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Sean Hollister

Sean Hollister

Senior Editor

Senior Editor

    More From Sean Hollister

    Sean Hollister
    Sean Hollister
    “They could choose to do that.”

    I expect Epic will come back to this, but Google did get Bernheim to admit that his list of missing top 20 apps includes apps that don’t have exclusive deals with Google to appear on the Play Store.

    If these really popular apps wanted to be in the Samsung app store, they could do that, right?” asked Google.

    Bernheim says yes, they could.

    Google also clarified that developers don’t literally pay 79 cents for every app download, in case that confused anyone. “No, that takes the form of the fees,” says Bernheim.

    Sean Hollister
    Sean Hollister
    I can see why Epic pays Bernheim’s firm $1,600 an hour.

    He might be the most collected and unshakeable witness on the stand all trial, even including Google’s Sundar Pichai. His college course earlier was educational without talking down to anyone, the jury and judge seemed to be listening with the same interest as me, and now Google’s barely getting anywhere with him — he’s anticipating where many of Google’s lines of questioning go before the attorney gets there.

    In fact, after I’d already written half this post, Bernheim called out Google’s attorney, live: “Wait, you just changed what you were asking about. You were asking about commission rates, and now we’re talking about price.”

    Sean Hollister
    Sean Hollister
    “You’re not telling the jury you know more than those three Google employees about what would be concerning to Google’s business, right?”

    Bernheim says no, he’s sure that Hiroshi Lockheimer and other top Google execs are right that even 12 percent of users switching from Android to iOS would be concerning.

    Google’s been trying to argue that because billions of people have smartphones, even a small percentage switching every, say, 2.7 years is a lot of switching (and perhaps evidence of substitution?)

    Sean Hollister
    Sean Hollister
    Google played the “Epic expert got paid big bucks to be here” card again.

    Bernheim admits his firm is paid $1,600 an hour for his work.

    “Is it fair to say you’ve been paid north of a million dollars for this case?”

    He says his compensation is “much more complicated” because the money doesn’t flow to him directly.

    “It’s more complicated because you’re a partner at a consulting firm and you get paid a share of the profits,” says Google’s attorney. Bernheim says yes.

    We’ve seen this gambit before, but it cuts both ways. (Not relevant to the case but: I wonder what the lawyers in this courtroom are paid!)

    Sean Hollister
    Sean Hollister
    “You didn’t base your conclusion on any documents created by Apple in the real world, did you?”

    Google’s attorney is pushing Bernheim to admit he didn’t actually reply on any Apple documents when deciding that Apple wasn’t part of the relevant market.

    He hasn’t quite admitted it yet, but it definitely looks like he didn’t based on his replies and dodges so far.

    (After several “real-world” probes from Google, Judge Donato got a laugh across the courtroom by shutting that specific phrase down. “We’re only talking about the real world here,” he said. Reader, I LOL’d.)

    Sean Hollister
    Sean Hollister
    It’s Google’s turn to cross-examine Epic’s economics expert.

    We’re back from a quick break, and Bernheim is still on the stand — but now, Google gets the chance to poke holes in his testimony or point him a different direction.

    Google’s attorney is beginning with apps:

    “It’s true isn’t it that the quality and variety of apps is an important factor for the device people buy, isn’t it?”

    Bornheim won’t go quite that far, but he seems to be admitting that some apps do launch on the iPhone first.

    Sean Hollister
    Sean Hollister
    In 2021, Google Play allegedly made 79 cents per every app download.

    We’ve gotten to the part of Epic’s expert economist testimony where Bernheim is arguing that Google profits from monopoly power. His first big point: Google is making five times more from app downloads than it did in 2015.

    78 cents per app download in 2021, he says — compared to 61 cents in 2020, 46 cents in 2019, 35 cents in 2018, 26 cents in 2017, 19 cents in 2016, and 15 cents in 2015.

    Sean Hollister
    Sean Hollister
    Did Fortnite show Google’s monopoly power all by itself?

    When Google booted Fortnite off its Google Play app store, Epic’s economics expert attests, Android usage fell off significantly — which suggests Android users didn’t just go find another way to get the game, Bernheim says.

    Nor did they just start playing on other platforms like PlayStation, he says. “There’s no indication of substitution of usage to other platforms.” He’s been arguing that the lack of substitutes shows where a company has monopoly power.

    (When Google and Apple booted the game off their store, it did keep working, but those players got left behind. I would also point out that Fortnite on mobile didn’t have much retention to begin with, though.)

    Sean Hollister
    Sean Hollister
    “If Google raises its Play prices today, the average consumer isn’t going to do anything about it at all for 17 to 18 months.”

    Bernstein says that because the average consumer only buys a new phone every 2.7 years, any switching that does indeed happen takes a while.

    We’re now looking at a slide dramatically presenting a clip art pair of imbalanced scales, with a “small increase in price of Android app distribution” getting significantly tipped by the “absence of low-end iPhones,” “infrequency of phone purchases,” “learning costs” and other conclusions about the costs of switching to an iPhone.

    Sean Hollister
    Sean Hollister
    Epic’s expert is trying to suggest we’d have seen more customers switch between Android and iPhone if it was a good substitute.

    I don’t really buy that personally, but I did like how Bernheim admitted that switching has gotten easier in some ways. Too many witnesses feel like they’ve been stuck in the past on how Android works.

    Now, we’ve moved onto smartphone pricing: he’s suggesting that Apple and Android have targeted different markets with their phones — and that they’ve continued to diverge, with the price of the average Android phone generally getting lower while the average iPhone price gets higher.