neuro reconstruct data, which we call <a href="https://docs.nvidia.com/nurec/index.html">NuRec</a>. This is a very important piece of technology and simulation where we collect the data from the field, but we can use neuro reconstruction sometimes to fudge the data to change the background, or change the car trajectory. We can generate a lot of variants of the same data. All this data needs a computer to generate these tens of millions of data points. We can share with everybody who&#8217;s engaged in our ecosystem. In this way, collectively from all the players that engaged with the Drive ecosystem, we can catch up on the data gap, which is very important.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>So, this is synthetic data, right? You&#8217;re going to collect a bunch of real-world driving examples. You&#8217;ll put it into a simulator. The simulator will then blur the data. I think the example that I&#8217;ve heard you give is there was a pedestrian that came out, and we can just delay the pedestrian, and make that person come out later, and the car will have to react to it as though it&#8217;s real.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">That&#8217;s right.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>And you&#8217;re going to run lots of training against lots of different variations of the same data. That&#8217;s fascinating to me. I understand why all the car makers would buy into that. Why would they buy into the data sharing? Is it just a recognition that collectively they stand a better chance of catching up? Is it because they just don&#8217;t want to pay the money? Is it cheaper? Why would they participate with their competitors in that kind of data-sharing arrangement?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Both are absolutely true. Actually, the cost savings are enormous. Data collection running a fleet of huge size is big capital spending for anybody who wants to do that. It’s repetitive as well. If you can find, for example, what we are providing on the Drive platform, or the Drive ecosystem, it can save a lot of effort and money from our customers.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I&#8217;m curious about that because the idea is that you&#8217;re going to train stuff, and then you&#8217;re going to have a model in the car, and we&#8217;ll have an AI-defined car. The classical approach to self-driving was that we&#8217;re going to throw more and more data at the problem, and eventually the car will know how to do everything, it will have mapped all the roads on top of everything. I have a Cadillac EV, and the way Super Cruise works is, it works on roads that are mapped. Eventually the bet is they&#8217;ll map more and more roads, and more and more things, and the car will become more capable.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>It feels like Nvidia&#8217;s approach is for the car to be smart enough to do anything, with or without the maps. And that requires a different approach to data collection, a different approach to compute, and then obviously a bigger bet on AI. Is that split real? Have you just made that jump? Is that the future of the platform, or are you in the middle?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The approach we take right now for what we call the L2+, which essentially is mapless. As you said correctly, the model will definitely need more data, and to cover more corner cases. And the model is getting bigger as we speak as well, for this generation, next generation. We are going to use a much bigger model with more parameters. Foundation models will also play a big role here. To be able to make this model very capable, more data is very, very critical. But on the other hand, the trend of using a foundation model, which is already trained with internet data, can help as well. That&#8217;s why I emphasized quite a few times the connection with the foundation model effort inside Nvidia.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">With the reasoning model, and the foundation model, we can leverage from the frontier model perspective, and leverage the internet to scale data to be able to help the vehicle to generalize better, even without the vehicle-specific data. This is the main direction we are betting on, towards a higher level of autonomy, especially Level 4. This is one of the main work threads we are focusing on right now.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Back to OEM, I think being able to leverage what we have built upon through our collaborations with the existing engagement and our massive capability for data generation using synthetic datasets and neuro reconstruction — as well as being able to leverage the foundation model capability which is trained from more general data, but which will help the model to reason better, to generalize better — these are the things we can offer to our customers.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I feel like I have to ask about safety now. I&#8217;m sure it&#8217;s more complicated than this, but you&#8217;re talking about a foundation model reasoning through self-driving. And all I have in my head is ChatGPT apologizing to me because it got it wrong while the car crashes, or one of those horrible long latency loops where the model goes off in the wrong direction and realizes it. And then you can look at the chain of thought and it&#8217;s like, oh, it got it totally wrong. It feels bad in the way that Anthropic believes that Claude feels bad. None of that seems compatible with the very real-time nature of driving a car. How do you bridge that gap? Latency, the need to have one of those big models in the background, the sort of reasoning tangents that the models can go on. How is that compatible with driving a car?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Safety is so important to us and it&#8217;s so important for the AV industry. Let me answer your question by approaching different layers of our offering. To address safety is obviously not new for the auto industry and we have developed a very sophisticated development protocol and also a validation protocol to be able to prove the software is safe. That&#8217;s called ISO 26262. We actually develop our hardware and operating system (OS) level software and the application level software to the highest standard of safety, which is very important and critical to being able to deploy anything to drive the car. That&#8217;s number one.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Number two is that we take a slight different approach than some of the players in this space. We actually have a redundant stack even for our L2++ or ADAS function. Other than that is the end-to-end model, which is basically pixel-in, trajectory-out. We also have a classical stack which is more developed based on this safety standard as we know it. It&#8217;s a component basically. It&#8217;s a stack with many components and each component can be verified using this known standard. That&#8217;s what I refer to as a classical stack. And when you have two stacks running in parallel, the classical stack acts like what we sometimes call Big Brother, but essentially it&#8217;s a safety guardrail. It tries to verify all the trajectories from the end-to-end model and use the known safety standard to verify it&#8217;s safe at every frame.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">That&#8217;s a very important concept we have. And not only a concept, but the implementation we have in our stack. We will take this, which will be so critical for higher level autonomy, L4. This is also the foundation of our L4 stack where we have full redundancy, not only as a sensor set, but as a software architecture set. This second point is to answer your safety question.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Number three, when we develop the model, we are also trying to make the model reduce the hallucination as much as we can. The way to do that is through massive validation. We are building massive simulation test data for every model we release. Right now we are looking at running five million tests in our program every day.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Roughly every day we have a 10 iteration of the model, the end-to-end model. We are doing really massive validation to make sure in all these scenarios – you can think of that as every tested test scenario – the model is generating the right trajectory. That&#8217;s also super critical for us. So this is what we do to make sure our product is safe.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Let me ask you a really dumb question I&#8217;m really curious about. You&#8217;ve talked a lot about the model and how it will operate the car. And yes, the classical stack is the safety guardrail. Is the model reasoning in language like every other model? Is it sitting there in the background saying, &#8220;I see a stop sign. What do I do? I&#8217;d better stop. I&#8217;m going to go hit the brakes,&#8221; the way that any sort of general model reasons in language in the background?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The short answer is yes. In our next-generation model, which we are going to deploy in the next generation of vehicles&#8230; Because the current generation has a more or less limited computer, the next generation is SOAR-based. We will have the model trained with language embedded. Being able to reason through language is very important. You can also chat with the model. You can ask the model about what it&#8217;s doing and then you can also ask a model to speed up or slow down and make a lane change, for example.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>As it&#8217;s literally driving, it&#8217;s saying to itself, &#8220;I see a car over there. I need to change lanes to get ready for the exit that&#8217;s coming in a couple miles.&#8221; And it&#8217;s doing that in language to operate the car?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I think it&#8217;s combination of things. Language is already embedding the model, but the vision signal is also super important, as you know.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I want to say it&#8217;s multi-model, but language is part of it. As you know, the model is black box. We don&#8217;t exactly know what it is exactly doing, but you can ask about it and then the model will answer what it&#8217;s trying to do.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I just have this vision of a chatbot model freaking out as it careens on the highway at 55 miles an hour.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Actually, GTC Taiwan <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bvg4zdOeFMk&amp;t=181s">released a video</a> that showed that the model is talking constantly. It can be quite annoying if you really try to hear everything the model is trying to reason about.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>What&#8217;s the latency on that? Obviously you&#8217;re deploying the systems, it must be working, but is there an attempt to reduce the latency of that? I feel like language is inherently slow compared to what you need to do to drive. I&#8217;m not thinking in language when I drive my car.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">100%. That&#8217;s why I said it&#8217;s multi-model. But to reduce the end-to-end latency is super important. Actually, that&#8217;s one of the key advantages of deploying, driving the car with a model. Because if you think about it, the old stack or the classical stack which has multiple components, it usually takes multiple hundred milliseconds. But with a model, because it&#8217;s just inference time, it&#8217;s separate from input, which is pixel and trajectory. You can reduce the latency, depending on the computer capability you have, obviously. But even in the current generation, we control it to be within 100 milliseconds, which is pretty fast.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Regarding the language reasoning, if you think about it, well, that&#8217;s the human brain, right? If you think about it, I would say the information rate is already abstracted. The information rate is not super high. And we are using the internet data to train this kind of language-based reasoning capability. I think the latency is well under control, let me put it that way. And again, you are not driving the car with language only. That&#8217;s a key thing, as I said. Usually the reasoning part is, I believe, slower. Again, we don&#8217;t know exactly what the model is doing, but the pixel part, that&#8217;s what drives the basic instantaneous reaction of the vehicle.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Yeah. If you ask <a href="https://www.theverge.com/report/883769/anthropic-claude-conscious-alive-moral-patient-constitution">Anthropic</a>, they will tell you that Claude has feelings and emotions and he can get scared.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Uh-huh.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Do you think about that? Do you think your models have emotions when they&#8217;re driving the car?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">We&#8217;ll use the guardrail to make sure it doesn&#8217;t get too moody.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong><em>[Laughs] </em>I&#8217;m just curious. I mean, like you said, we don&#8217;t know how the models are working. I literally have a vision of the model being like, &#8220;Oh my God, I&#8217;m going so fast.&#8221; But maybe the classical system will cut that down.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Yeah. Yeah.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Is all this running locally in the car?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">No, no, no, no. All these validate offline. But the second part with the safety guardrail, when we run two stacks in parallel, that&#8217;s definitely in the car. And in the car at every frame, the software in our ADAS ECU, we are comparing the trajectory from both the classical stack and the end-to-end model to make sure the model is outputting a safe basic trajectory.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>So do the cars require fast connectivity to be autonomous with your approach?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Not necessarily, but we do require some connectivity to get navigation information and some map information. Most of these are navigation maps. So to help not only the model side and also the classical stack, we do use some of the navigation mapping information to help us understand the world better.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I&#8217;m only asking because I covered the launch of 5G networks in great detail and all of the telecom companies promised me that 5G would enable autonomous cars. And it seems like your approach is the one that will lean the most heavily on low latency networks in that way.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">This is not wrong, but on the other hand, the car has to drive autonomously in a complete blind spot as well. Real-time low latency, I would say content dependency, has that dependency in the cloud. At least for the ADAS kind of application — L2+ is what we call it — which is meant to work everywhere, building that dependency is not a good idea.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Yeah. When you get to Level 4, Level 5, that&#8217;s when you have connectivity dependency.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">That&#8217;s right. Yes. Yeah.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>What happens when you lose the connectivity at Level 4 autonomy? When you&#8217;re at Level 5 and you don&#8217;t have a steering wheel anymore and you lose connectivity, what happens?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">In Level 4, you can think of connectivity as a kind of sensor. The basic driving capability cannot have huge dependency on that. And one of the core concepts of developing Level 4 technology is you have sensor redundancy. That&#8217;s not only for GPS, but also for camera, radar, everything you see. For every single point of failure, the car has to be able to drive safely. It&#8217;s like if you suddenly lost a GPS, but the car has a local perception, it needs to be able to get to a safe point and pull over. That&#8217;s a minimum requirement an L4 system needs to have. This is the basic L4 principle to be able to develop such a system.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I&#8217;m very curious about where all of the sensor stacks live in the car, how much compute is in the car, how much RAM we need to put in cars at a time of increasing RAM prices. This all seems like a lot of extra cost to layer into cars which are increasingly getting more expensive and which consumers, at least in the United States, feel like they&#8217;re rebelling against in lots of ways.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">That&#8217;s right.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I can look at our own website traffic; everybody wants to </strong><a href="https://www.theverge.com/transportation/955454/slate-truck-ev-price-drive-specs-minimalism"><strong>buy a Slate truck</strong></a><strong> for $25,000 and it doesn&#8217;t even have a radio. That&#8217;s just a battery on wheels. That&#8217;s that whole car. It doesn&#8217;t even have a paint job. We&#8217;re getting rid of paint jobs on the cars now to keep the cost down. You&#8217;re talking about a lot of compute in the car, a lot of connectivity, maybe a bunch of RAM to load the models on.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">That&#8217;s right.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>How does that play out? Does that push you more into that robotaxi model or do you think people are just going to buy expensive self-driving cars?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Definitely building autonomous cars needs a lot of hardware, but the other trend is that the hardware cost is dropping pretty rapidly as the technology becomes more mature. For example, radar. Even in my career, I have seen radar prices probably drop by at least four or five times over 15 years, because of the volume getting much bigger and bigger than the cost. I have witnessed the drop of camera sensor prices as well. There are more competitors and the competition brings lower prices when the volume becomes bigger. The scale effect is definitely there right now in ADAS and all the components become much more mature and to some level of commodity.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">As you know, the computer&#8217;s growing at such a rapid pace. We talked about Moore&#8217;s Law in the semiconductor industry some time ago, but in the autonomous driving segment, the computer need has been growing at a really astonishing pace. Roughly we are talking about 10 times every two years. It&#8217;s insane. And right now, with the success of AI and obviously Nvidia, we will be able to provide this kind of massive compute to cars at an affordable price.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>In the cloud or in the car?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">In the car.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I asked you about fighting for training capacity earlier. Do you have to fight for fabrication capacity too?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Oh yes.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Because those costs are going up for everybody.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Yes, of course. Yes.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I&#8217;m curious, it&#8217;s Nvidia&#8217;s demand that&#8217;s <a href="https://www.theverge.com/news/839353/pc-ram-shortage-pricing-spike-news">driving up the cost for everybody</a>. So how do you go get fab capacity when the other divisions at Nvidia are willing to pay whatever rates anyone demands?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Well, it’s the same answer I’ve given you. I don&#8217;t know if there&#8217;s anything more I can say because we are such a strategic company and our automotive business is doing well as well, but not at the pace of our data center business, obviously. But we are strong believers — Jensen himself, as well — in the AV future. We keep investing in this technology and in this future, not only by allocating internal compute, but with fab capacity as well. That&#8217;s definitely one of the things we are looking into.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Actually, most likely even the chip price will need to go up, because of this intense demand for every chip everybody can grab onto. The positive side is that the technology is really getting [good]. I talked about the chip side and also I talked a little bit about the sensor side. I talked about Hyperion, which is a product-ready, compute-plus-sensor kind of platform. So we are really trying to balance between the cost and what we can do. We are looking at what we call the sufficient necessary sensor set to achieve a high level of autonomy.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">In Hyperion 10, for example, we really offer two versions. One is a base, which is mostly cameras: 10 cameras, three radars, no lidar. It&#8217;s a very cost-effective way to build a L2++ ADAS kind of vehicle. And on the other hand, for the high end, is what we call the Hyperion High: we provide the sensor set required, which has, I think, 14 cameras, three lidars, and seven radars to have enough sensor redundancy to be able to drive L4.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">You need ECU redundancy as well. You need our next generation – well, actually, to be more precise, the current generation SOAR-based computer platform. Just imagine you have a car that can really drive by itself. We believe with this sensor set and this computer architecture, we can get to that level of autonomy which can justify the cost.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>The minimum sensor set for autonomy feels hotly debated. It&#8217;s been hotly debated for a long time. I think <a href="https://www.theverge.com/transportation/962309/new-jersey-robotaxi-bill-lidar-tesla">Elon Musk saying</a> that he thought lidar was a local maximum ages ago was the beginning of this debate. This debate has not quelled in any way, shape, or form. Do you think Level 4 requires lidar?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The short answer is yes. We believe that lidar is the important sensor to provide the safety and the redundancy required for Level 4 autonomy. But on the other hand, it&#8217;s difficult to say it&#8217;s 100% necessary. We believe this is a very feasible path based on Hyperion 10’s high-sensor configuration to get to both really high-level urban and highway Level 4 capability. On the other hand, theoretically, people can prove out with massive mileage that lidar may not be necessary. But it will come with the ODD limitation, essentially.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Sorry, what&#8217;s the ODD limitation?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Operational design domain (<a href="https://autowarefoundation.github.io/LSA-reference-design-docs/main/odd-definition/">ODD</a>) is basically an applicable domain. You can deploy the technology. We have done quite a bit of analysis on this. Based on our current understanding and the framework we use to do this analysis, we believe that to deploy this L4 technology in all the ODDs that our customer can benefit from, it&#8217;s much better to have lidar as compared to not having it.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>When you look at <a href="https://www.theverge.com/transportation/922900/tesla-10-billion-miles-unsupervised-fsd-robotaxi-elon-musk">where Tesla is</a> with full self-driving and their vehicles and their absolute commitment to being a vision-based system, do you think that they are currently ahead of you? Do you think they&#8217;re at parity? Do you think they&#8217;re behind you?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">There are two levels of answer to this question. For the basic L2++ technology, Elon is probably ahead of everybody. He had a division a long time ago and he has stuck to the vision for a long time to develop and test the technology among a massive fleet. Nobody would argue that Elon is ahead of everybody in the ADAS market and everybody is playing a catch-up game, essentially. And we are very happy, actually, that Elon is so successful. Obviously, Elon is a big customer for us as well, for both SpaceX and Tesla on the GPU computer side. We are supporting him and his team to make sure they&#8217;re successful.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">For Level 4, I think it&#8217;s more open. There are established players who are proven, like Waymo, who are already taking customers to really experience the L4 using the methodologies they use. Tesla is probably still trying to find the path there. We don&#8217;t try to pick winners, but we are trying to help everybody to be able to develop that technology. Our mission is really to try to make the AV ecosystem get to this vision of every mile, everything that moves will be autonomous. This kind of vision becomes a reality.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Have you had conversations with Tesla executives about using lidar? It seems oddly religious for no reason, especially if the costs are coming down as you say. At some point, if the better technology solution is right there, it feels like everyone should just use it. Have you had those conversations?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Well, actually no, not myself. My team definitely has. I&#8217;m looking forward to having that conversation with them. Much of this is just basic science and reasoning. It&#8217;s good to hear their views as well.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I want to wrap up by talking about something that maybe is the least in your control. Models are going to keep getting better, Nvidia is going to keep making chips, maybe customers are going to keep demanding self-driving. That all feels like something you have a handle on.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>But the auto market, the cutting edge of the auto market is happening in China. I think we can just agree on this. US consumers open TikTok and see car influencers talking about BYD vehicles and they complain in the comments that they can&#8217;t get those cars. I watched a video of a Buick that is in China. It&#8217;s a Buick EV that you can&#8217;t get in the United States and US customers are furious that Buick is making better cars in China than they&#8217;re making here.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>There are <a href="https://www.theverge.com/2024/9/23/24252043/us-ban-china-car-software-ev-tariff-biden">a lot of trade barriers</a> between the United States and China. Nvidia sits in the middle of that fight in all kinds of ways, whether it&#8217;s tariffs on imports of car components, or <a href="https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/ckg9q635q6po">literal blocks</a> on what chips can be sold and where the revenue from those chips go. As you try to push the car market forward, how does the US-China trade chaos play into it? Is that something you think about? Is it something that&#8217;s slowing the industry down? Is it something that you can push through?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Well, I certainly believe the policymakers have their reasoning and rationale to make the policy as we see right now. As Nvidia, we are an open ecosystem player. We still have a lot of customers in China. We try to help… For example, we are still supplying in-car inference chips because they&#8217;re still below the threshold of <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/05/21/business/china-nvidia-chip-trump-ai.html">what GPU is allowed to sell</a> in the China market. We are also working with all the Chinese OEMs. Actually, not all of them, obviously, but quite a few of them, to help on the infrastructure side by supplying simulation tools. We are working with them on open-source models, Cosmos and Alpamayo. On one hand, we can help them to make their models better. On the other hand, we can also learn from the competition in the China market.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">We are also working very closely with the rest of the world’s OEMs, and we try to supply all Nvidia platforms and at different layers to different OEMs to help them to be successful as well. Again, we don&#8217;t pick winners and we try to work with everybody. The mission is super clear and we try to make this vision become reality as much as possible.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>When you talk about sharing data between OEMs to train the models better and to make them more capable, are there any regulatory roadblocks or competitive roadblocks between sharing data from Chinese OEMs and American and European OEMs?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Oh yes, of course. Not only China but other regions have restrictions as well. For example, Europe has certain regulations regarding data. We are conformed to all the local regulations to make sure we are compliant with different regions.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Does that mean that regional variants of the models have different capabilities or they&#8217;re better at different things? Because if the input data is different, it seems like maybe the output will be different as well.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Absolutely. Well, first of all, for the production model, we try not to fork it as much as we can, but there will be basic regional differences. The model will behave differently in different regions based on the input. Some of the things are what we call country-coded. So obviously the rules are quite different in different regions like in Europe as compared to the US. Some adaptation is required and some parameters are different as well. Yeah, it&#8217;s quite an interesting journey trying to scale the technology into different parts of the world.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Do you think that — based on the different regulatory approaches, the different data approaches, different input data, the different configuration of the OEMs and what they&#8217;re willing to invest in, the different subsidies from the governments — China will get to Level 4 as a mainstream self-driving experience first? Because if I had to look at it, I would bet that Level 4 self-driving will happen in China way before it happens in the United States as a mainstream experience.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I actually don&#8217;t think that&#8217;s true. As you know, Waymo is already getting everybody to an L4 experience, at least in certain ODDs in San Francisco, and they&#8217;re scaling pretty fast. China is obviously a much more dynamic competing market and there are quite a few players there. But my experience is that all of them have the maturity of Waymo, at least in San Francisco. We are trying to help everybody in the ecosystem.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">From an OEM perspective, it&#8217;s a different competition landscape, but even on the OEM side, I think different regions have different kind of&#8230; Well, one side is that Chinese streets are also much more challenging as compared to US streets. And the Level 4, I would sometimes call it a zero-pne game. Either you have it or you don&#8217;t have it. As of today, I think the only one who really has proven that L4 can be safely deployable to every customer without a driver in a city-sized region without any limitation is still in the US or in China.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Yeah, that&#8217;s Waymo. I think Waymo is going to be very flattered to hear them described as a mainstream experience. I will accept that for some subset of people in San Francisco, Waymo is a mainstream experience. I think for the vast majority of Americans it is <a href="https://www.theverge.com/transportation/936129/waymo-freeway-suspend-atlanta-san-antonio-flood-pause">not yet</a>. And that is the big turn, right?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>When can a Waymo <a href="https://www.theverge.com/transportation/805471/waymo-robotaxi-winter-snow-weather-testing">work in the snow</a>? When are they going to deploy them <a href="https://www.nbcchicago.com/news/local/waymos-self-driving-taxis-could-be-headed-for-the-chicago-area-despite-safety-concerns/3886029/">in Chicago</a>?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">And in New York City.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>As somebody who was in Chicago for a long time, I&#8217;m very curious how that goes in Chicago and New York City. The question I have is whether the mainstream experience feels like you just buy a car and Level 2 ADAS is kind of a commodity in cars now. Level 4 will be a mainstream commodity in cars. You push the button and it starts driving itself. How far away do you think we are from that?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">That&#8217;s exactly my mission, trying to help the industry to get there. I would say if I need to give a time, I wouldn&#8217;t say five years, but less than five years.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>That is a bold prediction. I think we&#8217;re going to leave it there, because we&#8217;re at time. You&#8217;ve been really great, Xinzhou. I&#8217;m excited to talk to you again. We&#8217;ll have you back before five years to check in on that prediction. But what should we be looking for next from Nvidia?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">There are quite a few things we are planning. First of all, by the end of this year, we are rolling out our technology on the ADAS side in all Mercedes vehicles and some other partners as well, all over the United States. Starting in the next few years, we’ll try to roll out this technology to the rest of the world. Meanwhile, we are also working closely with our partners, for example, Uber. We announced that at GTC, we are trying to roll out our L4 service in the next few years. It&#8217;s super exciting.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">On top of that, we are, again, an ecosystem player. We are working with almost all OEMs. Right now, I would say 80% of the mass-production OEMs are in Nvidia&#8217;s Hyperion ecosystem for L4. We are building this future with everybody. Hopefully you&#8217;ll see more exciting announcements from us somewhere down the road.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Well, like I said, we&#8217;ll have to have you back soon. Thank you so much for being on </strong><strong><em>Decoder</em></strong><strong>.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Thanks for having me, Nilay. It&#8217;s very nice chatting with you.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><em><sub>Questions or comments? Hit us up at decoder@theverge.com. We really do read every email!</sub></em></p>
						]]>
									</content>
			
					</entry>
			<entry>
			
			<author>
				<name>Nilay Patel</name>
			</author>
			
			<title type="html"><![CDATA[Comcast is breaking up with NBCU. Why did it ever buy it in the first place?]]></title>
			<link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="https://www.theverge.com/podcast/962994/comcast-nbc-universal-split-versant-content-plus-pipes-media-broadband" />
			<id>https://www.theverge.com/?p=962994</id>
			<updated>2026-07-09T09:48:52-04:00</updated>
			<published>2026-07-09T10:00:00-04:00</published>
			<category scheme="https://www.theverge.com" term="Business" /><category scheme="https://www.theverge.com" term="Comcast" /><category scheme="https://www.theverge.com" term="Decoder" /><category scheme="https://www.theverge.com" term="Entertainment" /><category scheme="https://www.theverge.com" term="Podcasts" /><category scheme="https://www.theverge.com" term="Tech" />
							<summary type="html"><![CDATA[Today on Decoder, I’m talking with Peter Kafka, who is chief correspondent at Business Insider and host of Channels, a podcast about the media industry. And it’s a big week for the media industry — Comcast just announced that it’s splitting itself up, into the Comcast broadband company and the NBCUniversal entertainment company. That’s after [&#8230;]]]></summary>
			
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<img alt="A photo illustration featuring the splitting of the Comcast and NBC Universal logos." data-caption="" data-portal-copyright="Image: The Verge" data-has-syndication-rights="1" src="https://platform.theverge.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2026/07/DCD_Comcast_Site.jpg?quality=90&#038;strip=all&#038;crop=0,0,100,100" />
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<p class="has-drop-cap wp-block-paragraph">Today on <em>Decoder</em>, I’m talking with Peter Kafka, who is chief correspondent at <em>Business Insider</em> and host of <em>Channels</em>, a podcast about the media industry.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">And it’s a big week for the media industry — Comcast just announced that it’s <a href="https://www.theverge.com/tech/958849/comcast-nbcuniversal-company-spinoff-announcement">splitting itself up</a>, into the Comcast broadband company and the NBCUniversal entertainment company. That’s after the media giant spun out its cable assets like CNBC and MS.NOW <a href="https://www.theverge.com/news/662082/spinco-is-now-versant">into a new company called Versant</a> earlier this year.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">A quick note, by the way — longtime <em>Verge</em> fans know we’ve been disclosing that Comcast NBCUniversal was an investor in our parent company, Vox Media, for years now. That’s come to an end — not only did that investment spin out with Versant, but Vox Media itself is splitting in two, and that Versant stake now lives inside of a shell company that is part of a joint venture with the Penske Media Corporation called PMX, which technically does not exist yet.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">It is very complicated, and I promise I will sort out a simpler disclosure when all of these deals close. But for now the upshot is the same as ever: None of these companies have ever told us what to do or say in our reporting, and we wouldn’t let them if they tried.</p>

<div class="wp-block-vox-media-highlight vox-media-highlight"><img src="https://platform.theverge.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/chorus/uploads/chorus_asset/file/24792604/The_Verge_Decoder_Tileart.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;crop=0,0,100,100" alt="" title="" data-has-syndication-rights="1" data-caption="" data-portal-copyright="" />


<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><em>Verge</em> subscribers, don&#8217;t forget you get exclusive access to ad-free <em>Decoder</em> wherever you get your podcasts. Head <a href="https://www.theverge.com/account/podcasts">here</a>. Not a subscriber? You can <a href="https://www.theverge.com/subscribe">sign up here</a>. </p>
</div>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">That is good, because, boy, do Peter and I have a lot to say about Comcast. He and I have been covering media and telecom as friends, peers, and competitors for years now, and Comcast was <em>the</em> biggest bet on the idea that combining media assets like NBC with access and distribution like Comcast’s broadband network would somehow pay off. This idea, which you’ll hear us loosely call content plus pipes, is irresistible to media and telecom people. They cannot stay away from it.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">AT&amp;T tried content plus pipes when it bought Time Warner. Verizon tried content plus pipes when it bought AOL and Yahoo, and, hell, AOL tried content plus pipes when it bought Time Warner in the early 2000s. You might notice a trend here — all of those deals ended in disaster.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">But Comcast managed to hold it together with NBCU for 15 years, even though it could never quite explain what value there was in putting the content near the pipes. As you’ll hear Peter say, this big split feels like the company admitting it never really had that answer and capitulating to Wall Street’s demands.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Peter and I talked a lot about what comes next for Comcast and NBCU — both companies have existential choices ahead of them and face stiff competition, and it’s unclear if there are more deals coming to either sell or acquire more assets. We also talked a lot about how we got here and why content plus pipes always crashes and burns.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">You’ll hear us talk a lot about net neutrality in that context — that’s the idea that ISPs like Comcast have to treat all traffic on their network equally, and they can’t throttle Netflix and prioritize Peacock. That might have been the entire basis of content plus pipes, but Peter and I disagree on whether it was regulators or the market that kept the internet from turning back into cable TV in that way.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">This is a good one, as you’ll hear, Peter and I really like talking to each other about this stuff.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Okay: Peter Kafka, chief correspondent for <em>Business Insider </em>and host of the <em>Channels </em>podcast, on the Comcast split. Here we go.</p>

