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Sean Hollister

Sean Hollister

Senior Editor

Senior Editor

    More From Sean Hollister

    Sean Hollister
    Sean Hollister
    We’re now taking a Google course in profit and loss 101.

    Skinner and Google are giving us a theoretical example of the “A1 Camera Company.” Skinner bids us assume its P&L shows $1 million in revenue and $600K in costs for a $400K operating profit — an operating margin of 40 percent.

    But “R&D costs are now tracked in a separate cost center,” Skinner explains.

    You could track $200K worth of R&D costs on the original P&L, or you could split out a new P&L for an “R&D cost center.” If you did, it would look like the camera company only had $400K in costs and, thus, had a 600K operating profit for a 60 percent operating margin, while another part of the company had costs of $200K and made no profit at all.

    (But is this what Google actually did? We haven’t gotten there yet — Google’s just educating the jury. In fact, Google is literally asking Skinner to tell the jury what this means.)

    Sean Hollister
    Sean Hollister
    Google’s accounting professor says Google’s org chart is the key.

    We just saw a Google org chart with a straight line down through the middle — from parent company Alphabet down through Google Services, to Google’s platform and ecosystems group, and finally, individual components like Google Play and Android that exist inside that group.

    “This structure provides the context within which we can understand how Google Play operates,” says Skinner.

    Now, Google is pointing to CEO Sundar Pichai’s simple quotes about how Play wouldn’t be possible without the investment in Android.

    Sean Hollister
    Sean Hollister
    Google’s accounting expert is here — Douglas Skinner, a deputy dean and professor at the University of Chicago.

    Skinner begins by saying that “Epic overstates the profitability of Google Play,” because it “excludes the costs of the investments Google has made over the years in Android.”

    Google spent a good bit of time talking up his credibility before submitting him as a witness. He was a professor at the Roth School of Business from 1989 through 2005 before joining the University of Chicago and says he chairs an investment group that manages around $45 billion in assets.

    He’s talking about how he teaches “managerial accounting,” a field which, I assume, will help Google make its case that it didn’t need to include Android costs in Play’s P&L.

    Sean Hollister
    Sean Hollister
    “Your opinion doesn’t consider that Google spent over $40 billion to support Android, right?”

    Google’s lawyer is arguing that the company spent over $40 billion on Android and that Barnes didn’t account for that.

    “Those costs were not allocated to Google Play based on the decisionmaking that Google determined,” says Barnes.

    Google’s last point before passing the witness back to Epic: Google also generated $92 billion for app developers as of 2020 — something that also shows up on different financial statements than Google’s. Barnes supposes yes, that money would show up on the financial statements of the developers that Google supports.

    Epic’s final question for Barnes was basically: “Is it safe to assume costs on one P&L can just be moved to another P&L?” Barnes says no, it would be improper.

    Sean Hollister
    Sean Hollister
    Google’s next point: Google spends more on Google Play than Amazon did.

    Google’s lawyer just pointed out that Amazon spent $1.4 billion on its Appstore over seven years, and yet, Barnes found Google spent $2.4 billion in a single year.

    It sounds impressive, but it’s also not quite relevant to what Barnes found. “I see what you put on the slide, but you haven’t compared it to revenue,” he said, nodding to the fact that it doesn’t speak to Google’s profit margin at all.

    And now we’re in virgin territory: we’re seeing an “Alternative Profit Calculation” where Google Play would have lost money from 2011 through 2017 if it charged just a 12 percent revenue share — roughly $3 billion in aggregate before turning profits in 2018 and beyond — assuming Google still spent as much as it did and everything else stayed the same. Barnes is visibly skeptical it would.

    “That’s just math, that’s not proper financial analysis,” says Barnes.

    Sean Hollister
    Sean Hollister
    Google shows Epic’s accounting expert found Google’s financial documents are sound.

    Google began by showing that Barnes is primarily an expert who consults in court and primarily looks into financial fraud — then got him to agree there’s no allegation of fraud in this case and that Google’s financial documents seem credible.

    “That was the result of my inquiry, yes,” says Barnes.

    Now, Google is trying to justify its high profit margins, pointing out Barnes isn’t aware if Google has higher profit margins than any other app store — and even if it did, getting him to admit that companies with strong brands and strong products could have higher profit margins than others.

    Barnes is definitely on the back foot! But how relevant is this? I guess we’ll find out after Epic’s lawyer gets another chance with him.

    Sean Hollister
    Sean Hollister
    Epic’s expert claims Google’s operating profit margin grew from 26 percent in 2014 to 71 percent in 2021.

    It allegedly hit 39 percent in 2015, 43 percent in 2016, 49 percent in 2017, 59 percent in 2018, 63 percent in 2019, 66 percent in 2020, and finally, 71 percent in 2021 — generating over $12 billion in operating profit that year.

    Barnes continues to say he looked through documents to try to find any missing costs Google would have incurred to operate Google Play but didn’t find them.

    “Is there some missing bucket of costs that could be added to Play to reduce its margins?” asked Epic’s lawyer.

    “It would surprise me if in fact that were the case,” Barnes said.

    It’s Google’s turn with Barnes. Google is beginning by attacking his credibility.

    Sean Hollister
    Sean Hollister
    Forensic accountant Ned Barnes is here to help make Epic’s point stick.

    Everything I just told you about Google Play’s P&Ls was pretty opaque in the courtroom — but Epic’s first expert witness of the day is here to argue they clearly show Google knows full well that Google Play is a profit center.

    Ned Barnes is a CPA with Berkeley Research Center, and he says that the costs of Google Play were already accounted for in Google’s various internal financial statements.

    “How did you know they were not under the direct control of Google Play management?” Epic’s lawyer asked.

    “My group found they were under the direct control of Ruth Porat, CFO of Google,” Barnes replied.

    Sean Hollister
    Sean Hollister
    Google Play’s P&L shows $11 billion in profit in 2020.

    We just saw Google’s platform and ecosystems planning P&L for the Google Play app store in 2020 with forecasts for 2021. It showed revenue of $14.66 billion in 2020 and gross profit of $11.44 billion that year.

    Headcount for Google Play was 1,256 in 2020 and was projected to go up to 1,278 employees in 2021.

    In a separate 2018 document, we saw revenue of $6.85 billion.

    We also saw a financial document for the Android business, not Google Play, that showed Google did at one time at least account for its costs of building Android (including employees, infrastructure, marketing, and the “Google Play service”) separately.

    Sean Hollister
    Sean Hollister
    “Android development costs don’t just benefit Google Play, right?”

    Okay, now we’re getting into it — apparently Google Play’s P&L explicitly doesn’t include Google’s costs of developing Android, and Epic’s pushing Cramer to explain why. He basically says it’s because Play is part of Google’s broader Android ecosystem, not its own business — despite having its own P&L.

    “If Play Store was an independent company you would incur other costs that are not reflected on the Play P&L today and don’t need to because Play is not a standalone company,” he says.

    But “Android development costs don’t just benefit Google Play, right?” asks a lawyer.

    “I don’t want to speculate...” Cramer begins, “I think it’s fair to say the Android investments, are, yeah, connected to broader ecosystem.”