<iframe loading="lazy" frameborder="0" height="200" src="https://playlist.megaphone.fm?e=VMP3487742255" width="100%"></iframe>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><em>This interview has been lightly edited for length and clarity.</em></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Peter Kafka, you&#8217;re the chief correspondent for </strong><strong><em>Business Insider</em></strong><strong> as well as the host of the excellent media industry podcast </strong><strong><em>Channels</em></strong><strong>. Welcome to </strong><strong><em>Decoder</em></strong><strong>.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Thank you, Nilay. Thank you for having me.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I have to say, </strong><strong><em>Channels</em></strong><strong> is excellent because I was just on it. That&#8217;s how I know it&#8217;s good.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">That was an excellent episode.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>So, we&#8217;re trading it back. I&#8217;m really excited to talk to you about what&#8217;s going on with Comcast because it feels like you and I have spent our careers weaving in and out of covering Comcast around each other, you especially.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Turns out we were stupid. We should have just slept for the last 15 years, woken up, and nothing would&#8217;ve changed.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Of all the weaving back and forth, one of my favorite moments wasn&#8217;t about Comcast specifically. You had [former Netflix CEO] Reed Hastings </strong><a href="https://www.vox.com/2017/5/31/15720268/netflix-ceo-reed-hastings-net-neutrality-open-internet"><strong>onstage at a Code Conference event</strong></a><strong>, and you asked him about net neutrality, which we will come to in the course of this conversation.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Reed Hastings said, &#8220;Yeah, it&#8217;s over. We&#8217;re big enough. It doesn&#8217;t matter anymore.&#8221; In many ways, this was a pivotal moment in the history of internet and content because what he was saying was that he had reached enough scale that the distributors, the power, now had to come to his terms.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>If you look back, I think you can trace almost everything that&#8217;s happened to that moment: Netflix announcing to you that they were big enough that everyone had to deal with them.&nbsp;</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">It&#8217;s funny because I always think of that as the classic, &#8220;Oh, nerds or people who care about the thing we said we cared about, it&#8217;s fine. We&#8217;ve just moved on.&#8221; There was a huge part of internet culture that was just despondent about the fact that Netflix had been their sword carrier for this stuff and that it was done carrying swords. Shields? Whatever.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>It was both. They had a sword and shield.&nbsp;</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">But you&#8217;ve nailed it. We&#8217;ll get into it, but I think Netflix is the great example of why this convergence dream that Comcast, among many others, chased is immaterial for 2026, and it&#8217;s finally acknowledging that.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Yeah. Everyone had to go to Netflix because Netflix had built enough of an audience. I think that&#8217;s where you can begin this conversation, it might be where you can end it — that Comcast is </strong><a href="https://www.theverge.com/tech/958849/comcast-nbcuniversal-company-spinoff-announcement"><strong>going to break itself up</strong></a><strong> into a content arm and a broadband arm.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Maybe those two companies will work together, and maybe they won&#8217;t, but there&#8217;s a moment that I think you can point to and say, &#8220;Oh, this was inevitable. It was inevitable that the dream of a giant multinational conglomerate would have to unbundle itself.&#8221; I feel like we&#8217;re in a time of great unbundling right now.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The media bundles and re-bundles are a classic cliche. We&#8217;re in the unbundling part of the pendulum swing. I&#8217;m sure at some point we&#8217;ll move back to, &#8220;Hey, wouldn&#8217;t it be great if we bundled?&#8221; But the great thing is the bankers and lawyers remain undefeated because they get paid no matter what for every&#8230; You do a transaction, it makes no sense, so you get paid to undo the transaction.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Every time anyone says that to me, I&#8217;m like, &#8220;Why did I quit being a lawyer to be a journalist? I could have been getting paid on every one of these deals.&#8221;</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">But you have more fun.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>It is more fun. Talking to you about this stuff is way more fun than being a lawyer and not being able to talk about it.&nbsp;</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I jumped way into the weeds because it is true that you and I have covered Comcast together and around each other for so long. Let&#8217;s just start at the start here. </strong><a href="https://www.theverge.com/tech/958849/comcast-nbcuniversal-company-spinoff-announcement"><strong>Comcast announced it&#8217;s splitting itself up</strong></a><strong>. At a high level, what&#8217;s happening here?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Comcast started splitting itself up earlier this year. It spun out what is now called Versant. That&#8217;s its collection of cable networks no one wants. It split that off, and that was pure financial engineering. That was, &#8220;Maybe if we get rid of this declining asset, Wall Street will value us more.&#8221; Its stock really has been mired for many, many years. That did not move the stock.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Cut to last week, it announced, &#8220;Okay, we&#8217;ll split ourselves up even more. We are now going to be what we were before we bought NBCUniversal. We&#8217;re going to be Comcast, the company that sells you broadband connections for your home and now other stuff as well.&#8221; That&#8217;ll be one company.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">There&#8217;ll be another company, NBCUniversal, which is NBC, the broadcast network; Bravo, the cable network (for some reason); Peacock, the streaming network; the Universal Studios theme park business, which is a big business; and the actual film and TV studio owned by Universal.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">So, those are big assets and they&#8217;re all entertainment. For years and years, Comcast CEO Brian Roberts, would get asked by all sorts of folks, &#8220;Why do you own a media company and an infrastructure company?&#8221; He would have some answer that didn&#8217;t really make sense. The real answer is actually that they shouldn&#8217;t have those two companies combined. They should be separate companies.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Let&#8217;s rewind just a bit. Comcast buying NBCUniversal was a big deal at the time. A lot of people made the argument that Comcast Universal was the only company of its kind that actually worked, that every other company that had tried to smash together content and pipes failed from the jump. I think AT&amp;T buying Time Warner is the classic example.&nbsp;</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">It didn&#8217;t even get started.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Yeah, they were like, &#8220;Well, this failed instantly.&#8221; AT&amp;T would make crazy arguments about why it would work. It was going to </strong><a href="https://www.wsj.com/arts-culture/television/game-of-thrones-true-blood-creators-3-body-problem-netflix-d0aa9420?mod=style_feat1_magazine_pos1"><strong>load clips of </strong><strong><em>Game of Thrones</em></strong></a><strong> on mid-range Android phones and that would make people pick AT&amp;T.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">And they were going to have amazing data somehow and… underpants gnomes.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>It literally just didn&#8217;t work from the very beginning. There was an argument that Comcast NBCUniversal worked for a time. What was that argument?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I don&#8217;t know about that argument, honestly. It never worked in terms of there being a synergy between owning the pipes that distribute the content and owning the content. Comcast did own some cable stuff before it went and bought NBCUniversal, so that made sense to fold into NBCUniversal.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">You can argue that NBCUniversal performed well as an asset under Comcast. Again, the theme park business is a real business. It&#8217;s invested a lot in that. The studio has had its ups and downs, but it&#8217;s still a thing that exists and is valuable.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">But I don&#8217;t think it&#8217;s ever proven that there was some benefit from adding the content company to the distribution company, which is what a lot of people thought was going to happen when they merged. It freaked out a lot of people: What happens if this big cable distributor now owns these cable networks? In fact, that was a real concern for the Department of Justice. It put all kinds of remedies and restrictions around that merger to prevent abuse. But in the end, I don&#8217;t know that Comcast, the pipes company, was helped at all by owning the content company or vice versa.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>And yet, it persisted this long. We&#8217;re 15 years into this experiment. Why did it last so long if the thesis never made any sense?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Great question. Comcast is a publicly owned company, but it&#8217;s really a family-owned company. It&#8217;s the Roberts family. Like a lot of these big media and now tech companies, they are essentially family-run companies even if they&#8217;re publicly traded. That&#8217;s <em>The New York Times</em>. That used to be Viacom. That&#8217;s now Paramount. We can keep going down the list — <em>The Wall Street Journal</em> is publicly traded and controlled by one family, the Murdochs.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">So it can be as simple as Roberts saying, &#8220;No, this is going to work.&#8221; Mind you, it was still trying to expand the media business as recently as a few months ago. It was bidding for part of Warner Bros. Discovery as the third bidder in that deal. It didn&#8217;t try that aggressively, but it was, in theory, willing to spend billions of dollars to expand that media company.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I think it is probably as simple as after years and years of being told by Wall Street, &#8220;We don&#8217;t value this asset you own at all. We don&#8217;t care about this giant media company you own. We only care about your broadband company,&#8221; Comcast finally said, &#8220;Okay, we will take you at your word, and we&#8217;ll split it up.&#8221; It&#8217;s that simple.<br></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">As for why they stuck it out for 15 years? We do make fun of AT&amp;T buying Warner Media and ditching it a couple of years later. At least with AT&amp;T, you can say it looked around and said, &#8220;We thought we&#8217;d get rewarded by Wall Street for this deal.&#8221; It had this synergy plan for&nbsp; AT&amp;T and Warner Bros. Discovery, but the real answer was, “We thought if we owned a media company, we would get valued like Netflix is valued.” Wall Street, again, did not reward AT&amp;T at all for that deal. So, it turned around and said, &#8220;All right, let&#8217;s just get out of here.&#8221;&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">So, you could argue that AT&amp;T behaved more responsibly than Comcast did. And Comcast would argue, &#8220;Look, we have behaved responsibly. We&#8217;ve grown this asset. The fact that we&#8217;re splitting it up is just a technicality.&#8221;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Two things there. One, it&#8217;s funny because Netflix is fundamentally valued like a tech company, not a media company. So, everyone feels very confused about that just from the jump. Second, AT&amp;T might&#8217;ve been more responsible but fundamentally, the thing it did was give Zack Snyder millions upon millions of dollars to make a </strong><a href="https://www.theverge.com/2021/3/18/22337756/snyder-cut-aspect-ratio-justice-league-hbo-max-warning"><strong>grayscale version of </strong><strong><em>Justice League</em></strong><strong> in 4:3 aspect ratio</strong></a><strong>, which I think is one of the all-time funniest telecom company investments in history.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">It had so many great deals. It did that <em>Friends</em> reunion with poor Matthew Perry all drugged up. Sorry, that&#8217;s actually kind of a grim story. We shouldn&#8217;t get into that.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">It generated a lot of entertainment for us, so that was good. I give it credit for that.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>You and I stayed in business. But it is funny that AT&amp;T, the telecom company, is more like a tech company on its face than a media company, and it chased a tech company evaluation by investing in media. It feels like Comcast wanted that same thing, and it actually got the benefit of running a media company people liked.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Yeah, and it bought it cheap from GE. Again, conglomerates love media companies. Why did GE own a media company? What did they have to do with GE Capital or any of its industrial divisions? Nothing. It just wanted to own a media company.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">It concluded that wasn&#8217;t helping either, so it was spun off at a fairly cheap price. Again, Comcast can say, &#8220;That deal has worked out well for us on our P&amp;L. Shareholders have not rewarded us for it.&#8221;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>This brings us to the immediate question. You&#8217;re going to turn Comcast from one big company into two smaller companies. Is this designed to create value by having those smaller companies get bought themselves and further split up? It seems like all the executives are saying that is </strong><a href="https://deadline.com/2026/06/comcast-split-mergers-media-deals-brian-roberts-1236969705/"><strong>absolutely not the plan</strong></a><strong>, but it feels like an obvious next step.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">It feels like an obvious next step. Like you said, the Comcast folks have been asked about this and said, &#8220;Absolutely not. We&#8217;re not selling. We&#8217;re not selling. We&#8217;re not selling.&#8221; It can be absolutely what they mean, and it can be absolutely what they mean up until the day they decide to sell one of those assets.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">There are tax implications that make it difficult for them to go and turn something around right away, so they might end up holding onto these things for some period of time before they decide to sell them. I think it&#8217;s worth noting that if you&#8217;re a Comcast shareholder, you&#8217;re going to own 20 percent of this spun out company, but not for very long. They&#8217;re going to sell that down. To me, that&#8217;s a little bit of a tell.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">But the main reason this as an M&amp;A event flashed in my mind is that when Warner Bros. Discovery was trying to financially engineer its way out of the mess it made with its AT&amp;T deal, it was going to split the company up into the good company, which was HBO and the movie studio, and then the cable assets. The idea was we&#8217;ll dump the cable assets. Maybe that will make our existing stuff look more valuable to investors.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Also, there are lots of companies out there that want to buy HBO and/or a movie studio. There are no companies out there that want to buy HBO, Warner Bros., <em>and</em> a bunch of declining cable networks. Turns out they were wrong. There was Paramount. But the idea was they were splitting these things up to make them more sellable, to make them more attractive for sale. So, two things can be true at once. It can say it has no intention of selling either of these assets — people think maybe Charter and Comcast is a combination on the other side — but it&#8217;s now more acquirable if it wants to do that.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Let&#8217;s talk about Versant for one second. That was the first thing split off. You can see that it was just trying to cut costs there, most definitively in the rebranding of MS.NOW, upon which it spent approximately $0. The </strong><a href="https://www.theverge.com/news/822028/msnbc-msnow-rebrand-new-website"><strong>graphics package from that is straight out of Microsoft Paint</strong></a><strong>. Zero effort was put towards rebranding MS.NOW.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I will take your word for it because I cannot tell you that I&#8217;m familiar with the MS.NOW graphics package.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>See, this is the reason it didn&#8217;t spend any money on it. CNBC did a little bit better. It kept NBC in the name because that&#8217;s just a household brand. The biggest piece of that puzzle is that CNBC is still doing well.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>What is the future of Versant? If all the cable channels that were distributed on Comcast network are declining and all of Paramount&#8217;s cable channels are declining, it feels like it has only one direction to go in unless it radically reconfigures itself for the internet.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Yep, that&#8217;s what it seems like to me and anyone else from the outside. They go, &#8220;If you thought the stuff was valuable, you would&#8217;ve kept it.&#8221;&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Comcast has two responses to that. One is, &#8220;Hey, if we really thought this was a piece of shit, we would&#8217;ve loaded it up with a bunch of debt like AT&amp;T did with Warner Bros., which then prevented Warner Bros. from ever doing anything else after that. And we have not done that.&#8221; That is true. If it really wanted to make that a garbage disposal of a company, it could have done that.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I had <a href="https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/versant-ceo-mark-lazarus-is-running-a-post-cable/id1080467174?i=1000768706005">Mark Lazarus, the CEO of Versant, on <em>Channels</em></a>. He is aware that his cable assets are declining, and his goal is to build them up with something else. Things are declining, but they still throw off a lot of money. They throw off less money each year, but the idea is that while that stuff is still making money, can we go and find other things that will generate more revenue for us.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">You and I have been covering Comcast forever. The main thing I&#8217;ve done forever is watch old media companies try to struggle with new technology. Even when they can see the future — because some of them can&#8217;t see the future — they all can sort of see the future eventually. “Okay, we know the future&#8217;s over there. The existing business we have is over here. We have to keep running that business or we can&#8217;t get to the new thing.”</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">They usually get screwed. They usually can&#8217;t figure out how to go to the new place while staying in the old place because that would require some kind of time travel. A foot in each canoe is the easier metaphor. So, that is what Versant is trying to do. We have this existing and declining but profitable business, what can we turn that into? That&#8217;s the pitch.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>The reason I ask is that usually a foot in each canoe is great, but you have to turn down the money from the old canoe in order to invest in the new money you might make on the new platforms. Versant makes a lot of money because people have cable packages, and it gets paid for CNBC, MS.NOW, and whatever else regardless of how many people are watching–</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Regardless of whether anybody watches it, yes. Best business model in the world.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>This is maybe the greatest business model in history, right?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">[<em>Laughs</em>] We&#8217;re just doing the podcast for each other at this point.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>If it&#8217;s not obvious by now, listeners should know that Peter and I share a lot of history covering these companies.&nbsp;</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>This is the greatest business model in history. You get paid no matter what because people subscribe to a cable channel subscription bundle. That business is not just in decline for Versant, it&#8217;s in decline overall. You can see it because Comcast&#8217;s pay TV business is essentially in free fall.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>This is called cord-cutting, and it is happening every single month at massive rates. I think it&#8217;s at 50 percent of their peak in 2008? It&#8217;s under 10 million pay TV subscriptions. There&#8217;s a lot of reporting that suggests </strong><a href="https://cordcuttersnews.com/youtube-tv-is-on-track-to-become-larger-than-comcast-spectrum-in-2026-become-americas-largest-provider-of-live-tv/"><strong>YouTube TV is now bigger</strong></a><strong>, which is wild considering how expensive YouTube TV is.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">If YouTube TV is not bigger now, it will be in a year or two. It will be the biggest pay TV company in America.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Is there any way out of that beyond just cutting bait? Because it feels like Comcast splitting off its access division — its broadband and pay TV division — is a sign that that business is going away or getting smaller somehow. Then, Versant is tied to the economics of the pay TV business unless it can reinvent itself. All the cable channels are tied to the economics of the pay TV business.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">So, do you want to talk about Versant or about Comcast, the broadband company?</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Well, I&#8217;m focused on the fact that this one company that has intertwined economics is splitting itself into three. The economics are still intertwined, and I don&#8217;t see how the pay TV business ever recovers. If the pay TV business never recovers, the cable business at Versant can&#8217;t ever recover, so everyone has to pivot away from their core businesses.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Versant can&#8217;t be in the business of selling a package with MS.NOW, CNBC, and the Golf Channel in five years. It knows that. it might still have a segment of that, just like AOL still had a dial-up business for years.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>When I worked at AOL, it was a dirty secret that old ladies were still paying for dial-up.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">That&#8217;s an interesting business school case study, right? You know this thing is happening, what can you do? How can you extract value out of it? Will this thing be a standalone company for X number of years, or will it get combined into something else? Will some version of Bending Spoons <a href="https://www.theverge.com/news/775701/vimeo-bending-spoons-acquisition">buy it for the digital glue factory that is Bending Spoons</a>?</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The Comcast part of it is pretty interesting because for several years now, the Comcast argument has been, &#8220;We&#8217;re not really a cable TV company anymore. In fact, we don&#8217;t actually care if you buy cable TV from us. We&#8217;re happy to sell it to you, but all we want is for you to buy our broadband. And that is an awesome business. It is super high margin.&#8221; They won&#8217;t ever use these words, but it&#8217;ll say, &#8220;We have either a monopoly or a duopoly in almost every market we&#8217;re in. If you want the internet, you&#8217;re getting it from us, and after that, we don&#8217;t care what you do.&#8221;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">That looked like an awesome business. There was a point in which it formally crossed over and had more broadband subscribers than video subscribers, and that was a big moment. Comcast is not a cable TV company anymore. So, if you look at where it is today, shedding media, that all makes sense.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Its other problem, though, is that the broadband business is not as good as it used to be because there is actually competition now. There is fixed wireless internet from T-Mobile and Verizon. I&#8217;m sure folks who listen to <em>Decoder</em> have heard you talk about this in the past, but it went from being a fringe idea to real competition now. Now, its broadband numbers, which used to go up and up every year, are now flat or sometimes down because it&#8217;s facing real competition, so that&#8217;s a problem.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">It&#8217;s trying to engineer the way out of that, but one thing it&#8217;s doing on top of that is saying, &#8220;I guess we should be in another business. Okay, why don&#8217;t we sell wireless? If the wireless guys are going to sell broadband, we can sell wireless.&#8221; So, it&#8217;s now building up a wireless business. There&#8217;s no obvious synergy there other than, &#8220;If you&#8217;re going to buy internet from us, maybe you&#8217;ll buy a phone connection as well.&#8221; So, it is not a clear-cut business like it used to be even five years ago.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>That wireless business has always been a puzzle for me. It&#8217;s tried for many years to bundle wireless in the markets it&#8217;s in, but it&#8217;s always reselling someone else&#8217;s network. It hasn&#8217;t built one of its own. Other big pay TV companies that have tried to build their own wireless networks and pivot their businesses have more or less fallen on their face.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I&#8217;m thinking of Dish Network specifically here. It was supposed to be the big winner of the T-Mobile and Sprint merger where the government literally engineered a deal for it to take over some spectrum and part of Sprint&#8217;s network.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><a href="https://www.theverge.com/tech/959894/dish-chapter-11-bankruptcy"><strong>Dish Network just declared bankruptcy</strong></a><strong>. It just did not work. It is too hard to do at scale. Is Comcast going to try to build its own network in broadband? Is it going to keep reselling Verizon? Does it have a plan to be actually competitive here?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I would assume that it&#8217;s a reselling and bundling plan. I&#8217;m not a spectrum expert by any means, so I&#8217;m not sure what&#8217;s available or what it would need to be competitive in that market. Again, its messaging is, &#8220;We&#8217;re a buyer, not a seller.&#8221; So, if you&#8217;re a Comcast and you&#8217;re running a broadband and wireless company, what would you buy that would make you more competitive? I don&#8217;t know.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I&#8217;m sure there are listeners right now who are screaming at me that Dish Network&#8217;s &#8220;we&#8217;re going to stand up a network” plan was always a sham in order to collect spectrum assets and resell them at a profit later, which is what happened, but it still drove that company into bankruptcy.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I&#8217;m very curious if the Comcast broadband division that&#8217;s going to get split out has a plan to grow. I&#8217;m looking at the numbers. I think it </strong><a href="https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/04/20/comcast-trades-at-just-8-times-earnings-after-losi/"><strong>lost 700,000 subscribers last year</strong></a><strong>. That&#8217;s a huge number. Its only way to grow is to grow outside of the markets it&#8217;s in.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>There&#8217;s some talk that it&#8217;ll </strong><a href="https://www.cnbc.com/2026/06/29/comcast-nbcu-spinoff-m-and-a.html"><strong>combine with Charter</strong></a><strong>, which doesn&#8217;t operate in the same markets as Comcast, but that doesn&#8217;t get you any economy of scale. Running a bigger physical network doesn&#8217;t get cheaper. It actually only gets more expensive.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Its announced strategy to deal with these losses and this overall problem is, &#8220;We&#8217;re going to operate it better.&#8221; That has to do with pricing, deals, and how it&#8217;s been selling, how it&#8217;s going to make the selling easier, and all of that. Sure, operate it better. But that&#8217;s a “fix the business, not grow the business” plan.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Every Comcast subscriber just heard their internet provider say they&#8217;re going to cut costs and operate leaner, and I&#8217;m sure they thought about their customer service experience and those cheaper fixed wireless plans. This is the conundrum it&#8217;s in. It has to provide a higher quality service for less money.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Is this the part of the story where we mention Elon Musk?</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Actually, yeah, it&#8217;s literally the next question. We&#8217;re doing the podcast together. This is great.&nbsp;</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>SpaceX went public. The only part of that company that makes money is its telecom division, Starlink, so much so that there are </strong><a href="https://www.forbes.com/sites/tylerroush/2026/06/25/spacex-could-acquire-t-mobile-as-it-expands-into-wireless-analyst-says/"><strong>rumors that it will buy T-Mobile</strong></a><strong>. This is hilarious to me because SpaceX is chasing telecom economics with its fixed costs of launch and everything else it&#8217;s doing, and I don&#8217;t know if telecom economics can support it.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">But that&#8217;s because you&#8217;re not smart enough, you don&#8217;t have enough intelligence, you&#8217;re not creative enough to understand what a galaxy-sized [total addressable market] is, Nilay.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>[</strong><strong><em>Laughs</em></strong><strong>] Yeah, the whole world.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I have no idea. I mean look, it&#8217;s already competing with the T-Mobile’s and Verizon&#8217;s to sell you internet access, and it may be competing with Elon Musk. Again, just because Elon Musk enters a market does not mean he wins. We&#8217;ve now seen evidence of that several different times. But he&#8217;s certainly a real player that Comcast has to worry about.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>The Starlink premise, at least until now, has been, it will bring you broadband quality connectivity in places where no cable company would ever dare to spend the infrastructure investment to lay fiber. Comcast has big physical plants mostly in cities. I used to live in Chicago as a Comcast customer. It is true that Comcast was essentially a monopoly or duopoly in almost every apartment building in Chicago, and most people I knew had Comcast.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Starlink has to show up and compete there in ways that it can&#8217;t yet. This is why people think it might buy T-Mobile. But then the competition looks like a price war where customers can get pretty fast access for the same or less money. I would say Comcast has done almost everything it can do in its history to avoid that kind of competition. Has it shown any signs of being able to meet that?&nbsp;</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">No. It&#8217;s been facing real competition from the telcos and losing broadband subs. What they’ve said is, &#8220;Okay, the people who were doing that aren&#8217;t running that business anymore. We have new people running the business.&#8221; That&#8217;s the real answer there.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I will say — again, I really know very little about spectrum — there are sober-minded people who continue to think that there is a hard cap in the fixed wireless business in terms of how many customers it can serve, that there&#8217;s literally physical limits on what you can do with that. I think Comcast&#8217;s hope is probably that these guys can only get so big and that they can&#8217;t get into its markets beyond that.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">But that&#8217;s also the inverse of whatever cable TV executive was saying from 2010 to 2015 that, &#8220;Well, maybe cable TV subscriptions will slow a little bit, but they&#8217;re not going to go to 50 percent.&#8221; And now they&#8217;re at 50 percent.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>The other hope I hear is that Starlink does require a fiber network on the ground. You can connect to satellites all day long, but they have to hit a ground station, and then you need massive bandwidth on the ground to support all those customers. Maybe, just maybe, these ISPs will put themselves in the business of supplying the backhaul at high rates.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I just can&#8217;t believe we&#8217;re still talking about ISPs in 2026, but here we are.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>The whole world runs on these things, man. It was inevitable that you and I would have this conversation. You thought this was boring when I was obsessed with it in 2011.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">It was funny. I did a <a href="https://podcasts.voxmedia.com/show/land-of-the-giants">seven- or eight-part narrative podcast about Netflix</a> for the Vox Media Podcast Network several years ago, and I was like, &#8220;Oh, I&#8217;ve been following this company forever and I know the beats of it and I know what&#8217;s important and we&#8217;re definitely going to spend one episode talking about Netflix’s huge fight with Comcast (the one you brought up at the beginning) and how crucial it was for it to figure out how to move bits around the internet more effectively and who was going to control how those bits were gated, etc.”</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">This is nerdy stuff but it was core to the company, and I would tell my colleagues about this and they all just gave me a blank look. No matter how many times I tried to retell the story, they gave me a blank look. My point is that no one in my world wants to hear about Comcast fighting Netflix over the future of the internet. But like you referenced, it was a big, big deal in, what, 2010 to 2015? It was like a five-year period, and they were angry.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>They were mad.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Those guys were going at each other. Now, they&#8217;re business partners, but it seemed at the time that this was an existential problem for both of them. Who was going to control those pipes? Was there going to be a tollbooth for the data that moved through those pipes? And the answer is, &#8220;Eh.&#8221;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>So this does interest me. Here we go. If you&#8217;re listening to this, this episode so far has been Peter and I debating whether or not this is important or interesting for over a decade. So, here&#8217;s my argument for why it&#8217;s important and interesting. If you&#8217;re a </strong><strong><em>Decoder</em></strong><strong> listener, you had to know this was coming.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>The fight was whether Comcast and the other internet providers could turn internet access into cable TV. It was whether they could recapitulate that business model, which we have both agreed is the greatest business model in the history of the world. AT&amp;T tried to do it, Comcast tried to do it, literally every ISP tried to do it.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>AOL maybe did it the best and that&#8217;s why it bought Time Warner. You bought access from AOL over a phone line, you opened the AOL app, and it showed you content. The idea that it could put economics around that content and preference its own was at the heart of AOL&#8217;s entire purchase of Time Warner. It failed disastrously, I think we should note, but that was the argument.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>The argument for Comcast, AT&amp;T, and whoever else who wanted to buy content and put it on their pipes was that they would charge everyone else to reach you, the consumer, and give you their stuff for free. Then, the economics of their stuff would increase in some way.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Or in the most hopeful scenario, you would also pick Comcast as your ISP because it had NBC and it would keep NBC away from Verizon, or make NBC so expensive to access on Verizon that when the Olympics came around, it was cheaper for you to switch to Comcast than to pay the rates on Verizon.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Maybe more simply, it would just say, &#8220;Netflix, you have this great service. It only works if people can get on the internet, so you&#8217;re just going to pay us a little for each customer.&#8221;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>And that would get passed on to the consumer.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Yes.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>So your rates as an internet customer would vary in spectacular ways depending on what your ISP was, and this was the fear. I think the reason it was an outrageous fear in 2010 or 2011 was that all of the internet platform startups realized that this was an existential threat to them.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>This is why Alexis Ohanian, the co-founder of Reddit, </strong><a href="https://www.forbes.com/sites/andygreenberg/2012/06/05/how-reddits-alexis-ohanian-became-the-mayor-of-the-internet/"><strong>styled himself as the mayor of the internet</strong></a><strong>. He toured around the country on a bus being like, &#8220;We have to have net neutrality because if they can throttle Reddit, I won&#8217;t be able to pay, and it&#8217;s the ISPs that will determine which platforms succeed or fail.&#8221;</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>The moment I&#8217;m talking about, when Reed Hastings said to you, &#8220;We&#8217;re big enough so that net neutrality doesn&#8217;t matter anymore,&#8221; I think we all saw that it was over. But the reason I&#8217;m saying I knew then that it was over for the ISPs and their media dreams was that consumers had picked Netflix and they would not tolerate the fee.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>So, Netflix had enough leverage to say, &#8220;No, our content is going to be on your networks, whether or not you want it to be.&#8221; Everyone else could just piggyback on Netflix and say, &#8220;Nope, YouTube has the same arrangement.&#8221; If you have an AT&amp;T network or a Comcast network, charge your customers a fee, and then you charge them more to access the things they want, that won&#8217;t work.&nbsp;</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>This was the argument. It&#8217;s the argument from all of the FCC people. It&#8217;s the </strong><a href="https://www.theverge.com/decoder-podcast-with-nilay-patel/652470/verizon-consumer-sowmyanarayan-sampath-net-neutrality-5g-china"><strong>argument from the Verizon executives</strong></a><strong> who&#8217;ve been on the show. It ultimately came to nothing because the market demanded net neutrality.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">If you would ask a telco person about this during this entire time, they would go, &#8220;Point out one time where this has happened, where we successfully extorted someone into paying us more for access to our pipes.”</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>There were so many times.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Honestly, I think this was much more of a fight with the cable networks who wanted distribution. Bloomberg versus Comcast was a long-running fight about what kind of carriage Bloomberg could get on Comcast-owned pipes.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">That is still a big deal for the remaining companies that still have cable TV networks. Your cable TV network has zero utility if you can&#8217;t deliver it to someone&#8217;s TV, and that was a real problem. Although, as I&#8217;m saying that, none of that matters now because you can just distribute it via a digital service provider. But yeah, I think net neutrality mattered much more to the cable TV networks than it ever did to an internet company.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Well, I think the internet companies all needed it to matter. They needed it to not be there so they could preference their own content. This is the argument that I&#8217;m making. If Comcast had a Peacock and watching Peacock was free while watching Netflix incurred some additional charge, we&#8217;d all understand why Comcast customers would probably watch more Peacock today than they do Netflix.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>But they weren&#8217;t allowed to do this. First, because they all insisted the market wouldn&#8217;t let them. Secondly, and maybe more importantly, the regulator said in that big, complicated Comcast NBCUniversal merger agreement that you can&#8217;t do that for a long period of time. So, they weren&#8217;t allowed to achieve their vision.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>AT&amp;T tried this in weird ways. There was a time when </strong><a href="https://www.theverge.com/2020/6/2/21277402/hbo-max-att-data-caps-netflix-disney-plus-streaming-services-net-neutrality"><strong>HBO Max didn&#8217;t hit the data cap</strong></a><strong> for AT&amp;T subscribers, and they got real spiky when I asked them about it. Then, it turned it off because it realized it didn&#8217;t want that fight, and it didn&#8217;t matter because no one was using their AT&amp;T phones to watch HBO Max anyway.&nbsp;</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>There&#8217;s something here where it could have played out differently, where the self-preferencing of the networks for their own content might have actually worked.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I guess. I look back at every attempt from every company to make you watch something you didn&#8217;t want to watch, as opposed to paying for something you didn&#8217;t want to pay for. That&#8217;s different. That&#8217;s the cable bundle. We agree that’s the best business model ever.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">But getting you to watch the thing that you don&#8217;t want to watch on the service you didn&#8217;t want to watch? The internet says that doesn&#8217;t work. What you can do is say, &#8220;Here&#8217;s some free shit with ads; it&#8217;s not great but it&#8217;s free,&#8221; and people will watch it. YouTube has that model. So is… what is the Roku channel? Is it Howdy? No, actually there&#8217;s The Roku channel, which is free and just on your Roku TV. It has a lot of shit, but it&#8217;s free. That is now a reasonably-sized internet video provider.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">That can work, but you can&#8217;t say, &#8220;You must watch Netflix or we&#8217;re going to make Netflix $5 cheaper, so you will have to pay for it as compared to Peacock.&#8221; We haven&#8217;t ever seen that play out. It&#8217;s dumb to get overly optimistic and cheery about the internet in 2026, but we have seen that one thing that the overlords have not been able to pull off is to get us to pay for video we don&#8217;t want to pay for. That&#8217;s the one little bit of freedom we still have.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>They&#8217;re all moving to ad-supported one way or another.&nbsp;</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Actually, you brought up Roku. The question I have is, where does the vertical integration begin and end? </strong><a href="https://www.theverge.com/business/949727/fox-roku-acquisition-22-billion"><strong>Fox is buying Roku</strong></a><strong> to get access to its distribution, its customers, and all of those TVs. That kind of vertical integration seems alive and well. Netflix was in the market to buy Warner Bros. Discovery. Paramount might still be in the market to buy NBCUniversal. NBCUniversal might be in the market to buy some other stuff. That kind of integration seems like it&#8217;s going to keep happening.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>But the actual pipe, the actual internet connection — whether that&#8217;s wired or wireless — that&#8217;s the one that doesn&#8217;t ever seem to work. Why do you think there&#8217;s a big difference there?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The short answer is I don&#8217;t know. Also, I&#8217;m pretty interested to see what happens with Roku and Fox because in a lot of ways, this is another one of these content distribution plays that we have seen not work for more than 15 years — 20 years, 30 years —&nbsp; going back to AOL and Time Warner. You could argue that there&#8217;s less levered onto this. It&#8217;s a smaller deal. There are no grand proclamations that this is going to connect everyone to everything. This is for a subset of internet TV watchers.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Another is sort of practical. I think one of the reasons that Fox and Roku may be constrained will be the same reasons that all these other companies were constrained separate from regulation. If you have an asset like HBO, you want HBO to be distributed as widely as possible to as many people as possible. Privileging Roku customers in some way is likely to be counterproductive. It&#8217;s not going to convince people to get Roku so they can get HBO. It&#8217;s going to convince people to go, &#8220;Oh, it&#8217;s just a pain in the ass to get HBO if I also have to get it through Roku.&#8221;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">That&#8217;s what happens time and time again with all of these content plus pipe deals. Everyone realizes there&#8217;s nothing proprietary we can keep that will convince someone to get our broadband through us. Another version of this is Xbox, right? People like playing <em>Halo</em> but not enough to buy an Xbox so they can play that game. They want to play other games. Does that all make sense?</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>It does. It&#8217;s funny you brought up Xbox, because </strong><a href="https://www.theverge.com/2012/5/15/3021839/comcast-throttling-net-neutrality-xfinity-netflix-xbox"><strong>Xbox is the other famous example of Comcast zero-rating a service</strong></a><strong> and people freaking out until it was turned off. Zero-rating, by the way, is when some data doesn&#8217;t hit your data cap and some does.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Again, there&#8217;s a long history here of these companies trying to do the thing that would make the economics of owning the distribution and the content together work but then immediately meeting either market or regulatory backlash.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I think the market in the end has been more important than regulatory.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>It&#8217;s true that people want net neutrality, and it&#8217;s funny that for as boring as it is, the market does freak out whenever you point out that the bad thing is happening. So, you may not need the regulation because everyone&#8217;s always so mad about it.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">You were <a href="https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/brian-stelter-on-the-60-minutes-mess-nilay-patel-on/id1080467174?i=1000771997954">on my podcast recently</a>, and you brought this up, right? You can&#8217;t have an iPhone without access to Instagram. It doesn&#8217;t matter whether Mark Zuckerberg and Tim Cook like each other. They have to play nicely, or nice enough, to make that work. They both lose if it doesn&#8217;t work. Again, I guess that&#8217;s the market working.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>It&#8217;s funny, you ask most cable subscribers or broadband subscribers, &#8220;Is this market working? Are you getting faster speeds for less money?&#8221; I think most of them would say no. But it is competitive in very specific ways.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">What&#8217;s also hilarious is that people say on the internet and in real life that, &#8220;I wish we could go back to the old days where you just got all your stuff from one company and it was called cable TV. Wouldn&#8217;t that be funny?&#8221; I&#8217;m like, &#8220;Yes, it&#8217;d be funny.&#8221; You hated it! Everyone fucking hated that model. Everyone who says we should go back to that model either was not alive, was not paying their bill back when that model existed, or just memory wiped themselves.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Comcast, Tele-Communications, Inc. (TCI), or whatever your cable company was, was the most loathed company in the world because you hated them. They gave you shitty service and they made you buy things you didn&#8217;t want. Now we&#8217;re in a world where they might still give you shitty service, but you don&#8217;t have to buy things you don&#8217;t want from them.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>And every tech company thought they could take the living room by just putting a nicer user interface around your cable box because the cable box interfaces were so bad and so insulated from competition. All of that failed against the miserable technology stack of cable television.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Yes. But now you have Roku, which is successful.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>And now you have YouTube TV, which is a growing cable provider. I think that&#8217;s because it is everywhere. It&#8217;s on your phone, on your TV, and all of the other places without that second push to subscribe to some physical connectivity.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">It works great on your phone. They are marketing the hell out of it. They are putting money into it. I ask YouTube and Google people all the time why they don&#8217;t push it even harder. It&#8217;s essentially selling you the same cable TV package at the same price as everyone else. Why not sell the same cable TV package at half the price? You&#8217;re Google. Why don&#8217;t you just eat the losses for X number of years and own the entire connected TV market?&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>It&#8217;s funny that you asked that. I&#8217;m like, &#8220;Why don&#8217;t you just put the sports in 4K? Why don&#8217;t you just pay the money and put 4K cameras in every NFL stadium? You&#8217;re Google. You can figure it out. Then, I&#8217;ll have 4K NFL and pay you as much money as you want.&#8221;</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>They just kind of look at me and they say, &#8220;The local TV market is more complicated than that.&#8221; Then, they get a 1,000-yard stare. The reality is, &#8220;No, we&#8217;ve got to distribute to a bunch of local broadcasters, we&#8217;ve got to share these feeds, and regulators are involved.&#8221; It can&#8217;t just throw money at the problem the way I think it wants to.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>That is a big mess, right? That whole TV ecosystem is a relic from maybe three different eras: the broadcast era when there were only three networks in the entire country; the premium cable era when HBO was ascendant; and now whatever declining era we&#8217;re in where there&#8217;s 45 subchannels on my main NBC broadcast that are all infomercials. I don&#8217;t know what they&#8217;re doing.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>There&#8217;s something happening there that seems hard to reckon with that everyone&#8217;s just running away from, but it&#8217;s still there. Everyone still has to deal with it. And it&#8217;s still the main economics for everybody. FCC Chair Brendan Carr is running around saying, &#8220;I can regulate ABC content because of broadcast spectrum.&#8221;&nbsp;</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>That&#8217;s a lot of machinery. That&#8217;s a lot of complexity. Is one of the reasons you would take NBCUniversal and the studios away and apart is to chase cleaner, purer, direct-to-consumer internet distribution instead of that whole mess? Or are they still going to have to deal with that whole mess?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">It&#8217;s just saying that those businesses are not connected. We&#8217;re back to where we started. We thought we could connect them in some way, but they remain unconnected. They&#8217;re completely separate businesses.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Again, the real answer is that we think our stock will go up if we get rid of this thing that is dragging our stock down. More optimistically, this media company has no value right now. If we split it, then we&#8217;ll have a media company and a broadband company, so maybe we&#8217;ll have some lift by owning two companies instead of one.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>We&#8217;ve talked about the broadband company quite a lot. Let&#8217;s talk about the media company for one second. NBCUniversal is a player. It has a sparkling brand name. It has the Minions. It has the parks, as you&#8217;ve mentioned.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Taylor Sheridan.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Yes, Taylor Sheridan now. He&#8217;s going to get better — or worse — at writing women with the power of AI. We&#8217;re going to find out.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">We don&#8217;t need women in our TV.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>[</strong><strong><em>Laughs</em></strong><strong>] Is that the winner of all this? Is that the company you want to be at?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Everyone I talk to at Versant has a good game face: &#8220;We can invest in our own future and we don&#8217;t have to worry about feeding the parent company.&#8221; They all have the same handbook. I don&#8217;t know how much they believe it. I think you can make a pretty strong case that NBCUniversal as a standalone company is interesting, either as a standalone company or as an asset to be acquired by somebody else.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">You can&#8217;t replicate that theme park business. I can&#8217;t understate how big of a deal that is, especially in a world where AI is going to be the future and people are going to want tactile experiences. That is a great thing to own. The studio is super valuable. <a href="https://www.theverge.com/streaming/960235/comcast-breakup-peacock-streaming">Peacock has not really worked</a>, and it&#8217;s been reluctant to throw around the same kind of money their rivals have, so I don&#8217;t know what will become of that.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">And broadcast, man. Broadcast is hot again. What you keep hearing from the Paramount folks is that yes, they bought all those cable TV assets. They know that&#8217;s not their future either. They&#8217;re going to try to milk money out of them just like Versant is, but they really think that broadcast TV is a special thing. That mostly comes down to broadcast TV being a thing you can show football on, and that&#8217;s super valuable. But they seem to think that is a very valuable asset.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Again, there are only a handful of broadcast TV networks. NBC owns one of them. Another way of putting it is that there are only a handful of places where you can distribute NFL programming to all of America, and it owns one of them. So yeah, it&#8217;s a thing.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>It&#8217;s the sports piece that makes broadcast valuable. The NFL is the big one. It&#8217;s the World Cup right now. The idea that you need big, free sports distribution that you control seems ascendant.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">That&#8217;s really the NFL, right? I mean, the primary reason CBS and Fox, in particular, exist is to distribute football. Fox basically doesn&#8217;t have any other programming. It has some reality shows and it has football. That&#8217;s what it does now.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>It&#8217;s funny, I was watching the World Cup on Fox One yesterday, which is its big streaming app. They&#8217;re very proud of it. It&#8217;s a new platform. You have to either pay for it or log into it with a cable provider. I was watching it and I did what I think everyone does: I opened TikTok on my phone to be distracted from the thing I was ostensibly watching. The first thing I got was the official Fox TikTok account streaming the same game for free.&nbsp;</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>The economics of this make no sense to me. You need to reach the young consumer on this platform for free — and who knows how you&#8217;re monetizing it — or you&#8217;re going to make old people pay to watch it on TVs or apps, which they don&#8217;t know how to download and they have to go through some horrible auth flow.&nbsp;</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>How does any of that work? Does that ever get reconciled? The kids are all going to watch TikTok for free? A big thesis on the show is that we all have to reckon with the fact that there&#8217;s an army of teenagers making content for free on Instagram and TikTok every single day, and every media business has to just ignore the elephant in the room that destroys their cost structure.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">That&#8217;s well put. I don&#8217;t know if they have an answer. Every time I hear them talk about it, it&#8217;s the wrong answer. They&#8217;ll say things like, &#8220;Well, if we make this in a format that works for phones, then people will pay for it.&#8221; I mean, <a href="https://www.theverge.com/2020/10/22/21528404/quibi-shut-down-cost-subscribers-content-tv-movies-katzenberg-whitman-tiktok-netflix">there&#8217;s Quibi</a>, but a million other things like that. It&#8217;s not that no one can watch something on their phone. It&#8217;s that no one wants to pay for the stuff that you have on their phone. They don&#8217;t want to pay for most things. They can get most things for free.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">That is why sports remain sports. Also, Fox <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/05/24/world/europe/fifa-world-cup-fox-broadcast-rights.html">paid almost nothing</a>. They paid $500 million for the World Cup. Deal of the century for them, especially with the extra water breaks. Sports is the one thing that is immune to this. But even that&#8217;s not really true because young people don&#8217;t watch sports.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Find a Zoomer and ask them to sit and watch a two or three-hour football game, no fucking way. So, this is one of those things where the economics are not sustainable. It has to collapse. It has to have a reset. Year after year, we say this, and year after year, the rights for sports go up and up and up.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Because it&#8217;s the only thing that can consistently draw an audience.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">One day it has to snap. One day it will reach a point where NBC, ABC, or Paramount will cry uncle and say, &#8220;We can&#8217;t do this.&#8221; I mean, you already saw Warner Bros. pass on basketball, which is a much, much smaller sport. It&#8217;ll be a big fucking deal when one of those companies bows out one way or the other. That will be a giant shift. But we keep saying that, and it does not happen.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>By the way, my prediction is that eventually, YouTube just pays the money to have it all. It already pays for NFL Sunday Ticket. It&#8217;s already the big NFL partner. At some point, it&#8217;s just going to say, &#8220;Look, it&#8217;s all on YouTube. We&#8217;re just going to take the whole thing.&#8221; Then, the NFL will have to reckon with the fact that there&#8217;s nothing next to YouTube that can compete the way that CBS can compete with Fox or with ABC.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Yeah. I mean, the NFL is religion and politics all wrapped up in one. I don&#8217;t know how you ever get to a place where the US government allows all of football to be only in one place. I think it wants it distributed. So, we&#8217;ll see.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>There&#8217;s already some noise about this. This is a different episode, but the </strong><a href="https://www.wpr.org/news/congress-antitrust-broadcasting-law-green-bay-packers"><strong>Green Bay Packers are at the center</strong></a><strong> of this noise. The economics of the Green Bay Packers are tied up in sports rights in the way that you&#8217;re talking about.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Could NBCUniversal be a buyer? Could it buy a bunch of other stuff that&#8217;s available? Could it get bigger?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">That&#8217;s what it&#8217;s saying. Its argument is, &#8220;We are a buyer, not a seller.&#8221; On the record, this is what it wants to do.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>So, you&#8217;d buy a bunch of studios and content and put it out on TikTok?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I don&#8217;t really know what you&#8217;d buy. There&#8217;s a bunch of cable networks available. No one wants to buy those. Does it go do transformational things? Does it do little tuck-in businesses? Again, if you talk to Versant about how it&#8217;s going to build the business, it talks about the online golf stuff, where you can buy tee times. It&#8217;s been talking about that for literally a decade. So, I&#8217;m not sure what these businesses would be that you can tack onto the media business.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>The big argument for all the big studios has long been whether they will be a supplier to platforms like Netflix or build their own distribution. Thus far, all the big studios have taken a run at building their own distribution.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Paramount built Paramount Plus. Disney built Disney Plus. NBCUniversal alone did not build NBCU Plus. It built something called Peacock. Peacock is not as big as the others. As you&#8217;ve said, it hasn&#8217;t invested in it as much as the other studios. Is there a chance it just gives up and it becomes a supplier to the Netflix’s of the world?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">That is always a possibility. That has been an internal debate for a long time. Before all these companies went to create their own distribution to build their own Disney Plus, they were very happy to be Netflix suppliers. They thought it was a great business because they were selling all their stuff at huge markups, and Netflix was a dummy for buying it. Then, they realized what they had created.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Then, Netflix got to roll up and say, &#8220;We&#8217;re so big, it doesn&#8217;t matter.&#8221;</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I could definitely see a world where some version of NBCUniversal is the broadcast business, the studio, and the theme park. Then, if Netflix or anybody else wants to buy the programming, go for it.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Could it sell to one of the tech companies, like an Amazon or an Apple?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I don&#8217;t even know how to put this. Yes, they could. The politics of that are very complicated because we don&#8217;t know who&#8217;s going to be in office and what regulatory stances we&#8217;re going to have. There are deals that the Murdochs can do in 2026 that the Roberts family would have a harder time pulling off. I think that Trump is fundamentally transactional, not ideological, so there&#8217;s always a way to make the deal work.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">By the way, even as he&#8217;s doling out favors to the Murdochs, he&#8217;s <a href="https://www.cnbc.com/2026/04/13/trump-epstein-murdoch-wsj-lawsuit-dismissed.html">suing them for $10 billion</a> — no cognitive dissonance there. So, I think a lot of folks assume there will be combinations of these assets no matter what the Comcast executives were saying on their investor call last week.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Well, just to make it plain. The Murdoch family owns Fox News</strong><strong><em> </em></strong><strong>and </strong><strong><em>The Wall Street Journal</em></strong><strong> — specifically </strong><strong><em>The Wall Street Journal</em></strong><strong>’s editorial page, which is religiously pro-Trump</strong><strong><em>, </em></strong><strong>and the</strong><strong><em> New York Post</em></strong><strong>, which is religiously pro-Trump.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I disagree about <em>The Journal</em>, but go on.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Well, it doesn&#8217;t like tariffs.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">It&#8217;s far to the right. But they criticize Trump quite a bit, but not that it matters. Go on.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>We could get into it, but it doesn&#8217;t like tariffs. It doesn&#8217;t like screaming with the Fed. It&#8217;s with him on almost everything else.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">It came out in favor of birthright citizenship the other day. <a href="https://www.wsj.com/opinion/world-cup-u-s-mens-soccer-team-immigrants-birthright-citizenship-0e9b5082?mod=hp_opin_pos_1">It noted</a> that several of the US men&#8217;s national soccer team&#8217;s players were not born in America, and it&#8217;s good that they get to play for America.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>[</strong><strong><em>Laughs</em></strong><strong>] All right. We can agree to disagree on </strong><strong><em>The Wall Street Journal</em></strong><strong>&#8216;s editorial page, but it&#8217;s the Murdoch family. Everyone knows where they&#8217;re generally politically aligned.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>The Roberts family ran MSNBC. They&#8217;re potentially politically aligned in a very different way. Is there a chance that this split is so that they can do mergers and acquisitions without the stain of MSNBC or MS.NOW?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">It&#8217;s definitely something I thought about. I think that is a lot of bending. If there&#8217;s something you want to accomplish, there are easier ways to make Donald Trump happy than splitting your company up.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I have thought about whether not having to worry about what Donald Trump says makes it cleaner and easier for the Roberts family to maneuver since they no longer own MSNBC or NBC. What are the things he cares about? He thinks about things that are on broadcast and cable television. So, there’s maybe a there there, but I wonder if we&#8217;re just doing 5D chess.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>At the end of the day, Comcast was the company that best executed the strategy of having a bigISP and a big content arm that would work together, and that has all come apart. I think it&#8217;s come apart because of internet platforms at large. Meta exists. Instagram exists. YouTube exists. People are spending their time in different ways that have nothing to do with the economics of Hollywood.&nbsp;</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I was just at Cannes. Everyone is talking about creators at Cannes as though they were just invented yesterday </strong><a href="https://www.theverge.com/podcast/961603/raina-penchansky-ali-berman-dba-uta-influencer-cliff-marketing"><strong>because they&#8217;re the future of marketing in some huge way</strong></a><strong>. They&#8217;re the future of audiences in some way. I spent time listening to creators at Cannes talk about how they&#8217;re spending more money making video than ever before, and I thought, &#8220;Oh, we&#8217;re just doing Hollywood again.&#8221; It&#8217;s because the ad dollars are there to be directly integrated into the content they&#8217;re putting on YouTube.&nbsp;</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Is this party just over for Hollywood? There&#8217;s a part of me that says there&#8217;s a whole generation of creators and creatives who came up in a different economic model. That model is ascendant, and it is the only model that works.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Sony was a company that made huge IP and then monetized it by selling it to different TV providers around the world, and had buildings full of accountants running audits on how many times the video was played on NBC5 in Chicago. That&#8217;s all over. Those economics are over, and maybe this just needs to be a clean break. Is there a way out? Is this split the way out or are we all just shuffling deck chairs?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">It&#8217;s funny. Sony was supposed to be a synergy company too because they had this electronics company. Come on, there was never any synergy between Sony, the company that brought you the Walkman, and the Sony that brought you Adam Sandler movies. Just none. They just happened to be owned by the same conglomerate.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>[Laughs] Hey, they use the Spider-Man font on the PS3.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I don&#8217;t know about the end of Hollywood stuff. I know that we like to write narratives. It&#8217;s a very exciting narrative. People who have a reason to pitch that narrative have a reason to pitch that narrative. Aren&#8217;t <em>Obsession</em> and <a href="https://www.theverge.com/entertainment/938437/backrooms-youtube-kane-parsons-a12"><em>Backrooms</em></a> exciting? I mean, people are going to see <em>The Odyssey</em> from NBCUniversal this summer, and that&#8217;s a giant, epic movie. There&#8217;s going to be a new Spider-Man movie from Sony. That&#8217;s a giant, epic movie.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Could you, in theory, finance these things yourself and do it without making a studio? Sure, I guess. But record labels still exist. There is some combination of capital and talent that still allows these companies to create what the individual creator cannot. It seems like consumers want both of those things, not either or.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">So, I would assume they exist in some form, but I do think they get gutted quite a bit. Knowing that your competitors are people who are spending next to nothing just makes it harder and harder if you are a giant Hollywood studio to justify the way you&#8217;re spending money.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>As you report on all this, is there self-awareness from these media executives that these big bets didn&#8217;t work and they need to try something else in a different cost structure?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Usually, you need an entirely new executive to come in. I mean, that&#8217;s what you&#8217;re seeing at Xbox right now. This morning, they put out a memo basically saying that their predecessors at Xbox got this all wrong. The only way you can sort of acknowledge it is if you bring in a new team and say the people who were here before are the ones who screwed up, which is actually not a new dynamic.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The CEO of AT&amp;T was the guy pushing for the AT&amp;T Warner Bros. Discovery deal when he was COO. Then, he became CEO and sold Warner Bros. saying,, &#8220;Oh, that was never my deal to begin with.&#8221; Everyone decided that that was a polite fiction they would live with. It&#8217;s a great world. If you and I spend $83 billion in the wrong way, we see real consequences and other people get raises.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Well, Peter, I suspect you and I will be talking to each other many more times over the next year or so as all of these splits happen across all these companies because none of this seems settled. It also seems like there&#8217;s a lot of money that&#8217;s going to fly around without a thesis and it&#8217;s our job to figure out what the story actually is.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">It&#8217;s great fun to write about. Over the last year or so, I was saying, &#8220;I&#8217;m kind of getting tired of this beat. I feel like I spent years talking about what would happen if the internet finally became TV.&#8221; Well, it did become TV, and it&#8217;s really fucking boring. It&#8217;s just Peacock and some streaming services, and that&#8217;s not fun to write about. It feels like it is now splitting again, and that is extra fun for us to cover.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>The bundling part of the cycle is pretty boring. The unbundling cycle seems wild. There are a lot more characters. They&#8217;re literally having to compete more. And somewhere in there is Elon Musk saying he will fund a rocket company with telecom margins, which… who knows, man.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Peter, this was wonderful. We&#8217;ll have to have you back soon. Thank you for coming on </strong><strong><em>Decoder</em></strong><strong>.&nbsp;</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Thanks, Nilay.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><em><sub>Questions or comments? Hit us up at decoder@theverge.com. We really do read every email!</sub></em></p>
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			<entry>
			
			<author>
				<name>Nilay Patel</name>
			</author>
			
			<title type="html"><![CDATA[Inside the big business of the creator economy, with the agents making it happen]]></title>
			<link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="https://www.theverge.com/podcast/961603/raina-penchansky-ali-berman-dba-uta-influencer-cliff-marketing" />
			<id>https://www.theverge.com/?p=961603</id>
			<updated>2026-07-08T09:09:09-04:00</updated>
			<published>2026-07-06T10:30:00-04:00</published>
			<category scheme="https://www.theverge.com" term="Creators" /><category scheme="https://www.theverge.com" term="Decoder" /><category scheme="https://www.theverge.com" term="Podcasts" /><category scheme="https://www.theverge.com" term="Tech" />
							<summary type="html"><![CDATA[We’ve got another special episode of Decoder today, recorded at the Cannes Lions advertising festival in the South of France. I’m talking with Ali Berman and Raina Penchansky, who run the Creators division at United Talent Agency. UTA is an enormous talent agency. Half the people you’ve ever heard speak or perform or who show [&#8230;]]]></summary>
			
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<p class="has-drop-cap wp-block-paragraph">We’ve got another special episode of <em>Decoder</em> today, recorded at the Cannes Lions advertising festival in the South of France. I’m talking with Ali Berman and Raina Penchansky, who run the Creators division at United Talent Agency.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">UTA is an enormous talent agency. Half the people you’ve ever heard speak or perform or who show up anywhere have UTA agents representing them. For full disclosure, that includes me! UTA handled the sale of the forthcoming <em>Decoder </em>book. Which means I paid them money, making this a reverse conflict of interest. Now you know.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Anyhow, that has nothing to do with Ali and Raina, whose Creators division represents some of the biggest creators and influencers in the world — stars as diverse as Charli D’Amelio and Markiplier, Kai Cenat and Emma Chamberlain. Alex Cooper and Alix Earle.</p>

<div class="wp-block-vox-media-highlight vox-media-highlight"><img src="https://platform.theverge.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/chorus/uploads/chorus_asset/file/24792604/The_Verge_Decoder_Tileart.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;crop=0,0,100,100" alt="" title="" data-has-syndication-rights="1" data-caption="" data-portal-copyright="" />


<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><em>Verge</em> subscribers, don&#8217;t forget you get exclusive access to ad-free <em>Decoder</em> wherever you get your podcasts. Head <a href="https://www.theverge.com/account/podcasts">here</a>. Not a subscriber? You can <a href="https://www.theverge.com/subscribe">sign up here</a>. </p>
</div>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">So I really wanted to know how Raina and Ali identify up-and-coming talent, how they work with that talent to build durable business, and what the machinations of being a top creator actually look like — after all, all of these folks are running multimillion-dollar businesses with several different revenue lines. You’ll hear Ali and Raina talk directly about what it takes to build those businesses, what kinds of deals they strike, and how it’s all very different than the traditional Hollywood model, where your agent just takes a cut.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Here, UTA is helping creators literally launch products — and it’s fascinating that the stars of today are going from making media to making products of their own. Not all of them can do it, so I wanted to know how Raina and Ali help their clients make the jump and what makes them successful at it.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Of course, we also talked about AI, and platforms, both of which seem like destabilizing forces for the entire creator ecosystem. I think you’ll find Ali and Raina to be refreshingly chill about it all — even though they represent some VTubers of their own.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">There’s a lot going on here; I think you’re going to like it.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Okay: Ali Berman and Raina Penchansky. Here we go.</p>

<iframe loading="lazy" frameborder="0" height="200" src="https://playlist.megaphone.fm?e=VMP2470880246" width="100%"></iframe>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><em>This interview has been lightly edited for length and clarity.&nbsp;</em></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Raina Penchansky, Ali Berman. You are the co-heads of the Creators division at United Talent Agency. Welcome to </strong><strong><em>Decoder</em></strong><strong>.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Ali Berman:</strong> Thank you.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Raina Penchansky:</strong> Thanks for having us.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I am really excited to talk to both of you. I need to disclose right away: I&#8217;m a UTA client. This is a reverse conflict of interest. I think I pay UTA money, but that&#8217;s fine. So it&#8217;s a good conflict. I&#8217;m hoping it causes a journalism scandal and this gets shared widely.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I&#8217;m very curious about how the Creators division works. You guys have been in the game forever. One of our ideas here on </strong><strong><em>Decoder</em></strong><strong> is that the structure of organizations tells you a lot, and Creators has been reorganized. You guys are the new heads. It started in 2024.&nbsp;</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>We&#8217;re here at Cannes. It&#8217;s creators everywhere here. They are the future of advertising. There&#8217;s so much money floating around this festival and in advertising. Tell me how UTA works with creators, how this division is structured, your backgrounds, how we got here.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>AB: </strong>I&#8217;m going into my 16th year at UTA. I&#8217;ve only ever worked at a talent agency, for better or for worse. I started my career at another agency, then after a few years, moved over to UTA in a very <em>Jerry McGuire</em> meets <em>Entourage</em>-esque moment and worked on the more traditional literary side of the business. But I was in love with the internet and what the internet was at the time, which was very blog-centric. Self-discovery was really up to you. You didn&#8217;t have algorithms feeding you. It was obviously a very different era.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">At the time, UTA had a burgeoningdigital department that was really a catchall for anything that was nontraditional film or TV. I went into that division as an entrepreneur, and really gravitated towards artists who were forming their own communities and going direct to consumer. I really believed that there was going to be a day where you could monetize those communities, and so helped shape what at the time was the digital talent division.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Right around that time, our third co-head, who&#8217;s not here today, Oren Rosenbaum — he&#8217;s at Cannes, but not physically in this room, he&#8217;s doing another interview downstairs — he was doing the same thing but on the audio side of the business. UTA was the first agency in Hollywood to think about artists in a way other than what you traditionally thought of them. We&#8217;re actually celebrating our 20th year as what we now refer to as the Creators division.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Oren was building similar to what I was building, but on the audio-focused side. We acquired two companies, one on the gaming and esports side. And then I&#8217;ll kick it over to Raina and then we&#8217;ll pick it back up to where we are today.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>RP: </strong>I was one of the cofounders of Digital Brand Architects (DBA) 16 years ago, before Instagram had even launched. I came from a traditional marketing background. What I was drawn to in terms of seeing the bloggers that Ali referenced, the bloggers at the time were people who were building these communities directly with their audience. I&#8217;d come from fashion and marketing and I was used to the top-down relationship with the consumer, and it was so exciting to see at the time all these street style women who were building this relationship with their audience and who were essentially the next generation of editors and the next generation of media properties and they just didn&#8217;t know it yet.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Iin my time at the brand that I had been with, I was working with a lot of these women in fashion and they would come to me organically and say like, &#8220;Oh, such and such brand wants me to post. What should I charge?&#8221; Or, &#8220;So-and-so wants me to be in a lookbook or a fashion show.&#8221; I became like a fairy godmother of sorts, just answering questions in the vein of, &#8220;How do you build?&#8221;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">It was totally organic at the time and I was inspired by these women and thought like, &#8220;Oh, there&#8217;s something here.&#8221; I think like most entrepreneur stories, I wasn&#8217;t connecting the dots as to what the business was. I was inspired by the storytelling component of it and what they represented in terms of where there was like, &#8220;Oh, wait, there&#8217;s something here.&#8221;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">That&#8217;s 16 years ago. UTA acquired DBA in 2019, and now it sits within the realm of UTA Creators. I have the role of CEO of DBA and then co-head with Ali and Oren. They&#8217;re church and state in terms of management and agency, but we have a back of house that services both.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">We have a brand partnerships team and a products development team and this massive data and analytics. And we sit at the epicenter really of everything that&#8217;s taking place in the overused word of “creator economy.” To your point, every single conversation is around creators, that&#8217;s fine, but then what does the next chapter ever look like?</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">What Ali and Oren and I come to the table with is that we&#8217;ve been in this long enough to know it so well, but are also able to anticipate and be excited about the next chapter of it. And that&#8217;s our love language for the three of us.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>AB: </strong>What continues to inspire us is setting the bar, which is what we did 20 years ago, and we&#8217;ve been building this for 20 years. Where are we going to place the next bar? That&#8217;s what we&#8217;re constantly talking about and thinking about.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">When you look around at this festival, the opportunities are absolutely limitless. For the first time I think in the history of this ecosystem, if there&#8217;s a tagline for 2026 especially, I say it often, but it&#8217;s, “we&#8217;ve arrived.” This direct-to-consumer creator, storyteller, artist world is everywhere. And it&#8217;s inescapable. It&#8217;s inescapable for brands. It&#8217;s inescapable as an artist. So it&#8217;s really exciting.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>RP: </strong>I keep looking around and I keep thinking of the version of Cannes Lions from 10, 15, maybe even five years ago. And then I&#8217;m looking at it today and all these people are capturing content. It just must feel so different for the people who have been doing this for a long time to see, but it also has a different vibrancy to it. It feels really energized. You can tell that there&#8217;s just a little bit of a shift.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I think that&#8217;s really interesting. I&#8217;m struck very much by how much everyone seems to have only just discovered the creator economy —</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>AB: </strong>I know. Tell us about it.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Or just pretending that it&#8217;s brand-new. I can sense that from both of you.&nbsp;</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Help me just unpack a little bit of agency world for one second. You described the church and state split between agency and management. I think most of the audience thinks agency and they still think of Ari Gold from </strong><strong><em>Entourage</em></strong><strong>. That&#8217;s obviously not the kind of business you&#8217;re running. And I want to talk about that because it seems like you&#8217;re building businesses for folks in a way that isn&#8217;t just signing deals with Hollywood studios. Explain the difference between management and agent.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>RP: </strong>I can speak to it from the creator space, which is different than the traditional space. Creators have so many hats and they&#8217;re doing so many things. There&#8217;s a nuance to it, whether it&#8217;s capturing content, whether it&#8217;s content strategy, whether it&#8217;s … not being PR, but certainly talking about perception and talking about overarching things around your brand, thinking of roadmaps to all the various things that exist.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">A lot of these creators are doing things that live offline of their content that&#8217;s on platforms and they&#8217;re building experiences and they&#8217;re building events. And so the relationship between manager and agent and the creator space is incredibly nuanced, because the agents are also nuanced and multifaceted. It&#8217;s not like you&#8217;re walking on set and you have a thing and you do a thing and you book this. There&#8217;s so much that goes into it and so much of that is very intangible and organic.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The manager has a lot to do with that in the day-to-day of managing the nuance of what it takes to capture content, build the thing, build whatever offline, the book, all the things that are going along with that. And then the agent is obviously involved in the more business side of it, but it&#8217;s a delicate balance. And I think you obviously, Ali, can speak more to the agent side of it as well.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>AB: </strong>The other thing that I&#8217;ve been reflecting on a lot is, obviously, and I keep saying it in this interview, but we built this division 20 years ago, but there&#8217;s no better time to be a creator, influencer, whatever you want to call it, and be represented at an agency because of how multifaceted careers have become. At a time in the creator economy, it was really just driven by brands. And we were working with clients who we&#8217;d say, &#8220;Oh, their business is &#8230;&#8221; And I don&#8217;t mean to use the word “just” because I don&#8217;t mean to minimize it. Those businesses are incredibly healthy and vibrant and important, but their business is just going to be brand deals, endorsement deals.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Now I would argue that if we go and we look at our roster, the majority of our clients are doing way more than just brand deals. When you&#8217;re being represented in an agency and especially when you&#8217;ve got a creator division inside an agency, they&#8217;re really quarterbacking their careers inside all the different dimensions and facets that there are to entertainment. And we&#8217;re so fortunate to be seated at a place like UTA where we&#8217;ve got experts and market leaders in literally every area.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I&#8217;m just going to put forth an idea of structure here and you guys can react to it. It just sounds, as you&#8217;re describing it, a traditional media company from 10 years ago would have a bunch of infrastructure, right? They would have accountants and finance people and a licensing division and they would have talent and they would pay the talent, whatever number. Maybe UTA would negotiate that talent rate, but that would be the end of UTA. And then the business, whatever big old Hollywood studio would have rooms full of accountants making the business go.&nbsp;</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>This is my imagination of what old Hollywood was like, but that was basically Sony&#8217;s business. &#8220;We&#8217;re going to make a show, we&#8217;re going to pay everybody and then we&#8217;re going to license that show to whatever networks around the world.&#8221;</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>It sounds like UTA and what you guys are doing is we&#8217;ve decentralized the talent. They don&#8217;t all work for studios in the same way. And you&#8217;re providing that infrastructure layer so that creators don&#8217;t have to think about, &#8220;Okay, how does my business actually work?&#8221; You have a playbook or you have an approach for each of those creators.&nbsp;</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Is that a good way to think about it? Because I&#8217;m constantly thinking about where the centralization and decentralization come. And the big media businesses, in my opinion, don&#8217;t seem like they have a future. They can&#8217;t support all that overhead.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>AB: </strong>That&#8217;s a tricky one because our clients are the modern-day media businesses.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>But they don&#8217;t have rooms full of accountants. I hope that you&#8217;re not telling them to hire rooms full of accountants.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>AB: </strong>No, no, but they&#8217;ve got extensions of their teams that are helping them think through what is their P&amp;L. We do have some clients who have in-house accounting because it&#8217;s necessitated. We&#8217;re certainly decentralizing it, but I think the centralization happens within their own orbit, within their own organization.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Big media companies are struggling in a lot of ways. And a lot of the reason they&#8217;re struggling is their distribution has got way away from them. If you own a broadcast network, that is very lucrative, but there is a time limit on how much money that thing is going to make and how many people are going to watch it.&nbsp;</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I don&#8217;t think a lot of people are turning on their TVs to watch over-the-air broadcasts anymore. That number&#8217;s going down. They are all opening Instagram every single day, probably while they&#8217;re watching TV. And the cost structures of making that content are changing. And so I think that means the structures of the companies that make that content have to change with them.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>RP: </strong>One hundred percent.<strong> </strong>Yes.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>And it just seems like you two are figuring out a role to play inside of those structures.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>RP: </strong>Yes. And we&#8217;re figuring out how to optimize for the new version of what those media companies are. To Ali&#8217;s point, they&#8217;re their own media companies. So what does that entail? Is there going to be physical product? Are we going to do events? What is the TV component of it? We are working within the world of, “How are we taking all of this and turning you into the next media company?” But yes, to your point, it&#8217;s completely become decentralized, but we sit at this epicenter of connecting those new dots in the decentralized world.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>This is why I&#8217;m asking the structure question. So many times on </strong><strong><em>Decoder</em></strong><strong>, my joke is, &#8220;Tell me your structure, tell me your org chart, that’s like, 80 percent of your problems” and it&#8217;s like the 20 percent where the magic is. And here it just seems like, this isn&#8217;t an org chart. You have a bunch of clients who are building businesses and you two are playing some huge role in structuring those businesses so they&#8217;re predictable, so they&#8217;re monetizable, so they operate this difference between management and agent.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>RP: </strong>I think that&#8217;s why there&#8217;s such nuance in talking about it, because the pie is so big and there are so many things that creators have the ability to do because, again, of the community and the relationship to audience. Because of that seismic shift, the opportunities are endless. Our job is to sit at that intersection of like, “How are we connecting the dots between this person&#8217;s content and then the plethora of opportunities?”</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>One of the things I&#8217;m really curious about, Ali, I read a story you were quoted saying, &#8220;Platforms come and go. Other people perceive that as a threat, that&#8217;s the opportunity.&#8221; Just to be all Marshall McLuhan about it, I believe that </strong><a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_medium_is_the_message"><strong>the medium is the message</strong></a><strong>, that your distribution shapes what you make pretty directly. A TikToker is different than a YouTuber. I think we all understand this intuitively now.&nbsp;</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Those distribution platforms, they have an infinite array of content, the algorithms come and go. Most media businesses are shaped by their distribution in real ways. A print newspaper company understands, &#8220;Our whole flow has to generate the stories by the end of the day so the print newspaper can go out.&#8221; A broadcast television company understands its distribution. They make something for that distribution. Content creators have to understand every distribution and it&#8217;s ever-changing. How do you build a business around distribution that is not really in your control or is not really predictable that way?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>AB: </strong>I want to go back to the first part of your comment/question, which is, the distribution determines what the content is or what the product is. What we believe in is at the end of the day, a star is a star. It doesn&#8217;t matter what the platform is or what the distribution is. If you&#8217;re a star, you&#8217;re a star, whether you&#8217;re a YouTuber or a TikToker or a podcaster. That&#8217;s why we formed this Creators division, because we believe that anyone who&#8217;s going direct to their audience and building these communities and our stars, it&#8217;s irrespective of where they fall.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Sure.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>AB: </strong>And then, repeat the question?</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I think a lot of corporate structures tend to mirror their distribution, at least in media. In here, the distribution is like the Wild West. It&#8217;s just constantly changing. If the goal here is to help people build media businesses and distribution is just a constant wildcard, how do you think about building those businesses in a way that&#8217;s sustainable as Instagram changes or TikTok changes or everyone quits Vine or whatever it is?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>AB: </strong>To be clear, the universal goal for everyone isn&#8217;t to build a media business for everyone. Every goal for each one of our clients is very bespoke.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">But as the algorithms change and as platforms continue to change, what we&#8217;ve always said is, &#8220;You have to be platform-agnostic and you have to be multi-platform. You cannot put all of your eggs in one basket.&#8221; We&#8217;ve seen an increased opportunity with that philosophy because of how many platforms are out there and that&#8217;s what&#8217;s widening the talent funnel.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I think a lot about how if you were to draw what the creator celebrity ecosystem looks like today, the funnel has never been wider. It&#8217;s the widest funnel we&#8217;ve ever seen, because you&#8217;ve got everything from long-form to short-form to editorial to, you name it. But the spout has never been more narrow. What we&#8217;re trying to do is help our clients get through that spout. And in order to do that, you have to be across everything, because if one thing changes, you&#8217;re still carrying the weight of the direct connectivity to who you&#8217;re speaking to.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>RP: </strong>You rely on the platform, but you also build your own direct-to-your-audience relationship. Whether that&#8217;s Substack, newsletters, it&#8217;s diversification. I don&#8217;t want to always be beholden to the algorithm, but we love these platforms and they&#8217;re incredible partners. And then there&#8217;s also, “how am I building separate from that” as well.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>AB: </strong>A really big and increasingly bigger component of that is the real-life experiences that a lot of our clients are building, whether it&#8217;s something that directly involves them or it&#8217;s something that they&#8217;re powering. Whether they&#8217;re on stage and people are buying tickets and coming to see them, or if it&#8217;s a store, that it&#8217;s their brand that&#8217;s a physical brick-and-mortar and people who subscribe to their content are coming to experience that in real life. I&#8217;m really excited to see how that continues to evolve and take different shape with all that&#8217;s available.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>You&#8217;ve mentioned your clients several times. I want to talk about your clients and some of the things you build for them, but to get there, I want to ask you the other question I always ask everybody on </strong><strong><em>Decoder</em></strong><strong>, which is about decisions. How do you guys make decisions? This seems like an ever-evolving space. You can&#8217;t obviously have a predictable framework, but what&#8217;s your process for making all the decisions you have to make?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>AB: </strong>Well, I&#8217;ll quote Raina from a meeting earlier-</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Oh, very good.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>AB: </strong>We love to say “no.” And the stat that you stated earlier, when we&#8217;re saying no to 90 percent of things, it makes it that much easier to really focus in on the 10 percent and figure out what makes the most sense. Representing a client is a human-to-human relationship, and you have to really understand the artist as a human being to be able to understand what makes sense and what doesn&#8217;t make sense. On a personal level, what I love so much about the job is being able to connect with individuals on such a deep human level and say, &#8220;This is what you want to do and this is how we&#8217;re going to get there.&#8221;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>If you&#8217;re just listening to this in a car or on audio, Ali lit up when I asked the decisions question. Why did that make you so excited? I&#8217;ve asked that question to hundreds of people. You lit up</strong>.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>RP: </strong>It&#8217;s funny, I saw that and I had the same reaction.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>AB: </strong>Really?</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>RP: </strong>Yeah.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Yeah.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>AB: </strong>I came alive.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>RP: </strong>I think for both of us, decision-making is magic and logic. And I think that&#8217;s what&#8217;s really great about our space and not to put words in your mouth, but the “lighting up,” because I did the same thing. I was like, &#8220;Oh, that&#8217;s a funny question.&#8221; There&#8217;s logic in what we all do. There&#8217;s analytics, there&#8217;s data, there&#8217;s follower counts, all the things, but the magic is the most fun part of it.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">When you see a creator and you see a piece of content , we&#8217;re inspired by it. We love it. That&#8217;s what&#8217;s motivating. And I think the decision-making in our world comes down to the content and when you see someone, and Ali referenced stars, there&#8217;s just something, whether they&#8217;re endearing and there&#8217;s a thing and that&#8217;s the magic and there&#8217;s a spark in our day-to-day lives as it relates to clients. Knowing how to toe the line between the magic and the logic, I think is the best part.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>AB: </strong>Yeah.I often get asked, &#8220;Do you feel threatened by AI in terms of replacing your jobs and helping artists navigate their careers?&#8221; Frst and foremost, no, we&#8217;re not threatened by AI. To Raina&#8217;s point, our clients wear so many hats and so we think it&#8217;s just created an incredible opportunity to help outsource a lot of resourcing.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">But no, because it&#8217;s where art meets science and again, it&#8217;s that human-to-human connection that really helps you figure out how you can help somebody accomplish their goals in life, which is such an incredible opportunity we have.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Don&#8217;t worry, we&#8217;re going to come back to AI and what kind of threat it is. Raina, I wanted to ask you, you&#8217;re also in </strong><a href="https://www.wsj.com/lifestyle/careers/uta-influencer-managers-ali-berman-raina-penchansky-alix-earle-5094867f"><strong>this </strong><strong><em>Wall Street Journal</em></strong><strong> piece</strong></a><strong>, there&#8217;s a quote that says you have an almost psychic ability to discern when brand deals are good or bad.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>RP: </strong>I didn&#8217;t say that.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Someone else said that, about you. I don&#8217;t think you disagreed with it, to be perfectly clear. That&#8217;s a decision-making process. Do you just stare at the ocean and decide if a brand deal&#8217;s good?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>RP: </strong>I have a Magic 8 ball.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>How does it just come to you? For many of our listeners who want to go into this career, knowing what brand deals to take and which ones to not is the first hardest question. So how does your almost psychic ability work? How do you make these calls?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>RP: </strong>I could give you the list of things I&#8217;m not good at, but I have high EQ. So I think that&#8217;s the piece of the psychic ability. We all have a gut sense of things and your first instinct is normally the right instinct, and I think people have a tendency to second-guess. This just might be the entrepreneur in me, but I do things quickly. I&#8217;m thoughtful about it, but it&#8217;s also a matter of like, &#8220;Huh, that doesn&#8217;t feel right.&#8221; You know when something is a good idea and then you know when you&#8217;re taking a beat. If you&#8217;re taking a beat because you&#8217;re hesitant, that&#8217;s normally not the right place.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Creators are in tune to their audiences, and they&#8217;re creators by their nature because they&#8217;re meant to be doing this. If you&#8217;re meant to be in front of the camera, you&#8217;re going to have the best sense of what you&#8217;re supposed to be doing. You build these teams and you all have these conversations and you talk about these long-term strategies and plans, but ultimately, the creator&#8217;s putting themselves in front of the camera and putting them at the forefront of this content. If you&#8217;re trying to figure out what the right brand deal is, you’ve got to go with your gut.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>AB: </strong>It&#8217;s so easy to default to just being so highly transactional in this space and just saying yes to everything that comes your way, but what shapes you is the discernment and the point of view that you as an artist and your team around you have around what you should and shouldn&#8217;t be doing. Our goal is always for our clients to do what&#8217;s obvious in terms of what their audiences want to see from them, but to continue to position them to do what&#8217;s not obvious so we can help them innovate and help them create different edges to who they are.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>RP: </strong>The most fun is when it&#8217;s an outside-the-box idea. And then it&#8217;s like, &#8220;Oh, is this totally left of center and this is going to feel like a little strange? We should do this.&#8221;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>AB: </strong>Yeah.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Is that all incoming? Do you go out to come up with creative ideas and go out to clients?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>RP: </strong>Oh yeah, absolutely. All the time.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>How does this work?</strong> <strong>What&#8217;s that process like?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>RP: </strong>Everybody in a room brainstorming.&nbsp; We used to say, &#8220;What do you want to do in five years?&#8221; But five years feel so far off. So it&#8217;s like, &#8220;What do we want to do in the next-&#8220;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>When we&#8217;re all replaced by AI.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>RP: </strong>Yeah. &#8220;What are we trying to accomplish in the next 18, 24 months?&#8221; We break it down to a lot of different things. What are the IP ideas? What are the huge offline things we want to do? And then what are the steps that lead us to that and what are the things that we do along the way? What&#8217;s amazing in terms of like, what&#8217;s a dream thing that you&#8217;ve always wanted to do? But then what&#8217;s a really practical thing that we need to do to build to get there?</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>AB: </strong>Absolutely. Yeah, I was just going to say that. You ask the question of, what are your goals? Let&#8217;s build the strategy and then let&#8217;s start down the path.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Tell me about that cadence. I think most people see creators like, they just open the apps and they see the videos and they&#8217;re excited and they&#8217;re entertained. You&#8217;re describing it like a business process, a series of meetings and goals and charts and KPIs. What&#8217;s the process? Do you meet with creators on a cadence?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>AB: </strong>Oh, absolutely. We’re in weekly or biweekly or monthly touch bases with the majority of our clients. The second that we start working together, we build that overall strategy. And then just like you work at a company, you have a normal nine-to-five, but you&#8217;re meeting as a team to update everybody on where this project is or where these numbers are, and we’re doing the same.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I&#8217;m really curious about that because I think people who want to go into this career don&#8217;t understand that they might be running a pretty complicated business on the backend.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>And I&#8217;m curious, you were early to some big names to talk about. We&#8217;ve been talking about creators as a monolith, I think, for this conversation, but these are all different creators. I think you have Charli D&#8217;Amelio who has a very different business than Alix Earle than Jake Shane than Emma Chamberlain. These all seem like people are situated differently.&nbsp;</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>One, how do you decide, &#8220;Okay, these are the people we should go after and try to sign&#8221;?&nbsp;</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Because you&#8217;re pretty early. Historically, I think you in particular have seen the talent early, Ali, and made sure to go get them. And then you&#8217;ve got to convince them, &#8220;Okay, now you have to have a bunch of business meetings with me because that&#8217;s the thing that&#8217;s going to help you grow and that&#8217;s not the time you&#8217;re spending making the content for the audience.&#8221; So how do you identify the people early and then how do you get them on the path to building the business?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>AB: </strong>Collectively on the management side of the creators business and the agency side, we believe that the earlier we partner with the talent, the better it is for them so that they can continue doing what they&#8217;re doing, which is creating content and building community. Leave the rest to us.&nbsp; Trust us as part of what&#8217;s left in the process. And fail fast at things. Try things, fail fast, but like I said earlier, continue working to that overall goal.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I feel like vanishingly few people are ever going to experience the full force of an Ali Berman pitch. I mean, most people want to get it. Maybe that&#8217;s a goal, but you&#8217;re only going to selectively pick a few people. So what&#8217;s it like? What do you actually say? &#8220;Just trust me.&#8221; Describe the pitch when you reach out to a creator that you&#8217;ve seen that has the star quality. What&#8217;s the story you tell them?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>AB: </strong>With all due respect, I cannot give out that recipe. <strong>I&#8217;m sure you can describe the outcomes. What does this cookie look like?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>AB: </strong>Ultimately, I want to be in business with people who I personally connect with. That&#8217;s the joy and the reward of this job and this career for me. And I want to be in business with people who want to work really hard, who want to work harder than I want to work, but ultimately, I&#8217;m going to work just as hard if not harder.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">And people who have a real singular voice. That&#8217;s really, really important to me. It&#8217;s that singular voice that&#8217;s going to help you outstand a platform, outstand an algorithm change, outstand whatever it is. And quite frankly, that&#8217;s always been the ethos of UTA, which is, let&#8217;s go identify and represent the most unique artists in the world.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>That was an all-time decline to answer and then a seamless pivot into pitching UTA. So I can tell that it&#8217;s good. I&#8217;m going to figure it out. Raina, will you tell me? What does your outreach look like to new creators?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>RP: </strong>You know, it&#8217;s&#8230;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>AB: </strong>You don&#8217;t have to share my&#8230;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>RP: </strong>You don&#8217;t want to give out the recipe either.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>AB: </strong>I can&#8217;t possibly sell a niche.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Of all the things I asked about, I did not expect to hit the brick wall here. I&#8217;m very curious. UTA is a big company. You guys have big clients. Young creators that I know are very skeptical that someone is going to come in and run them over. There&#8217;s just some part of that first step of “you&#8217;re going to take how much, you&#8217;re going to do what, how do I hold you accountable?” And I&#8217;m really curious how you get over that wall.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>RP: </strong>What I will say is for both UTA and DBA, our work speaks for ourselves.We have a lot of clients who are also just talking about “this is my experience, and it&#8217;s been amazing,” and so we&#8217;re very fortunate for that.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I don&#8217;t know. Again, for me, I love content. And it&#8217;s funny, there&#8217;s something that you asked earlier when you were talking about how often we meet with clients. I am in my client&#8217;s DMs when they post content that I love.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>AB: </strong>Same.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>RP: </strong>&#8220;This is amazing. I love this. This should be a series. We should do something with this. Let&#8217;s do this.&#8221; That&#8217;s the other nuance of what you were talking about in terms of the business. That&#8217;s the difference. An idea can come from something that someone posts and then we&#8217;re off to the races.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The space is moving quickly, but we&#8217;re moving at the speed of content and making decisions and building off of a piece of content. Something that didn&#8217;t exist yesterday, that just happened today at Cannes, could be the next IP in the show. That&#8217;s the other really fun thing about our space.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>AB: </strong>I love that. We&#8217;re moving at the speed of content.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>RP: </strong>I know.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>AB: </strong>So, so good.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>RP: </strong>I don&#8217;t think I&#8217;ve ever said that before.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I can&#8217;t participate in this, you guys. I can&#8217;t be here for you guys workshopping a tagline.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>AB: </strong>It&#8217;s so good. It&#8217;s so good.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>RP: </strong>I swear I&#8217;ve never said that before.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>AB: </strong>It&#8217;s so good.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>RP: </strong>But I was thinking when you were talking about cadence and frequency. And I was laughing at myself thinking, “oh my God, my client &#8230; I&#8217;m literally in my client&#8217;s DMs being like, ‘I don&#8217;t know about that.’”</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I&#8217;m a real straight shooter when I sit with clients. And I will say, &#8220;That thing you did, that didn&#8217;t land and here&#8217;s why. And what I think would land is X, Y, and Z.&#8221; But I think it&#8217;s because what they sense from us, and Oren, when they&#8217;re in the room with us is that we are consumers of content and their content, and we&#8217;re not like, &#8220;Hey, here are the boxes you check and here&#8217;s the things you should do.&#8221; We&#8217;re coming at it from the point of view of, &#8220;This is how we build together because I genuinely believe in what you&#8217;re doing and this is how I see it.&#8221;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>AB: </strong>I mean, the table stakes are, adding whatever percentage it is, just that. That&#8217;s the bare minimum. We just want to add value. And if we&#8217;re adding 10 percent of value, we&#8217;re not doing our jobs. We need to be adding 10-plus.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>The reason you&#8217;re saying 10 percent is I&#8217;m pretty sure that&#8217;s the rate. That&#8217;s the commission on deals like the standard.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>RP: </strong>At agencies.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>AB: </strong>At agencies.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I&#8217;m curious how that works in the creator world. I understood how it worked in old Hollywood world. Tom Cruise gets a big check, the agent takes 10 percent of it. Everyone&#8217;s rich and happy, we’re all buying boats. Creator world is a bunch of brand deals. You&#8217;ve negotiated, I think, equity deals for Alix Earle and Poppi. How does the rate work when the shape of the deals is so varied and a lot of these things turn into businesses over time?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>RP: </strong>It&#8217;s really deal-dependent, obviously, especially as you&#8217;re talking about these larger things that we&#8217;re building. And more, they&#8217;re fluid conversations with clients. We&#8217;re not in the room unless we add value, and we add a tremendous amount of value. And so that value conversation comes with a number and we just talk through what makes the most sense. The standard in terms of the brand deals is a 10 percent agency commission and then there&#8217;s always conversations. Honestly, sometimes it&#8217;s more. Sometimes it&#8217;s less. It just depends on what the structure of the deal looks like and what our role is in it.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I&#8217;m curious about those deal structures, because that seems like it&#8217;s also the Wild West. So many of your creators, creators across the ecosystem, are now just starting their own businesses to sell their own products. And for as much as we might not be threatened by AI or as much as we don&#8217;t think the algorithms change, I&#8217;m often struck by how lucrative it is for creators to </strong><a href="https://www.mashed.com/2001318/downfall-logan-paul-ksi-prime-drink/"><strong>go from digital businesses</strong></a><strong> to </strong><a href="https://fortune.com/2025/03/11/youtube-biggest-star-mrbeast-makes-more-money-chocolate-videos/"><strong>physical businesses</strong></a><strong>, which basically is not how things should work. You should go to a way-higher-margin digital product, but all the creators have to leave digital world and they have to market &#8230; I think it&#8217;s crazy that the Paul brothers sell bottled water, which is historically not a great thing to be wanting to ship around the world, but that is a vastly more lucrative business than their digital business.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>So there&#8217;s a part here where we&#8217;re going to stand up a white-label makeup line or whatever the thing is that we&#8217;re going to do. How do you play in that? Because it feels like those deal structures and those commission rates would be very different than the standard brand deal commission.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>RP: </strong>We&#8217;ve been doing those deals for quite some time and have put together some, if not all, of the most successful examples of those. Those are really complicated deal structures, and they take a tremendous amount of time and energy and detail, and we participate in them. We sit on the cap table along with clients because again, we&#8217;re in the room putting it all together and then not staying and being a part of it. I think the difference with those kinds of deals is that it&#8217;s not—</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>AB: </strong>It&#8217;s not just an introduction.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>RP: </strong>It&#8217;s not just an introduction. It&#8217;s not just a licensing deal. We are involved in packaging, distribution, marketing, all of the things that really are fundamental to launching these brands, and we&#8217;re sitting at the table right alongside these teams and helping and facilitating.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>AB: </strong>And to be honest with you, it&#8217;s not a straightforward answer because there are infinite ways that these deals come together. Whereas on the more traditional, just highly transactional side of business, it&#8217;s a fee for a service. And these are incredibly, as Raina said, complicated but can come together in so many different ways in terms of capital coming from here or capital coming from there or from the talent directly. It really depends on how the deal shapes and how it all comes together. And then, like Raina said, we get in a room, and we have a conversation and we figure it out.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">But it is not just an introduction, and it&#8217;s really about staying in there. Because every day we&#8217;re sitting across the four corners that is our client&#8217;s business, and so we&#8217;re constantly trying to figure out, to speak in metaphorical terms, how do we build the biggest book? How do we add as many pages to this book as possible? And we&#8217;re not just trying to hand it in with a one-page document.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>The reason I&#8217;m pushing on this is this is new. It feels new for talent to be needing to launch physical product businesses to have something that will create enterprise value that they can maybe sell at the end of the road in a way that selling a TikTok channel might not be as easy to transact on. And I see the push from all of the biggest creators to launch that next business. I don&#8217;t think UTA has historically been in the business of “we&#8217;re going to help you launch products. We&#8217;re going to sit in your design meetings or your packaging meetings.” I don&#8217;t think the other agencies have either.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I think [Creative Artists Agency] is your competitor, they </strong><a href="https://variety.com/2026/digital/news/caa-tpg-250-million-compound-creative-holding-company-acquire-creator-businesses-1236771598/"><strong>just launched a fund</strong></a><strong> to buy creator businesses in this way. It seems like that&#8217;s one of their opportunities. You seem less interested in actually transacting and owning the things, right? You&#8217;re trying to help the creators build their own businesses. There&#8217;s something shifting where we understand that the businesses should have long-term value and maybe exit in some way.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>RP: </strong>One thing that I think is important to note, if you&#8217;re a creator or someone who wants to be in the space of going from digital to physical product, the money&#8217;s not the issue. Money, candidly, is easy to come by. It&#8217;s about being in business with people who understand how to launch successful businesses.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">And for all of the incredible examples of the successes, in any sort of launching of products, we can all think of thousands that weren&#8217;t successful. The devil&#8217;s in the details in terms of who are your partners, who are you building with, who has the infrastructure, who understands these spaces, who&#8217;s been in them for a long time, who&#8217;s done these sorts of deals, who knows the entire landscape?&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The capital isn&#8217;t the issue. It&#8217;s the infrastructure, it&#8217;s the knowledge, it&#8217;s the institutional knowledge, it&#8217;s the rest of it that&#8217;s really what&#8217;s important, and that&#8217;s what we are very happily bringing to the table.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>It is true that sitting here in the South of France at one of the most moneyed events I&#8217;ve ever been at, the capital does not feel like …</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>RP: </strong>It&#8217;s really not. The capital is not the challenge.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>There&#8217;s just a lot of money floating around here that has no idea what to do.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>RP: </strong>Yes, yes. But you’ve got to really understand and know how to bring a product to market and how to connect those dots to have this be successful.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>AB: </strong>And again, it goes back to, you have to really understand your client, and you have to speak that language.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>So there&#8217;s a concept that I&#8217;ve been really fascinated by lately. I don&#8217;t know if you&#8217;ve heard it or seen it. It&#8217;s a TikTok influencer. She&#8217;s a social media thinker. Her name is Carmen Vicente, and she coined this term called </strong><a href="https://www.tiktok.com/@carmscrolls/video/7638068031851187464"><strong>the influencer cliff</strong></a><strong>. Which is when the creator goes to try to directly sell their own product and the audience rebels because that&#8217;s a misalignment, right? They accept the sponsorship deals, the brand integrations, because that supports what they&#8217;re there for. And when you flip the switch to being more directly commercial, that misaligns you with the audience, then we all end up issuing apologies. And she says most people, a lot of people, fall off the cliff and some people get to exit.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>You have a lot of clients who&#8217;ve managed it well. What do you think the difference is? Why do you think &#8230; You&#8217;re nodding your head. I think you generally agree with this concept that it&#8217;s really hard.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>RP: </strong>I very much agree.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Why do you think some creators fall off the cliff and they can&#8217;t sell directly to their audience and some people are able to achieve escape velocity?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>RP: </strong>I think there&#8217;s a fundamental philosophical relationship between this talent and their audience, because the reason they have this relationship in the first place is because the content has been free. And so the first time that they&#8217;re asking their audience to transact, that&#8217;s going to go one way or the other.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">It goes without saying, but there has to be a content-market fit. It has to be something that is only going to continue to add to this free content that the audience has been getting and is going to continue to get. But there&#8217;s a technical shift in what that relationship is between the artist and their audience, and it&#8217;s not going to work for everyone.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>What are the signs that it&#8217;ll work and what are the signs that it won&#8217;t work?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>AB: </strong>If you can fit it into your content and not have to make a big effort to do so, that checks the biggest box, by far.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>RP: </strong>I&#8217;ll give an example. We have a client, Patrick Starrr. He has a beauty line that he came out with five years ago, ONE/SIZE Beauty, one of the biggest beauty brands at Sephora. A product of his, his setting spray, which is one of the products he&#8217;s known for, sells every eight seconds at Sephora. We had this conversation. It was like, of course, Patrick Starrr who was like this insane YouTuber in the beauty space is going to have a makeup line. We found him this amazing partner, and we had all these conversations. And it was like, okay, where should we start, what product would we start with?</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">And he said, &#8220;When I was younger, I worked at a MAC store. And I was a boy who wore makeup, and I walked in, and I had all this makeup on, and I walked into MAC to work and they said, &#8216;You&#8217;re wearing too much makeup. You need to take it off.&#8217;” And he said, &#8220;My first product is going to be makeup remover wipes. That&#8217;s what I&#8217;m launching with. That&#8217;s my story. That&#8217;s who I am. It fundamentally represents who I am. I&#8217;m not launching with foundation. I&#8217;m not launching with eye, this is what I&#8217;m launching with,&#8221; which was a starkly different thing than how you would normally launch beauty. You&#8217;re launching a beauty brand with makeup remover? That feels counterintuitive. That was 100 percent the right decision, and it was his decision; the partner supported it, but it was a counterintuitive thing. But his audience knows him, and that is exactly what he should have done.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">When you&#8217;re launching something and you are so profoundly passionate about that thing and you know exactly what that point of view is and how it intersects with your audience and with selling to the audience, then you&#8217;re going to find success. When it&#8217;s like, &#8220;Oh, I want to do a brand,&#8221; then it&#8217;s a little more challenging and that&#8217;s when the cliff happens.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>What do you say no to? I mean, it sounds like you&#8217;re hearing a lot of ideas, 90 percent nos. What are the things you&#8217;ve said no to?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>AB: </strong>We say no to,&nbsp; again, 90 percent of it.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>People show up and they&#8217;re like, &#8220;I want to do a line of car fresheners,&#8221; and you just say no?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>RP: </strong>Absolutely. Car fresheners actually sounds&#8230;&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>AB: </strong>Anyone out there want to do it?</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>It&#8217;s like, what a crowded market. I&#8217;m going to be in every gas station in America.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>AB: </strong>Hold on a minute, actually.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>RP: </strong>What I find that we say a lot when ideas come in is like, okay, let&#8217;s break that down. That market, okay, supplements are challenging for X, Y, and Z reasons. How&#8217;s ours going to be different? Where are we going to sit? Or alcohol is challenging for X, Y, and Z reasons.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Listen, everything&#8217;s hard. I think we all know that. We certainly make things a lot easier, but these are challenging rooms and challenging spaces, and the market is crowded and you have to really come at it from the right place. We definitely say no a lot, but it&#8217;s also a matter of partnering and just laying out things and talking about them from the really organic sense of, “what are the challenges here, what could be the potential pitfalls, and how are we going to do it differently?” I think it&#8217;s more about, “how are we going to come at this differently?”</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>One of the things that really strikes me in this conversation, and every creator conversation I&#8217;ve had recently, is how much the role of being a creator is also the role of being a marketer. And I&#8217;ve heard a lot of the bigger creators now just openly describe themselves as marketers. Their money comes from working with brands or they&#8217;re building businesses and marketing their own businesses and they understand that some part of what they&#8217;re doing is selling.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I think this is different from traditional entertainers, certainly different than traditional journalists. It just feels like a big shift. Everything is advertising or everything is driven by marketing in some way. My colleagues at </strong><strong><em>New York Magazine</em></strong><strong> just ran a story called &#8220;</strong><a href="https://www.vulture.com/article/social-media-feeds-chaotic-good-projects-clipping.html"><strong>The Feed is Fake</strong></a><strong>&#8220;, and it&#8217;s like everything is bought and paid for. And there&#8217;s some response from the audience that&#8217;s like, I don&#8217;t like this. I don&#8217;t like living in a world that&#8217;s this commercial all the time. I feel like all the creators are trying to balance this as much as they can.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>You have a much wider view. You&#8217;re building big businesses with these folks. How do you feel about this notion that everyone is becoming a marketer in the end?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>AB: </strong>This is a moment in time where there&#8217;s a little bit of pushback, but I would say that our prediction is that, yes, everybody&#8217;s a marketer, but we&#8217;re moving towards a world where everybody&#8217;s a consumer. And those two things match up perfectly. You look at Gen Alpha and it&#8217;s all they know. All they know is to consume, purchase, consume content, purchase products, whatever is being fed at them.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Is that good?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>AB: </strong>I mean, I&#8217;m not here to be the arbiter —</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>RP: </strong>I think that&#8217;s a different podcast.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>AB: </strong>Yeah. I was just going to say —</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>No, that&#8217;s this podcast. So, I&#8217;m —</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>AB: </strong>I&#8217;m not here to be an arbiter of —</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I’m going to drag you into your feelings whether you like it or not, Ali.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>AB: </strong>I&#8217;m not here to be the arbiter of what&#8217;s ethical in our consumer —</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Sure, but I&#8217;ll just give you a counterexample to that. I insistently make journalism, which means I don&#8217;t make as much money as I should.&nbsp; And our joke about </strong><strong><em>The Verge</em></strong><strong>&#8216;s subscription product, that stopped being a joke and it actually became the thing to start marketing, is: What you&#8217;re buying from marketers are ethics policy, but you can&#8217;t buy me. I won&#8217;t do a brand deal. I won&#8217;t even read the ads on the podcast, which drives everybody crazy. We are just leaving money on the table every single day. And our youngest consumers had no idea that was a thing, right? They didn&#8217;t grow up in that world.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>RP: </strong>Yeah. Gen Alpha&#8217;s like, &#8220;Where are the ads?&#8221;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>They&#8217;re like, &#8220;Where are the ads?&#8221; And we&#8217;re like, &#8220;No, we don&#8217;t do it.&#8221; I literally have to say out loud, &#8220;These are the things we have.&#8221;</strong> <strong>It&#8217;s like, “And now a message from our sponsors.” We just don&#8217;t do it. We don&#8217;t integrate the ad content, and we say this is what differentiates our information from everything else. And that&#8217;s fine. It&#8217;s just the market &#8230; And maybe we&#8217;ll die. Maybe I should have been reading the ads every single day.&nbsp;</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>But you just mentioned Gen Alpha in that way and it&#8217;s like, I don&#8217;t know if anyone is telling them that there are other ways to be. And so the notion that it&#8217;s all consume, and market, and purchase, at some point, people just grow up and their habits change and their tastes change.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>AB: </strong>Maybe we&#8217;ll sign the next anti-marketer.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>That&#8217;s the move.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>AB: </strong>Yeah.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>There&#8217;s something about everyone being marketing that it just feels like maybe in the deepest way there will be a rebellion to that, right? In every counterculture, there&#8217;s some rebellion against that kind of commercialization.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>RP: </strong>The pendulum always swings, right? We&#8217;re seeing it now in terms of nostalgia having this big moment and everyone being nostalgic and everyone was obsessed with <em>Love Story</em> and this nostalgic content and the throwback to the &#8217;90s, whatever.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I have an 11-year-old daughter, she&#8217;s Gen Alpha. She has only grown up knowing that this is what it is. She doesn&#8217;t have the point of reference that I have where I&#8217;m remembering looking through the pages of <em>Vogue</em> and having that emotional relationship with the ads or the content. These generations aren&#8217;t comparing it to anything. They&#8217;re not necessarily thinking that there&#8217;s a bad or a good version of this. This is just what they know. There&#8217;s obviously pros and cons to everything. But at the end of the day, if you think of it, we&#8217;re all sort of our own marketers, right?&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>AB: </strong>That&#8217;s the thing.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>RP: </strong>That&#8217;s in our day-to-day job, in our role, whether you&#8217;re advocating for yourself or fora salary raise or whatever that is, we are all sort of marketers. Some of us are marketers with a platform. And some of us are marketers in our everyday.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>AB: </strong>When I first got into the digital ecosystem, it was at a time where you were driving your own algorithm. So to Raina&#8217;s point, it&#8217;s like I can remember growing up and I was driving the algorithm in terms of going through this big <em>Vogue</em> magazine or <em>InStyle</em> magazine figuring out what I liked, but now the world knows the consumer. I don&#8217;t know if that&#8217;s going to change. I think that&#8217;s the world we live in now. I really do.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">It&#8217;s a spectrum, right? Some people will want to be more forward about self-discovery and don&#8217;t want to be fed as much. But I also think that it&#8217;s just the world we live in.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>RP: </strong>The other side of the coin is that we&#8217;re living in a more egalitarian society.There are people on the internet who didn&#8217;t have a place before. You&#8217;re being exposed to different people, you&#8217;re being exposed to different things, and you&#8217;re seeing different kinds of content, whatever that is. It&#8217;s broadening the spectrum of who can become &#8230; There used to be a mechanism for who got to be famous and who got to have a voice.&nbsp; A lot of people can have a voice and that&#8217;s a good thing.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>AB: </strong>That&#8217;s the funnel.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>We&#8217;ve come now inexorably to AI and maybe my own dim views of the platforms that I don&#8217;t think you share. If I had to describe the mistake that traditional media companies have made over the past 10 years, it&#8217;s that we will get enough scale to bring YouTube to the table and cut us a bigger check than everyone else, right?&nbsp;</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Jonah Peretti </strong><a href="https://www.theverge.com/podcast/932154/peretti-allen-buzzfeed-ai-slop-social-media"><strong>was just on </strong><strong><em>Decoder</em></strong></a><strong> and maybe the original sin of millennial digital media was Jonah Peretti believed he could go so viral that Facebook would pay him money. And Mark Zuckerberg looked at him and said, &#8220;No, I can replace you with an army of teenagers who will work for free.&#8221; And he killed most of these companies. They&#8217;re all gone. You still have that problem, right? You have stars who have risen above it, but at any point, you still have that problem.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>You have a bunch of stars in your roster who have risen above it. You have a lot of scale. You have good relationships with the platforms it seems like, but you still have no ability to bring Neal Mohan, the CEO of YouTube, to the table and get better rates for your talent, right? You have to monetize them in other ways.&nbsp;</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>And at some point, Neal, and Adam Mosseri who runs Instagram, they&#8217;re going to start putting AI content into these feeds, perfectly tailored to the consumer. They&#8217;ve already said they want to do this and they&#8217;re going to start taking minutes of attention away from all of the creators and something else will happen. I&#8217;m saying this in stark terms because they say it all the time. They&#8217;re not shy about it. Adam Mosseri just put out a blog post where he&#8217;s like, &#8220;Maybe every Instagram app will be different for every person and I&#8217;m worried about what that will do to society, but </strong><a href="https://www.theverge.com/tech/947898/meta-instagram-your-algorithm-main-feed-tell"><strong>we&#8217;re going to do it anyway</strong></a><strong>.&#8221; And I immediately wrote Adam and said, &#8220;You’ve got to come on the show.&#8221; And Adam, if you&#8217;re listening in, come on the show and talk about that with me.&nbsp;</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>But that&#8217;s the future that platforms see, that they&#8217;re going to even more infinitely tailor the content to people, that they&#8217;ll make AI avatars of creators on YouTube and somewhere they will reap the rewards of the AI avatars of the creators on YouTube. That&#8217;s not 10 years from now, that&#8217;s tomorrow. That&#8217;s coming really fast. How are you thinking about hedging amongst those threats?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>AB: </strong>Neal Mohan said yesterday that YouTube&#8217;s position is that there&#8217;s too much AI slop out there and he wants to make sure that YouTube is a place for real human-made or human-touched AI content.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Do you believe him?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>AB: </strong>I do believe him. I think YouTube is one of the best places to tell a story. And I firmly believe that there has to be a human touch on the product.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>RP: </strong>Obviously we&#8217;re all talking about AI and it&#8217;s been interesting because in all the meetings that I&#8217;ve been in with creators and brands talking about it this week, everyone goes to the same thing, which is like, &#8220;Yeah, AI is a great tool, but there&#8217;s only so many cats bouncing on&#8230;&#8221; At a certain point, you look past the AI-generated content and you&#8217;re like, &#8220;I see that it&#8217;s AI. It&#8217;s fine. It&#8217;s whatever.&#8221; The consumer, does not seem to be gravitating towards this idea.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Yeah, they hate it. The polling data is clear. They’re booing at graduation.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>RP: </strong>The content&#8217;s not contenting. And so will it exist? Of course. But listen, we just saw this massive thing go down in New York with the Knicks, right, and this insane desire for this human connection. The conversation was taking place on these platforms and then it was taking place offline.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">And I think that we&#8217;re only going to see more of the relationship between the platforms, and the content, and creators building these communities and building these audiences and then figuring out these IRL experiences. It&#8217;s not a coincidence that there was this groundswell around these sort of moments and finding this community and finding your people. And I think that&#8217;s a little bit of the other side of the coin to the AI content.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>AB: </strong>The opportunity for platforms now is for them to continue to protect the creator or the artist in the midst of everything that&#8217;s happening with AI and be able to balance the ecosystem, make sure that the human can still survive and they have a real opportunity to do that. I mean, you look at what these platforms have done in terms of producing stars and where we were 10 years ago to where we are today, and now they need to preserve that.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>If I look around Cannes and conversations I&#8217;ve had here: Two days ago, I </strong><a href="https://www.theverge.com/podcast/959792/digitas-ceo-amy-lanzi-cannes-ad-industry-marketing-ai-creators"><strong>interviewed the CEO of Digitas</strong></a><strong>, a huge ad agency. She&#8217;s great. And she&#8217;s a tech CEO. She thinks about data, and scale, and platforms and that is one side of the advertising industry. How much data can we collect to put the right product at the right time on the right shelf at Walmart? And that is how she thinks.&nbsp;</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Then there&#8217;s the creator side, which is like the human side. It&#8217;s like the cuddly face of Cannes, but actually everyone here is transacting on data. There&#8217;s a lot of money floating around data here in, frankly, terrifying ways. It feels like the platforms are continuing to use the presence of the creator, the presence of the stars to sort of&#8230; “Don&#8217;t look at our real business. Don&#8217;t look at where the real scale is,” which is Meta will perfectly target creative to you and maybe even generate it with AI because that is the growing part of their ad business.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Mark Zuckerberg has said it out loud. “You just give us money. We will AI generate the ads perfectly for individual consumers and we&#8217;ll just deliver you business results.” The whole ad ecosystem here knows this is coming for them. They think this is an existential threat.&nbsp;</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>It seems like both of you are just much more confident that that human face of this business, the creator economy, will outlast the naked ambition of the tech executives that run these platforms, even though they keep saying they&#8217;re going to put more AI in the feeds. And it&#8217;s not like the AI content is getting worse, right? It&#8217;s something else.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>RP: </strong>Right. But what we see is that relevance drives conversion. The more relevant content is, the more relevant the brand working with the creator, like the more relevant the partnership, the more success that comes from it. And I just don&#8217;t know that you&#8217;re going to see that level of relevancy from AI generating this continuation of, in your words, the AI slop content.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Well, I don&#8217;t think it&#8217;s slop. For example, every creator I know, right, the pressure to make more stuff just exists. Some of the youngest TikTokers I know, they just are like, &#8220;I have to make four posts a day every single day. That&#8217;s the way I&#8217;m going to win.&#8221; That&#8217;s a lot of pressure to create. Every one of those videos is valuable for a day or a week and then they&#8217;re gone, right? You don&#8217;t have catalog value. Of course they&#8217;re going to start using AI to make some of that content. They&#8217;re going to relieve the pressure in the most natural way.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>RP: </strong>Right. But that&#8217;s using it as a tool to enhance their&#8230;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>But I just think it&#8217;s a small jump from there to, “let YouTube make the next video for me.” And now we&#8217;re not really having the AI slop conversation, right? The platform is helping the creator in some maybe very meaningful way and then it&#8217;s a small jump from there to “we made a VTuber. There&#8217;s a totally virtual creator.” And I actually think UTA reps some VTubers, right? So there&#8217;s just a spectrum from slop to synthetic creator that looks like it&#8217;s compressing more rapidly than maybe anybody thought about.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>RP: </strong>Yeah. I mean, listen, not no, but again, audiences are built from the human component of it.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Sure.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>RP: </strong>And community is built and community ultimately is the most important thing that these creators have. And you can&#8217;t build community solely from AI content.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>AB: </strong>I keep phrasing it in this way, but I think that&#8217;s the opportunity, because I firmly believe that these worlds will cohabituate. And whether it&#8217;s OpenAI or it&#8217;s Anthropic, they have incredible executives in place. We have incredible relationships with those platforms just like we do YouTube and the video and social media platforms.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Do you worry about your creators likenesses being taken or voices being taken? We see this happen all over the place.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>AB: </strong>Sure. We worry about it, but-</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Do you have a mechanism to stop it?</strong> </p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>RP:</strong> No, I mean… is the question if there is a mechanism?</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I&#8217;m just saying one of the things I think UTA provides at scale is you have relationships with the platforms and the platforms are full of synthetic content creators&#8217; faces being used, creators being redressed. I see that all the time now. Do you have the ability to go to the platforms and say, &#8220;We need to stop this&#8221;? There&#8217;s not a great legal mechanism yet in any of our countries to say, &#8220;That&#8217;s my likeness, please take it down.&#8221; I&#8217;m wondering if you have come up with those solutions with the platforms or are letting it happen.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>RP: </strong>I don&#8217;t think that there are any solutions to any of the nuance of that. We work on behalf of our clients to make sure that their name and likeness aren&#8217;t being used to the extent that we can. To your point, whether that&#8217;s in the confines of legal or whether it&#8217;s through legal channels or what have you, we&#8217;re out to protect our clients to the extent that obviously we want to.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Yeah. I&#8217;m curious, that just feels like the bleeding edge of having to protect your clients, right? It&#8217;s very easy to reuse the content. It&#8217;s very easy to steal people&#8217;s likeness. It&#8217;s very easy to steal people&#8217;s voices and it just feels like there&#8217;s some part of the creator economy that&#8217;s going to run into that in just massive scale.&nbsp;</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I mean, there&#8217;s a reason there&#8217;s deepfakes litigation. There&#8217;s a reason there&#8217;s deepfakes legislation floating around. Everyone understands that it&#8217;s a problem. I&#8217;m just wondering if you&#8217;re hearing that from your creators and if you&#8217;re taking that to the platforms.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>AB: </strong>I think the platforms have also been incredibly responsible in protecting the talent too. You look at the tools that YouTube has come out with and, like I said earlier, this is where the platforms have a continued opportunity to prioritize and protect the human beings that power the storytelling.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>You both have given me a lot of time. I just want to wrap up, like a very quick lightning round question. We exist in a time of huge platforms. What do you see as nascent? Is there a next platform on the rise that you&#8217;ve got your eye on? Where does the next group of creators come from?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>AB: </strong>I think there&#8217;s going to be a real resurgence in live content. I think we saw an incredible boom around that pre-COVID and into early COVID. And then as people started to get back out into the world, the business just started to change, and that business was so concentrated in gaming or more streaming culture. I think we&#8217;ll start to see other categories, and niches, and verticals that really start to thrive in that medium.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Yeah. What about you, Raina?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>RP: </strong>I mean, listen, Gen Alpha.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Marketing, consuming all day long.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>RP: </strong>Cannes 2036.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>We&#8217;re going to come back around. What&#8217;s next for UTA? What should we be looking at from both of you?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>RP: </strong>That&#8217;s such a hard question to answer because there&#8217;s just so many conversations going on.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>AB: </strong>There&#8217;s so much. And by the time we answer it, we will have iterated on it. We&#8217;re constantly evaluating all of the different opportunities and directions we can go, and then something&nbsp;happens with content or and-</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>AB: And you&#8217;re moving at the speed of context.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>AB: </strong>We&#8217;re moving at the speed of content.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>RP: </strong>You were here. You heard it live.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I&#8217;m going to take my royalty back for that one. This was really great. Thank you guys so much for joining </strong><strong><em>Decoder</em></strong><strong>.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>RP: </strong>Thank you.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>AB: </strong>Thank you.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><em><sub>Questions or comments? Hit us up at decoder@theverge.com. We really do read every email!</sub></em></p>
						]]>
									</content>
			
					</entry>
			<entry>
			
			<author>
				<name>Nilay Patel</name>
			</author>
			
			<title type="html"><![CDATA[AI won’t save advertising, says Digitas’ Amy Lanzi]]></title>
			<link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="https://www.theverge.com/podcast/959792/digitas-ceo-amy-lanzi-cannes-ad-industry-marketing-ai-creators" />
			<id>https://www.theverge.com/?p=959792</id>
			<updated>2026-07-02T09:53:42-04:00</updated>
			<published>2026-07-02T10:00:00-04:00</published>
			<category scheme="https://www.theverge.com" term="Business" /><category scheme="https://www.theverge.com" term="Creators" /><category scheme="https://www.theverge.com" term="Decoder" /><category scheme="https://www.theverge.com" term="Podcasts" /><category scheme="https://www.theverge.com" term="Tech" /><category scheme="https://www.theverge.com" term="Web" />
							<summary type="html"><![CDATA[We’ve got a special Decoder today — I had the chance to talk with Amy Lanzi, the CEO of Digitas North America, in front of a live audience at the Uber Villa at the Cannes Lions advertising festival in the South of France. I know, it’s a hard gig, but I do it for you. [&#8230;]]]></summary>
			
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<p class="has-drop-cap wp-block-paragraph">We’ve got a special <em>Decoder </em>today — I had the chance to talk with Amy Lanzi, the CEO of Digitas North America, in front of a live audience at the Uber Villa at the Cannes Lions advertising festival in the South of France. I know, it’s a hard gig, but I do it for you.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Amy has <a href="https://www.theverge.com/decoder-podcast-with-nilay-patel/776412/amy-lanzi-ceo-digitas-digital-marketing-creators-ai-hank-green">been on <em>Decoder</em></a> <a href="https://www.theverge.com/24272562/decoder-amy-lanzi-digitas-publicis-influencers-creators-marketing-advertising-generative-ai-adweek">three times now</a>, and she’s one of my favorite people to chat with — she is clear-eyed about what the advertising industry really is and does for brands and what all the money sloshing around the ad-supported internet really accomplishes. You’ll hear her say that she thinks the traditional chief marketing officer role is done for and that her job is driving business results using data and analytics.&nbsp;</p>

<div class="wp-block-vox-media-highlight vox-media-highlight"><img src="https://platform.theverge.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/chorus/uploads/chorus_asset/file/24792604/The_Verge_Decoder_Tileart.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;crop=0,0,100,100" alt="" title="" data-has-syndication-rights="1" data-caption="" data-portal-copyright="" />


<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><em>Verge</em> subscribers, don&#8217;t forget you get exclusive access to ad-free <em>Decoder</em> wherever you get your podcasts. Head <a href="https://www.theverge.com/account/podcasts">here</a>. Not a subscriber? You can <a href="https://www.theverge.com/subscribe">sign up here</a>. </p>
</div>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">That might sound straightforward, but it was a shocking statement at Cannes, which is where the entire advertising industry gathers every year, drinks rosé, and convinces itself of outrageous nonsense. This year, the big trends were creators, and, of course, AI. And Amy, alongside her parent company Publicis, aren’t holding back when it comes to calling out the AI nonsense for what it is.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Publicis actually <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zZ8-lWYXXIY">put out an ad before Cannes</a> listing all the false promises being made about AI when it comes to advertising, so I asked Amy about that, and what AI might actually be good for, beyond just generating slop and slop headlines. After all, Meta and the rest of the big platforms were all at Cannes talking about generating more and more ads with AI — something that threatens almost every other company in the industry.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Of course, we also talked about the creator economy and how all the creators at Cannes were openly calling themselves marketers — essentially turning themselves into small ad agencies of their own. On top of that, the biggest creators in the world almost all launch their own products — something Amy and Digitas see as an opportunity, as those companies will need operational scale and excellence if they’re going to be successful over time.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">There’s a lot in this one — like I said, Amy is as sharp as they come, and I really enjoy talking to her about how the money really works.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Okay: Amy Lanzi, CEO of Digitas North America, live at Cannes. Here we go.</p>

<iframe loading="lazy" frameborder="0" height="200" src="https://playlist.megaphone.fm?e=VMP8280412072" width="100%"></iframe>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><em>This interview has been lightly edited for length and clarity.&nbsp;</em></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Hello everybody. I&#8217;m Nilay Patel. I&#8217;m the editor in chief of </strong><strong><em>The Verge</em></strong><strong> and the host of </strong><strong><em>Decoder</em></strong><strong>.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Hi. Amy Lanzi, CEO of Digitas, part of Publicis Groupe.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I&#8217;m very excited to be here with Amy. Amy, we have to stop meeting like this. We only talk during </strong><strong><em>Decoder</em></strong><strong> podcasts.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I know. We do. We have to do this more. We both live in New York. We should get together more IRL.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Yeah. We only travel long ways to talk to each other in front of live audiences, which is wonderful. Thank you all for being here. Thanks to Uber for having us. I have a lot to talk to you about. It seems like every year we hang out and the entire advertising industry is in a new form of chaos. And that chaos doesn&#8217;t really get resolved. We just move on to the next form of chaos. This year, it&#8217;s AI.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Yes.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I don&#8217;t think that&#8217;s a surprise to anyone in this room. Everywhere here at Cannes, the conversation is about AI. Let&#8217;s just get started.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Publicis put out what you would call a fake ad, a documentary ad. It&#8217;s called </strong><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zZ8-lWYXXIY&amp;t=2"><strong>“The Wrong Promises”</strong></a><strong> and it is basically just a series of vignettes of promises people are making in pitches, including “you don&#8217;t have to pay us until you win a Lion,” which is incredible. And it says “this is real” at the bottom.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Yes.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Tell me about what you are hearing in these rooms that are leading to these crazy AI promises getting made.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Thank you for bringing up our fun video. It was really designed to stimulate conversations like this. In the business right now, it&#8217;s crazy. I&#8217;ve been in this business for a long time and we are seeing all kinds of partners offer wild things in the pitch process.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">It’s different than it&#8217;s been before, whether it&#8217;s all the things that were, of course, hyped in that video, but also just insane commercial deals that are just generally bad for people and the business. And they&#8217;re coming in all different types — whether it&#8217;s about free AI, free platform, free whatever — that are creating a dynamic that is not good for all of us in this industry. Because we all need to work together. It is a people business and all of those things really, long-term, create a people problem.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Not to get all </strong><strong><em>Toy Story 5</em></strong><strong> here, but the conversation that you and I are constantly having is about the pressure of the tech platforms on the media ecosystem, whether that&#8217;s publishers, whether that&#8217;s agencies, whether that&#8217;s creators at some point. We&#8217;ll come to that.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>But the idea that the platforms have enough scale to promise you business results and then deliver them — whether or not that happens, but they certainly can make those promises — is leading to some of these outcomes. And some of these promises about AI and what it might be able to do, is there any reality to that? Or is that just a reaction to the pressure the platforms are putting on the ecosystem?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Whenever this conversation comes about, the promise of AI, I always go back to the promise of programmatic. How many of you remember when programmatic was a thing? No more people, it was all going to magically—</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>No one in this room admitted that they remembered that programmatic advertising was a thing.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Yes, right, exactly. And that was a time when it was all just going to magically happen and it magically still needs people, still has the nuance of brands and the marketplace and all of the things that we do to define our partnerships and what are going to be game changers. I go back to that because I feel like the AI story is the new programmatic story, with the promise of everything just being absolutely automated, and that absolutely did not happen.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">When programmatic was rising, there were all those promises at that time as well and now we are living that. But what is different here is it&#8217;s coming from either agency partners or tech and platform partners. It creates a different chaos to where you started.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Publicis and Digitas also have huge investments here. You were early, right? You bought Influential in 2024 to do analysis of how the creator ecosystem was doing. You have Digitas AI, and it’s been two years that you’ve been into that. How do you think about those products and those platforms in an ecosystem that is full of these promises?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">For me — and I&#8217;ll talk about Digitas AI in particular — we started to make our people better unicorns, as we talked about the last time we met. It was really to say, &#8220;Okay, everyone look at what&#8217;s on your desk, what&#8217;s in your day, and think about what you absolutely could build an agent to do and that way we free up our time to do this.&#8221; That&#8217;s where we started. And then what was fascinating is the magical things that were able to be built by the young talent in the industry that is solving a working problem but eventually a business problem.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">That still holds because every day, as a Gen Xer, I always say, “Hackers wanted.” If you have a hacking mentality and you&#8217;re curious, you can actually do better things than I did when I was a hacker in that age. It enables us to use our agents, use our data to get to better ideas, better workflows that are more of a surprise and delight to clients than what you might have brought in the first round. Because you can do many rounds before you actually get to the final product and that&#8217;s how you get to the unique outcome.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>You can tell that Amy is a </strong><strong><em>Decoder</em></strong><strong> pro because she has led directly to the </strong><strong><em>Decoder</em></strong><strong> questions. I&#8217;m very curious if AI, at least in the enterprise context, is a top-down or bottom-up change agent. You just restructured Digitas, right? You put in a bunch of new roles. You have a new chief intelligence officer, a new chief systems officer, and my favorite, a chief transformation officer. He turns into a robot. What are these roles?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">[Laughs] I hope he hears this because that&#8217;s going to make him laugh. Anyway.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>It&#8217;s very exciting. The toy line is going to be great. What are these roles for? How are you changing the structure of Digitas?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">You&#8217;ve always inspired me by asking “how do you structure yourself” and “how do you make decisions?” The first time we talked about it, I had been in this role for just a little bit of time and we had set our culture, which is, “We&#8217;re fearless, inventive and generous.” That still holds on how we make decisions.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Org structure-wise, we needed to figure out exactly what you just said: how do we do things in the underpinning of the agency that will enable all of our different practices to be able to scale faster? To leverage intelligence — and, of course, intelligence is code for AI in this story. We are moving — so that&#8217;s why we have our chief intelligence officer, which was a pickup from data and analytics — into liberating that into an intelligent platform that all of our agents are built on and then also all of our employees use.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The second is systems thinking. We took the traditional COO role, turned that into a chief systems officer role and really redefined both of those roles because all of our client conversations are really about marketing systems. You need to have someone who can come in and understand that and meet them where they are. Then we think about the marketing flows that we&#8217;ll marry to the system that works within some of their tech choices, et cetera, as two examples. The third, the chief transformation officer is — and this is a big conversation here — around clients wanting to transform, particularly CMOs transforming into CGOs.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>What is a CGO?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Chief growth officer.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Okay.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Did you not know that?&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I&#8217;m a journalist. My job is not to innovate. It&#8217;s unfortunate.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">[Laughs] Okay.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I just ask the questions.&nbsp;</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">That’s why we&#8217;re good friends. I make up a lot of things.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Yeah.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I was just coming from the Forbes CMO Council thing and there was a whole conversation on the rise of the CGO. What that means is CMOs, formerly, were really responsible for making marketing magic. Campaigns and media investment. Now they&#8217;re responsible for building capabilities and they need a partner to help transform their solutions, so it&#8217;s a people problem as well as a tech problem. That&#8217;s why we have that discreet chief transformation officer role.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>You are a data person, you&#8217;ve always been a data person. I&#8217;m really curious about that. The idea that the marketing function is now so directly tied to business results, I see it on the tech platforms all the time. You and I have talked about this before.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Mark Zuckerberg will just look every single one of you in the eyes and say, &#8220;I&#8217;m going to kill you.&#8221; He does it without remorse. His vision is that </strong><a href="https://www.theverge.com/meta/659506/mark-zuckerberg-ai-facebook-ads"><strong>you will just pay Meta and it will make creative for you</strong></a><strong>, it will find the audience for you and they will deliver you business results and almost everything in the middle, from money in to money out, gets automated away by Meta&#8217;s intelligence stack.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>The idea of the chief growth officer feels of a piece with that. That the marketing function is now a business function and it needs a data layer, it needs all these things. Where do you see the creative fitting into it? Where do you see the classic form of brand building?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">It&#8217;s a fundamental part of that capability that needs to live, like the marketing capability now, as a system. Brand building and the fundamentals matter more than anything. What you stand for and how you show up, what you&#8217;re the answer for, especially with LLMs, is really important and it has to be authentic for the brands to grow.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">That&#8217;s still the case. You just can&#8217;t stop there. It needs to be attached to a system and ideally, you have some data intelligence layer so I&#8217;m learning more and more about you and I can then redefine my marketing stories to reshape how I&#8217;m showing up if it&#8217;s not working, if it&#8217;s not selling more candy, if it&#8217;s not selling more cars.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">How we change faster versus the CMO being responsible for building these campaigns and then moving on — that role is a dying role and it should be. It should be that marketing drives commercial value, marketing drives shareholder value.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>You heard it here first, CMO is a dying role.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The previous version of the CMO. Sure. Just like the whole, we are in a chaotic world. We&#8217;re in an area of convergence. If you are a CMO and you&#8217;re not thinking about your data layer, you&#8217;re not thinking about your full stacks, [you’re not thinking about how] you can get closer to the consumer and get to better creative, better use of creators, you are not going to be doing well in the future. Whether it&#8217;s CMO 2.0 or you&#8217;re moving into that CGO role, that&#8217;s really the future of that type of function in an organization.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>The audience here at Cannes knows this, but for the </strong><strong><em>Decoder</em></strong><strong> audience in their cars listening to this, the conventional wisdom was that CMOs only ever had two years on the job, maybe less. You were dead the moment you showed up, you got to execute one big campaign, you found the bathroom and then you were out.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">[Laughs] Yes.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I hope you heard everyone in this room laugh.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I did.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>That was the most knowing laugh in the world. This seems like a much longer-term role. If you show up as the new CMO and your job is to transform the entire business from the bottom up over and over again, it&#8217;s a lot of instability. Do you think these are longer term roles?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">If you do this right and you create a marketing system, you will be able to live beyond the two years path, because you&#8217;re creating a growth engine. If you only want to do two tent pole marketing campaigns, that&#8217;s probably not going to go well after two years.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I basically have two themes that I want to talk about. One is data in scale and one is creators. This sits right in the middle of them. And I just keep thinking about this phrase that I&#8217;ve heard Meta use the most, but the other platforms use it a lot too, and it&#8217;s </strong><a href="https://adage.com/opinion/aa-how-ai-uses-creative-as-new-targeting-signal/"><strong>“creative is the new targeting.”</strong></a></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I hear that and I don&#8217;t make ads. We make two podcasts a week. We don&#8217;t do scale at that level, but I hear “creative is the new targeting” and I think that is a demand for output like no one has ever heard before — “We&#8217;re going to find your customer for you; you just feed the machine with as much as you can.”&nbsp;</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>It seems obvious to me that you have two choices in that world of “creative is new targeting.&#8221; Meta&#8217;s Andromeda system is the biggest example of this, and it’s that you&#8217;re going to feed it with AI creative and you&#8217;re going to let them do it, or you&#8217;re going to have your own AI creative system or you&#8217;re going to let a million creators and influencers do it for you. How do you plug a growth engine into a world where that&#8217;s what the platforms are all saying?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The closer you are to your consumers and all the places they&#8217;re spending time from a data identity, however you&#8217;re systematically doing that, is the most important thing so you can see how they are reacting to… what did you say?</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Creative is new targeting.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I&#8217;ve never heard this phrase. I don&#8217;t like it.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Yeah. I figured you wouldn&#8217;t.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">It&#8217;s terrible, right? It&#8217;s terrible for our business — “creative is targeting.” Only because it sounds horrible. Creative is emotional and lovely and magical. How can it be emotional and magical if it&#8217;s targeting you? Those are two words that don&#8217;t go together.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The brands that are doing really well are deciding not to do that or to do it in a way that feels so contextually relevant because they know so much about Gen Z on [Meta’s products], that they&#8217;ve decided that they need to do this to be able to drive velocity for a certain type of brand that feels fit for that brand.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">But we are not in a world where we need more content. Does anyone want more content? We are not in a world where we need more content. That idea, creative targeting, assumes that we have endless amounts of content and impressions as a concept. Those are two worlds that still need to be decoupled, but when they&#8217;re put together, it needs to be in a way that you are constantly learning. “How did that do? Did I gain more attention from a certain type of growth audience I&#8217;m trying to get to?”</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Can I push you on this? Not to support Meta’s ideas here.&nbsp;</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Yes, yes.&nbsp;&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Let me just make the argument because you and I have talked about it before. The way, in particular, Mark Zuckerberg talks about it is at some point they know more about the viewer of Instagram than anybody, or they want to know more about the viewer of Instagram than anybody, and they will just deliver the right creative to that person at the right moment.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>This is the same argument as programmatic. Only now they have acres of GPUs with which to do it. The argument there is yes, the army of unpaid teenagers will make the fun stuff that you watch and the advertising will just show up magically in the platform and find the right person at the right time.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Again, I read that as, “You should just let Meta make the creative for you.” You just give them a picture of the shampoo bottle and they will put it in the right place, on the right background. For me, it will be pictures of trucks jumping over things and exploding and then shampoo will appear at the end. They&#8217;re like, &#8220;That&#8217;s shampoo for me.&#8221; It would work. If any of you need an idea to target me specifically, that would work.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">[Laughs] Don&#8217;t.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>No agency is ever going to make something that niche, but for example, </strong><a href="https://www.publicisgroupe.com/en/news/press-releases/publicis-to-acquire-liveramp-to-accelerate-data-co-creation-for-smarter-agents"><strong>Publicis just bought LiveRamp</strong></a><strong> to take all that data out—</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">It&#8217;s still in the situation.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Oh no.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Yeah. I mean, it&#8217;s out there, but the deal is not done.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Presumably the goal of buying LiveRamp, which is a giant data platform, is to lever up against Meta and say, “Actually, we know as much about these customers as you do. We can distill information across all the platforms and we will actually do a better job for our clients of placing the creative in the right place at the right time.” This implies that Meta will participate. Why would they do that?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Because people are complicated. And today, look at how often on this beach there are different players on the beach. Everyone doesn&#8217;t stay in this position forever and people are complicated. I would offer that if I started seeing your wonderful ad 50 times, I would say, &#8220;I don&#8217;t want to see this anymore and I actually don&#8217;t like that shampoo.&#8221;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">That&#8217;s what happens when it&#8217;s just left to go on its own without someone thinking about suppressing messaging, without understanding consumers better because you actually win hearts and minds when you&#8217;re doing something that&#8217;s not as expected. Because people are complicated.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">It&#8217;s like we say to our clients, &#8220;You need to work with all of them because all of us spend time in all these different places for different reasons. Why does someone choose to spend time on Pinterest versus [a Meta product] versus Amazon versus Walmart Connect? All of them are different roles, in terms of how the platforms work for you and your life. So why would you put all of your dollars in one place?”</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">For me, those players are shifting in and out depending on what we think that growth audience is doing and how they&#8217;re thinking about intersecting with that category.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Are they good at participating in an ecosystem in that way? This is something that strikes me every time.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Some of them are and some of them are not. The more they start to see headwinds, they lean more into participating. Ideally we want to do data collaboration with these partners because it&#8217;s better for our clients that we can say, &#8220;We knew more about this growth audience on the platform — I&#8217;m not going to say X because I&#8217;m not saying X —- on platform Y. We know more about them and this is—&#8221;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>No one knows anything about X.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Right. &#8220;And this is how we&#8217;re going to grow your brand.&#8221; That&#8217;s a good joint story for a platform and an agency partner to come in to talk about because we&#8217;ve been able to actually share data and look at that in a way that&#8217;s beneficial for the consumer in the end.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>There are only two business models, right? Bundling and unbundling. In the agency world, there&#8217;s a lot of bundling going on right now, right?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">There&#8217;s a lot of bundling going on.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Obviously Publicis is huge. Omnicom just </strong><a href="https://www.omc.com/newsroom/omnicom-completes-acquisition-of-interpublic-forming-the-worlds-leading-marketing-and-sales-company-built-for-intelligent-growth-in-the-next-era/"><strong>bought IPG</strong></a><strong>. CAA is out here saying they&#8217;ve invented creators this year. I don&#8217;t know if anyone heard. They&#8217;re very proud of themselves, but they have a </strong><a href="https://variety.com/2026/digital/news/caa-tpg-250-million-compound-creative-holding-company-acquire-creator-businesses-1236771598/"><strong>$250 million fund to take stakes indirectly in creator businesses</strong></a><strong>.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>There&#8217;s a lot of scale. There&#8217;s a lot of bundling going on. What do you think is driving that?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">It&#8217;s the desired state of a system. Hence why we have a chief systems officer and there are capabilities that we built. Last time or two we met, I talked about building the commerce capability and the <a href="https://www.reuters.com/business/media-telecom/urgent-publicis-acquires-e-commerce-software-company-profitero-200-mln-euros-2022-05-03/">acquisition of Profitero</a> that I led. That was really to get to a unique set of data so we could build a better commerce capability and advise our clients on how they should be investing in some of these retail media partner spaces at the time. How to win the digital shelf was really the business problem to solve when we made that acquisition.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">That holds true for the acquisition of Influential. How do we create “creator” as a channel? How do we harness the creator in a way that&#8217;s also easier for clients? If you don&#8217;t bring those things into a bundled offer, it&#8217;s actually really hard for clients because there are seven different versions of Profitero calling on them. There are seven different Influential partners, or those types of partners that are calling on them, and then you&#8217;re looking at a decentralized set of technology, and it&#8217;s, again, ideally not tied into a single data identity spine.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The more you have them connected, the more you can actually say, “Did this really work? Did it really drive someone to buy more things?&#8221; That&#8217;s the reason why the capabilities are now being bundled. Think about them as capabilities versus assets in this conversation.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Talk more about Influential. That was a big acquisition two years ago. I&#8217;m assuming it&#8217;s been integrated. That was the big creator play for you. I know you were instrumental in that acquisition.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>It feels like the creator economy has taken on a new shape this year. We are hearing more and more about the biggest creators in the world and the biggest platforms. Influential was much more of a scale play, right? It had an idea that you could go and do a lot of analysis of what was happening on these platforms at massive scale. How&#8217;s that working out?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">It&#8217;s working out very well because we have taken their technology and connected it to our identity so that I can now see you, I can see who you follow, and then I can understand how to get closer to you or have either the type of right creator choice or right creative decisions that can get you to feel an emotional connection to my brand.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">It&#8217;s also really that the creator as a channel is also super efficient. You can also have creators talk in a way that is a little more authentic to the audiences, where a brand maybe can&#8217;t go out with that message. But it&#8217;s very complicated. Before we had Influential, it was very hard. Every different brand partner had a different creator solution. We still are interoperable. We work with other ones that are out there like CreatorIQ, but it is easier for us if it&#8217;s connected into our system because then we can get to see if it actually worked faster.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>What&#8217;s the step after the creator interaction? You open one of these platforms, you scroll some videos, you see some creator telling you to buy some product. Is it then to go search? Is it then to go open a retail app directly?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">You mean for the consumer?</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Yeah.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I mean, it depends. One of the hottest topics we&#8217;re getting right now is TikTok shops, which is another interesting topic we can have another day and that&#8217;s because creators are saying, &#8220;Don&#8217;t you want to buy this thing?&#8221; It&#8217;s a one-click opportunity to go get it.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">For us, when some brands that are more used to selling through traditional retail channels, it&#8217;s a pretty big lift to build that out. It still is. But the desired state is, &#8220;I want to buy your kit of parts, whatever you&#8217;re talking to me about in your creator video, and I want to be able to buy it and do it then.&#8221; That&#8217;s a move we&#8217;re starting to see. We also just see “follow me and learn more about me as a creator.” It&#8217;s actually a cheat for CRM because if I&#8217;m a brand and you&#8217;re one of my power influencers and I want to really have an owned relationship with you, this is a way for us to get closer to you as a brand.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>The reason I ask that question is I&#8217;ve run around the past two or three years asking every web host and web company why anyone should make a website now. If I was a new creative and I was starting </strong><strong><em>The Verge</em></strong><strong> over again in 2026, I would not make a giant fancy desktop website. I would probably be a TikToker. My dancing is pretty good. It&#8217;s not great, but I would probably start there.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>The answer from all the web companies I&#8217;ve gotten is, &#8220;Oh, because you want to do retail and you want to escape fees on platforms. You want a different fee structure.” The best answer I ever got was from the CEO of Squarespace, who said, &#8220;A lot of people start websites with us just for the appearance of legitimacy.&#8221; Having the dot com — or I guess the dot ai now — gives you an appearance of legitimacy that a customer will go and transact against versus just dropping a TikTok shop and who knows what sort of Temu product you&#8217;re going to get.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I look at that and I say, &#8220;Okay, you&#8217;re going to go to the web.&#8221; That&#8217;s a move everybody wants you to do and the web is fundamentally under threat by agentic search, by AI overviews — everything everyone knows about. Do you see that changing in your funnels?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Interestingly, we are seeing more and more briefs for revising websites.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>To do </strong><a href="https://www.coursera.org/articles/what-is-generative-engine-optimization"><strong>generative engine optimization</strong></a><strong> (GEO)?&nbsp;</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Yes and no. It&#8217;s actually pretty interesting. This is something that the market talks to you, clients come in, they look for new things. Who would have thought, if you asked me at the end of last year, &#8220;Are you going to do a lot of website work?&#8221; I would have said no. We&#8217;ve seen a lot of it for two reasons. One, the future of websites is knowledge sites. Websites were built to contain a bunch of random information that didn&#8217;t really enable you to show up well in a single response to an LLM’s prompt.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">So part of it is that, but also if you&#8217;re going to be a real brand and it&#8217;s literally your legitimacy point, you really need to have your own assets. You want to own that and eventually you don&#8217;t always want to have to funnel everything like packaged goods through a retail partner. You want to be able to have your own relationship. That doesn&#8217;t mean everyone&#8217;s going to buy from that site, but the idea is that it is a site that, one, does its job of feeding the LLMs but also builds your brand and gives information, too. Old websites pretty much weren&#8217;t really built in a way that makes sense for modern consumers.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Who are you giving information to? Is it consumers? Is it AI agents?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Both.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Is it just Google?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">No. I mean, yes. If you have to build, we build for machines and humans.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>What do you think happens? Every time I go to Google I/O, I </strong><a href="https://www.theverge.com/podcast/936445/sundar-pichai-ai-search-google-zero-youtube-web"><strong>sit down with CEO Sundar Pichai</strong></a><strong> and I ask him. Every single demo of search for years now has ended in a transaction. I don&#8217;t know if you have noticed this.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Every Apple demo ends with trip planning. Every Google demo ends with trip planning that ends in buying shoes. You realize the audience is partially </strong><strong><em>Verge</em></strong><strong> readers who just love tech and partially it&#8217;s other developers. And then a huge part of it is industry analysts and their investors and they want to see the revenue return on every single feature that Google announces and so they all end in transactions.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Over time, those transactions have taken place closer and closer to Google&#8217;s core platform. This year they </strong><a href="https://www.theverge.com/news/932927/google-io-agentic-ai-shopping-universal-cart"><strong>announced intelligent shopping carts</strong></a><strong> that are just going to track prices and execute a purchase for you. You&#8217;re talking about rebuilding websites. There&#8217;s a world in which the website is just the backend database for a very complicated Google system that is doing all of the things that you&#8217;re talking about. Is there a hedge against that or is that train just on the tracks?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">It&#8217;s a little bit of a hedge against that. I would say that for many of our packaged goods friends, one of their biggest threats is Amazon. That is the Google in this story because if you are so dependent on a partner like Amazon that also can — and we like our partnership with Amazon — but they also are a place where, because of the size of their marketplace, if you&#8217;ve built a brand that has a story, is a known brand, some of these marketplace brands can immediately win because of how you&#8217;ve invested and built the category.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">So you need to have your own assets to be able to think about what is your next story, what is your next move so that you don&#8217;t get commoditized. That applies to both Amazon and Google, to a degree.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Do you think they&#8217;re competitors in this space in that way?&nbsp;</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I don&#8217;t know. I don&#8217;t do any shopping on Google, so I don&#8217;t know if I would compare them to that.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Have you ever planned a hiking trip on Google? They&#8217;re great at it.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">[Laughs] Actually, no. I use this thing called Mindtrip. It&#8217;s my favorite. I learned about it in <em>The New York Times</em>. You go to Mindtrip and it&#8217;ll magically plan your trip. It&#8217;s pretty good. It can do most things and then it breaks in certain areas.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>But this idea that you&#8217;re going to have a bunch of agents just planning the trips for you, buying all of the gear that you might want, or tracking prices for you, which is another big promise that everyone has. And then the brands might pay for preferred results in all of those spaces. That does seem like a more direct competitor to Amazon than not, right?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Absolutely, it does. I just think there&#8217;s the planning part and the transaction part. Those are two different things. I think on the planning, you&#8217;re competing. Amazon is trying to get up. They&#8217;re going to get added transaction into that planning component — when you think about all the things that they&#8217;re doing with their own creators and even just their move on full funnel and content, that&#8217;s really to make Amazon your total destination. But I think in the agent-to-agent buying space, the concept of trust is still very important. What you&#8217;re willing to do and not to do, I think as a consumer is still TBD.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Here&#8217;s my wonkiest tech question for you. Google is very, very proud —</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">[Laughs] This is hard. Oh, Lord.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I got it. It&#8217;s fine. Because again, is AI top-down or bottom-up? I understand how it&#8217;s bottom-up. We&#8217;re going to empower all of our smartest people to do agentic things in our workplaces. And then there&#8217;s top-down, which is that Google is very proud of its universal cart standard, where agents are going to be able to access carts across domains and compare prices and do all that stuff.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>That&#8217;s a corporate decision. That&#8217;s a strategy decision and they&#8217;re pretty proud that everyone&#8217;s on board. Their argument to me is, &#8220;Well, we just needed something. And this is the something.&#8221; I hear the tech industry say, &#8220;We just needed something.&#8221; And I think, well, of course, but it&#8217;s this something that you control and everyone might need something, but no one is thinking it through.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>At the end of this, one player will control it. When your clients and partners think about, “We&#8217;re going to adopt these standards for agentic workflows, for how commerce will be done in the future,” is there any pause to say, “Google&#8217;s going to control the standards again?”</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Yes and no. The clients I speak with today are not as worried about Google as a commerce partner as they are about the transformation of their more traditional partners, like Amazon or other retailers, that have transformed from being a retail partner to being media partners.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>That transformation is occurring over there, their media partners —</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">It&#8217;s changed this dynamic of what a retailer does and what a supplier or manufactured brand does. That dynamic has changed and that makes the negotiation between them such that they need each other to grow. When they&#8217;ve transformed into media partners, this changes that equation significantly. This is the whole retail media conversation. “Are they a media partner or are they our retail partner?”</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Yeah.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">That&#8217;s still much more the conversation.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Has AI changed the dynamic of that at all?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Yes, because the more AI-oriented products they have, the more it puts focus on media investments with them because of these magical products. It&#8217;s not necessarily solving a core shopping problem.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>So let me flip to the other side of this, because so far we&#8217;ve talked about tech and data and scale, and I think that is the promise of AI. “We&#8217;re going to automate everything. It is going to be magic. We&#8217;re going to do programmatic again.” All you need is data and they need your money.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>The other side of this — and I&#8217;m just walking around here at Cannes — is creators everywhere. Something vastly more human, vastly more bespoke. My theory — and I was just wrong on this, so I’ll cop to it — I thought creator rates would fall drastically this year, as there was more AI content, as the platforms got more and more punishing about what would work on their algorithms, as they started doing their own content.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Instead, I look around and everyone here at Cannes is just so proud about how the cost per minute of video is skyrocketing again. What&#8217;s going on?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Again, it&#8217;s all about supply and demand. Once creators start moving into a more famous space, then suddenly they&#8217;re worth more. Last time we talked about this, we talked about the difference between a creator, an influencer, and a celebrity. I still think that holds true.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Unilever went out, probably this time last year, saying that they were going to spend 50 percent of their dollars with all creators versus creative. To me, an interesting conversation is, “What is creative now?” If you&#8217;re putting it all in the hands of a creator, what does it mean to be a brand that delivers creative and how do you make those things work together?</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Because we can&#8217;t have another thing that also prices us out of the market and you get to a point where you&#8217;re ceding so much control to the voice of the creator that that&#8217;s probably not going to build your brand over time.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>The creators see themselves as marketers, at least the very best ones here. I mean they&#8217;re here at Cannes.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Small business owners.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>They&#8217;re all small media businesses of their own. Some of them are very large media businesses of their own and they&#8217;re very open that what they do is marketing for brands. That comes right up against agencies. It comes right up against your creatives. All the creators know they want more control. They want the brief from the brand. They want business results. And they say, &#8220;Leave me alone to do it. I&#8217;m just going to do it however I want to do it.&#8221; What&#8217;s that dynamic like as you start working with the bigger and bigger creators?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">We still hold true to brand fundamentals. Strategy matters. What the consumer insight is for that brand has to be something that&#8217;s an exchange between a brand and a creator in order for the creator’s work to really build what&#8217;s unique about that brand. It&#8217;s still the idea of freedom and a framework that that creator is briefed on. They control how they&#8217;re going to do it, but there are some tone and voice and things that, if a creator&#8217;s actually going to buy into this, they need to buy into that. That still is really the exchange. That&#8217;s always been the exchange. Do you remember when UGC started in Tongal? Do you remember that whole thing?</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">It was the same thing. I was working on Johnson&#8217;s Baby and we were trying to figure out how to really create authentic first-time expectant mom stories. We had this great debate about how we&#8217;re going to get the new creators — like mom bloggers, was the language — to get them to tell these stories. So we had this: this is what the brand stands for, here are some things, but you need to buy into this and believe in it. That exchange still exists. We just call them creators now. And then you can do it in a more scaled way, through a system like Influential.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I guess maybe my new prediction is that we&#8217;ll see a more barbell shaped creator economy, where the biggest creators are making more and more money than ever and the middle gets squeezed. Either you’ve got to get big, you’ve got to be able to command rates because you&#8217;re a celebrity, or you end up towards those UGC rates, where you&#8217;re just doing infomercials on TikTok and that&#8217;s the business. What&#8217;s left for the middle?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">It&#8217;s a really good question. I don&#8217;t know the answer to that. I do think there&#8217;s so much demand for this space and there&#8217;s a lot of demand for the middle. So you could use it as a way to eventually launch yourself into this upper echelon of creators. Someone said to me that creators are daytime stars from soap operas, which I thought, “This is pretty interesting.”</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Because they&#8217;re in your house?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Because they&#8217;re just so on. It&#8217;s not noise but they keep you company, they keep you busy and then all of a sudden, one of those people becomes a movie star. Which, to me, is a little bit of that middle of what you just articulated, where we know the creators. I&#8217;ve watched my daughter over the years, and I&#8217;ve watched all of her creators [grow]. Emma Chamberlain was a creator on YouTube who&#8217;s now a star, doing Estee Lauder ads or whatever she&#8217;s doing. She&#8217;s really a celebrity now, but she started as a tiny creator making adorable shows on YouTube.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>One of the things that you and I were briefly talking about before we came onstage was at some point creators hit a scale where their businesses need to be businesses. That&#8217;s where you might need an agency to come in and actually operate your business. That scale is still pretty huge. It might just be MrBeast at that scale, and he needs to operate a full business.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>But I see lots of creators. I think it&#8217;s fascinating that the creative economy is the only one where people routinely transition from selling bits to selling atoms. It&#8217;s crazy to me that the Paul brothers are like, &#8220;Bottled water is a good business to be in.&#8221; Historically not a great business to be in. Shipping water around the world is vastly more expensive than just making one more video, but there&#8217;s no business in making one more video that scales.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>You have to make physical products and sell them to people and that scales. Is that becoming a bigger and bigger line for you? “We&#8217;re going to go find the biggest creators and make them products and scale that up”?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The last time or two we met, I had predicted that, at some point, there are going to be these creators that become enterprises, let&#8217;s say a MrBeast that actually needs an agency, and it has happened. We are now starting to see briefs from these scaled, started-as-a-creator businesses that have now turned into enterprise businesses, where they need an agency partner and they also need someone to help them to figure out how to invest their media so they can grow. They’re like real brands.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>MrBeast himself cannot flip over the bars at Walmart.&nbsp;</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I just think people need consultants. You need someone to help you.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>No one has ever looked me in the eye and said, &#8220;People need consultants,&#8221; before.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">[Laughs] I call myself a consultant. Look me in the eye. Yes.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I have here Accenture just bought Whalar, which is like an all time nonsense </strong><strong><em>Decoder</em></strong><strong> phrase, but okay.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Yes. You, as an enterprise owner or as an owner of a company, you need help to figure out how you&#8217;re going to get to your next growth path. This is what&#8217;s happening with some of these businesses.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">These creators that have turned into an enterprise who are wondering, “What is next? Gee, it&#8217;s expensive to ship water all over the world. What do I do? How do I do this? What types of partners do I go to? How do I figure out ways to grow my brand in unowned ecosystems?” Because that&#8217;s the quickest way to grow your brand, not just in your own channels.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>There&#8217;s this term that I&#8217;ve been hearing called the influencer cliff. I want to give credit. The TikToker who </strong><a href="https://www.tiktok.com/@carmscrolls"><strong>came up with it is named Carmen Vicente</strong></a><strong>. I&#8217;m only giving her credit because no one gives me credit for Google Zero.&nbsp;</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">[Laughs] I do.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I’m trying to reinitiate karma into this world. It&#8217;s her term. It&#8217;s great. If you&#8217;re listening to this, we&#8217;ll </strong><a href="https://www.tiktok.com/@carmscrolls/video/7638068031851187464"><strong>put the video in the show notes</strong></a><strong>. But her thesis is that creators can do the branded content because the audiences are there for the real content and they will tolerate the ads in support of the work that they&#8217;re there to see. And then when the creator transitions to selling their own product, this misaligns the audience from the creator, and when the brand integrations get too overpowering, it misaligns everybody, and then the creators have to issue apologies and they&#8217;ve fallen off the cliff. I see this all over the place.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I see this with tech creators. I see this with fashion creators. Once you start shilling the product directly, your relationship changes, something goes horribly wrong, maybe you backtrack all the way. There&#8217;s some class of creators that&#8217;s able to do it, that makes the transition to selling products directly. You&#8217;ve seen a lot of these now, you&#8217;ve seen the briefs. What qualities let you take that next step?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I think a unique product is really important, versus a me-too product that a creator has decided they wanted to sell. That&#8217;s important. You&#8217;ve seen some creators where it’s that they&#8217;re into sports or they&#8217;re an athlete, and they&#8217;re moving into a space that they feel like this is something that made them a better athlete and is a unique part of the market.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">If someone&#8217;s following for that, then that makes sense that you would buy into that. When it feels like someone woke up and wanted to just put their persona on a certain brand and it doesn&#8217;t feel like it&#8217;s been their talk track to you as your friend, then it doesn&#8217;t work.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Do you see any particular products that are going to change categories?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">One of the things that I think that has been really interesting but is not talked about, is actually a unique example and more of a celebrity example, are brands like Fabletics, Kate Hudson&#8217;s brand. It’s super interesting. It&#8217;s right in her lifestyle play and her desire to be healthy and all of that. And it was really her launching Fabletics, not her endorsing Fabletics. That&#8217;s not really a good creator example. I have to think more about that one.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I&#8217;m very curious because I think that&#8217;s coming.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Yes.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>As particular rates at the top end of the curve go up, the idea that you can just launch your own brand and collect those margins directly, I get it. It makes rational economic sense. But I&#8217;m wondering if the audiences are going to take that at scale.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Even if you just look at traditional brands that are trying to scale DTC-like brands, it is very hard to do because it&#8217;s very hard to be found and the distribution part is very expensive. There is a reason why Walmart is incredibly successful, because they&#8217;ve solved the route to the consumer. And that is very challenging and expensive to try to build that out, even if the product is incredible.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>You mean distribution of product out in the channel?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Yeah, of product.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Because I was going to ask about that. You talked a lot to the web. I feel like I have to ask you because I brought up Google Zero. Is that true in your world as well? It&#8217;s definitely true on the publisher side that traffic from Google is going down. Is discovery traffic to all those websites going down as well?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">To publisher websites, yes. We are definitely seeing a change in partnerships from our publishers that are trying to understand how they can create custom content that is not as dependent on search, but it&#8217;s definitely something that is a big conversation that&#8217;s happening here.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I would say in this case, if you are a publisher and you really have an authentic, true voice, people will follow you. They&#8217;ll come find you. Versus if you&#8217;re trying to fight it out in search, that&#8217;s going to be very difficult.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>All right. Well, I&#8217;ll be in the bar at the Carlton later, if you want to find me. Okay. We’ve got a few minutes left and then we&#8217;re going to do some audience questions. But I have a lightning round for you.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">[Laughs] Okay. This hasn&#8217;t been a lightning round? Oh my gosh.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>This hasn&#8217;t. No, this is the depth. All right. I have talked to a lot of tech CEOs and AI CEOs over the past year, and there’s a furious debate over whether AI has a marketing problem. Sam Altman will say, &#8220;We got to do better marketing. We got to buy a podcast for $200 million.&#8221; Great haircuts from those guys. I think about them every single day.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I don&#8217;t mean this as an insult. Those are some of the best haircuts in the world. I&#8217;m working on it. I don&#8217;t know if $200 million of podcast haircuts is going to fix it for OpenAI. Sundar Pichai will tell you it&#8217;s not a marketing problem. Satya Nadella will say we have to earn social permission. Do you think AI has a marketing problem?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I think AI is misunderstood. It&#8217;s a marketing problem and the problem it&#8217;s solving. I&#8217;ll say that one of my favorite people to follow who talks about AI — my friends here are going to know what I&#8217;m going to say — is Shelly Palmer. If you follow Shelly Palmer, he <a href="https://shellypalmer.com/2026/06/the-vice-president-of-electricity/">published something recently about AI being electricity</a> and how electricity is really what fundamentally changed the industrial revolution.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The companies that were fast — and he referenced Ford in this — to really reshape how they work and were able to get to more efficient production as well as speed to market, will win. I think that&#8217;s the lost conversation on AI, which is, for me, all of us have too much to do on our computers and our desktops, if you think about it. You can use AI to do those things, and you don&#8217;t call me because you&#8217;re like, &#8220;Hey, did you clean out your email box?&#8221; Things like that are not necessarily game changers that are advancing all of us.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Also we have a lot of busywork because all of the work is distributed everywhere. The more we can use AI to connect those things and get those things done enables us to do more things like this. Once we use AI to transform the way we work and to be more efficient in how we&#8217;re getting to the outcomes, it&#8217;ll then make time in all of our lives to do the things that are going to be game changers. It&#8217;s a marketing problem and a misunderstood problem.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Is that going to stop the kids from booing at college graduation ceremonies?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I think so. Right now — and my daughter&#8217;s a third-year — they&#8217;re worried about their jobs because all they hear, to your point about a press problem or PR problem versus marketing problem, is that AI is going to be the thing that replaces all of them. I would say we want new young talent because if I watch my 12-year-old, he&#8217;s been doing Google Slides since he was eight, because of COVID.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">All of them got right into Google Classroom and they all learned how to co-work and use many different apps at once and produce presentations easily. Anyone that&#8217;s coming out of school we want — we want bright, curious hackers. We&#8217;re not not hiring them because we need them. We need people as the lifeblood of our business.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Do you think AI creative is going to get good enough?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I do not.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>No? Ever?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I do not. I think the minds and complexity of humans make great stories that you are attracted to. I&#8217;m not using the word creative. I&#8217;m using stories. I think AI enables you to be able to get to those concepts faster or to get to higher production more efficiently.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I went to an event and it was fantastic. It was a case for Virgin Cruises and they were talking about building these beautiful long-form content stories. The creatives were talking about how they used AI to be able to get to the concepts faster, curate from static art to digital art to really make these beautiful, multimodal boards, to bring this to life faster. But it wasn&#8217;t the core of the idea. They had thought, they had used their brains to come up with the idea.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>It&#8217;s interesting. In our newsroom, we do a lot of first drafts now with AI — of art, not writing — because it lowers the stakes on saying things are good ideas or bad ideas and just that has empowered people to have more ideas. I see a lot of that. I would challenge you: I think at some point the bottom end of the creative, the UGC world, that stuff gets taken over.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">For everyday creative, I&#8217;ll give you an example: product display pages that are when you search on Walmart or Amazon and that page gives you all this information. If it&#8217;s not done with robots, you&#8217;re not doing it right because that&#8217;s like looking at the back of a packaging.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">If you really do it right, you can make it dynamic. It knows what you bought the last time and it can be magical, but that&#8217;s like everyday creative that we need in order to get to personalization. We should be using those tools to be able to do that versus someone making those in an analog world, which is where we all started on that. For some things. When I think about big creative and storytelling, it still needs humans.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I&#8217;ve asked you about GEO several times. I&#8217;m asking you now in lightning round format. Is this just another wild goose chase?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">GEO?</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Yeah.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">No, I think for certain platforms, it&#8217;s a recast of search. We&#8217;re seeing this happening, where you need to be, instead of being found, you need to be known for, so that&#8217;s the GEO response. But I also think it&#8217;s a better curation of information.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I think it&#8217;s harder work for marketers because you need to be figuring out how you are leveraging Reddit or all these other different places so that you are showing up in a positive way with the LLMs. But I do think, if we&#8217;ve all been talking about the concept of personalization at scale, we should be delivering on that. GEO allows us to do that.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Have you had to change your SEO practice to account for that?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Talk about a practice that you thought was not going to be big. When you look at the capabilities you have and what you don&#8217;t think is going to be a high growth engine, our SEO team has exploded. In addition to new websites, this is a big one and that is really a conversation around influence. It&#8217;s how you&#8217;re showing up and how you&#8217;re also influencing LLMs when you actually get into that.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Is that something you can measure? I worry that LLMs are inherently non-deterministic. Every result is different. Do you have a system of measuring those?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">We do. We do have an audit format to see what is your share of voice within that, so you can identify where you are in the moment, but it&#8217;s a movable feast in comparison to share of voice for search. It is something that we audit so we can start to see what the different levers we need to be pulling are.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">By the way, the LLMs are also fed by different things. Recently, one of the new ones is longform YouTube content. That makes sense — that tracks.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Why do you think we all make podcasts now?&nbsp;</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">[Laughs] Right.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Everyone&#8217;s just trying to get to three hours of YouTube content. I don&#8217;t know if you can have a lightning round question that starts from a place of existential dread, but here we go. I feel like we&#8217;re all here.&nbsp;</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Did you all see Adam Mosseri&#8217;s post about </strong><a href="https://www.theverge.com/tech/947898/meta-instagram-your-algorithm-main-feed-tell"><strong>customizing the Instagram algorithm two weeks ago</strong></a><strong>? This is maybe one of the most important posts in the history of media. I&#8217;m not kidding. And of course, he issued it as an Instagram carousel, one of the least consumable forms of media that you can possibly have. It&#8217;s also on Threads. If your brain is broken and you use Threads, you can go look at it there.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>It&#8217;s very long and it&#8217;s about how offering the ability to customize the algorithm was previously impossible because no one could describe the series of matrix multiplication equations that led to your algorithm showing you a piece of content, except LLMs can now. It can tell you why you&#8217;re seeing content in a very direct way. And then you can talk to the LLM and it can customize the algorithm for you.&nbsp;</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>He said, &#8220;This is great and we think this will give people a sense of agency.&#8221; And then he went on and said, &#8220;Soon I will customize all of Instagram for you and the app will be different for every single person. Some of the experiences will be interactive. Some of the UI controls will literally be different. How we organize everything will be different. And you can see how this is the obvious future for us.&#8221;</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>He went on again and he said, &#8220;This might be bad. This might ruin the shared fabric of truth that we all rely on every single day,” which for a Meta executive is remarkably prescient, but he didn&#8217;t say he was going to do anything about it. He was just like, &#8220;Here&#8217;s what I&#8217;m going to do to you.&#8221;</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I look at all of Cannes and I look at all of our talk about the creator economy, about measuring the data and I think, “Adam Mosseri is going to make Instagram different for every single person. That is his stated goal. He said it two weeks ago and he knows that this might distort literally our shared sense of reality, the media experiences we all have.” This is the lightning round question. It was a big buildup to a lightning round question. Is that good?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">It&#8217;s terrible.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Okay. Is there anything we can do about that?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Not engage in it.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>How do you not engage with Instagram?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">If I told you about my oldest stepson, who is absolutely analog, that&#8217;s why. I think we are seeing more and more consumers [like that]. Think about it. If you sat down in front of your TV and it was like, “We&#8217;ve made all these decisions about you and you&#8217;re only allowed to do this based on…” It feels like <em>Black Mirror.</em></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">If that happens to you, you would say, &#8220;I&#8217;m not going to engage in this anymore. I&#8217;m going to go read a book.&#8221; It&#8217;s also counter to the value proposition of a social platform around community. It was designed to make this connected world. So that&#8217;s the most disconnected world.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">People are lonely and isolated. The more you&#8217;re just in your doomscroll, it will be terrible. We need shared community. One of the things that&#8217;s really interesting and a bright spot about creators is creators show up and they have a community, and they listen to their communities. They&#8217;re not influencing, they&#8217;re talking to their communities, in a way. Brands that do this right are really bringing the community along. It&#8217;s why we&#8217;re seeing the rise of IRL. People want to get together and talk about things.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Is it just going to be that competitive pressure that keeps them honest? I look at the creator economy and Instagram is a load-bearing part of the creator economy. Disrupting that, maybe you break the whole thing. What keeps them honest? What keeps them from going down this path that they&#8217;ve very clearly said they want to go down? Is it just people switching away?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I think it’s people switching away. When brands stop putting media dollars there, and all of those things come together, you might realize, “Wow, they&#8217;re not buying what I&#8217;m selling and this is not going to work for me.” There are plenty of platforms that are no longer [prominent], if you think about it.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Big blue Facebook. It&#8217;s there for my parents. It&#8217;s even on their own platform. Okay. Last question for you and then I think we&#8217;re going to take some questions. This one&#8217;s really easy. What&#8217;s next for Digitas? What should we be looking for this year?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">What&#8217;s next for Digitas? We are very much focused on marketing systems and how we are helping brands build out their growth engines so that it&#8217;s not just about your media needs, your creative needs, your CRM needs. It&#8217;s how we can really make all of those different capabilities work together so that it&#8217;s easier for our brands to grow.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Great. Well, thank you so much, Amy.</strong>&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"></p>
						]]>
									</content>
			
					</entry>
			<entry>
			
			<author>
				<name>Nilay Patel</name>
			</author>
			
			<title type="html"><![CDATA[Let him cook: How Weber Blackstone CEO Roger Dahle went from upstart to the biggest name in grilling]]></title>
			<link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="https://www.theverge.com/podcast/958790/weber-blackstone-ceo-roger-dahle-grilling-griddles-merger-outdoor-cooking" />
			<id>https://www.theverge.com/?p=958790</id>
			<updated>2026-06-29T09:53:31-04:00</updated>
			<published>2026-06-29T10:00:00-04:00</published>
			<category scheme="https://www.theverge.com" term="Business" /><category scheme="https://www.theverge.com" term="Decoder" /><category scheme="https://www.theverge.com" term="Podcasts" /><category scheme="https://www.theverge.com" term="Smart Home" /><category scheme="https://www.theverge.com" term="Tech" />
							<summary type="html"><![CDATA[It’s time for our annual Fourth of July grill episode here at Decoder. This is when we invite the CEOs of outdoor cooking companies onto the show to explain just how their businesses kind of look like every other business. And this is a very special edition.&#160; Today I’m talking to Roger Dahle, the CEO [&#8230;]]]></summary>
			
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<figure>

<img alt="A photo illustration of Weber Blackstone CEO Roger Dahle." data-caption="" data-portal-copyright="" data-has-syndication-rights="1" src="https://platform.theverge.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2026/06/DCD-Roger-Dahle.png?quality=90&#038;strip=all&#038;crop=0,0,100,100" />
	<figcaption>
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<p class="has-drop-cap wp-block-paragraph">It’s time for our annual Fourth of July grill episode here at <em>Decoder</em>. This is when we invite the CEOs of outdoor cooking companies onto the show to explain just how their businesses kind of look like every other business. And this is a very special edition.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Today I’m talking to Roger Dahle, the CEO of Weber Blackstone, a full circle moment for <em>Decoder</em>. Roger was our <a href="https://www.theverge.com/22583787/blackstone-griddle-roger-dahle-interview-decoder">first-ever grill CEO on the show</a> back when he was the CEO of just Blackstone — a griddle company he started in 2008 that exploded in popularity during the pandemic, when videos of smashburgers went relentlessly viral on TikTok.&nbsp;</p>

<div class="wp-block-vox-media-highlight vox-media-highlight"><img src="https://platform.theverge.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/chorus/uploads/chorus_asset/file/24792604/The_Verge_Decoder_Tileart.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;crop=0,0,100,100" alt="" title="" data-has-syndication-rights="1" data-caption="" data-portal-copyright="" />


<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><em>Verge</em> subscribers, don&#8217;t forget you get exclusive access to ad-free <em>Decoder</em> wherever you get your podcasts. Head <a href="https://www.theverge.com/account/podcasts">here</a>. Not a subscriber? You can <a href="https://www.theverge.com/subscribe">sign up here</a>. </p>
</div>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Blackstone grew so fast and so furiously that Roger was able to <a href="https://www.theverge.com/2024/12/11/24318727/reverse-acquihires-in-the-grilling-industry">buy Weber a couple of years ago</a>, a legacy company that had fallen on hard times. Fun fact: We asked Roger to come on the show last year to talk about the merger, but it was stuck in antitrust review at the Federal Trade Commission.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">So Roger and I talked about that, what competition review entails for grill companies, and what it takes to manufacture these products overseas and import them into the United States in an age of high tariffs and high energy prices that are pushing consumers down market.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">We also talked about what it means to merge with Weber, a storied company with iconic products that had become pretty stuck in its ways and pretty siloed. Roger now seems very eager to break those silos down and create a better combined company with a new culture. As I said, there’s a lot in this one — including whether the chip market is affecting Weber&#8217;s connected thermometer business.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">It’s pure <em>Decoder </em>bait through and through, and Roger was great in this episode.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Okay: Weber Blackstone CEO Roger Dahle. Here we go.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><em>This interview has been lightly edited for length and clarity.&nbsp;</em></p>

<iframe loading="lazy" frameborder="0" height="200" src="https://playlist.megaphone.fm?e=VMP6859886703" width="100%"></iframe>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Roger Dahle, you&#8217;re the CEO of Weber Blackstone. Welcome back to Decoder.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Thank you. Good to be back.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I am thrilled to have this conversation. Five years ago, in 2021, we thought it would be so fun to talk to grill CEOs in the summer because one of our theses here on </strong><strong><em>Decoder</em></strong><strong> is that all these companies have the same problems, and also, it&#8217;s the summer, and we should go talk to grill companies.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>At the time, we made a list of all the companies we wanted to talk to, and we put Weber at the top because they were the big brand name. They said no. And I said, “We’ve got to talk to Roger at Blackstone, because I&#8217;m watching TikTok every day and Blackstones are going viral on TikTok.”</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>So we started with you. You were </strong><a href="https://www.theverge.com/22583787/blackstone-griddle-roger-dahle-interview-decoder"><strong>our first ever guest in this series</strong></a><strong>, and now you&#8217;re the CEO of Weber. I feel like that is just about as perfectly full circle as it gets. So thank you so much for coming back.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I didn&#8217;t see that coming when we talked a couple of years ago.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>A lot has happened. Weber was bought by private equity. You had a </strong><a href="https://www.wsj.com/business/deals/griddle-maker-blackstone-products-to-go-public-in-780-million-spac-deal-11640253602"><strong>SPAC that came and went</strong></a><strong>, you didn&#8217;t go through with it, and </strong><a href="https://www.weber.com/US/en/weber-and-blackstone-announcement.html"><strong>then you bought Weber</strong></a><strong>. Let&#8217;s just talk about how all of this came together.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Blackstone&#8217;s been around since 2008. We won&#8217;t go through the whole history. People can go </strong><a href="https://www.theverge.com/22583787/blackstone-griddle-roger-dahle-interview-decoder"><strong>listen to our last interview</strong></a><strong> if they want to. You started the company in 2008. You went super viral in 2021. You did a lot. How did you end up in the position to combine with Weber, which really turned out to be more of an acquisition?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">So, it’s interesting. I have to go back to 2015. Blackstone was growing so fast that I needed to get a manufacturing partner that I could rely on and trust, and I knew a family from Taiwan that had facilities in mainland China, a father-son combination. They’re good friends. They had never been in outdoor cooking before. So we started together, and they in fact became an equity partner in the business in 2015. They were building for me a little bit before then.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The business was so successful and grew so rapidly from 2015 through 2020 that… The father of the father-son combo was at retirement age, and he wanted to slow down. So they were looking to sell their equity in the company, which started this whole process of me going into the financial markets, talking to investment bankers, and going through that whole process, which led to almost going public via the SPAC.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">During that time and through some of those roadshows, I met Byron Trott, who owns BDT. He has owned Weber since 2010, if you can believe it. So his company has held onto that position for over 16 years now. He loved the story of Blackstone, and we actually went through a pretty serious process with them about a potential acquisition of Blackstone.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>So, Weber would acquire Blackstone?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Originally, yeah. But it just wasn&#8217;t right. The timing wasn&#8217;t right. There were just a few things that didn&#8217;t line up at the time, so we ended up not doing that transaction. That&#8217;s when we almost went public via the SPAC, and then, as you know, the financial markets fell to pieces. Weber and Traeger, coincidentally, had already gone public, and <a href="https://www.reuters.com/breakingviews/deal-whiz-byron-trott-suffers-minor-grill-burns-2022-12-12/">their stocks had a horrible experience</a>. They came out, ran high, and then went really low. So, the SPAC deal didn&#8217;t work.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">At that point, I did find a financial partner — a private equity group that took possession of my Chinese manufacturing partner’s shares. That was in 2022. And then in 2024, we continued to grow at Blackstone and had phenomenal success. We were very fortunate. Again, we had accomplished in two years what that financial partner thought would take five. So we decided to test the waters and see what the next transaction looked like.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Byron found out that I was thinking of that again, called me up, and said, &#8220;Let&#8217;s do a merger. Let&#8217;s not do an acquisition, but let&#8217;s merge these two companies together.&#8221; So we came to an agreement by the end of 2024, and then we had to go through the antitrust process with the Federal Trade Commission, and that took until May of 2025. So we&#8217;ve been merged together now for just barely over a year.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>It&#8217;s funny, we asked you to come on the show last year for this episode because we&#8217;d heard about all this, and I thought, “This is fascinating. We have to get Roger back.” But you declined because you were in the middle of this antitrust review process.&nbsp;</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I&#8217;m curious about that. This is the Trump administration. They&#8217;re historically very friendly to deals. This is not Lina Khan&#8217;s FTC. Why did it take so long? Why was it so complicated? This isn&#8217;t like a big tech deal. This isn&#8217;t Paramount.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">It was an easy deal. Unfortunately for us, we signed our agreement in December, and that&#8217;s when the clock started ticking with the FTC. Well, they&#8217;re not going to get anything done in December with all the holiday breaks. They have 30-day windows to look at your deal and say, “Yes, you can merge, or “No, we want to take a further look.” So they extended that until the end of February.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Then they extended it one more time because all the commissioners and the new administration hadn&#8217;t been appointed yet. So we just really got stuck in no man&#8217;s land because they have five commissioners in Washington, DC, as I understand. I think two were in place or three, but they needed all five to be in place. As soon as they were fully staffed, they called us up and said, &#8220;Yeah, your deal&#8217;s fine. Go ahead.&#8221;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Wow.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">So it just took a minute. I think we were just in the middle of the transition with the new administration.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Yeah. I look at the grill industry, the outdoor cooking industry, as you call it, and there seems to be a surplus of competition. There are infinite brands showing up constantly.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Last year, </strong><a href="https://www.theverge.com/decoder-podcast-with-nilay-patel/695613/sharkninja-ceo-mark-barrocas-interview-flexflame-grill-home-appliance"><strong>we had the CEO of SharkNinja on the show</strong></a><strong>. They had just put out a grill because they saw an opportunity in the space. Do you feel like you&#8217;ve reduced competition by acquiring Weber? Do you think that the competition&#8217;s getting more ferocious?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Competition is always there. And the other thing about our industry is that in outdoor cooking, every major retailer has their own in-house brand, a private label. I could own every outdoor cooking brand in the world, and I still couldn&#8217;t affect the consumer retail price because my customer is really in charge. They walk into a store or go online, wherever they might find our products for sale, and if they don&#8217;t like the retail price, they don&#8217;t buy it.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">So the FTC is really focused on competition and making sure the consumer is protected, which I love. I think I have no problem with that. I want the consumer taken care of and protected as well, but my business is very competitive. There&#8217;s always somebody new coming along, like SharkNinja, who&#8217;d never been in the business before, and then people who&#8217;ve been around for a long time, competitive companies that have been around for a long time.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Then, on top of it, I have my retail customers with their own private label brands. So if retail prices get out of hand — or if they think they&#8217;re too high or if they think a product has been more commoditized — they put their private label brand on it and offer it to their customers.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Do you supply any of that private-label stuff? I don&#8217;t think Home Depot is actually manufacturing some grills. Do you supply any of that white-label product?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I don&#8217;t, but I know most of the suppliers, the factories in Asia, who do.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Are they competitive with you? Are they price sensitive to you? There&#8217;s just a market that I think is so physical, the products are so big, and then they do turn. People buy new ones kind of all the time. So it&#8217;s just a different kind of competitive dynamic to have the white label supplier right there, and so top of mind for you.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Yeah. It&#8217;s really a go-to-market strategy that each retailer deploys, how they think about it, what retail prices they want to offer their customers, and what features and benefits they want to offer at those price points. So if they can better serve that price point and that feature set using their own label, they will.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">But if a brand… for example, with Blackstone, for a long time, none of my customers carried an in-house griddle, because they wouldn&#8217;t sell. They put them out there, and people would step over them, around them. I don&#8217;t mean physically, I mean over the price point to buy a Blackstone. So we were very fortunate that way.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">But if you look at gas grills, Lowe&#8217;s, Home Depot, most of the retailers, even Walmart, carry a house brand because they can offer their customers the value they want at that retail price point. So it&#8217;s really a merchandising strategy that they use, and I think it works. I think it&#8217;s great for the customer. It&#8217;s tough right now at retail, as I&#8217;m sure you&#8217;re aware.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Oh, yeah. I want to come to manufacturing the products. You&#8217;ve mentioned China several times already. Obviously, that’s changing that dynamic. We&#8217;re in the heart of summer. I&#8217;m sure this is the high season for you. It&#8217;s not getting easier. I want to come to that, but I just want to stay in the deal for one second.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Weber is the household name. As I said, we made the list of grill CEOs, and obviously, we put Weber at the top. You are now the CEO of Weber. My understanding is that Weber&#8217;s business was not doing very well, that there was some inherent flaw in that business.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>We&#8217;ve done a</strong><a href="https://www.theverge.com/decoder-podcast-with-nilay-patel/676106/bad-company-private-equity-megan-greenwell-book-interview"><strong> lot of episodes</strong></a><strong> about </strong><a href="https://www.theverge.com/23758492/private-equity-brendan-ballou-plunder-finance-doj"><strong>private equity takeovers</strong></a><strong> and how the PE firms tend to extract the profits and not invest in innovation, especially for big legacy companies. Was that your assessment of Weber? Was that the opportunity?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">No. BDT is a phenomenal financial partner. I mean, I love working with them, and Byron Trott is at the top of the list, I think, behind the scenes in that industry. Weber, in my opinion and in my assessment, when we took over and started being able to look… Because until we had FTC clearance, 100 percent clearance, we couldn&#8217;t really see anything other than public information.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">But it&#8217;s a typical legacy type company with a big brand, great presence, great product, phenomenal quality, and really good people. I love the people who were working there and the culture that they had. But in my opinion, there had been some C-suite turnover that was way too high, and different philosophies on how to serve the customer, so as a result, expenses got way out of hand. And then, as you know, a private company versus a public company, the cost structure is completely different, and there&#8217;s a lot of expense in being a publicly traded company that hasn&#8217;t come out of the business yet.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">So the product sell-through-rate at retail, and the perception among user-customers has never been better. It&#8217;s extremely well off, but the profitability of the company was challenged and needed a different approach. I think it&#8217;s why Byron wanted to merge us, because we just do things completely opposite of the way they had done it traditionally at Weber, and especially over the last… I&#8217;m going to say seven years.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">For many years, the Stephen family, with George Stephen as the founder of the business… His son Jim took over as CEO for a long time until they sold to BDT. They&#8217;re a great, profitable business. From 2019 to 2020, they did extremely well. So it was really the last five, six, seven years.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I just want to clear up the timeline here for listeners because you&#8217;re talking about BDT a lot, and they&#8217;ve been in and out of Weber for a long time. It&#8217;s true. So they bought a majority stake in Weber in 2010, then Weber IPO&#8217;d in 2021. It didn&#8217;t go well, right? They </strong><a href="https://finance.yahoo.com/news/outdoor-grills-maker-weber-raises-072641308.html?guccounter=1&amp;guce_referrer=aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuZ29vZ2xlLmNvbS8&amp;guce_referrer_sig=AQAAAGvc2YhwDuxtIwONvZ7kNCb1-QGANQRjJ6hRrHh5JbkRTrBQmADnWdOPtuLSXdM9bMUXiVAYen4gYn8SecULE4Dl4SDgJiYTkB0RayA7RnGxrCJu2ApvudMZiApgFmDoyCaB6UelM3ISKxrZpSlLW-XcOFFTnjFGEM_sNkw-MmvF"><strong>only raised $250 million</strong></a><strong>. I think their target was $500 million.&nbsp;</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>In 2022, BDT </strong><a href="https://www.reuters.com/markets/deals/weber-be-taken-private-by-bdt-capital-partners-232-bln-2022-12-12/"><strong>took Weber private again</strong></a><strong>. So then they were full owners, and then obviously in 2024, you announced you were going to combine. Were they sort of immediately looking for a buyer, or was it just that you showed up and they happened to know you quite well?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I don&#8217;t think they were really looking for a buyer. The merger made a lot more sense, especially by combining the strengths of both companies and then just cleaning up. It&#8217;s a phenomenal opportunity. We have a legacy brand, and Blackstone is innovative, disruptive, and still growing. So yeah, it&#8217;s a great combination. It&#8217;s been a lot of fun so far.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Tell me about the mechanics of this. You&#8217;re saying the way you do things is different from the way Weber had done things traditionally. They are a legacy brand. They&#8217;ve been around since the 50s. There&#8217;s a world in which they just have to keep selling Weber Kettles, and that is the thing they have to do. It&#8217;s literally the logo.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I have a Summit grill, one of the fancier grills. My father-in-law bought it for me ages ago. The thing has been rocking and rolling for a decade. What does Blackstone do differently that Weber wasn&#8217;t doing, which created the opportunity?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">We&#8217;re an entrepreneurial-led business, and that&#8217;s the way I like to think, operate, spend money, and not spend money. I don&#8217;t think Weber&#8217;s alone in this. Whenever you get a company that&#8217;s been around 70 plus years, you start getting too structured, layered, and siloed, and that&#8217;s completely opposite of the way we do things.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Let me explain it this way. Part of the culture at Blackstone that I&#8217;ve always tried to instill is that if you&#8217;re walking through my parking lot, you work at this company, and there&#8217;s a piece of garbage on the ground, you bend over and pick it up, put it in the garbage can. Not because you have to, but because that&#8217;s what you do, that&#8217;s your culture. You want to make this a great place to work, a great environment. When I got to Weber, I wondered if that was the culture, and what I found out was that it was not.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">And not that they wouldn&#8217;t bend over and pick up a piece of garbage, they&#8217;d be more than happy to do that. They&#8217;re not too proud; it&#8217;s not beneath them. But if they do that, they fear that they might be taking the janitor&#8217;s job away. And so out of respect to their coworkers, as strange as this sounds, they stay really siloed. They start here, they end here, and this is what I do. And if I try to expand beyond that, it throws off the whole system of the way we do things. It&#8217;s very, very structured. Everything has to be tidied up and put in place perfectly before the next step can even begin to happen.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">At Blackstone, we&#8217;ve always done speed to market with new products. New product development to me is critical and essential. I can&#8217;t take three years to get a new product in a box; it has to take three months. So those are the differences that I&#8217;m talking about — philosophies, speed to market. They’re using a MAP policy, and we&#8217;re not. I&#8217;ve never had a MAP. I don&#8217;t know if you&#8217;re familiar with that policy.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Can you explain that to the listeners?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">So MAP stands for minimum advertised price. And so, Weber sells a $499 gas grill, and everybody&#8217;s the same retail. They can&#8217;t control retail prices, but what they can do is say, &#8220;This is what we want you to advertise it for. If you do that and maintain that advertised price, you will be eligible for the rebate you get from our advertising department.” So nobody can control retail prices, that&#8217;s anti-competitive, but you can have a MAP policy with your retail customers.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Everybody&#8217;s at the same retail price that sells Weber, whether you buy it at Walmart, Lowe&#8217;s, Ace, or Home Depot. Wherever you buy it, if it&#8217;s the same grill, it&#8217;s going to be at the same retail price point. I&#8217;ve never used a MAP policy with Blackstone, and I don&#8217;t want to cause confusion with my customers.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">So what we&#8217;ve done, successfully, is developed products of families that we sell to our retail customers, and that way everybody kind of has their own product. It works great because we merchandise with the retail customers to their customers, and that&#8217;s really what we try to focus on: the end user. It’s the people who are walking in and laying down a credit card to buy a griddle or a grill, they&#8217;re expensive.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">This is not a spur-of-the-moment decision that people make. This is an expensive product that they buy that needs to last for a long time. So they take their time to make a decision. And so we like to give our retail customers features and benefits, and the value proposition that they&#8217;re really trying to get for their customer who walks into their retail store.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Can I make the comparison to tech companies? This is why I love doing the grill episode every year. You&#8217;re describing a lot of things that you obviously thought about very deeply in your corner of the industry. Tech companies do this all the time. The Samsung Galaxy S26 is actually slightly different for every carrier, so they can play these same games with MAP, right? Apple won&#8217;t do it.&nbsp;</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>The iPhone&#8217;s the iPhone, and maybe there&#8217;s like radio differences, but the iPhone&#8217;s the iPhone. You see, there&#8217;s competition in the market in that way. With Blackstone, I think it&#8217;s the culinary line at Lowe&#8217;s, but it&#8217;s not at Home Depot. You&#8217;re literally making different products, or at least different branding, for all of your partners.&nbsp;</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>You&#8217;re also describing what I would call pure </strong><strong><em>Decoder </em></strong><strong>bait, that Weber had this extremely divisional organization that was very process-driven, and you have — I want to ask you the question more directly — a more functional structure. You&#8217;re really product-led, product development-led.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>All that comes together, but you&#8217;ve got to change the culture at Weber. You’ve got to go into this company that has a different business process, right? You&#8217;ve got to take your company, which approaches the retailers like Apple, and go into a company that approaches the retailers like Samsung, and then you&#8217;ve got a functional structure, and you&#8217;ve got to go into a very rigid process-oriented divisional structure. It&#8217;s been about a year. Did you just smash glass and make all the changes? How does this work?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">A little bit. There were some hurt feelings here and there, and kind of on both sides. That&#8217;s been really interesting to me, watching the way the team at Blackstone reacted to this and the team at Weber. One thing I absolutely knew, and it&#8217;s proven to be true, is that I was going to find people at Weber who were just dedicated, phenomenal employees who may have a little bit of pent-up ideas, ambition, and wanting to do things differently, and that&#8217;s certainly been the case.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">So I got to unleash those people and let them go do things the way they thought that they wanted to and the way that they thought would be better. This is a better way to serve our customers. Let&#8217;s do it this way instead of that way. So that&#8217;s been really fun. But I did hire a consulting firm to come in and help me with the integration, and it was a good decision.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I didn&#8217;t really start hard on integration until November of last year. I took the first four or five months to try to learn, see, understand, and get to know people. And candidly, I had to really evaluate the C-suite that merged together and see how that all worked, and I had to make some changes there. So it took a minute from the top, really integrating my C-suite and then moving it out to the rest of the organization, and really, we&#8217;re still in that process. It&#8217;s going to take me another year to fully get that done, but the results are phenomenal, and the momentum has been building, and it&#8217;s really coming together.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Most people are never going to hire a consulting company to manage an integration. This is a pretty high-order thing to do. Very, very few people have to make a decision on which consulting company to pick. How did they pitch you? How did you decide?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">When I had my previous financial partner, a week after we closed the deal with them, which goes back to 2022, they parked their consultant in my office in Utah because they wanted to see how they could help improve. He worked for that company, but he had spent his career with one of the really big consulting companies in the US. You could probably guess which one. So he was really, really sharp, and I learned a lot from him.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">When I went to hire a consulting company, I called him up and asked for recommendations because he still hires them to this day. When they invest in a company, they bring a consultant in to kind of help if they&#8217;re integrating or just trying to improve the process. So I called him, he gave me four names, and gave me the contacts for those four names. I called each company, and then I just took them through an interview process, just like you would when hiring somebody.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I also included two of my board members who have had a lot of experience with integration. They stepped in, and together it was a pretty easy decision for us, which way we went, and it turned out to be a really good decision. They&#8217;ve been really, really helpful.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>One of my tropes here on </strong><strong><em>Decoder</em></strong><strong> is that culture is really important, and structure really defines your culture. I&#8217;ve had people just straight up disagree with me. There are CEOs who are like, &#8220;No, no, no. Culture is its own thing; you can change the structure as much as you want. The culture just comes from leadership.&#8221;</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>You&#8217;re integrating two very different cultures, two very different structures. It sounds like you know what you want, right? You&#8217;re going to change both companies; it sounds like both sides are ever so slightly going to get to the outcome you want. Is it more of telling everyone to pick up the trash culture change, or is it more of a structure change?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Let me answer that this way. A lot of people advise me, and they&#8217;re like, &#8220;When you start doing this integration, you want to take the best practices from Blackstone and the best practices from Weber and merge those together.&#8221; I said, &#8220;Well, I don&#8217;t know if that&#8217;s what I want. What if the best and the best are just mediocre and not the best? I want world-class.&#8221;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I want benchmarks of the best finance department, the best operational team in the world, at whatever company. I&#8217;ve really tried to approach it from that viewpoint. And then the culture… I think culture comes from everybody unifying, having a common goal of what they want to do, what we want this company to become, and having enthusiasm, excitement, and pride.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">So when you come to work, whether it&#8217;s Monday or Friday or any day in between, you&#8217;re really excited to get in the office and get going because you&#8217;re going to make a change. You&#8217;re going to impact the business, it&#8217;s going to be exciting, and it&#8217;s going to be rewarding for the employee. That&#8217;s really kind of where I&#8217;m keying my focus.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>So let me ask you the </strong><strong><em>Decoder</em></strong><strong> questions now. It sounds like you have a ways to go on this integration. How are you structured now? Is it two different companies? Is it one company, two divisions? How is that working?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">One company with two awesome brands is how we&#8217;re structured.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Under that, are you sharing R&amp;D? Are you sharing product development?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Yeah, and kind of by centers of excellence, if you will. We have a beautiful office in Chicago, out in the suburbs. We have a new office here in Utah for our headquarters that we just built. I was doing that anyway; it just coincided with the merger. We have R&amp;D facilities here in Logan and in Chicago, and then we have teams around the world.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Weber has a big organization in EMEA (Europe, the Middle East, and Africa), and we have a manufacturing facility in Poland that is state-of-the-art and about four years old. We also have operations in China, and we&#8217;ve moved to Malaysia, Vietnam, and Thailand for manufacturing. So we have staff and people there as well.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">We&#8217;re keeping it based on centers of excellence and where expertise lies because nobody in Logan had ever built a gas grill before. We&#8217;re not going to really take those engineers and try to expect them to get up to speed, and vice versa with griddles in Chicago.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Well, Weber had built a griddle. They </strong><a href="https://www.weber.com/AU/en/blog/weber-barbecues/introducing-the-weber-slate-entertain-your-way/weber-2396501.html"><strong>built the Slate</strong></a><strong>. They went after a bunch of your influencers. There&#8217;s like a tiny little scandal in the grill influencer world that Weber had done a bunch of integrations. Are you canceling the Slate?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">No, because they&#8217;re still consumers who love the Weber brand, but we&#8217;ll merchandise it by feature benefit, and value proposition based on retail price point and retail placement. So if you look at our industry, we&#8217;re small as far as the number of doors that sell our product. Well, I shouldn&#8217;t say it that way because there are a lot of doors, but there&#8217;s Home Depot, Lowe&#8217;s, Ace, Walmart, Amazon, Costco, and then it goes way down from there as far as potential volumes with retail customers.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">It&#8217;s a relatively small customer base, and so we have to do business with everybody, number one, and I want to please my customer. Again, I really try to focus on the end user, and we have extremely dedicated Weber customers. We want to offer them products, but there&#8217;s no reason, for example, for the Weber and Blackstone brands to both have a $150 griddle. That&#8217;s really more of a Blackstone price point. But if there&#8217;s a retail customer who wants an upgraded griddle, and they want the Weber brand and a longer warranty experience, then a $799 Slate is probably the answer for them.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>So let me ask you about that, just the development of that product as you combine the companies, and you combine these cultures. Every year, I just look at the product catalog of Blackstone, and everything seems brand new. It&#8217;s almost like the company is starting from scratch over and over again.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Weber is very classic. That cattle has really not changed, and the Summit Grill that my father-in-law bought me 10 years ago and the Summit Grill today are virtually identical. Actually, the big difference is that I think the new one can accept griddle plates and mine can&#8217;t. It&#8217;s fundamentally the only difference.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>That&#8217;s a different approach to product development. Are you going to have one product development team that drives a roadmap for both brands? Or does Weber get to have its own griddle development team because the price point is different?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">No, we have one R&amp;D group. We have consolidated that. It was one of the first departments I wanted consolidated, even though it wasn&#8217;t the easiest because we have great talent in both offices now. So have a VP over R&amp;D, and then it staffs out from there. We assign development groups based on grill type, basically.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">We&#8217;ll have product management, industrial design, and engineering for gas grills, for griddles, but if we have a group working on griddles, they can work on either brand and vice versa with gas grills. If Blackstone decided to ever get into gas grills, that team would develop that for Blackstone.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>So this reminds me of General Motors CEO Mary Barra, who </strong><a href="https://www.theverge.com/podcast/803379/gm-ceo-mary-barra-sterling-anderson-cadillac-iq-ev-autonomy-interview"><strong>we had on the show</strong></a><strong>, and how she has Buick, Chevy, and Cadillac, and there are shared platforms for those cars, and then there are brand teams that build on top of those platforms. Is that the model that you&#8217;re going after here?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Pretty much. There are companies where… Black+Decker may be one. I&#8217;m not 100 percent sure, but they might have a DeWalt team, and they don&#8217;t share resources with, say, the Stanley team. But I don&#8217;t know. I&#8217;m just using that as an example.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I mean, you could go down that road and have that model. They even have salespeople dedicated to a brand, or some companies do. I&#8217;m not going to retail that way. If I go into Costco, my sales team that calls on Costco, the commercial team, they&#8217;re representing both brands to the buying teams there.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>And then I&#8217;m assuming on the rest of your functions, IT and legal, that is all just long since combined?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Correct.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>You said something really interesting. I just want to come back to it really quickly. You said there were hurt feelings on both sides. What were the hurt feelings on the Blackstone side? Weren&#8217;t you just the winners? It feels like you&#8217;re the conquering heroes here.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">No, I mean the reality is that everybody can improve, and everybody can get better. One of the things that I&#8217;ve really fought hard to maintain is making sure that at Blackstone, we didn&#8217;t get complacent because we&#8217;ve had a lot of success for a long time. We&#8217;ve had a great run. That can breed complacency.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">You&#8217;d better wake up every day and feel like you&#8217;re starting at the zero-yard line and you’ve got 100 yards to go. Nobody gets to start at the 10-yard line. So that was some of the &#8220;Oh, we&#8217;re Blackstone. We know what we&#8217;re doing, and Weber&#8217;s been old and slow.&#8221; No, I won&#8217;t put up with that kind of attitude. So that&#8217;s a little bit about what I was referring to.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>How many people are in the combined company? How many employees do you have?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">About 2,100.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>And how&#8217;s that split between Weber and Blackstone?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">A high majority at Weber. And keep in mind, there are two factories there. And so there are a lot of employees in the factories, both in Poland and the United States.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Will that division maintain that some are Weber people and some are Blackstone people, or are you going to have a central company and then the two brands express themselves differently?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">A central company is what I&#8217;m driving for. This is one company with two awesome brands.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>How would you define the Weber brand, and how would you define the Blackstone brand?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The Weber brand serves the customer more on a premium level, and it is for when you want to cook seriously, you want to take your time, and you want to craft. Crafting is kind of the word I use to describe Weber. Blackstone is fast, fun, easy, and variety. Weber is more for the crafting style of food.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I feel like I could waste an hour on that, but we&#8217;re going to let that one go because I don&#8217;t want to run out of time. I need to ask you another </strong><strong><em>Decoder</em></strong><strong> question. I think this has changed for you over time. How do you make decisions? What&#8217;s your framework now?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I make decisions by consulting with my executive leadership team. I love to bring everybody together when there&#8217;s a tough decision. Let&#8217;s say it&#8217;s a marketing decision. I expect my finance guy to chip in and make a contribution to the comment. If it&#8217;s a finance decision, I expect the sales guys to chip in, or my commercial leaders to chip in and talk about it.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">So I try to get everybody together and really go through a counseling process. I think we make better decisions when we get all of our brains working together, and then I&#8217;m the final vote decider. If I don&#8217;t like what they all think together, then I&#8217;ll decide what I think is best. But I have found over time, and over a lot of experience with making good decisions and making bad decisions, that better decisions are made when I get everybody working on it together.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>You mentioned you had to make a lot of decisions about people, right? You said “there were hurt feelings on both sides,” and you wanted to really evaluate their C-suite and their people, and maybe they were doing things better than the Blackstone side was. Making decisions about other people is really hard. It sounds like you just had to make a lot of decisions on who to keep and who to move on from. How did you make those choices, and how did you communicate those choices?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">So we went through quite an elaborate process with the executive leadership team, and they each took responsibility for their areas. They went through working with our consulting company line item by line item, job function by job function.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">One of the variables that was taken out is where people lived. I don&#8217;t care where they live. I don&#8217;t care if they&#8217;re in Poland, Chicago, Logan, New Zealand, or Australia. We really went through and looked at job functions and where they could be best performed. Then, the harder decisions are where you&#8217;re just looking at where we&#8217;re duplicated in staff and how we make those decisions. But that&#8217;s the process that we went through.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Tell me one of those. Certainly, you had VPs of sales, for example. You had to make a choice. What was the framework for making that choice?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">It was so different depending on each function. There wasn&#8217;t one set of “these are the variables you&#8217;ll use to make a decision for everybody.” So again, the variables were so unique depending on the job function that one hat didn&#8217;t fit all.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">One of the easier ones, although it was very difficult from a personal standpoint, is that Chicago is my center of excellence for the finance department, and we had duplication in Logan. So accounts payable, accounts receivable, those kinds of teams needed to be consolidated, and the folks in Logan got more impacted from losing their jobs than the folks in Chicago did. That&#8217;s one example where it was maybe a little bit easier to decide about, because the finance department&#8217;s staying out there.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Do you want the Weber brand to rub off on the Blackstone brand, or do you want them to grow independently?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Yeah, that&#8217;s a great question, and it&#8217;s really part of our go-to-market strategy. We really believe both brands serve different purposes, and that&#8217;s what I want the team to focus on: what purpose does Blackstone serve, what purpose does Weber serve to the customer, and what does my end-user customer expect from both of those brands to deliver? Because there are some nuances, some differences.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I&#8217;ll just say this: it&#8217;s been </strong><a href="https://www.theverge.com/22583787/blackstone-griddle-roger-dahle-interview-decoder"><strong>five years since we&#8217;ve spoken</strong></a><strong>. You&#8217;re playing a different character now, right? You&#8217;re the CEO of a much larger company. You&#8217;re obviously thinking very hard about how to manage Weber and integrate it correctly. You just have a much bigger problem to solve.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>The last time we spoke, you were on an upswing of rapid growth, particularly during the pandemic, right? The Blackstone was a viral sensation on TikTok during the pandemic. You were just trying to move as many units as you could, and you had a lot of ideas about how there&#8217;d be recurring revenue for Blackstone as people bought more and more accessories for the griddle.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I think you said, “You can cook on these three meals a day, and we see people making pancakes and then they&#8217;re making dinner, and we&#8217;re going to sell the pancake cakes, and then we&#8217;re going to sell the dome to melt the cheese on the cheeseburgers.” That was such a huge part of your focus then. You weren&#8217;t just going to sell one griddle; you were going to sell an entire lifestyle.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Now you&#8217;ve got this other big company, which has its own lifestyle associated with it, its own kind of brand image, its own moments in Americana, and you&#8217;ve got this much bigger problem to solve. Is the thesis still the same? That you&#8217;re going to buy a Blackstone, and then I&#8217;m going to buy one set of accessories, another set of accessories, and then Alexis Ohanian is going to </strong><a href="https://www.instagram.com/p/DRH2CyyDgjG/"><strong>make dinosaur pancakes with his kids on Instagram</strong></a><strong>, and that&#8217;s going to sell even more? How does that work, as your role has gotten so much bigger?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The thesis is still a lot of the same. Accessories are a very important part of our business, especially on a griddle, because there are so many things you can do on a griddle that you need those accessories. They&#8217;re a pretty important part of it.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The other interesting thing is that with the retail marketplace the way it is right now, the way it is today, tariffs heavily impacted us last year, and we&#8217;re still feeling the results of that from Liberation Day. And then on top of it, we had to move manufacturing facilities to Southeast Asia. That was not flawless, I should say. We had plenty of headaches there. And then just this summer, with gas prices going up the way that they have, that really affects our customers.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">They may not be able to afford a new griddle right now for Father&#8217;s Day, but they certainly can go buy two or three accessories that Dad&#8217;s always wanted. The accessory business is a huge part of our business, and translating that over and sharing that concept with the Weber teams and helping them understand that McDonald&#8217;s wouldn&#8217;t make it if they couldn&#8217;t sell french fries; you&#8217;ve got to sell the fries with the hamburger. So accessories are a really critical part of our overall business for both brands.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>The interesting thing about the griddle market… When you said that to me, I was a new griddle owner five years ago, and I was like, &#8220;Yeah, I want to buy 10 spatulas and four different hamburger smashers, and let&#8217;s do it.&#8221; Now I have all that stuff. Do you have to invent new things for me to try to do on my griddle? How does that work?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">It&#8217;s interesting. We don&#8217;t try to invent new things just so you&#8217;ll buy something else from us. Everything we built in accessories — and we learned this the hard way because at first we&#8217;re like, &#8220;Oh, let&#8217;s do this, let&#8217;s do that” — when we put those products in the market, they wouldn&#8217;t sell.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">So when we put a product in the market that&#8217;s a new accessory, it is coming from a lot of consumer feedback. We get great ideas from YouTube and TikTok, and we watch what our customers are doing, how they&#8217;re modifying things, and how they&#8217;re making it easier and simpler. It&#8217;s all consumer-driven on the accessories.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>What&#8217;s an example of that?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Well, the spatulas themselves, right? So sometimes they&#8217;re thick and not flexible, and those are great for hamburgers. But sometimes they&#8217;re softer and more flexible, so those are great for pancake flipping, and especially if you&#8217;re doing eggs, scrambled or fried. You just mentioned a dome, a melting dome. People were using cake pans when we first saw that on YouTube. They were drilling a hole in it and adding a handle that they got from somewhere, so they could lift it on and off the griddle.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Over time, as products develop, especially in our accessories line, we learn from one year to the next, working with our retail customers. You had 50 accessories, and here are the top 10 sellers, and here are the bottom 10 sellers. Let&#8217;s go through item by item, talk about what worked and what didn&#8217;t work, and what we need to learn from our customers to modify, get rid of, improve on, and change for next season. That&#8217;s kind of the process we go through.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>All those accessories are made overseas. You&#8217;ve mentioned overseas manufacturing, tariffs, and Liberation Day now several times. It&#8217;s interesting, you have competitors that are public. Traeger is a public company. They&#8217;ve had to just loudly say that tariff policy and trade policy have hurt their business. It sounds like that&#8217;s the same for you. Is that something you&#8217;re actively lobbying for, or something you&#8217;re just dealing with?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Not lobbying, but dealing with. It affected the whole industry because everybody builds overseas, except interestingly enough, Weber, because we have a factory just west of Chicago, in a suburb called Huntley, and we still build most of our Kettles for the US market in Huntley, Illinois.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">We&#8217;ve maintained that, and it&#8217;s really challenging. It&#8217;s very difficult to maintain a retail price point that my customers want to pay for a Kettle. We&#8217;ve upgraded the quality of that thing. It has a 10-year warranty on it. That&#8217;s amazing. A Kettle gets hot with coals and everything in it that you put in there. It gets beat up and abused, but we build it at a quality level that we can maintain a 10-year warranty on it.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">We also built Kettles for the European market in our factory in Poland, and we wanted to expand manufacturing. And then with tariffs and everything else… A tariff gets announced, and the cost of steel goes up the next day, coincidentally, right? Big surprise. But demand goes up for it. So markets are still reacting to the demand. It just continues to kind of chase itself on profitability and where you can and can&#8217;t build a product. But we work every day, still trying to build in the US and continue to figure that puzzle out.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I&#8217;d love to build more in the US if I could, and this is not a particular product, but if something retails for $600 or $300, the customer votes with their credit card, and they vote for $300 because the quality&#8217;s the same.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>The theory of the tariffs is that they&#8217;ll bring up the prices of the overseas products to the same level as the prices that you would have to charge if you made them in the United States. It doesn&#8217;t sound like that&#8217;s actually pushing you to manufacture more in the United States.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I&#8217;m trying to push more for manufacturing in the United States, just to have more control of my supply chain. That would be my biggest motive there, but I have to be profitable. Tariffs have certainly started to even the playing field and make it more attractive to build in the US. We&#8217;re actively reviewing opportunities, like I say, to continue to build more product here in the US.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I don&#8217;t think you have too much of a chip dependency or a RAM dependency. Weber owns iGrill, which is their connected platform. I don&#8217;t think Blackstone has a huge connected platform, but for Weber, part of their strategy was to get smarter and to make it easier to cook. Has that affected you? Or do you stare down the barrel of Nvidia buying all the chips in the world and say, &#8220;This is really hurting our iGrill portfolio&#8221;?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">It hasn&#8217;t impacted us because we haven&#8217;t expanded into that category deep enough to where it would impact us, but we did buy another technology called June Ovens, Weber did, and it has some phenomenal technology for cooking. It&#8217;s just really super expensive, and so we&#8217;re still trying to figure that puzzle out.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">But as a result of that technology, we&#8217;ve greatly expanded our connected devices and our thermometers, and then you&#8217;re going to start seeing some electronics on some of our high-end Summit grills that are just unbelievable. And really, I think the biggest application for technology and outdoor cooking is with pellet grills, because on a griddle, it takes you two minutes to cook a hamburger, right? I don&#8217;t even have time to hook up, and my meat&#8217;s done. But if you&#8217;re smoking something, you&#8217;re going to take four, eight, or 14 hours to cook something. The connected device is really beneficial and helpful.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>So we did have the </strong><a href="https://www.theverge.com/23189676/traeger-smart-grills-decoder-company-culture-private-equity-ceo-andrus"><strong>CEO of Traeger on the show</strong></a><strong>. He had been a tech executive. He owned a headphone company, and he went and bought Traeger. That&#8217;s actually a great conversation, and I encourage people to listen to it. He also had to do a culture change.&nbsp;</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>It was a family business, and he pushed really hard to change the culture. Traeger is obviously very successful, but he understood that modality, right? This is going to take a long time, and I can put a lot of technology around it to make that consistent and easy for people. Griddles are what you&#8217;re describing. You can make a hamburger in two minutes. It&#8217;s great. It&#8217;s done. It&#8217;s very fast. You can use it over and over again throughout the day.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Gas grills are kind of in the middle, right? You can pretty easily screw up cooking on a gas grill. You can very easily screw up cooking on a charcoal grill. That&#8217;s just like a thing people do all the time. Even just lighting the thing is challenging. Do you want to bring technology to bear on those experiences?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Yeah, and we are, and I think one of the greatest technologies to help you with gas grill cooking is having a really good thermometer, an instant-read thermometer. We have those now that connect to the app that we have on Weber. It&#8217;s a phenomenal app. You can use it to cook on pellet grills, which we also make under that brand, but we&#8217;re going to have connected devices that will connect to the app and help you with the meat temperature. It&#8217;s funny you mentioned that because I haven&#8217;t cooked on a gas grill for 25 to 30 years, right?</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I was going to ask you about this. You were off it the last time we talked. You&#8217;re like, &#8220;I don&#8217;t even need this thing anymore.&#8221;</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">That&#8217;s funny. Those are some words I had to eat. I said many times we will never sell a gas grill. Now I&#8217;m the leading seller of gas grills. But it&#8217;s funny. So in the Chicago area, there are four restaurants with the Weber banner on them. Inside those restaurants, they actually have a section where they have all the gas grills set up, and you can take a cooking class there. And so we went there and ate dinner, then we went back into the area, we got trained, and I was told how to cook a steak on a gas grill, and I loved it. It was amazing. It was really delicious, but I didn&#8217;t know how to use it.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Gaining a little bit of knowledge, we&#8217;re going to be putting more content out on how to use a charcoal grill, how to start it, how to deal with the coals, how to move them around, how to create a hot zone and an indirect and direct zone. It’ll be all those different kinds of things that people need to learn and may or may not know. So we&#8217;re going to have all of that set up.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">You know how Blackstone, we&#8217;ve been huge on social media. It&#8217;s still part of our philosophy. We&#8217;re driving more of that same type of philosophy on the Weber brand as well to help our customers. Because when you fire up a really good ribeye on a Genesis, Spirit, or a Summit gas grill, and you know how to cook it right, it&#8217;s a pretty darn good steak, I have to admit.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>There are a lot of people on the Blackstone subreddit who are going to say that, actually, it&#8217;s much better on a griddle.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Well, I know. I love it. And it&#8217;s hard not to be biased.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Actually, do you find right now, with the energy crisis and the price of fuels, that more customers are buying charcoal grills?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Well, they&#8217;re buying charcoal grills because of the retail price point. They&#8217;re not trading from a 36-inch griddle to a 28-inch griddle because of money. They&#8217;re going all the way down to a charcoal grill.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Wow</strong>.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">So yeah, we&#8217;re seeing some big trade-down right now.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>But you don&#8217;t think the ongoing cost of propane is driving that change?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">No. Well, it&#8217;s part of it. Fuel&#8217;s definitely part of it. I mean, I had some reports that I was studying the other day.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>If you&#8217;re listening to this, Roger&#8217;s literally looking at the reports on his desk right now.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The bottom, almost, let&#8217;s see, 50 percent of our consumers are spending 15 to 20 percent on power. That includes electricity at home, gasoline and propane, and those customers are squeezed. If they&#8217;re spending 50 percent of their income on housing and 20 to 25 percent on power, they have no money left. It&#8217;s a really difficult economy for them right now. So yeah, they&#8217;re trading down to charcoal grills because of the price point.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Do you think that represents a growth opportunity? Is that just an opportunity to provide outdoor cooking equipment to everyday Americans? How do you view that statistic?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Well, before I learned this, we saw that. We saw that as a trend developing this year. You mentioned our Kettle earlier, and you mentioned that it&#8217;s part of our logo. It is. It&#8217;s actually a trademarked logo with the shape of our Kettle in there. It&#8217;s iconic to the Weber brand.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I want to see what we can do to get sharper price points on the Kettle because they&#8217;ve crept up over time. They can retail for $200, and traditionally, that was a $100 retail item. Now it&#8217;s all the way up to $150 to $200. So I’m really focused on what we can do innovatively to help the customer have a better experience at a better price point.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Can you do that with American manufacturing? It feels like you want to push the price points down, you&#8217;re headed overseas, and then the tariffs are going to keep you from hitting those price points.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Yeah, I think we can. I think there&#8217;s some innovation that we can put into some of these. As simple as they are, they&#8217;re a sheet of steel that&#8217;s molded to a half dome on each side, and we put some legs on, and it&#8217;s a pretty simple product. But there&#8217;s innovation left in there that we can come up with, and I think we can help the retail price points.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>You&#8217;ve mentioned the longevity of the Kettle several times, the 10-year warranty. The CEO of Big Green Egg was </strong><a href="https://www.theverge.com/24188080/big-green-egg-smoker-grill-cooking-kamado-backyard-dan-gertsacov-fire-fourth-of-july"><strong>on the show a couple of years ago</strong></a><strong>, and he specifically said about the Kettle that they cost $200 to $300 bucks, I can buy it at the grocery store, and within two or three years, you&#8217;re buying another one because they fall apart.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>The last time you were on the show, you were like, &#8220;It&#8217;s outdoor cooking equipment, and in two to three or five years, it&#8217;s time to buy a new one.&#8221; You&#8217;re talking about very price-sensitive customers now. Even at the high end, people are very sensitive to the amount that prices are going up. People do want things to last longer. What do you think about that? I mean, the stuff is outside, it is going to wear at a different rate. Can you make these products last for more than three years? Can you actually guarantee the 10 years across the product line, or is it the Kettle?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">No, the Weber gas grills, some of them have a 15-year warranty. The biggest difference there is rust, and Weber grills have traditionally been made with, we call it the burn box, the part that holds the burners, cast aluminum. That doesn&#8217;t rust, and that lasts forever. Our hoods on Weber grills are also cast aluminum on the sides with an enamel-coated paint on the top, which doesn&#8217;t chip as easily. It lasts a lot longer.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">So the Weber gas grill is more expensive than a lot of the cheap imports, but there&#8217;s a quality difference. You go pick up one of my gas grills compared to one for $300, you can immediately feel the difference as a consumer.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Do you think you&#8217;re hedged against trends? Do you ever worry that smash burgers are just going to go out of fashion, and maybe big gas grill burgers are going to come back around, and you&#8217;ll have Weber instead?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I don&#8217;t really worry about it because people are always going to eat, and we cook great devices to cook your food on, and we will innovate to lifestyle changes, demographical changes, and economic changes. That&#8217;s what I have to do. I can&#8217;t control those things. I just have to merchandise around those things and react to them. I don&#8217;t like to react. We like to be a little bit more proactive than that, so we try to spot trends where we have time to react to that and make sure that we&#8217;re spot on with what the customer wants to pay and buy.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I&#8217;m asking that because again, five years ago, when we talked, the Blackstone griddle was a TikTok sensation, particularly smash burgers were a TikTok sensation, and maybe the entire country learned how to make a smash burger that summer. </strong><strong><br></strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>You learned a lot in that process. I remember talking to you back then, and you had been spending almost all of your money on television advertising, and you weren&#8217;t even doing it to drive sales, if I remember correctly. You were just trying to get people to the website and then take them from there. There wasn&#8217;t like an 800 number. You were literally just trying to create brand awareness on television.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>You&#8217;re talking a lot now about informational content for Weber Kettles and teaching people how to use charcoal and how to use gas grills. Is your marketing effort focused more on social media now, or are you still so heavy on TV?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The spend that we have has definitely changed since we first met, where we were at 100 percent spend on traditional television advertising. Off the top of my head, it&#8217;s probably closer to 50-50 spend now on social media advertising and promotion versus just traditional TV. But I&#8217;m still on TV, and we&#8217;re now taking the Weber brand and putting them back on traditional TV advertising, to drive brand awareness. I still don&#8217;t have an 800 number on the Blackstone brand. Just go to <a href="http://blackstone.com">blackstone.com</a>. Most people go to their favorite e-tailer and purchase the brand there.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Here&#8217;s something that you&#8217;ll find really interesting on Blackstone. We have a really high propensity of people who actually make the full purchase online. Not necessarily on my website, because my corporate website is still a small percentage of my overall volume of business, but the people who now trust and know the brand buy it online. And most of them have it picked up at the retailer of their choice, and a lot of them are having it delivered now as well. They&#8217;re not going into the store anymore. They know the product, they know the brand, they know what they want. They go online, they do their research, they make a purchase, and it gets shipped to their house, or they go to the store at 10PM at night and pick it up.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">But it&#8217;s really interesting if I truly analyze brick-and-mortar versus direct-to-consumer. If I count all of my retailers as direct-to-consumer, that has shifted now to more people buying online than five years ago, in a big way.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I think that&#8217;s really interesting because the last time we spoke, it was really the beginning of brand marketing through creators and these integrations. You had on-staff influencers back then who were doing tours at Walmarts. I don&#8217;t think you were seeding product at scale, but you were beginning to dabble in it.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>You had a Roku app that you had made with cooking content in it. Those were early. You were early to a lot of these trends. These are big trends now at a massive scale. You see ad agencies spending hundreds of millions of dollars in the creator economy in this way.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Mark Barrocas, the CEO of SharkNinja, was like, &#8220;We have 10,000 creators that we work with on brand deals, and we evaluate the sentiment analysis of their comments.&#8221; Have you gotten all the way that far in creator marketing? Or do you still have on-staff influencers? How are you thinking about this?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Yeah, I will never get that far because I don&#8217;t believe in it. I think when you buy and pay for influencers, the consumer picks it out in seconds. The consumer is so savvy and so smart. So, in our content creation, we still have influencers. We&#8217;ve expanded it. We have what we call the griddle crew. These are creators and content creators that we&#8217;ve seen online. We&#8217;ve followed them for a long time. They&#8217;re authentic.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">If somebody calls me up and says, &#8220;Hey, I have 5 million followers, pay me $3 million a year, and I&#8217;ll pitch your brand.&#8221; We respectfully decline and hang up as fast as we can, quite frankly. We don&#8217;t do it that way, and I don&#8217;t see a lot of people doing it that way. I tell people all the time that that&#8217;s the best way to handle it, but no one believes me. They think they have to go buy their content creators.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Typically, what happens is what you mentioned earlier in the call, where, coincidentally, some of the Blackstone influencers got quote-unquote swiped by Weber. That happens all the time to us because we have these people who start cooking on a Blackstone, and they start getting a great following because people want to follow the brand. They think it&#8217;s them, and my competitors think it&#8217;s them, and then they go buy them and have them come and hawk their products, and to me it&#8217;s fake. It&#8217;s not authentic, and I don&#8217;t like it, so I&#8217;ll never do that.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Have you talked to some of those influencers? Some of them truly had hurt feelings that you hadn&#8217;t competed for their attention or their brand integrations because that&#8217;s their money. The platforms don&#8217;t pay the influencers any money, really. It&#8217;s all brand deals, it&#8217;s all sponsorships. So it has created a different dynamic on that side of the house for sure.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">We had conversations with a lot of them, and some of them came to us, and they negotiated. But I won&#8217;t pay that money. And they can be hurt all they want, quite frankly. But I do that for the brand and for the product itself, not to hurt anybody&#8217;s feelings, be offensive, or anything to influencers because I wish them all the best. Some of them do really well and do a great job. I think it&#8217;s great. It&#8217;s a great business model for an independent person. I just have to protect my brand, and the integrity and the authenticity of my brand. That&#8217;s what I focus on.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>How do you think about finding that next new customer? And maybe it&#8217;s different. Blackstone has become a household name. Weber is certainly a household name. It&#8217;s the first thing people think of; the logo is iconic. But this is the challenge for everyone now, finding that next new customer who, when we&#8217;re all just sort of awash and with feeds full of slop, everything is brand marketing through influencers, maybe we&#8217;re not even watching TV as much as we used to… How do you find that next new person?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Do you see a world where you just have to pay Meta for Meta ads? Do you see a world where the content travels organically? This feels like the biggest problem for everyone, and then your sales cycle is long, and the products are expensive and heavy, as you keep pointing out. Where does the next new customer come from?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Yeah, it&#8217;s crazy for us. The next new customer still comes at a very high percentage by word of mouth. And all this money we spend on marketing, advertising, influencing, and everything else… When we do surveys annually, which I&#8217;ve done now for about seven years, the number one way people hear about our brand on the Blackstone side, which hasn&#8217;t caught up yet on Weber, but on the Blackstone side, it&#8217;s still by word of mouth. So somebody cooks on the weekend, they invite the neighborhood over, he&#8217;s flipping pancakes in the morning, or they&#8217;re doing smash burgers or whatever they&#8217;re doing. Now the difference is they&#8217;ve heard of Blackstone. They&#8217;ve definitely seen one, but now they&#8217;re experiencing it, and it&#8217;s still a big influence on them making that purchase.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">So we&#8217;ll continue to try to drive that in different ways and creative ways, and it changes weekly, monthly, daily, almost, that strategy. The marketing team spends hours analyzing results and what worked and what didn&#8217;t work, and how we can improve, and where we should spend money. Where shouldn’t we spend money? That is just an ongoing process on a daily basis.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>But you&#8217;re saying the biggest share is still word of mouth?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Yeah. Isn&#8217;t that crazy?</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>It is crazy. I mean, I would say people have seen me use mine. I&#8217;ve watched my friends use theirs, and the number one thing they talk about is, boy, that seems hard to maintain, but on the griddle side anyway. You’ve got to care for it, you&#8217;ve got to scrape it. If you leave it over the winter, you have to clean the rust off of it.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>That feels like a technology problem that you have not yet overcome, right? The thing will just get rusty, and I love going on the [Blackstone] Reddit, and everyone&#8217;s just like, &#8220;Cook another pack of bacon and it&#8217;ll all be fine.&#8221; There&#8217;s some aspect of “this thing is harder to use than a regular gas griddle that you can just let deteriorate until you buy a new one.” Do you think about that? Is that part of your marketing?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">It&#8217;s not just part of our marketing, it&#8217;s part of our product development. Interestingly enough, when Weber got into the griddle business as a competitor, I was at least impressed by the fact that they tried to improve on something that was a consumer complaint — rust.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">So they came out with the Slate, which is basically a pre-seasoned griddle at the factory, and they came out with a new process on how to do that. It drives the cost higher. It&#8217;s more expensive to do, but at least they went after a concern from the consumer. They didn&#8217;t just knock me off and say, &#8220;Here&#8217;s ours, it&#8217;s Weber,&#8221; they came out with a feature on it.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">That makes the industry better. That&#8217;s great. As a result, we focus on that a lot because of our customers. While it is definitely a concern, and customers identify that, on the total number of units we sell, the complaints we get about rusting are a really, really small percentage. We have so many cleaning kits and restoration kits, and hundreds or thousands of YouTube and TikTok videos on how to deal with it and how to fix it. In 30 minutes, you can clean up your griddle. It&#8217;s really not that hard.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I&#8217;m just curious about that because that is the competitive dynamic of having the Weber in the ecosystem at the higher price point. That might be the competitive dynamic that has been removed because you now operate Weber. Do you have other griddle competitors that you wake up and think about every day?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">There&#8217;s always a griddle competitor. They pop up on Amazon overnight. But yeah, there&#8217;s plenty of competition.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>That&#8217;s the other piece of this that I want to talk about. We&#8217;ve talked a lot about manufacturing, and you&#8217;ve had to deal with tariffs. You&#8217;ve obviously moved your manufacturing around the world. That dynamic still exists, right? If there&#8217;s any hot product in the world, you&#8217;ve got Chinese manufacturing partners, and you can&#8217;t totally control them. That ecosystem knocks off products at extremely high rates, especially if there&#8217;s any innovation that differentiates a product.&nbsp;</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>That stuff is still flooding into our markets, tariffs or not. It&#8217;s still showing up on the internet, one click away. Dupe culture is as high as it&#8217;s ever been. Is that a worry for you, the way that it&#8217;s a worry for, I don&#8217;t know, the headphone manufacturers that I talk to, or any of the fashion retailers we&#8217;ve talked to?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">It&#8217;s definitely a worry. My big advantage is that we have two unbelievably strong brands. You can knock me off, but it&#8217;s not a Blackstone, or it&#8217;s not a Weber. So that&#8217;s a big advantage that we have. But in my opinion, the key is that I can&#8217;t just rest on my laurels and say, &#8220;Well, I have the coolest brand. Who cares?&#8221; What I have to continue to do is innovate my product and stay one, two, three steps ahead of my competition because they&#8217;re knocking off, in my opinion, two- to three-year-old technology. It&#8217;s how long it takes them because they can&#8217;t knock me off overnight.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">This is a long lead time production product, and by the time you want to knock me off and you find a source to have it built, and you pay for tooling, which is not cheap, it&#8217;s a big capital expense. And then you start buying inventory and minimum quantities. They&#8217;re not going to build you 10. You’ve got to buy hundreds or thousands of units to get going, and then your cost isn&#8217;t going to be as good as mine. You don&#8217;t have the economies of scale that I do.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">So we have a big competitive advantage over knockoffs, if you will. I&#8217;m talking about non-branded importers. But believe me, they&#8217;re very innovative, very creative. Their speed to market sometimes astounds me. I have a bigger problem on my accessories than I do with the grills and griddles.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Yeah, for sure. You go on Amazon, and the accessory kits are everywhere.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">They&#8217;re everywhere.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Do you fight with Amazon about that? Do you ever complain?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Off the record… [Laughs] Yeah, it&#8217;s definitely a concern.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I mean, that&#8217;s the recurring revenue, right? This is the thing we&#8217;ve discussed now for a while.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">It&#8217;s our brand, and those people, whoever they are, don&#8217;t care about intellectual property. They don&#8217;t respect it. They&#8217;re just trying to sell as many units as they can, which is against me, my brands, and other companies. They don&#8217;t care. They just knock stuff off and sell it for as long and as fast as they can, and they get shut down, and then they move on to the next product.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Amazon&#8217;s a unique case, right? They&#8217;re also a big advertising platform. A lot of the answers are, “We&#8217;ll just pay for the ads, and we&#8217;ll put your results at the top.” That&#8217;s the new way Amazon makes money. Is that a game you want to play? You&#8217;ve been resistant to playing some of these online retailer games, the influencer games. That&#8217;s the game on the Amazon platform.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">It is definitely difficult on the Amazon platform. The other challenging thing with Amazon is just their algorithm in particular. If I get back-ordered or if they sell more than they thought and then they don&#8217;t have inventory, then the algorithm thinks no one wants to buy it because they’re out of stock. So that&#8217;s probably the biggest challenge with Amazon, and it really is difficult to get that overridden by a human. That&#8217;s the algorithm, and that&#8217;s what it says, and that&#8217;s kind of what they stick to.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Well, obviously, I think, as you can tell, I could talk to you about this for hours upon hours. You&#8217;re going to have to come back faster than five years. I want to end with a kind of big picture question, and I kind of alluded to it earlier.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>The last time we were on the show five years ago, you had been at it for a long time. You started the company in 2008, and you were experiencing this rapid kind of big growth, and you were the disruptor CEO. You were operating every piece of this business. I could tell you were just in the weeds of everything Blackstone was doing because you were in that growth phase, and every single thing mattered to you in a very specific kind of way.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>You&#8217;re in a much different role now. You&#8217;re operating two brands, you&#8217;re managing this big cultural integration. How are you thinking about yourself and the character you&#8217;re playing now? Because this is a change most people will never experience.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">It&#8217;s a really interesting question, and a lot of times, from what I&#8217;ve seen, not very many entrepreneurs who start a business and are entrepreneurial-minded like I am, like to operate in that type of corporate environment, if you will. I don&#8217;t know if I&#8217;m different or unique. I don&#8217;t know. I&#8217;m not really trying to compare myself to anybody, but I just love what I&#8217;m doing.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">How many people get an opportunity to ride the wave of a disruptive technology like Blackstone into an old category that has been around forever? And then on top of it, you get to manage and take over the best, biggest brand in that industry. So the way I look at it is like, man, this is a once-in-a-lifetime deal. So I&#8217;m loving it. This is great fun, and I&#8217;m sticking around for a while to keep doing it.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>How much time do you spend with the R&amp;D people inventing new griddles? Because that was a thing. You drew the first one, I think, on a legal pad, right? How much time do you spend in the product weeds?</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Well, I will spend more as soon as this integration is finished.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>That&#8217;s a good answer. I mean, this is the challenge, right? You get away from the product as you manage the corporation more.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Yep. I force myself to stay in there, and that&#8217;s my personal love. My finance guys are smart. I don&#8217;t need to spend time with them. Operations, they&#8217;ll clean up everything and get it tidy and get it rocking and rolling. I don&#8217;t need to spend as much time there.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I like the product. I love delighting my end-user customers, coming up with innovative, cool ideas, and expanding beyond outdoor cooking. I have way too many ideas in my brain. That makes my board a little nervous at times. They want me to stay focused. But yeah, there&#8217;s a lot to do.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Yeah. We haven&#8217;t even talked about the pizza ovens, and now you&#8217;re saying you&#8217;re going to get beyond that. You&#8217;re going to have to come back soon, Roger.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">All right. Yeah. I enjoy your show, so I&#8217;d be happy to come back.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Faster than five years. Well, thank you so much for being on </strong><strong><em>Decoder</em></strong><strong>. Happy 4th of July. I hope you get some time to go cook outside.</strong></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">That we will do for sure. Thank you so much.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><em><sub>Questions or comments? Hit us up at decoder@theverge.com. We really do read every email!</sub></em></p>
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					</entry>
			<entry>
			
			<author>
				<name>Nilay Patel</name>
			</author>
			
			<title type="html"><![CDATA[Patreon CEO Jack Conte on supporting artists in the AI slop era]]></title>
			<link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="https://www.theverge.com/podcast/952607/patreon-ceo-jack-conte" />
			<id>https://www.theverge.com/?p=952607</id>
			<updated>2026-06-22T09:53:33-04:00</updated>
			<published>2026-06-22T10:00:00-04:00</published>
			<category scheme="https://www.theverge.com" term="Creators" /><category scheme="https://www.theverge.com" term="Decoder" /><category scheme="https://www.theverge.com" term="Podcasts" /><category scheme="https://www.theverge.com" term="Social Media" /><category scheme="https://www.theverge.com" term="Tech" /><category scheme="https://www.theverge.com" term="Web" />
							<summary type="html"><![CDATA[Today, I’m talking with Jack Conte, the CEO of Patreon. Jack last joined me on the show almost exactly five years ago, in the summer of 2021, and a lot has changed on the internet and in the creator landscape since then, so I was very excited to talk to him again, especially since his [&#8230;]]]></summary>
			
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<img alt="A photo illustration of Patreon CEO Jack Conte." data-caption="" data-portal-copyright="Image: The Verge / Photo: Patreon" data-has-syndication-rights="1" src="https://platform.theverge.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2026/06/DCD_Conte.png?quality=90&#038;strip=all&#038;crop=0,0,100,100" />
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<p class="has-drop-cap has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">Today, I’m talking with Jack Conte, the CEO of Patreon. Jack last <a href="https://www.theverge.com/22543655/patreon-ceo-decoder-interview-jack-conte">joined me on the show almost exactly five years ago</a>, in the summer of 2021, and a lot has changed on the internet and in the creator landscape since then, so I was very excited to talk to him again, especially since his ideas about what Patreon is and how it should work have changed dramatically as big social media platforms have gotten more closed off and more flooded by AI slop.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">In fact, you’ll hear Jack say that he now thinks of Patreon as an “index of small business media companies,” a major change in perspective that’s led him to make Patreon a more direct competitor to social platforms like Instagram and TikTok.</p>

<div class="wp-block-vox-media-highlight vox-media-highlight"><img src="https://platform.theverge.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/chorus/uploads/chorus_asset/file/24792604/The_Verge_Decoder_Tileart.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;crop=0,0,100,100" alt="" title="" data-has-syndication-rights="1" data-caption="" data-portal-copyright="" />


<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><em>Verge</em> subscribers, don&#8217;t forget you get exclusive access to ad-free <em>Decoder</em> wherever you get your podcasts. Head <a href="https://www.theverge.com/account/podcasts">here</a>. Not a subscriber? You can <a href="https://www.theverge.com/subscribe">sign up here</a>. </p>
</div>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">This is a huge change. In fact, the last time we talked, Jack was adamantly opposed to building any kind of discovery features into Patreon. But then Patreon built those features — to help people discover content from new creators. Jack’s reasoning for that change will be very familiar if you’ve been listening to our media conversations here on <em>Decoder</em>: Jack says if Patreon didn’t build its own audience platform, then everyone would be at the mercy of Meta and Google to find audiences — and customers. </p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">You’ll hear Jack say that the current way platforms treat creators is “disgusting,” and you’ll hear him convincingly argue that big tech companies are going to just keep taking everyone’s work however they want, and writers and musicians and artists of every kind will be left holding the bag.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">But you’ll also hear Jack argue that this leaves a really big opportunity for a company like Patreon, which connects creators directly with audiences. In a world full of cheap and easy slop, Patreon’s plan is to build demand from real people who want to connect in deep and important ways with real artists.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">There’s way more in this one — Jack came fired up for the <em>Decoder</em> questions, and we spent some real time talking about his approach to how meetings feel, something you just won’t hear from many other CEOs. This was a pretty refreshing conversation; I think you’ll really like it.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">Okay: Patreon CEO Jack Conte. Here we go.</p>

<iframe loading="lazy" frameborder="0" height="200" src="https://playlist.megaphone.fm?e=VMP1707405456" width="100%"></iframe>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><em>This interview has been lightly edited for length and clarity.&nbsp;</em></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Jack Conte, you&#8217;re the cofounder and CEO of Patreon. Welcome back to </strong><strong><em>Decoder</em></strong><strong>.</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">Thanks, Nilay. Good to be here again.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>It&#8217;s good to see you again. It has been five years since you were last on the show. I can&#8217;t believe it.</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">So much has changed.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>A lot has changed. The creator economy has changed. The idea that everything is a TikTok clip has now totally upended the culture. Patreon itself has changed. Maybe we&#8217;ve all changed. Really, the true creator economy is the friends we&#8217;ve made along the way.&nbsp;</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>How has your idea of Patreon changed over the last five years? I feel like there has been a lot of change. How would you describe Patreon today in 2026?</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">You know what&#8217;s so funny, Nilay? I think my answer to that is probably similar to your answer around the media industry. At the end of the day, Patreon is essentially an index of small business media companies. That&#8217;s what we are. We help those small business media companies thrive, get paid, and reach their fans. And so, when they&#8217;re hurting, we feel that burn as a business, and we feel that burn for them as our customers.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">The biggest shift over the last five years is really what happened up-funnel — what happened with TikTok, YouTube, Facebook, and Instagram. The shift is really one main thing:the move away from follower-based paradigms and true subscriptions into an interest-driven distribution system.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">There are so many problems with that, so many problems. It&#8217;s hard to even outline all of them. There are societal-level problems around mass polarization, addiction, loneliness, and all the things that I think a lot of consumers are feeling. And then there&#8217;s a bunch of problems on the creator side as well, because when you move away from a follower paradigm, you ruin the creator&#8217;s deterministic line of reach to their fans.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">If a creator can&#8217;t reach their fans, then not only can a creator not build a true community around their work, but they also can&#8217;t build a business around their work. The biggest shift in the creator economy, that I think has been the most impactful for creators and for Patreon as a business, is this shift of the internet away from follower-based paradigms and into interest-based paradigms.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">It&#8217;s very similar to <a href="https://www.theverge.com/24167865/google-zero-search-crash-housefresh-ai-overviews-traffic-data-audience">Google Zero</a>. It&#8217;s the same concept. It&#8217;s when the platforms stop sending traffic to the people who have spent a decade-plus building their followings, building their communities, using those platforms as their top of funnel.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">It starts to become very clear to everybody that these people were never our users, they were never our community members, they were never our fans. They were Facebook&#8217;s users. And Facebook has made that loud and clear to creators, to the media industry, and to publishers. That has created a whole set of very important product launches and problems that Patreon has had to solve over the last five years, which has been the center point for our strategy.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I love it. We&#8217;re in it. We&#8217;re in the heart of it. My criticism of the media industry over the last five years is that these platforms have just been looking us in the eye and saying, &#8220;We&#8217;re going to kill you.&#8221; It hasn&#8217;t been subtle in any way, shape, or form. They&#8217;ve just been very clear that these are their audiences, and they can remix attention in ways that serve them.&nbsp;</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>They&#8217;ve basically even said that to marketers who pay the bills for them, their advertisers. Meta, in particular, is like, &#8220;We&#8217;re going to kill you too. We will just make the ads.&#8221; </strong><a href="https://www.theverge.com/meta/659506/mark-zuckerberg-ai-facebook-ads"><strong>Mark Zuckerberg has sat on stages and said</strong></a><strong>, &#8220;Look, my vision is that you just show up with some money, and we deliver you some customers, and everything in the middle is AI.&#8221;&nbsp;</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I don&#8217;t know if that&#8217;s going to work out or not, but they’ve been pretty blunt that these are truly their audiences, and they will do with them what they will, and anybody who gets in their way is probably going to die.</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>It feels like, in the publishing company media world&nbsp; where I live, , approximately zero has been done to address this. It&#8217;s like this industry has just decided to die, and </strong><a href="https://www.theverge.com/google/929641/conde-nast-calls-google-zero"><strong>maybe now they&#8217;re all saying Google Zero</strong></a><strong>, and maybe the future of </strong><strong><em>The Verge</em></strong><strong>’s revenue is that I just charge licensing fees for it.&nbsp;</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>You&#8217;re saying in the small business world, this is equally the same problem, as the platforms go from follower-based to interest-based graphs. Is there a concerted effort beyond Patreon to do something about it in the smaller creator world?</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">I wish there was something systemic or organized, but honestly, it&#8217;s very hard to fight the network effect. At the end of the day, that is what&#8217;s happening. And honestly, the only reason creators are still using these fucking platforms is because that is the only place where you can grow your audience. It is not the software that is valuable about those companies, although, in many cases, the software is good. They have built a bunch of features that are useful for media hosting, uploading, and reaching people.It is more the fact that that&#8217;s where the foot traffic is. That consolidation of traffic and of attention is one of the core problems.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">That&#8217;s also one of the reasons I was so excited about adding [Flipboard CEO] Mike McCue to our board, and about <a href="https://www.theverge.com/tech/905929/flipboard-surf-fediverse-launch">what he&#8217;s doing with Surf</a>. At the end of the day, it would be amazing. The only way to truly systemically address this is if the people own the network effect instead of the platform. Ultimately, that&#8217;s what Mike is trying to address with Surf, and that&#8217;s one of the reasons I&#8217;m excited about Bluesky.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">There does seem to be this early-stage effort to build an ecosystem around the open social web. That&#8217;s not on our road map right now, but it is something I&#8217;m following very closely and very excited about. Because at the end of the day, I think it&#8217;s probably one of three main things that needs to change to stop something like this from happening again.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">If you look back at the last 20 years, essentially, I think it&#8217;s fair to say social media is a failed experiment that has failed humanity and been really bad for humans. I&#8217;m not saying there aren&#8217;t some good things about it. We&#8217;ve all been connected up. We&#8217;ve been given multiple pipelines to reach people. There are now millions of channels, instead of three channels. People who didn&#8217;t used to have voices now have voices. There are some really wonderful things about it, but I would argue that those things are attributes of the internet, not of the current platforms.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">The internet is beautiful. The internet is important. Connecting people and giving people a way to reach each other, and speak, and make media, and distribute that media, that&#8217;s awesome. But the systems and subsystems that we&#8217;re using layered on top of the internet, like social media, those systems are a bad implementation of those principles that have had a really harmful effect on humans at a scale that is hard to even comprehend.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">Something needs to change. When we look at the next 20 years of human collaboration and media distribution, I think we need to do some deep thinking. What are the architectural elements of these two decades of failed experimentation that have had such a bad effect on us, and what do we need to do differently next time to make sure it doesn&#8217;t happen again?</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>There&#8217;s a bunch of ideas in there. I want to come back to a lot of them. In particular, federation and Mike McCue, who&#8217;s the CEO of Flipboard, which </strong><a href="https://www.theverge.com/2024/12/18/24323903/flipboard-surf-fediverse-social-web-app"><strong>runs a platform called Surf</strong></a><strong>. Surf is like a feed builder and browser for Threads and Bluesky and Mastodon, all the open social networks. There&#8217;s a lot there that I want to come back to, particularly in this idea of the architecture of social networks.</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I was </strong><a href="https://www.theverge.com/podcast/882021/hank-green-complexly-non-profit-youtube-ai-algorithms-interview"><strong>talking to Hank Green</strong></a><strong> a couple weeks ago, and he said, &#8220;It feels like the end of one internet, and we need to think of it as the beginning of another.&#8221; That would be great. I would love to live fully in that zone. The problem is, we have to contend with the end of the internet that we have today — the end of the platform era, if it is truly the end of the platform era.</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Tell me about Patreon right now in this moment. Maybe we see our way through the other side, but Patreon has to operate today. How is Patreon organized today?</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">We should spend some time getting into this because it&#8217;s a really important point. The irony of all this is that in order for Patreon as a business and on behalf of our creators to fight this — in order to give our creators the audience growth and the reach that they need, and the ability to continue to grow and continue to grow on the platform — we have had to build discovery systems into our platform. I actually don&#8217;t remember if I talked about this <a href="https://www.theverge.com/22543655/patreon-ceo-decoder-interview-jack-conte">the last time I was on the show</a>.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>You were opposed to it the last time you were on the show. You did not want to do that.</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">Exactly, and that&#8217;s the irony. Now we have had to do that, because what we&#8217;ve learned is, if we don&#8217;t provide our own top of funnel for creators, then we&#8217;re just relying on Facebook to be the top of funnel, and that is not a good business strategy for creators or for Patreon.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">Essentially, the stage that we&#8217;re in as a company now, as for the last few years, is that we&#8217;ve been building a bunch of media tools, distribution tools, and hosting tools. We’ve built native video, we built chat, we built discovery, we built short-posting tools, we built a feed. We have built all these new ways for creators to essentially start providing the growth for themselves, start providing a top of funnel for themselves, and for Patreon to have a top of funnel for our creators as well. That&#8217;s the irony of all this.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">Now, that is the right strategy for us, given where the business is, where our creators are, and the current media landscape. That was not our strategy six years ago. That&#8217;s something that we&#8217;ve implemented over the last four to five years, and we&#8217;ve implemented it out of necessity.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">The main reason is because I don&#8217;t want to wait for the platforms. They&#8217;re looking us in the eye, and they&#8217;re saying, &#8220;We&#8217;re going to kill you all.&#8221; And I believe them, and I don&#8217;t want to wait for them to do it. I want to prep way ahead of time. The good news is, a lot of this work has actually worked.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">For example, one of the things we’ve built since we last talked is free memberships. What is a free membership? It&#8217;s a follow. It&#8217;s a line of deterministic reach to people who choose to follow you. You get the email address associated with the account that signs up for you, and then when you make a post to your followers, it triggers emails, and you also see those posts in the feed that get ranked above other posts to make sure that your followers actually see your posts. That is very different from how other feeds work.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">That product has been an amazing success. I think now we have 185 million free memberships on the platform, and that&#8217;s up like 2x year-over-year since last year. So, clearly there&#8217;s a lot of fan-side demand and a lot of creator demand for a better follower system that is true to the actual word “follower.”&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">We built native chats, which is also something we didn&#8217;t have before. We were relying on creators to have Facebook groups and communities on Instagram and we were saying, &#8220;Hey, we&#8217;re the payments architecture.&#8221; That&#8217;s different now. Now, we have native chats on the platform.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">lLast year, I think we had something like 35 million chat messages sent back and forth, and 110 million hours of video have been watched on Patreon. We were previously relying on Facebook and Instagram and YouTube for a lot of these tools and a lot of these experiences. We can no longer rely on them to do those things, and our creators can no longer rely on them to do those things. They need a way to reach people deterministically on the platform.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">We&#8217;ve invested heavily in a lot of those communication and media-hosting tools, and they&#8217;ve been very well received, which is why we&#8217;re seeing that kind of adoption on the platform. It is very different from where we were six years ago, but necessity is the mother of invention. This is the place that we&#8217;re in as an ecosystem, this is where the internet is, and this is exactly what Patreon needs to be doing right now to help creators succeed.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>You&#8217;re describing a lot of change. Again, five years ago, when we talked, you were very focused on payments and being the payment rails. People would basically show up and be like, &#8220;I have a lot of Twitter followers and I&nbsp; need to monetize them,” and Patreon would be there. That&#8217;s over. I think we all understand that that&#8217;s over. Twitter itself is over. It&#8217;s called X now. It&#8217;s the everything app. I don&#8217;t know if you&#8217;re familiar with it.</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">[Laughs] No, that’s interesting.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>We do everything there.</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">What&#8217;s their strategy?</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>It&#8217;s everything, I&#8217;m told. You don&#8217;t make all your credit card payments through X?</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>You&#8217;re describing a very different company. That means you obviously have had to restructure and refactor the company. How many people work at Patreon? How have you organized them today?</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">There are hundreds of people that work at Patreon now.Technically, by manager, we’re organized by function. We&#8217;re a functionally organized company. The people who report to me run functions, which, ironically, comes with all kinds of dysfunction. To solve for that, the way that we&#8217;re actually organized is by objective.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">When you look at how we talk and what the company works on, it&#8217;s working on objectives. Teams are cross-functional and collaborative, and all the work ladders up into those objectives. When we run an all-hands meeting, which I did this morning, or when we celebrate work that&#8217;s happening, or when we do company planning, all of that is not thought of in the silo of a function. It&#8217;s thought of cross-functionally under any given objective. And that helps solve some of the problems associated with sort of organizing functionally, but not all of them.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">That&#8217;s been one of the biggest changes over the last maybe five years is organizing by objective. That has been the most transformational for Patreon. Because if you don&#8217;t do that, then you have a marketing function with one set of goals, and an engineering team with a different set of goals, and that&#8217;s totally dysfunctional.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>You&#8217;re describing kind of the classic Google-style </strong><a href="https://rework.withgoogle.com/intl/en/guides/set-goals-with-okrs"><strong>“objectives and key results”</strong></a><strong> framework, or is it something different than that?</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">We do use some of that framework. It&#8217;s not a perfect copy of objectives and key results. We have company-level objectives, and those have very clear key results associated with them, but I would say our system is different.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">Let me give you an example. One of our objectives is to improve core experiences on Patreon. Our product is very wide. We&#8217;ve made this shift from being a membership platform and bottom-of-funnel payments processing suite to being this top-of-funnel network and community and media product.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">When you do that, everything breaks — everything. You have to rebuild the entire product from the ground up, like architecturally, all the systems, with new infrastructure. And literally everything breaks: navigation, you have to build new privacy policies, you have to build everything. So part of our work is chipping away at all those things one by one.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">Making the core experiences fit into the current vision and product that we want is a really important objective for us. We have 10 fixes every quarter that we chip away at, and by the end of the quarter, we want to have shipped eight of them. There are tons of cross-functional teams that are working on that across the company. It&#8217;s a little different from OKRs, but the spirit of it is the same.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>The other question I ask everybody on </strong><strong><em>Decoder</em></strong><strong> is about decisions. You&#8217;re describing a very big decision. You&#8217;re describing an existential change to the nature of Patreon, and what your relationship to consumers should be. In many ways, you turned into a social network, which is a thing you&#8217;ve been fighting against.</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Tell me about your framework for making decisions, and explain how you brought it to bear on that choice.</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">Sure. But before that, I have to combat the social network idea. I don&#8217;t call it that internally. I don&#8217;t say we&#8217;re building a social media app. That&#8217;s effectively, in my opinion, like saying, &#8220;Hey, we&#8217;re building better cigarettes.&#8221; Nobody wants better cigarettes.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I mean, some people really want better cigarettes.</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">Okay, fine.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>They&#8217;re very popular.</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">Fair enough. But I don&#8217;t want to make better cigarettes. That&#8217;s not how I want to roll into my grave. I don&#8217;t want to do that.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">Also, I think, spiritually, it&#8217;s important, because if we go out and say, &#8220;Hey, we&#8217;re a social media app, what are we going to do?,” then our teams are going to look at what happens on Instagram and what happens on Facebook and we&#8217;re going to copypasta a bunch of features and it&#8217;s not going to make sense for our systems.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">Our optimization function is really different for everything in the product. Our algorithms that provide creators with discovery and distribution are not optimizing for watch time. Actually, Nilay, I don&#8217;t know what session time is on Patreon. If you were to ask me questions like, “What&#8217;s the average session time for users, for creators?” I don&#8217;t know. We don&#8217;t track it. We don&#8217;t A/B test against it. That is not what we&#8217;re doing. It&#8217;s not our optimization function.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">So, grouping us into social media is just not true. We&#8217;re trying to build a fundamentally different system with different bones. Instead of looking at things like session time, we&#8217;re looking at deterministic reach. Are you able to build long-term relationships with the people that follow you? Are you able to reach those people? Are you getting connected pieces of media, as opposed to unconnected pieces of media? Are we giving creators and fans agency in their experience, or are we hacking their limbic systems, which is what it feels like on social media right now? I feel like I&#8217;m a lab rat. Are we optimizing for creator payments, which the platforms are not optimizing for?&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">There are going to be some primitives that look like social media, but at the end of the day, the bones are different, and it&#8217;s really important, at least for me, to acknowledge that. Let me answer your second question around decisions, though.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">I was very bad at making decisions, and I don&#8217;t want to say I&#8217;ve figured it out, because I think that&#8217;s a kind of thing we&#8217;re always learning. But there have been a lot of little things that I&#8217;ve learned that I&#8217;d love to share.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">I hear a lot of heuristics that sound really great for decision making. There&#8217;s like, &#8220;Listen, decide, communicate.&#8221; There&#8217;s all these simple things. That&#8217;s not what&#8217;s been effective for me in making better decisions. Let me just give you a bunch of really tactical, specific things that have helped me make better decisions over time.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">The first is, when we start a meeting where we&#8217;re supposed to make a decision, one thing I like to ask is, &#8220;Hey, does anybody have a strong opinion? Off the bat, are there any strong opinions in the room? Does anybody disagree with the recommendation?&#8221; Sometimes the answer is no, but sometimes somebody right out of the gate says like, &#8220;Yeah, I really disagree with the recommendation, and here&#8217;s why.&#8221; You just saved yourself half an hour of fluffy discussion at the top of a meeting. You cut right to the chase.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">If you really press somebody with, &#8220;Why do you disagree?,” you hear three or four maybe genuinely good points, and then we can debate the merits of those good points. The whole room gets informed as you&#8217;re making a decision like that. I like to put some pressure at the beginning of the meeting to cut right to the chase.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">The second thing is I no longer trust the framing of the decision. Sometimes the decision will come to the group and it&#8217;ll be, &#8220;Okay, here&#8217;s path A, here&#8217;s path B. Let&#8217;s choose.&#8221; What I&#8217;ve found is, more often than not, it&#8217;s not actually path A or path B, and sometimes it&#8217;s not even a decision. There&#8217;s literally just four or five action items that we can discover as a group, and march through those things, and solve the underlying problem that the decision was attempting to solve. It’s just having a discussion where we get clear on what the next steps are. Sometimes it seems like half of path A and half of path B, but actually, it&#8217;s a more bespoke solution that is a better solution to a complex problem.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">Another thing is really great pre-reads. Man, you can spend 45 minutes just context-sharing. I feel very strongly about this. Meetings are not for information transfer. They are for debate and discussion. If we find ourselves spending 45 minutes in a meeting literally sharing context with each other, that&#8217;s wasted time, and we&#8217;re going to make bad decisions if people have information asymmetry. No wonder one person thinks we should take path A and another person thinks we should take path B. That&#8217;s because we don&#8217;t have shared context. Getting everybody to have shared context is huge, and pre-reads are a great way to do that.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">Okay, let me give you a couple more. Naming that there should be a decision-maker. Oh my God, I&#8217;m still learning how to be better at this. Sometimes I find myself in a meeting where we&#8217;re all just arguing with each other, and then it&#8217;s like, &#8220;Hey, who is the decision-maker here? Who&#8217;s actually making this?&#8221; Having clarity around who the DRI is for that decision can be really helpful.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>That stands for directly responsible individual.</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">Right, exactly.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">And then let me give you one more. About halfway through a meeting, if I find myself starting to be swayed in one direction or another, I just name that, and I say, &#8220;Hey, team, here&#8217;s what I&#8217;m thinking so far. Here&#8217;s where I think we should go based on the conversation we&#8217;ve had, based on what I know. If you think that&#8217;s wrong, tell me why.”</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">What often happens at that moment is that someone brings up three or four really good points for risks of taking that path that we hadn&#8217;t named before, and saying we&#8217;re going to go in this direction is what surfaces those extra risks and that extra click down in the debate, because it starts to become visceral if people feel like, &#8220;Oh, we are going in that direction.&#8221;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">Then we can spend the next 30 minutes talking through those items and realizing things like, &#8220;Okay, do we want to build mitigation plans for those risks, or do we want to choose path B instead?&#8221; Just telling the team where I&#8217;m thinking and where I&#8217;m leaning in real time has created a little bit of pressure to get the real conversation out, and to identify more problems with the path as we go.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">I have a bunch more lessons that I&#8217;ve learned over the years, which I&#8217;d be happy to share, but honestly, I keep these lessons like at the top of a doc when I&#8217;m having a meeting, so that I can just remind myself like, &#8220;Hey, do these things in a meeting to help drive it to conclusion.&#8221; And it&#8217;s been really helpful for me to just do that.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>This is great. I have a </strong><strong><em>Decoder</em></strong><strong> book coming out, and we&#8217;re going to give you a whole chapter.</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">[Laughs] I&#8217;ll take it.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>What I like about this, what I&#8217;m curious about, is there&#8217;s a lot of Amazon in there. DRIs are a very Amazon kind of idea, that there needs to be a decision-maker, and you need to identify them. And then there&#8217;s what I would describe as you paying attention to the emotional tenor of a meeting and making sure that&#8217;s driving it forward.</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Is that just because you&#8217;re in a band and you understand the creative process? Because most of the executives I talk to think about this, I would say, mechanistically.&nbsp; “We&#8217;re going to go from here to here to here, and these are the steps.” You&#8217;re very much describing how it feels to be in a meeting and controlling that feeling.</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">There are benefits of that, and there are drawbacks. I&#8217;m a creator. I&#8217;m a YouTuber. My background is not as an engineer. I didn&#8217;t come from product management. I came from literally making music videos on YouTube. I think it&#8217;s fair to say that my job for a long time was transferring my emotions to other people. That&#8217;s how I made my living, right? That&#8217;s the job of an artist: Can you make somebody feel something that you&#8217;ve felt? Can you communicate that feeling to somebody?</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">I&#8217;m very aware of that in a meeting, and I think that can be really helpful because you can add a little bit of pressure and push a conversation forward. It can also be dangerous because I can over-rotate on feelings sometimes. I&#8217;m not in the Elon camp that empathy is the curse of all humanity. I&#8217;m very opposed to that philosophy. I do not agree with that by any stretch of the imagination. But I do have to be careful that I&#8217;m not over-rotating on feelings. I think that the desire to make everybody happy can really drag things down sometimes, so I have to constantly be aware of that tendency in myself.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Put this all into practice for me. You described, instead of needing path A or path B, we&#8217;re going to drill down and find just the action items, and actually the decision is already made, and we just need to move forward. I&#8217;m curious for a real example of that, and then I want the bigger picture of, &#8220;Oh, I need to drastically change what Patreon is.&#8221;</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">lLet me answer your second question first, and along the way, I&#8217;m sure I&#8217;ll think of a specific example.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">For the bigger decision around this adjustment to Patreon strategy, the truth is, there is some element of top-down decision-making associated with a change like that, and there is some element of emergent strategy that comes from the organization. It’s necessary to embrace and even put some kindling against it to get it to be more holistic and full-bodied.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">It started in 2020 probably, with bringing in more of a consumer product leader, who was thinking more about consumer experiences and less of a SaaS-focused organization. So less of the kind of B2B2C go-to-market motions, and more of the consumer product motions and talent and teams and company structures.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">That was a big shift in and of itself, just bringing in that leadership, and honestly, just a lot of learning for me, because this is my first job. I&#8217;ve literally never worked at another company before. In some ways, I don&#8217;t see the water, I don&#8217;t see the air around me. There was a lot of learning for me like, &#8220;Okay, how does this look different?&#8221;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">Then as we were doing that, teams were suggesting things that we wanted to do differently, and a lot of that is coming bottom-up. Before, we were against native video. But then it was like, “Okay, but if we&#8217;re going to have discovery for creators, we need to have free accessible media on the platform.” You can&#8217;t have identity-based discovery. We&#8217;ve run those tests, they don&#8217;t work. If you land on a creator&#8217;s page, and there&#8217;s no free accessible media, you&#8217;re not going to pay that creator. You have no reason to. You don&#8217;t know who that person is. You have never fallen in love with their work. You need a way to fall in love with their work, which means you need free accessible media on the platform.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">That was an emergent piece of the strategy that came from the organization. It wasn&#8217;t just like, &#8220;Ah, let&#8217;s turn on discovery, and put different creator profiles in front of everybody&#8217;s page.&#8221; We tried that and we tested that. It didn&#8217;t lead to conversion. The organization learned. We had systems to make sure that bubbles up to PMs and product leaders and to me and to the executive team. Then you keep chipping away at that flywheel, and over a period of two years, you start to home in on precisely what the right strategy is. There&#8217;s some amount of top-down push that comes, and there&#8217;s some amount of bottom-up strategic emergence that comes from the organization.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Let me ask you about just building a product in that kind of environment, when it&#8217;s the age of AI and you sit right in the middle of a totally polarized debate.&nbsp;</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>On the one hand, every software engineer and product manager I know is either the most excited they&#8217;ve ever been or experiencing a full existential crisis about the ease of developing software, of making new features, of making new products, of tokenmaxxing. Then in creator world, the audiences hate it, and they don&#8217;t want the slop, and every platform is overrun with slop, even though the audiences don&#8217;t want the slop, and something very bad is happening.</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>How are you bridging that divide? Because it&#8217;s obvious that the future of software companies looks AI-enabled in some way, I&#8217;m not sure which way it is, but it&#8217;s obvious that it&#8217;s some way. And then it is far from obvious that the future of creator media has any AI in it at all, because the audiences are rejecting it so thoroughly.&nbsp;</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">This has been really challenging, especially in the modern environment of the internet. But I&#8217;ll tell you what I did. I just said what I really thought, and I spent a long, long time putting together my full thoughts. The <a href="https://www.patreon.com/jackconte/posts/my-thoughts-on-152669616">end product is 45 minutes of me talking through these issues</a>. And then I posted that. It is self-conflicting, and I&#8217;m holding two opposing beliefs at the same time, and I&#8217;m terrified, and I&#8217;m excited, and I&#8217;m really pissed at how all this has been rolled out and how little agency creators have gotten through this process.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">Also, I find the technology magical. As an independent creator, I&#8217;ve always been interested in new technologies that help me accomplish my goals. I remember when the first digital audio workstations (DAWs) came out in the late &#8217;90s and 2000s, and tools like Pro Tools where I learned I could record and I could make a record at my house, in my bedroom, and that led to the emergence of Pomplamoose, which was my band. I was obsessed with that.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">Now, there were a lot of analog recording engineers at the time who hated the idea of a DAW. They thought it sounded cold, it wasn&#8217;t warm, it wasn&#8217;t analog gear. You&#8217;re not respecting the technology of recording, the skill set, the craft of recording. The same thing happened with YouTube and distribution systems when we started uploading to the internet. There was this whole backlash around that not being the real way to do music.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">The real way to do music is to sign a record deal and go on tour, and Pomplamoose didn&#8217;t do that. We just distributed our own music through YouTube and sold MP3s on iTunes, and made enough money to buy a house, literally, off of MP3 sales. So, there&#8217;s always been this piece of me that embraces new technology.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">The truth is that I am holding all of these ideas in my head at once, and I myself feel very conflicted about it. At the end of the day, though, here&#8217;s what I think is happening. The algorithms and social media platforms are so good at polarizing humanity, sorting and filtering us into one of two camps on basically every issue, whether it&#8217;s politics or news or technology or anything. The algorithms just push everybody into one of two camps, and they push us so far apart. That is absolutely happening now with AI.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">I&#8217;m not saying there aren&#8217;t serious drawbacks and concerns, and that I&#8217;m not seriously angry about it. I am, but I think it is such an important time for artists to have an open conversation around these technologies right now. Everything is changing for people, and this is going to be a transformative shift for artists, for employees, for humans. I think we&#8217;re at this place where boycotting AI is like boycotting the internet. That&#8217;s not a good strategy.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">I don&#8217;t like what Instagram has done. I disagree with a lot of their decisions. I still have an Instagram page. I still post and reach my community. I don&#8217;t like what Apple has done, <a href="https://www.theverge.com/2024/8/12/24218629/patreon-membership-ios-30-percent-apple-tax">especially to Patreon creators over the last year</a>. I really disagree with those decisions. I don&#8217;t think they&#8217;re fair for creative people. I think they&#8217;re hurtful for creative people. And here I am on my iPhone. I don&#8217;t like what my federal government is doing right now, on so many dimensions, and I still pay my taxes, and I still live in the United States.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Sure, I get it. I mean, I understand this sort of “yet you live in society” argument, and I find it very frustrating too. I used to read </strong><strong><em>Guitar World</em></strong><strong> when I was a kid, and I&#8217;d read the angry screeds from analog recording engineers about Logic being cold. Fine, but I had a cassette four-track at that time, and I was like, &#8220;This thing sucks. I would much rather use my computer to record my music.&#8221; It was just very obvious.&nbsp;</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>But Logic hadn&#8217;t stolen all of the music in the world to make Logic. And in fact, it was very obvious that the people behind Pro Tools and Logic and whatever else had a deep and meaningful appreciation for the music industry, and they were trying to make tools for musicians.&nbsp;</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>The internet and social media have huge stacks of problems, and maybe they need to be addressed in different ways, but the value exchange of Instagram, I think, is reasonably clear to people. You run a lawn-mowing business, you can go find some customers on Instagram, and you&#8217;re good to go. Or if you just want to post dance videos on TikTok and reach an audience, maybe that&#8217;s the easiest thing that&#8217;s ever been in world history to do.&nbsp; The value exchange for AI, I think, is so much more diffused that people hate it.&nbsp;</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>But you&#8217;re a musician. I know tons of musicians who are like, &#8220;Look, AI is everywhere. Suno is everywhere in the music industry.&#8221; We just had </strong><a href="https://www.theverge.com/podcast/940831/ai-grammys-music-recording-harvey-mason"><strong>Harvey Mason Jr. on the show</strong></a><strong>, he runs the Recording Academy. He&#8217;s like, &#8220;It&#8217;s everywhere, and our line to give you a Grammy Award is you have to be mostly human.&#8221; That is as fuzzy of a line as can possibly exist.</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>You&#8217;re saying you&#8217;re sitting in it. I think I have the exact same kind of conundrum as you do. I love new technology. We have an audience of people who love new technology. We&#8217;re going to post this clip on the internet, and people are going to tell you, &#8220;Of course, it&#8217;s clear that you should hate it.&#8221; That makes no sense to me, because those same people are probably using it in some way.&nbsp;</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>But you&#8217;re sitting in it, and you run a software company that services the needs of creatives who hate it. There&#8217;s no doubt in my mind that the software company side should be in full embrace of AI, and maybe the creative services part of the company, which is what the software makes, should not. Can you smash those together, or are you just trying to keep those far apart?</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">No, no, no. You nailed it, and this is the core of our approach. But actually, before I even get into that, let me just say that what ultimately is happening to creative people right now is disgusting.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">Every 10 years, there&#8217;s this techno-legal cycle where tech companies build some type of new technology, and it breaks the current systems. It usually uses creator work without consent, compensation, or credit. And then the tech companies claim that, &#8220;Well, it&#8217;s this new technology, and it&#8217;s either fair use, or copyright doesn&#8217;t apply because it&#8217;s transformative in some capacity.&#8221; This was the <a href="https://www.theverge.com/2013/11/14/5103950/google-books-wins-lawsuit-as-federal-judge-invokes-fair-use">Google Books case</a>, this was the YouTube case, where <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Viacom_International,_Inc._v._YouTube,_Inc.">Viacom sued YouTube for $1 billion</a>.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">Then there&#8217;s industry mayhem around that, and that&#8217;s where we are now. We&#8217;re in the industry mayhem part of this cycle. We should be there. There should be a lot of lawsuits. In my opinion, there should be regulation to prevent this type of thing from happening with regard to AI. What&#8217;s essentially happened is these models have <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Borg">Borg’d</a> the entirety of the free creative web from all these creative people, without paying them, without letting them opt out, and without even giving them credit. That is bad, not only for those creators, but it&#8217;s bad for society. The reason copyright exists, the reason IP law exists, is to create a societal-level incentive around novelty creation. That is the purpose of those laws. That comes from the Constitution.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">Congress was given the power to promote the sciences and the arts. They wrote in “the arts” because it&#8217;s important to promote and to protect people who invent within the arts. It&#8217;s important for those rights holders to have rights. That&#8217;s why they&#8217;re called rights holders. So it&#8217;s fucking crazy to me that these models are allowed to just use all the work, and then claim transformation, and then have a fair use case, and get around it. All that is terrible.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">I think your question is like, &#8220;Jack, how do you reconcile that with being a software CEO?&#8221; I&#8217;ll tell you, it&#8217;s a very practical approach. If Patreon does not fully embrace these tools as a product and engineering company — and we are ultimately a product and engineering company — and use them to give the power back to creators, we, as a company, will be dead in three years.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">Look at what happened with the mobile shift. These platform shifts are material. They have a massive impact on the people who are playing in these ecosystems. And if the companies don&#8217;t keep up with these new technologies, they will die. Patreon is much more useful to creators if we are alive, if we are shipping more valuable products at a faster clip that are higher quality. So, we 100 percent are embracing these tools internally.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">I&#8217;ve told our creators that we are embracing these tools internally. We are using LLMs to write more features. Our engineers are using LLMs when they code. We&#8217;re using LLMs to organize the team. We&#8217;re using Notion agents to crawl through pages, our own internal documents, and create summaries and help teammates understand who to talk to for which sorts of problems. We must embrace those tools. That is not a choice that we have, because I want us to be a powerful product company that fights on behalf of creative people.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">So, what we have done with our product strategy and how we&#8217;ve… I don&#8217;t know if you want to say resolved the tension, but this is how we’ve thought of it. There are a lot of companies that are going to market loud and proud with, &#8220;Now we&#8217;re an AI company.&#8221; Creators don&#8217;t want us to be an AI company, and they don&#8217;t need us to be an AI company. We don&#8217;t need to build a whole bunch of forward-facing features for creators. If you look at what a feed on Instagram looks like now versus two years ago, it looks pretty much the same. There aren’t a whole bunch of changes because of AI. There&#8217;s a consumption experience, and there&#8217;s a community experience.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">In many ways, Patreon is similar. There are some experiences that are different, and the way we think about where to use AI is to imagine a bullseye diagram. At the center of the bullseye is creators making their creative work. What creators have told us is, &#8220;Patreon, get the fuck out of the way. Let me make my work. Don&#8217;t give me script ideas. Don&#8217;t build me an agent that helps me come up with a video thing. Don&#8217;t title my post for me. Let me do the making. Get out of my way.&#8221; So, we get out of their way on creators making things.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">And then one rung out from that bullseye is the packaging of that material. Now, creators, to us, have been a bit more open to using AI to package their works. What does that mean? Like automated chapter markers and things like that, or cutting long-form podcast episodes into clips. One rung out from that is marketing, so helping a creator with automated email flows and things like that. And then one rung out from that is business management, and creators have even more openness to using AI tools to help them manage their business.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">The best quote we heard from our user research interviews was, &#8220;Hey, I have a million ideas for new videos. I don&#8217;t need AI to help me make more videos. I need AI to help me do my taxes and clean my toilet.&#8221; And that is our product strategy. Our product strategy is to help creators do their taxes and clean their toilet using AI, but we&#8217;re not going out and saying, &#8220;We&#8217;re Patreon.ai now, and everything is going to be an AI feature.&#8221;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">I&#8217;ve explained all this to our creators in this very long 45-minute video, and I think for the most part, creators understand that Patreon has to keep up and use these tools internally. And also, it&#8217;s important for us to be an advocate right now for creative people and fight on their behalf, so that they&#8217;re not forgotten about through this new techno-legal cycle that we&#8217;re going through.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>You published that video. It was a little bit ago, not so long ago. You&#8217;ve sat with some feedback. Did you change anything about your strategy? Did anything about the feedback to that video shift your thinking?</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">Yes. One of the things that came up in that process and a lot of the comments was around, &#8220;Okay, but Patreon, how are you going to prevent the platform from being overrun with slop? What are you doing from a policy and trust and safety standpoint to make sure that Patreon just doesn&#8217;t get clogged up like other platforms are getting clogged up?&#8221;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">That was amazing feedback. We had already started thinking about that, but we accelerated those work streams. Actually, I have a meeting next week with a team that has a draft proposal for that. That&#8217;s a really hard problem, right? Actually, YouTube <a href="https://blog.youtube/news-and-events/improving-ai-labels-viewers-creators/">made an announcement</a> about that this week, but the problem there is like, what do you label, or do you label?</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>How do you even detect it?</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">And how do you detect it? And if you can detect it now, what makes you think you can detect it a year from now? There&#8217;s no canonical system. There&#8217;s no API you can call and say with certainty whether something is AI-generated or not. That doesn&#8217;t exist. And even if it does, somebody&#8217;s going to build a tool that breaks that.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Our poor reporter Jess Weatherbed, her beat is AI labeling systems, and she&#8217;s like, &#8220;What are we doing?&#8221; She&#8217;s </strong><a href="https://www.theverge.com/podcast/874038/ai-deepfakes-war-on-reality-c2pa-labels"><strong>been on the show</strong></a><strong>, and she&#8217;s like, &#8220;We keep pretending that these are going to work because we have to, but there&#8217;s no evidence that they ever will.&#8221;</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">Then there&#8217;s the reverse, which is, &#8220;Okay, maybe you label human-generated work.&#8221; I remember growing up in the ‘80s and ‘90s, when manufacturing shifted to Asia, and there were all these &#8220;Made in the USA&#8221; stickers, and that became sort of a hallmark of, &#8220;Hey, you should buy this thing loud and proud. You&#8217;re voting with your dollars here.&#8221;&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">I can imagine some type of future where something is labeled as human-generated, and that&#8217;s a loud-and-proud moment for people. So, that&#8217;s another way to solve the problem. Actually, Howtown, cohosted by Joss Fong who used to be at <em>Vox</em>, <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qO0WvudbO04">made an amazing video about this</a>, just like flipping the labeling game on its head by labeling human-made work. There are a bunch of different ways to solve it. We&#8217;re thinking through all those problems, and that was a result of feedback that we got from the community as we rolled out some of this thinking.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>You have platform competitors who are a little more wide open, with lots of similar features. In particular, I’m thinking of Substack, whose approach to moderation is famously </strong><a href="https://www.tiktok.com/@decoderpod/video/7221602731998498094"><strong>laid out in the show</strong></a><strong> as, “Screw it, do Nazis on Substack.” That&#8217;s just their vibe. I assume they&#8217;re going to allow tons of slop. There&#8217;s already a ton of slop on Substack.</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>They have the same core set of features, and I realize you don&#8217;t want to be called social media, but the features, if you just list them in a bullet-point chart, are all the same. You have a Twitter-like function, you&#8217;ve got podcasts, they&#8217;re pushing into videos, you&#8217;ve got follow features.</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Substack&#8217;s promise to everyone is, &#8220;We&#8217;ll take 10 percent of your revenue, but we will deliver you the next new follower.&#8221; And they do it in all kinds of ways. I would even describe a lot of ways to do it as just straight-up dark patterns. You subscribe to one newsletter, oops, you&#8217;re subscribed to nine more. And some creators have gotten pretty antsy about this, and a bunch of big publications have left, like </strong><a href="https://theankler.com/the-anklers-next-chapter/"><strong><em>The Ankler </em></strong><strong>just left</strong></a><strong>, and now they&#8217;re on Ben Thompson&#8217;s platform, which </strong><a href="https://passport.online/"><strong>I believe is called Passport</strong></a><strong>.</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>You&#8217;re sitting in that same zone, right? Is your promise, &#8220;We will help you get the next new subscriber” in the same way as Substack, or is it, “People are going to download this app, and we will just surface stuff until you show up”? Substack very clearly makes the promise that they will deliver the next new subscriber to you. Are you making the same promise?</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">We don&#8217;t frame it quite like that, but we absolutely are going out and telling creators now, &#8220;Hey, we&#8217;re helping you get discovered. We are helping you find and grow your community.&#8221; That is a big piece of our value proposition now, and we&#8217;re talking about it loud and proud. We are now sending 1.5 million new followers to creators on Patreon per month from our own systems, and 750,000 free followers are becoming paid followers per month on those systems.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">One of the big differences between us when we last talked and us now is that audience growth was previously not in our set of value propositions that we talked about, but it must be now. This is the whole point around being your own top of funnel for your own creators. If you rely on Google to do that, if you rely on YouTube for the audience growth, and you provide no audience growth, you are a bottom-of-funnel company that will be Google Zero’d. You just are. Lesson learned the hard way. We don&#8217;t want to wait for that.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">That said, I think there are good ways to do that, and I think there are bad ways to do that. I&#8217;ll go back to Elon&#8217;s takeover of Twitter. You <a href="https://www.theverge.com/2022/10/28/23428132/elon-musk-twitter-acquisition-problems-speech-moderation">wrote that amazing article</a> on how, with social media platforms, the product is the policy. The product is trust and safety. It is content policy, which I think Elon learned the hard way. Now, we see it. SpaceX filed their S-1, and we got to see <a href="https://www.theverge.com/podcast/942586/elon-musk-spacex-ipo-x-xai-index-funds">their revenue cut in half since the purchase</a>. I think he learned very clearly that content policy, trust and safety, is the product.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">That&#8217;s a big piece of what we do, and that is a big differentiator for us versus Substack. We don&#8217;t allow Nazis. We don&#8217;t allow that. We have much more thoughtful moderation. There are some people who think that your content policy should be the First Amendment. That&#8217;s not how we think about it. There are things on Patreon that we think are good for the mission. There are things on Patreon that are not good for the mission.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">I&#8217;m very proud of our content policy. I wrote the first version of it in 2013. It was 40 pages, with the help of an outside consultant, and we&#8217;ve iterated on that policy over the years, and I think we&#8217;ve done a really good job of enforcing it. I&#8217;d say one of the biggest differences between Substack and Patreon is our content policy. It’s not a “by the way,” it&#8217;s a main feature for us. And a lot of creators have left Substack and come to Patreon because of our content policy.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>It&#8217;s time now to talk about the sexiest topic of all, which is your relationship to payment processors. This is what all the kids have been waiting for.&nbsp;</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>As you go up to the top of the funnel, you have a more direct relationship with consumers. The pressure to moderate more increases, and it increases from a number of different directions.&nbsp;</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I think when you are just the payment processor for a bunch of creators, you could get away with a lot more. In particular, you could get away with adult content, you could get away with people selling nudes. Patreon has a long history here. Now, you&#8217;re it. You&#8217;re an app icon on people&#8217;s home screens, with a direct relationship with consumers that you&#8217;re trying to pass on to creators. Payment processors like Stripe, Visa, and MasterCard can look right at you and say, &#8220;Don&#8217;t do this,&#8221; and you&#8217;ve had to comply. Talk me through that.&nbsp;</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>This is pretty controversial. A lot of adult creators make their living on Patreon, or did make their living on Patreon, and it seemed like you had no choice but to agree. I&#8217;m curious if you thought there was an ability to push back, or if there&#8217;s another way forward.</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">There was not a way to push back in the early days. I think we&#8217;re far enough down the road now. I sent many 3AM emails to CEOs, begging for them to reconsider.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>And that&#8217;s like the CEOs of Stripe?</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">Of payment partners and processors. Actually, never Stripe, but other payment processors. And that was a real challenge for us, Nilay. If they&#8217;re threatening to not be a partner to us anymore, then it&#8217;s not just that one creator&#8217;s income that&#8217;s at stake. It&#8217;s the $10 billion that we&#8217;ve processed on behalf of creators since the company was founded. We&#8217;re processing over $2 billion a year now. That&#8217;s a lot of income that we need to be a rock for those creators, and make sure that that income is protected for them. And so, these issues are really serious.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">So, we did a couple things. One, over the years, we worked very closely with payment processors to understand their content policies and their constraints, and make sure that our content policy was acceptable to them. We co-iterated on those policies together, and we also continue to co-iterate on them because culture changes.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">Content policy is a living, breathing thing. It has to change as culture changes, it has to change as the internet changes. Now, there&#8217;s nonconsensual, AI-generated nudity. That was not a thing that platforms and payment processors had to worry about four years ago. Now, you have to worry about it, and you need a clear policy around it. So, one is, we worked with those partners to make sure that we had parallel content policies.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">The second thing that we did is we built a hot-swappable payments architecture, so that, as the company got bigger, we could just unplug one processor, and plug in a different one. And what that did is, it gave Patreon a little bit of leverage—not a little bit, a lot of leverage, in those conversations. Because we&#8217;re processing billions of dollars annually, and those processors want that volume. If we can hold back volume from them because we&#8217;re not happy with their content policy decisions, that helps us. That helps us fight on behalf of our creators and have the right content policy that we want for us. It gives us some negotiating leverage in those conversations.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">Now, sometimes it&#8217;s not even the processors themselves, it&#8217;s the banks behind those processors, or the acquiring banks behind them. This stuff goes all the way up the chain. I wish it didn&#8217;t work this way, but this is how it works. So, we&#8217;ve had to both be more collaborative, and also build some systems that give us more agency like this swappable payments architecture, to solve that problem over time.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">Now, we&#8217;re at the point, over the last few years, we haven&#8217;t had any P0 payments processing issues because we&#8217;ve done so much work on that, and we learned the hard way over the first chapter of the business, but that was a big problem like in the early years.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Do you have adult content on Patreon right now?</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">Yeah, we do. We have an 18-plus category. We don&#8217;t have porn, and our content policy does not allow porn. There are people who say you can&#8217;t define porn. That&#8217;s not true. You can define it, and we have. And we&#8217;ve done that in a lot more—</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>What&#8217;s your definition of porn?</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">There&#8217;s way more detail than I&#8217;m going to elaborate on live on a podcast.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>[Laughs] Fair enough.</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">But we have detailed that. Pedantically, like in legalese, because the point of content policy is you want 10 humans to be able to look at a policy and look at a piece of media, and then have nine of them make the same decision. That&#8217;s how we try to write our policies in terms of level of detail. So we do have that level of detail baked in, and we know “this is pornography, this is not pornography.”</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">One of the things we want to allow for is that we’re an arts platform. We have to have free human expression in some capacity. So, we allow nudity. There are marijuana creators, and there are people who talk about whiskey, there&#8217;s all kinds of stuff. I want that stuff on Patreon. I want artists on Patreon. I want people who push the edge. I want people who expand the Overton window. I want people who are out there. I don&#8217;t want people who are just in the center of the bell curve. I want the people who are on the edges. Those are the people who push society forward.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">In some ways, we have a liberal content policy, and that&#8217;s important to me on some dimensions. I want all those things. We&#8217;ve built policies to allow for those things, and now we have the payments architecture to support it as well.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I&#8217;m just personally required to have to say this every time: Justice Potter Stewart, who came up with, </strong><a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/I_know_it_when_I_see_it"><strong>&#8220;I know it when I see it,&#8221;</strong></a><strong> regretted it for the rest of his life. And even at the end, he was like, &#8220;I really wish I hadn&#8217;t said that,&#8221; because it is possible. You don&#8217;t have to be that subjective.</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Let me ask you about the other payment processor conflict that seems omnipresent in the history of Patreon. You mentioned it already, which is Apple. We live in a world where Apple is constantly in some sort of legal fight that&#8217;s on or off with Epic, or the European Union, or whoever else it is, about the 30 percent fee. They&#8217;ve pushed you into </strong><a href="https://www.theverge.com/tech/870022/patreon-creator-apple-ios-subscription-billing-november-2026"><strong>forcing creators to be on monthly subscriptions</strong></a><strong>, as opposed to some of the other plans you&#8217;ve had. You&#8217;ve changed some of your payment terms. I think </strong><a href="https://www.theverge.com/news/687570/patreon-standard-price-plan-increase-10-dollars"><strong>everyone&#8217;s flat fee is 10 percent now</strong></a><strong>, as opposed to 8 percent or 12 percent, which you had before.&nbsp;</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>This all seems like just a big swirl to me of the same problems with Apple. Describe your current relationship with Apple, and if you think anything else is about to change.</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">I don&#8217;t think anything else is about to change. I hope not.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Are your creators still paying the Apple tax?</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">Yes. I disagree with that decision. I think that&#8217;s bad for creative small businesses. I don&#8217;t think it&#8217;s creator-first. I told App Store employees at Apple that to their faces. I tried to be polite, but also tried to advocate as best I could on behalf of creators. We have been advocating for that for years and years and years. Apple was very, very clear with us that the in-app payments system that they built was nonnegotiable.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">We had these legacy billing models, that the billing structures did not work with IAP, and Apple was not going to support them. They were not going to build new features into IAP that would make those legacy billing structures work. And as a result of having to adopt that, we have to basically deprecate those legacy billing structures. That&#8217;s very painful for our creators.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">There are two problems here. One is, creators have to pay the 30 percent tax for memberships that come in through the iOS app natively.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Are you allowed to kick people to the web now? Is that one of the outcomes of the Epic litigation, that </strong><a href="https://www.theverge.com/news/679946/apple-rejected-court-attempt-to-stop-app-store-web-links"><strong>you can just tell people it&#8217;s cheaper on the web</strong></a><strong>?&nbsp;</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">Yes. And so, we did that, and we built that. After that Epic ruling, I think within like 48 hours, we had a new build submitted to the App Store where we built that flow. Apple, at first, was okay with it, and we pushed back this initial deadline that we had around our legacy billing model deprecation, and then it didn&#8217;t hold. They got in touch with us later, and were very clear again., I&#8217;ve had a tumultuous relationship with them over the years. When things come to a head, I&#8217;m personally in the room with them, talking about these issues with them.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">They did extend the deadline for us. They gave us I think until the end of this year, as opposed to a shorter time period, which I thought would be really catastrophic for creators, because they have all these workflows and business models that they need to uphold.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">Oh God, look, even as I&#8217;m talking about this, I am so upset, honestly, I&#8217;m just so upset at this. They have such a stronghold on the system, and they&#8217;re able to throw their weight around, and now, here I am talking shit about Apple, live on a podcast, and maybe that&#8217;s going to bite us. But, man, it was hard working with them. And at the end of the day, I disagree with their decisions, and I wish they had given creators more leeway.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Can you kick people to the web still, did they hold that update when you shipped it? Were they weird about it? I&#8217;ve heard that they did not like it when other platforms shipped those.</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">Yeah, they didn&#8217;t. And that&#8217;s what I just talked through. They wrote us back, and that&#8217;s when we had to change the deadline or reinstate the deadline for the deprecation.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>But the kick to the web is still there, and that flow still works?&nbsp;</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">What we did is we gave our creators a way to up the price. Because we wanted our creators to have income continuity. A 30 percent hit on your revenue is unacceptable. So, we built a system that allows creators to charge an increased amount for memberships on iOS, such that the net impact to them is flat.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">Now, what that ultimately does is pass the extra fee on to the fan, which is also a bad experience. But we pride ourselves on being a creator-first company, and so we told our creators, &#8220;Hey, we&#8217;re building the system. You can pass the fee onto your fans.&#8221; And a lot of them are doing that now. And then they just tell their fans, &#8220;Hey, if you want this without the extra fee, you can go become a member on the web.&#8221;&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">That basically allowed creators to preserve their income, but it&#8217;s still a drag. It still passes the end fee onto the consumer, and then the fan ends up paying more, and there&#8217;s problems associated with that. It was not a good experience.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I want to end by talking about how you might push back against platforms. We&#8217;ve talked a lot about different kinds of platforms, and the different kinds of pressures they can impose on a creator and things you&#8217;re building to help creators take some control back.</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>The last piece of that is one you mentioned at the very top of the show — that maybe there are new kinds of networks to be built, where creators own their audiences, they own their follow graphs, where users feel more in control, where you can pick your own algorithm.&nbsp;</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Bluesky is run by very idealistic people who seem to think that picking your own algorithm will solve the whole problem in the end, and maybe to the detriment of all other product improvements, they&#8217;re laser-focused on that. Threads exists. It runs an ActivityPub. No one has yet interoperated with ActivityPub such that it makes any sense for Threads, but they keep doing it.</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Mike McCue built Surf and with it you can browse Bluesky and Threads and Mastodon, all the open social networks. You have </strong><a href="https://www.theverge.com/tech/920988/patreons-tweet-like-quips-are-now-widely-available"><strong>Quips, which is a social-ish product</strong></a><strong>. They make social-ish objects on Patreon. You said you&#8217;re not federating yet, but you could. What do you see as the benefit of going to interoperate with those networks? Is it just bigger distribution? Is it bringing more content onto the Patreon platform? How should this work?</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">It&#8217;s creators owning their audiences. That&#8217;s the benefit. When we launched in 2013, I think we were the first platform that gave creators the email addresses of their fans when they signed up. And we did that despite advice that we got when we were raising money. People were saying, &#8220;Hey, this reduces switching costs. Why would you give them emails? Then they can just email their fans and tell them to go to some other platform.&#8221;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">Our whole point was, &#8220;Yeah, that&#8217;s exactly why you should do it.&#8221; Because that lights a fire under our ass, to build a product that&#8217;s valuable enough to keep creators, and to keep their trust. That was part of version one of Patreon. It&#8217;s been in the product since. Sometimes I like to say Patreon was the original Web3 before Web3. We were trying to do things, and we had the spirit of building things, in a decentralized way using protocols.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>You’ve got to be careful of that, because that definitely sounds like you were doing crypto scams.</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">No, no, no, no.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I was robbing you blind before any of these NFTs ever showed up.</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">No, but seriously, the spirit of it was emails based on a protocol, and there&#8217;s something really beautiful about that. And so, we want to make sure that we can pull that into Patreon as much as possible.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">The benefit is creators having confidence that the platform isn&#8217;t going to fuck them. Even if the platform changes, or enshittifies, or does something that is abusive to their users, they can then take their audience elsewhere and use some different front end to interact with their network. That is ultimately the benefit.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">That&#8217;s a signal that the company believes that power is shifting away from institutions and towards individuals, which I believe. I believe that companies that embrace that, over the long run, are going to be the companies that empower that movement, and are chosen by people, and used by people. And the companies that fight that, ultimately, I think will lose.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">It sends a very powerful signal to the market that we want to treat people well, and that we want you to own your data. We want you to own your social graph. We want you to own your relationships, not us. You can hold us accountable for building a great experience, because if we don&#8217;t, you can just choose somebody else.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I feel like I could do a full hour on that with you, because I&#8217;m very curious if there are products to be built with these technologies that aren&#8217;t just signaling, and there have yet to really be any.&nbsp;</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>The existing platforms built on these technologies actually still appear to be closed, right? Threads is maybe the most algorithmic of them all, even though it&#8217;s built on open technology. I&#8217;m very curious if it is all just signaling, or if the actual accountability mechanism of “you can leave” exists.</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">I think it&#8217;s really early right now for that technology. It&#8217;s not in mainstream consumer consciousness yet. Mike McCue talks about this, but the only way that we think about it is the fact that we own our phone numbers. You can change providers and keep your phone number. So, in that sense, you own this unique identifier that you can carry across different networks, but people don&#8217;t think of the internet like that yet.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">I think eventually people will think of the internet like that. Again, this isn&#8217;t on our road map. I&#8217;m not saying this is something we&#8217;re going to go do next quarter, but it is something I think about. I would say it&#8217;s one of three things that humanity ultimately needs to do differently for the next two decades of networks. It&#8217;s three things.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">I think that the first is the business model and the optimization functions of the platforms. Are you optimizing for watch time? Are you optimizing for things that are actually in concert with human flourishing?&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">The second thing is, does the platform own the network effect, or do the people own the network? Do you own your own data? Do you have access to that data, or are you blocked into a walled garden?&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">And then the third thing is governance. Governance that keeps platforms focused on the mission and the customer in a way that I think they&#8217;re not right now. Case in point is Twitter. There needs to be more structural integrity around governance systems for companies over the next phase, that pushes them to do right by users and the people that make the product what it is.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">There&#8217;s a guy named Eric Ries <a href="https://www.simonandschuster.com/books/Incorruptible/Eric-Ries/9798893311860">who wrote this book <em>Incorruptible</em></a> who&#8217;s talking a lot about these new types of governance systems, and the book is amazing. His thinking is amazing. I think it&#8217;s actually a very big idea, one of the best ideas in the field of economics that I&#8217;ve heard since I&#8217;ve been alive, and could potentially change the way companies are organized and structured.&nbsp; That&#8217;s the third leg of the stool:&nbsp; governance that is robust and allows a company to be true over a long period of time.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">If you do those three things — like different business model and different optimization functions, the people own the network instead of the platforms, and then the right governance to keep the platform true to its mission and customers over the long run — that, I think, is a pretty good bet for the next two decades of networks. I think that will do a better job than the last two.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Well, Jack, I can&#8217;t think of a better place to end it. It also sounds like we’ve got to go talk to Eric Ries for the next episode of </strong><strong><em>Decoder</em></strong><strong>.</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">Oh my God, you’ve got to get him on. Seriously, this book is, I think, world-changing. I really do.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Jack, we’ve got to leave it there. You have to come back sooner than five years, because it feels like a lot of things are coming to an end, and the new internet is being born and I want to catch up with you on it. Thank you so much for being on </strong><strong><em>Decoder</em></strong><strong>.</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">Thanks, Nilay. I appreciate it.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><em><sub>Questions or comments? Hit us up at decoder@theverge.com. We really do read every email!</sub></em></p>
						]]>
									</content>
			
					</entry>
			<entry>
			
			<author>
				<name>Nilay Patel</name>
			</author>
			
			<title type="html"><![CDATA[Who decides when AI is too dangerous?]]></title>
			<link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="https://www.theverge.com/podcast/951542/anthropic-claude-fable-5-mythos-ban-pentagon-ai-regulation-trump" />
			<id>https://www.theverge.com/?p=951542</id>
			<updated>2026-06-18T09:23:34-04:00</updated>
			<published>2026-06-18T10:00:00-04:00</published>
			<category scheme="https://www.theverge.com" term="AI" /><category scheme="https://www.theverge.com" term="Anthropic" /><category scheme="https://www.theverge.com" term="Decoder" /><category scheme="https://www.theverge.com" term="Podcasts" /><category scheme="https://www.theverge.com" term="Policy" /><category scheme="https://www.theverge.com" term="Tech" />
							<summary type="html"><![CDATA[On today’s episode of Decoder, my guest is Hayden Field, senior AI reporter for The Verge. Often when Hayden comes on the show, it’s because something has gone wrong in the world of AI. Last weekend, that something was a pretty intense mix of Anthropic, the Trump administration, and Anthropic’s new AI model, Fable 5.&#160; [&#8230;]]]></summary>
			
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<img alt="A photo illustration featuring Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei, President Donald Trump, and the Pentagon." data-caption="" data-portal-copyright="Image: The Verge" data-has-syndication-rights="1" src="https://platform.theverge.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2026/06/DCD_0617_Fable5.jpg?quality=90&#038;strip=all&#038;crop=0,0,100,100" />
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<p class="has-drop-cap has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">On today’s episode of <em>Decoder</em>, my guest is Hayden Field, senior AI reporter for<em> The Verge</em>. Often when Hayden comes on the show, it’s because something has gone wrong in the world of AI. Last weekend, that something was a pretty intense mix of Anthropic, the Trump administration, and Anthropic’s new AI model, Fable 5.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">On Friday, not even a week since Anthropic released Fable to the public, the US government said it was <a href="https://www.theverge.com/ai-artificial-intelligence/949553/anthropic-fable-5-mythos-5-government-national-security">imposing export controls on the new model</a>, as well as the underlying Mythos model that Fable is based on. Those controls restricted foreign nationals, even those working for Anthropic in the United States, from accessing these models. Anthropic then took Fable and Mythos offline for everyone, because the company said it was worried it would not be able to restrict access and reasonably comply with the order otherwise.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">As you might imagine, this is all a giant mess. Hayden actually just published a <a href="https://www.theverge.com/ai-artificial-intelligence/950412/anthropic-trump-adminstration-claude-mythos-fable-5-export-controls">fantastic play-by-play on <em>The Verge</em></a> about how this all went down last Friday and the scramble through the weekend from both sides to figure out what exactly happened and how it might get resolved. So I wanted her to come on and just walk me through the timeline and what it all means. </p>

<div class="wp-block-vox-media-highlight vox-media-highlight"><img src="https://platform.theverge.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/chorus/uploads/chorus_asset/file/24792604/The_Verge_Decoder_Tileart.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;crop=0,0,100,100" alt="" title="" data-has-syndication-rights="1" data-caption="" data-portal-copyright="" />


<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><em>Verge</em> subscribers, don&#8217;t forget you get exclusive access to ad-free <em>Decoder</em> wherever you get your podcasts. Head <a href="https://www.theverge.com/account/podcasts">here</a>. Not a subscriber? You can <a href="https://www.theverge.com/subscribe">sign up here</a>. </p>
</div>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">The situation is ongoing. As of Tuesday when we’re recording this episode, Fable is still offline — in fact, if you boot up Claude, it tells you right above the chatbox window that “Fable 5 is currently unavailable.” Yet as you’ll hear Hayden explain, whether Fable comes back online this week or not, the ripple effects of the government’s feud with Anthropic have far-reaching consequences for the tech industry and the US’s AI regulatory regime.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">There’s also a big irony here, and you’ll hear Hayden and me get into that, too: Anthropic has spent years arguing that AI might soon be powerful enough to be dangerous — and that the government <a href="https://darioamodei.com/post/policy-on-the-ai-exponential">needed to get serious about regulating AI</a> sooner rather than later. Well… now we’re here, and Anthropic doesn&#8217;t love the way it&#8217;s playing out. </p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">And now, everyone — but maybe especially the Chinese government — is watching to see whether the United States’ AI regulatory approach takes the shape of a serious safety framework. Or whether it&#8217;s just another weapon for the White House to use against the companies and people that don’t bend the knee to the Trump admin. Like I said, it’s a real mess.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">OK: <em>Verge</em> senior AI reporter Hayden Field on the Claude Fable ban and the new AI regulatory landscape. Here we go.</p>

<iframe loading="lazy" frameborder="0" height="200" src="https://playlist.megaphone.fm?e=VMP4132873775" width="100%"></iframe>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><em>This transcript has been lightly edited for length and clarity.&nbsp;</em></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Hayden Field, you&#8217;re a senior AI reporter here at </strong><strong><em>The Verge</em></strong><strong>. Welcome back to </strong><strong><em>Decoder</em></strong><strong>.</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">Thanks. Great to be here.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>It&#8217;s always chaos when you&#8217;re here, Hayden. That&#8217;s what I&#8217;ve come to discover.</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">It really is. My rule is still in effect, in that it&#8217;s always a Friday. Stuff always hits the fan on a Friday and this was no different.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Particularly when it comes to the government regulating AI, there&#8217;s a real “what if it all went crazy on Friday, so we all had to think about it over the weekend.” And then I think this has been basically true throughout the Trump administration. The scramble to put it all back together on Monday is immediate.</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">Yep, exactly. It&#8217;s crazy. And the fact that all these talks were happening all over the weekend and then Monday, still no resolution. I&#8217;m surprised that things aren&#8217;t resolved yet, but yeah, lots of drama.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Well, this podcast is going to come out on a Thursday. We&#8217;re recording on a Tuesday. We&#8217;ll see what happens over the next two days. But I think the big picture here of how the United States government should regulate AI and what that means for American AI companies on the world stage is open. I don&#8217;t think it&#8217;s going to be resolved with whatever happens with Fable.&nbsp;</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Let&#8217;s try to understand the whole story and then pull those themes out of it, because they&#8217;re just going to keep coming back around again and again and again, I think with every new model released now. So, let&#8217;s start at the start. What is Claude Mythos? What is Fable? How do they relate to each other?</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">Great question. I asked Anthropic the same thing when they came out with this like a week ago. Because AI companies are really bad at naming things and it&#8217;s always very confusing. But the situation is that Mythos is the underlying model that is powering both Mythos 5 and Fable 5. Fable is a new model. They haven&#8217;t had Fable 1, 2, 3, or 4. They just immediately started with Fable 5, very confusing. But Fable is the watered down, or safeguarded, version of Mythos 5. When they came out with Mythos Preview in April, Anthropic kept really hyping it up. They were saying this is a potential cyber-weapon. It can never be released to the public, at least until safeguards catch up. We&#8217;re only going to release it to enterprise and governments, or “cyber defenders&#8221; is what they called them — places that need to patch up all their frameworks before bad actors come in and exploit those vulnerabilities.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">Now, fast-forward to last week and Anthropic released not only Mythos 5, which is the first official Mythos — before it was Mythos Preview, so we skipped straight to 5 — then they also released on the same day Fable 5, which was the very first public version of Mythos-class models. So, same underlying framework, but now tons of safeguards built on top to hopefully stop the public from accessing this super dangerous — by Anthropic&#8217;s own admission — model that could mess up everything.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">So, that&#8217;s what they released. And they spent a long time hyping this up and talking about how dangerous it was and then it kind of came back to haunt them later.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Fable is a Mythos with security guardrails. When it first came out, there was a wave of controversy, right? AI and security researchers found those guardrails were actually preventing them from doing research and seeing what Fable was capable of, because if they tried to push the boundary, it would downgrade them to Anthropic&#8217;s previous models.</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">Yeah. It became kind of like a meme. People were making fun of how strict the guardrails were when it came out.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>So, that&#8217;s the thing that&#8217;s confusing me, where there&#8217;s a controversy because the guardrails are so strict and then something happened that made the government think Fable was so dangerous that it needed to be pulled. What happened?</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">I talked to some independent red teamers about this. Before the Amazon white paper was circulating, before this allegation of a jailbreak was public, I talked to some red teamers about how safe Fable 5 was. They were all pretty impressed with how the guardrails held up. I was expecting it to be a little bit easier to jailbreak. They were saying they had tried a lot of stuff and nothing was working. That&#8217;s not my experience when I usually talk to independent red teamers. They&#8217;re like, &#8220;Yeah, I got it to break here. I got it to break there.&#8221; In this case, they were saying it held up pretty well.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">Now, according to a source familiar with the negotiations who was directly involved that I spoke with yesterday, this is kind of the timeline of last week. In the middle of last week, Anthropic was made aware of some research that Amazon researchers conducted. They had uncovered a potential jailbreak, something they were pretty worried about.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">They sent it over to Anthropic. Anthropic was kind of going back and forth with the Amazon researchers talking about it. They were discussing whether it was really a jailbreak, or whether it was not that big of a deal essentially. Apparently, <a href="https://www.wsj.com/tech/ai/amazon-ceos-talks-with-u-s-officials-triggered-crackdown-on-anthropic-models-dcc90578">reports say that Amazon CEO Andy Jassy then got worried about it</a> and called maybe [Treasury Secretary] Scott Bessent, or some member of the Trump administration, on Friday and talked about his concerns.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">The Trump administration freaked out. They immediately called Anthropic. They send them a message actually and they say, &#8220;Look, you need to shut this down in 90 minutes.”</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>90 minutes?</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">Yep, 90-minute ultimatum. And they said, &#8220;We need to figure out how to fix this jailbreak that&#8217;s come to light.&#8221; Anthropic got on the phone with the Trump administration within 15 minutes of that first call and they were asking for more details. They&#8217;re like, &#8220;Okay, let&#8217;s talk about this. Are you talking about the research we&#8217;re already aware of? Are you talking about something different? What is the jailbreak you&#8217;re talking about?&#8221; They&#8217;re trying to get more details and talk to the administration.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">I think the administration was also mad that Dario Amodei, the CEO of Anthropic, didn&#8217;t call back until an hour and 15 minutes after that first call. Anthropic called back 15 minutes in. It took Dario an hour and 15 minutes to call back. So, there was a lot going on here. But by the time they&#8217;re talking, the 90-minute deadline passes and the Trump administration says, &#8220;Okay, that&#8217;s it. Yep. We&#8217;re hitting you with export controls.&#8221;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">That is when they told Anthropic that no foreign national can use either of these models and Anthropic has to just make sure that that is the case. No foreign national, whether they work at Anthropic or not. If you&#8217;re, say, Bank of America and you have access to Mythos 5 and you&#8217;re using it to plug vulnerabilities in your system and you&#8217;re not a US citizen, you can&#8217;t use it. Same with a random, just regular individual using Fable 5. Same with an Anthropic researcher who is not a US citizen.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">So, Anthropic did the only thing it could really do in the situation and they said, &#8220;Okay, we got to sideline both these models. We can&#8217;t in like one minute figure out a way to make sure no non-US citizens are using the models.&#8221; So, that&#8217;s what happened.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">I mean, it was a crazy couple of hours. Anthropic comes out with a statement later that night saying they&#8217;re trying to work with the Trump administration on this. They spent all weekend virtually meeting with administration officials and then flying three employees out — who I detail <a href="https://www.theverge.com/ai-artificial-intelligence/950412/anthropic-trump-adminstration-claude-mythos-fable-5-export-controls">in the piece we just published</a> — to D.C. to talk to them in person.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">Notably, Dario was not there in person. He&#8217;s virtually joining all these meetings. I can confirm he was not at a wellness retreat, which is <a href="https://www.politico.com/news/2026/06/13/inside-the-whirlwind-24-hours-that-led-the-white-house-to-slap-export-controls-on-anthropic-00961519">what some reports say</a>, but they won&#8217;t tell me where he is. But he&#8217;s not at a wellness retreat. That&#8217;s all I know.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Absolutely not at a wellness retreat is Anthropic’s position. Okay.</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">[Laughs] So, yeah, there&#8217;s a lot going on, very dramatic. All the sources I spoke with over the past couple of days were saying the whole tech industry and the cybersecurity community in particular are just talking. One source told me, “Beijing is laughing at us right now.”</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">It was interesting because some cybersecurity leaders in the space came together to write a public letter and they said, &#8220;Look, not all of us believe in regulation, but if you are going to regulate it, this is not the way,&#8221; which I think is just indicative of this whole situation.<br></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Maybe you believe in aggressive government regulation, maybe you don&#8217;t. There&#8217;s a way to operate the regulatory efforts that is rigorous and thoughtful and careful and predictable. Nothing about this seems like it was rigorous or thoughtful or predictable.</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I actually want to start at the beginning. Andy Jassy and Scott Bessent might be smart guys. They obviously have very senior positions in our society. They&#8217;re not experts in AI. How did we get to Andy Jassy, the CEO of Amazon, relaying concerns about AI security research to Scott Bessent, who does not really oversee AI policy in any meaningful way, and that resulted in a 90-minute ultimatum delivered to a company whose CEO is absent? I don&#8217;t think your politics should matter.&nbsp;</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Either this is the worst security breach in history that the CEO of Amazon is going to call the treasury secretary, or this is just a bunch of guys who want to feel important. And I can&#8217;t quite figure out which one it is.</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">It&#8217;s a combination of a couple things. One, it&#8217;s the fact that, like you mentioned, a lot of these guys are not experts in AI. Any jailbreak of this is obviously serious and worth considering, but I think that it&#8217;s the type of thing that when you don&#8217;t have direct knowledge of how these systems work, you&#8217;re going to take a really black-and-white approach. These guys weren&#8217;t experts.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">Andy Jassy hears about this from his own researchers. His own researchers, by the way, who had been going back and forth with Anthropic for a couple days on this. They weren&#8217;t calling the president about it. They&#8217;re like, &#8220;Okay, let&#8217;s discuss this and figure out what we can do here.&#8221; The researchers allegedly didn&#8217;t seem to think it was the end of the world. They&#8217;re just like, &#8220;Oh, we uncovered this, let&#8217;s discuss.&#8221; Anthropic was working on it and then Andy Jassy hears about it. He makes this call, everything hits the fan, which makes sense because if you are not an AI expert — and even if you are an AI expert, maybe you&#8217;re not an expert on cybersecurity and how exactly these systems work, of course — so you&#8217;re going to freak out.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">It&#8217;s understandable, but what is really strange is what happened after that. Make this phone call and the administration becomes aware, okay. But what I think is really weird is the 90-minute ultimatum and not giving Anthropic additional details when they said, &#8220;Hey, let&#8217;s talk about it. Are you talking about the vulnerability we&#8217;re already aware of or are you talking about something else? And can you just tell us about it so then we can talk about it?&#8221; They said, &#8220;No, 90 minutes, do it or die.&#8221;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">And then making it so that no foreign national can access the system ever. That is what&#8217;s really strange. Just the way all these cards fell is what everyone in the tech industry thinks is just really strange and it&#8217;s indicative of, as you mentioned, the way that the Trump administration has been operating with tech. A lot of times it seems to be President Trump has one conversation and he&#8217;s swayed from that most recent conversation. So he&#8217;s been very anti-regulation, very pro-American AI and wanting to advance and export American AI, which is something that the commerce department is requesting.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">The Trump admin <a href="https://www.theverge.com/policy/941775/trump-ai-executive-order">has a [request for information] out right now</a>. They&#8217;re all about exporting American AI and advancing and beating China, but then they do this thing that kneecaps everyone with no notice and could very well impact not just Anthropic, but also OpenAI, Google, every competitor in the space that also has what they call a semi-equivalent Mythos product.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">It seems really disorganized and it&#8217;s very interesting that this often ends up in a scramble with all these CEOs trying to race to kowtow to the Trump administration without really being grounded a lot of times in science or evidence that really matches what&#8217;s going on. The level of freak out is not usually matching the evidence there.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Amazon is an investor in Anthropic. They&#8217;re a major partner. Why did Andy Jassy kneecap his own investment in this way?</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">Well, Amazon typically does a lot of red teaming just normally. It&#8217;s just part of their process. So it makes sense that this would have been tested and then unearthed. But what&#8217;s interesting is why Andy Jassy called the Trump administration about it. I&#8217;m not sure why.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">Maybe it was a typical call that was already happening and he just happened to mention something offhand. Maybe he was calling them and saying, &#8220;Yeah, good thing you did the executive order because X, Y, Z.&#8221; We don’t know. But what is interesting — and I&#8217;m glad you asked this — is that a lot of the sources I spoke with said that the stuff in the alleged jailbreak and in the <a href="https://www.theverge.com/ai-artificial-intelligence/949601/amazon-anthropic-fablemythos-government-ban">Amazon white paper that&#8217;s been circulating</a>, all of it could be achieved by OpenAI&#8217;s GPT-5.5 and some other models.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">That&#8217;s the allegation, that these skills are not unique to Fable 5, the skills in question as part of the jailbreak. Mythos is obviously more powerful than Fable because it doesn&#8217;t have safeguards, but when it comes to Fable and the problems that were brought to light by Amazon, it seems like those problems are not unique to Fable and that GPT-5.5 can also achieve those. A lot of people in the industry are asking, “Why Anthropic?”</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>A real element of this is that it&#8217;s always Anthropic. Anthropic has the most contentious relationship with the Trump administration. They were </strong><a href="https://www.theverge.com/ai-artificial-intelligence/890347/pentagon-anthropic-supply-chain-risk"><strong>designated a supply chain risk by the Department of Defense</strong></a><strong>, but the posture here is different from the usual Anthropic drama.</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Historically, Anthropic has said, &#8220;We don&#8217;t want you to use our tools for X, Y, and Z.&#8221; And the Trump administration has said, &#8220;No, we get to do whatever we want with the AI tools.&#8221; That&#8217;s why Anthropic was designated supply chain risk by the Department of Defense. They said, &#8220;We have some red lines about how we want to be used in the military context.&#8221; Pete Hegseth said, &#8220;Nope, I&#8217;m going to do whatever I want. You have to allow all lawful purposes” — that&#8217;s the line — “and because you won&#8217;t, you&#8217;re a supply chain risk.” There&#8217;s </strong><a href="https://www.theverge.com/ai-artificial-intelligence/891377/anthropic-dod-lawsuit"><strong>now a lawsuit that&#8217;s being argued about</strong></a><strong>.</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Here it&#8217;s the opposite. The Trump administration is worried that the model is too powerful and can be used for too many things, and Anthropic seems to think that that belief is overblown, that the administration is overplaying a thing that they can fix. They just need the time to do it and some rigor and conversation about how effective their fix is.</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>How do you put that together? On the one hand, the Trump administration is anti-AI regulatory efforts. On the one hand, they say, &#8220;We get to do whatever we want with the models, make them as powerful as you can.&#8221; And then here the model is too powerful and has to be pulled before any foreign national can even look at it.</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">It really just speaks to the fact that the administration is trusting these companies to tell it what it should be doing. We&#8217;ve seen that a bunch with any regulation that has happened or has become voluntary. Lots of drafts have been adjusted after the Trump administration talks to AI companies. They already don&#8217;t like Anthropic. There&#8217;s already a big trust breakdown between the two from the supply chain risk situation, from the lawsuit, from drawing red lines.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">I can&#8217;t imagine that this exact situation would have played out if this had been a competitor. OpenAI has a Mythos semi-equivalent model of its own. Again, no company is really saying theirs is as good as Mythos, but they say it&#8217;s pretty good. The freakout would have still happened, but I cannot imagine the rest of it would have played out the way it has. The Trump admin would have given them more time. They would have had more of a conversation and I don&#8217;t think they would have made this foreign nationals rule that has sent shockwaves through the whole industry and the world.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">One of the sources I spoke with said that he already knew that backup contracts were being signed with non-US companies right now. Open weight models were being deployed on alternative hardware arrangements because now companies everywhere are saying, &#8220;Oh wow, we’ve got to make political risk part of our business plan now. We don&#8217;t really know what&#8217;s going to happen with American AI. Let&#8217;s make some backup plans here,&#8221; which is not good for the industry. It&#8217;s just interesting that the Trump administration is so afraid of China overtaking us, yet they&#8217;re willing to kneecap one of their champions, as it were, in the industry.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">But I also think it&#8217;s interesting that the reasoning from the Trump administration that&#8217;s been coming out day by day seems to differ. Every day they seem to have a new excuse or part of the conversation that&#8217;s coming to light. First they say, <a href="https://www.theverge.com/ai-artificial-intelligence/949644/china-white-house-anthropic-mythos">&#8220;Oh, well, what if China had access?&#8221;</a> A source I spoke with said that&#8217;s a rumor from a few weeks ago, from way before Fable 5 or Mythos 5 came out and that it was referencing a Chinese telecom company that the administration had previously approved to have access to Mythos Preview and that when the administration said, &#8220;Oh, actually, you know what? We changed our mind. Let&#8217;s take them off,&#8221; Anthropic immediately took them off and revoked that access. That&#8217;s an old rumor.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">We&#8217;re also seeing the executive order explanation, where rumors have come to light that Anthropic <a href="https://www.axios.com/2026/06/15/anthropic-white-house-fable-mythos">wasn&#8217;t complying with the Trump administration&#8217;s executive order</a>. Well, that executive order hasn&#8217;t gone into effect yet. He only signed it on June 2nd. It&#8217;s two weeks ago. It takes 60 days for them to figure out which models are going to be covered under it. There is a voluntary partnership with a 30-day pre-release review. It&#8217;s voluntary.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">It&#8217;s funny because I&#8217;m not saying Anthropic&#8217;s totally in the right here at all. But it&#8217;s just interesting because in this situation, there&#8217;s so much misdirection and scrambling and just weirdness that it&#8217;s rare that you see me feeling bad for an AI company. It really is. I am not like, &#8220;Oh yeah, they&#8217;re doing great.&#8221; All AI companies have their own issues, but in this one case, I&#8217;m saying, &#8220;Wow, I really don&#8217;t know if this would have happened to OpenAI or another competitor, after all the drama Anthropic&#8217;s been going through with the Trump administration.&#8221;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">We know the Trump admin can be petty and I think they would&#8217;ve freaked out for any company that was under this situation, but I can&#8217;t see it playing out the exact same way with a competitor.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Is it just as simple as Dario Amodei doesn&#8217;t go to the White House? He doesn&#8217;t give Trump gifts? I mean, Sam Altman does press conferences with Donald Trump. Sundar Pichai attended the inauguration.</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">Zuckerberg was at the UFC fight.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>[Laughs] Notable AI winner Mark Zuckerberg was at the UFC fight trying to buy his way into success. Is it just as simple as there&#8217;s a personality clash here?</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">That&#8217;s the way it&#8217;s been perceived by some reports. That&#8217;s definitely part of it. Some reports have said Dario doesn&#8217;t know how to talk to the administration and that he doesn&#8217;t kowtow as much. He doesn&#8217;t know how to play the game. That&#8217;s part of it.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">The other part of it is that the Trump administration isn&#8217;t quite sure how they&#8217;re going to regulate AI and President Trump is being pulled in different directions. Sometimes he feels like it needs to be more regulated. Sometimes he thinks it needs to be less. If he&#8217;s talking to an AI CEO, it seems like he&#8217;s like, &#8220;Yeah, you know what? I trust them. We&#8217;re good. Let them go ahead. We got to beat China.&#8221;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">In other cases, he sees that the public is going through a pretty anti-AI era right now. There&#8217;s a rise in AI populism and he&#8217;s saying, &#8220;Oh, well, actually the everyman doesn&#8217;t like AI. Maybe I should regulate it.&#8221;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">It&#8217;s something we&#8217;ve seen with the administration a bunch over the past however many years, but now it&#8217;s being represented in AI regulation. It&#8217;s just there&#8217;s not really a rhyme or reason right now. I don&#8217;t think that Anthropic&#8217;s communications with the administration help. If you don&#8217;t take their call the second they call, if you&#8217;re not flying to the White House to have dinner, it probably hurts your relationship a little bit in a presidency that seems to be pretty relationship-based a lot of the time.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I would contrast that with the previous administration, which was almost devoid of personality. The Biden administration, notable for a lack of personality and people, was very technocratic and very rules based in a way that I think people often thought was bloodless.</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>But the Biden administration did put forward an executive order that had things like transparency reviews and research requirements for the frontier models. Trump came into office, and </strong><a href="https://www.theverge.com/2025/1/21/24348504/donald-trump-ai-safety-executive-order-rescind"><strong>he wiped all that out</strong></a><strong>. He said, &#8220;We&#8217;re not going to regulate these companies.&#8221; And now it seems like we&#8217;re just headed back there.</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>If you&#8217;re going to put out an ultra-powerful model, the administration wants control of it. Certainly they will use the bluntest instrument they have in the form of export controls, but we&#8217;re going to get back to a more fine-grained, more rigorous approach to how these models are deployed and used and who gets to use them. Was it a mistake to wipe out the Biden framework? Are we headed back to that framework? Where do we think this goes now?</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">I could see us going back there because I interviewed a ton of people in the industry at the time, ranging across a ton of different viewpoints, and most of them believed that the Biden era executive order wasn&#8217;t quite enough. Some people thought it was a good first step and that&#8217;s why I could see us going back there because it wasn&#8217;t seen as being extremely aggressive.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">If anything, it was seen as being a good first step in the direction, but really just one rung on the ladder. That&#8217;s why I could see the current administration going back there because it wasn&#8217;t that far. I will say AI companies will lobby against even that little step.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>They did. They were pretty mad about it.&nbsp;</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">They did. They did deeply. But from the executive order we just saw, I could see it going back there, but a little more voluntary, which, again, all these things usually get watered down. It&#8217;s like they come out swinging and then they talk to some AI CEOs and they&#8217;re like, &#8220;Oh, okay, let&#8217;s roll it back a little bit.&#8221; So who knows, honestly.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">But the reason I became an AI reporter is because I felt like there was no real regulation in the space, and this was even before ChatGPT. Journalism is a way to shine a light on what&#8217;s going on in the industry. Still, six years later, we&#8217;re not seeing a lot of regulation and any that has happened got rolled back. Maybe we&#8217;ll go back in that direction. I do see us going somewhere there, but maybe not even as much as that first rung.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>It almost feels like the industry needs to push for a more considered regulatory approach, right? They need to say, &#8220;This is chaos. This can&#8217;t be how we operate. Every new model can&#8217;t be forced to contend with panicked phone calls on the weekend.”</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>What kind of system would you build if you wanted a more rigorous review process here? Is it that they just submit their models to the government and the government says what&#8217;s dangerous and not? Is it more industry-based? What are the solutions being proposed?</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">That&#8217;s a good question. There haven&#8217;t been a lot of really robust solutions proposed recently because of this current administration. They&#8217;ve had a really light touch approach to regulation so no one&#8217;s really surfacing those. Now that that might be changing, we&#8217;ll see more robust frameworks proposed.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">I just hope that they&#8217;re not voluntary. AI companies already do a lot of voluntary disclosure. If you&#8217;re going to regulate, do it. There are a lot of different opinions on how light touch or heavy touch regulation should be, but I do think that voluntary frameworks are pretty watered down. You know what I mean? We already have those.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">So what&#8217;s next? It&#8217;s important to remember how the general public feels because this is who AI is really affecting at the end of the day. There’s a <a href="https://www.theverge.com/ai-artificial-intelligence/920401/gen-z-ai">rise in anti-AI populism and the fact that people are upset</a>. There are data center protests going on everywhere. People are even, in extreme cases, attacking AI CEO&#8217;s homes, or at least attempting to. There is a lot of disquiet here and people feel like they&#8217;re getting replaced. They feel like their jobs are getting replaced. I was listening to a Seattle city council hearing recently and a lot of AI engineers were testifying saying that they got laid off because of AI and they were engineers.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">Both AI leaders and the government often are pretty distanced from what the general public is feeling about this technology and it&#8217;s important to note. We&#8217;ll see how that impacts, if at all, regulation that comes out. I don&#8217;t have high hopes for a lot of regulation under this administration because they can be really sway-ey. They have dinner one time and then things might shift a little bit. To be fair, many politicians are that way, but we&#8217;ll see. Maybe after this executive order’s 60 days are up, we’ll see some changes that surprise me.<br></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>One of the weirder aspects of this is that Anthropic itself is the company that most pushes for regulation, that most sounds the alarm, is the most doomer-ish of all the companies. Jack Clark, one of the co-founders of Anthropic, </strong><a href="https://www.anthropic.com/institute/recursive-self-improvement"><strong>recently put out research and his conclusion</strong></a><strong> was that, &#8220;We believe it would be good for the world to have the option to slow or temporarily pause frontier AI development to enable societal structures and alignment research to keep up with the advance of the technology.&#8221;</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Anthropic is way on the front line of saying, &#8220;Oh, we might kill everyone. Boy, we should stop this.&#8221; But they&#8217;re also on the front line of model capability. By all accounts, Mythos is the most powerful model that exists today. Is Anthropic just getting itself in trouble? Is this just a marketing strategy for them that&#8217;s backfiring?</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">It&#8217;s a combination. The marketing speak is definitely backfiring. If you say something&#8217;s that dangerous and then a researcher unearths something that maybe wasn&#8217;t quite meant to be possible, then yeah, people are going to freak out. That&#8217;s why I can see the first thing happening to anyone. I can&#8217;t see the rest of it the way that the cards fell.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">But it&#8217;s partly there, it came back to haunt them. It was a little bit on them in terms of the hype, but I also think that they are trying to be honest in some ways about the risk that this technology can pose. And it would be really bad if a system that can flag high level vulnerabilities in our global infrastructure that we use, like your bank system or a government website, could just be used by bad actors. If it fell into the wrong hands, yeah, that&#8217;s pretty bad.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">It comes down to communication. It&#8217;s important to talk about the risks and not downplay them, but also if you do that and then you make a mistake or something unexpected happens, you have to deal with the consequences. There&#8217;s a lot to unpack there, for sure. I also think that a lot of companies do downplay risks of different systems. We&#8217;ve seen a bunch of AI CEOs, including Anthropic’s, talk about <a href="https://fortune.com/2026/05/26/sam-altman-dario-amodei-walking-back-ai-jobs-apocalypse-prophecies-ipo/">how jobs aren&#8217;t all going to be replaced</a>, saying it&#8217;s going to be okay.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">I always take all this stuff with a huge grain of salt. At the end of the day, whatever AI company you&#8217;re talking about, whether it&#8217;s Anthropic or another one, they all have the incentives to turn a profit and make money at all costs — especially if they become a public company, which they are about to. People like to paint Anthropic one way and other competitors another, but they&#8217;re all pursuing the same goal. They just are doing it a little bit differently.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Is there a version of this where we just treat AI like military technology from the jump, and the public gets a watered down version of the military technology? Because that seems to be the risk profile that the Trump administration is operating within. Like this is fundamentally offensive technology. We can deploy it against our enemies. We can use it to attack the banks. Everyone is worried about the security implications here.</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Is there a world in which we just start there and then say, &#8220;To deploy to the public, to consumers, you have to cut this way down. We&#8217;re not going to sell F22s to the public, but we can sell Ford Raptors to the public.&#8221; There&#8217;s some version of this, right? Where the technology gets cut way down for the public with the bleeding edge just fundamentally for the military.</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">That&#8217;s what we&#8217;ve seen a lot for decades and it&#8217;s starting to happen now with Mythos. Fable is the watered-down version and enterprise and governments have access to the more powerful version. There are a lot of different opinions on that. One of OpenAI’s biggest marketing pushes right now is, &#8220;Oh, Anthropic wants the most powerful AI to only be in the hands of the elites and we want to bring it to the public.&#8221;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">So there are a bunch of different marketing pushes right now. Everyone&#8217;s just using everything to their advantage to paint their competitors badly, Anthropic included. The race is just heating up so intensely that the AI companies at the forefront are doing anything they can to win at all costs. For some, it’s because they think that they are the best and most moral winner, which can always be a big issue as we&#8217;ve seen in every sci-fi or fantasy movie. The for-the-greater-good philosophy is typically used by the villain in the story.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">There&#8217;s a big race happening right now and I totally agree with Jack Clark that it might be good to slow things down a bit. If everyone could agree — which is a huge long shot and especially it&#8217;d be very difficult to get other countries to agree as well. But we are definitely building the technology much faster than we can think about the implications of it and we have been for a long time.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>I think it&#8217;s the first episode of </strong><strong><em>Decoder</em></strong><strong> where Dario Amodei was directly compared to Thanos, so that&#8217;s great.</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">[Laughs] To be fair, I was thinking about a villain from <em>Harry Potter</em> when I said that — Grindelwald.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Oh my gosh. All right. Well, Dario, if you want to come on and address these allegations, you&#8217;re more than welcome.</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">I also have to say, it&#8217;s not just Dario. All the AI CEOs are saying that, all of them. It&#8217;s crazy.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Where does this end? What are the next steps here? There are meetings happening this week. People are going to be hearing this on Thursday. There&#8217;s a chance Anthropic is just back on the market. There&#8217;s a chance it&#8217;s not. But after this, it seems like everybody wants a process. Where do you think this ends?</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">It&#8217;s very difficult to predict how this administration is going to act, as we saw with the supply chain risk situation. Even though a lot of government agencies were big fans of Claude, I thought that that was going to be rolled back eventually, but they just signed deals with seven other companies and said, &#8220;Okay, we&#8217;re good. Even if you guys were fans of Claude, whatever, here are seven other options for you.&#8221;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">It&#8217;s anyone&#8217;s guess right now. I do think that the foreign nationals thing is going to be rolled back. I just can&#8217;t imagine that after all the hubbub that the administration has created about how American AI has to win, the <a href="https://apnews.com/article/pentagon-hegseth-weapons-purchases-6f9326c2bad4355541d1a02b54d899db">Hegseth memo from January 9th</a> arguing speed at all costs. I just think this administration is so focused on winning in AI that there&#8217;s no way they&#8217;re going to continue with that rule. I could see this becoming a personality game over the next few days. Anthropic compromises in some way, they try to communicate better. And then in a couple of days this gets rolled back.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">But then I&#8217;ve seen some rumors that the Trump administration is trying to <a href="https://www.politico.com/news/2026/06/05/ai-companies-white-house-profit-sharing-00952167">acquire a stake in Anthropic and OpenAI</a>, an ownership stake. So there could be a lot of different “resolutions” to that here. We&#8217;ll see, but I definitely can&#8217;t foresee this as it exists right now continuing for more than a couple of days. The industry is just aghast at this situation.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Hayden, we&#8217;re going to obviously have to have you back very soon as this comes to a close. Thank you so much for being on </strong><strong><em>Decoder</em></strong><strong>.</strong></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph">Thanks so much.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none wp-block-paragraph"><em><sub>Questions or comments? Hit us up at decoder@theverge.com. We really do read every email!</sub></em></p>
						]]>
									</content>
			
					</entry>
	</feed>
