156 – Breaking News & Latest Updates 2026
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Tom Warren

Tom Warren

Senior Correspondent

Senior Correspondent

    More From Tom Warren

    Tom Warren
    Tom Warren
    Microsoft’s lawyer tries to correct the FTC and makes an Elder Scrolls mistake.

    If there’s one rule I’ve learned as a journalist it’s never correct someone’s mistake with a mistake of your own.

    Microsoft’s lawyer:

    Could I clarify one issue that counsel raised with you, when you were asking about Zenimax and asked him to find a game that was most similar to Xbox, he mentioned Elder Scrolls. That is incorrect. There are two Elder Scrolls games, one is online called Elder Scrolls Online — that is a multiplayer game, it is on PlayStation today. The game he’s talking about Elder Scrolls 16... the projected release is 2026 as a single-player game. It is not anywhere similar to Call of Duty, which as you know is multiplayer and multi-platform.

    Elder Scrolls 16?! Obviously Microsoft’s lawyer means Elder Scrolls 6, but also... 2026?! You heard it here first, even if it’s really unlikely it’s coming in 2026.

    elder scrolls online
    Tom Warren
    Tom Warren
    Nintendo Switch argument time.

    I knew the Nintendo Switch would come back to haunt us once again.

    Judge Corley: Why is the Xbox Series S priced at $299?

    The FTC calls back to Xbox CFO Tim Stuart and the evidence where Microsoft’s Xbox Series S strategy price was to “get an entry level gen 9 system.” He says:

    “When they were pricing it [at launch]... they didn’t say let’s try and triangulate with the Switch. Even if your honor there is some substitution on the Xbox Series S... we don’t think it’s enough to defeat the market we’ve put forward.”

    Microsoft’s lawyer cuts in and says that Judge Corley “gets it” and that the $299 price shows they compete when a consumer is making a choice in a store like Best Buy.

    The FTC then argues that “you can play video games on your phone, you can play a video game on the console,” but that they’re different. FTC once again says Microsoft didn’t look at Switch pricing during launch.

    Microsoft’s lawyer fires back that “they both can do the same thing... but they’re also pricing off what’s in the market to look like it’s an alternative.” Microsoft cites Dr. Bailey’s charts that show games like Fortnite, Apex Legends, Rocket League, and other top games are available on both the Nintendo Switch and Xbox.

    Tom Warren
    Tom Warren
    Why isn’t the PC an alternative to Xbox?

    Judge Corley wants to know about consumer choice, because you can play a lot of Xbox Series X games on PC.

    Judge Corley: What if they have a PC? Why isn’t everybody, particularly in 2023, likely to own a PC? So they don’t have to buy one.

    FTC: The gaming PC is a special kind of PC, it’s not a run of the mill PC.

    Judge Corley: Maybe I’m biased in the world I’m living in... during the pandemic. Nobody did it on a bargain basement PC. Everybody had a $1,000 or $1,500 PC.

    Judge Corley: Why wouldn’t being able to play on PC have downward pressure on the Xbox? If you raise [a console] to $1,000?

    FTC: For any given market where we assume the price increases fast then... almost anything becomes a substitute.

    The FTC says it has seen no evidence that Microsoft is benchmarking the PC against an Xbox. The FTC could easily explain this to Judge Corley that a gaming PC requires a dedicated GPU to play Call of Duty, significantly increasing the price and complexity compared to the PCs people typically have at home or may have purchased during the pandemic.

    The FTC could also argue and easily cite data that shows the vast majority of PC sales are laptops, which don’t have the ability to play games like Call of Duty. Instead, they’re going around in circles on basic questions where Judge Corley is trying to understand simple stuff.

    It’s almost as if the FTC doesn’t understand the gaming market it’s trying to define.

    Tom Warren
    Tom Warren
    We’re stuck here on a basic question.

    Judge Corley wants to know some basics, whether Dr. Lee’s report was based on telemetry real data of how people play Call of Duty:

    My question is about this foreclosure model. Because that’s important to MS having the incentive. That’s a mathematical incentive. That’s the nub of it.

    A lot of people buy games and they play them once or twice and then never play them again. I guess I’m trying to figure out, I’m looking at the data that Dr. Bailey said and a lot of people buy it and don’t play it very much.

    Is what [Dr. Lee] is seeing based on the number of hours played?

    The FTC is now referencing confidential data and struggling to answer the question clearly.

    Microsoft’s lawyer cuts in and says the company asked Dr. Lee about his calculations. “We don’t have any answers,” says Microsoft’s lawyer.

    Tom Warren
    Tom Warren
    A third lawyer tries to explain Xbox switching.

    We now have a third lawyer trying to explain how many people will convert to Xbox if Microsoft withheld Call of Duty.

    It feels like Microsoft’s witness, Dr. Bailey, offered an easy to understand argument for Judge Corley. Dr. Lee’s testimony wasn’t very clear for us to follow and I think that’s coming through with Judge Corley’s questioning here. But this is a complicated case with both sides arguing about different data to try and prove their points.

    Tom Warren
    Tom Warren
    A new FTC lawyer is explaining Call of Duty exclusivity.

    New FTC lawyer tries to bring its closing argument back on track.

    “What’s tricky about this case is that you have to look at the specific data for each game,” he argues. Judge Corley wants to know what it is about Call of Duty that they’d abandon their console of choice and buy an Xbox? FTC:

    If someone is spending $70 on Call of Duty they likely value that much more. Once they lose that because they no longer have access to the game on the platform they have to make a choice.

    The FTC argues they choices are forgo the game or maybe play it on another console they might own if they happen to have an Xbox or they’ll have to go buy an Xbox. “This results in a share shift to Xbox,” says the FTC.

    Judge Corley wants to know how you calculate the number of people would switch to Xbox, so Microsoft would have the economic incentive to foreclose:

    Judge Corley: If everyone would give up on Call of Duty they don’t have the incentive. So how do you figure out the number of people who give up vs. buying an Xbox?

    FTC: I’m not an economist again, but that’s based on looking at the behavior of players, based on potential past exclusivity and looking also at the sales behavior of probability.

    Tom Warren
    Tom Warren
    Judge Corley is questioning the FTC’s evidence.

    Judge Corley says Dr. Bailey, who testified for Microsoft, “actually looked at real world data” and she wants to know what the FTC’s witness, Dr. Lee, looked at.

    Judge Corley references that 62 percent of all PlayStation owners don’t play Call of Duty at all. “They’re not going to miss it, the foreclosure won’t affect them.”

    Judge Corley: How do you decide that Call of Duty is so important to them?

    The FTC struggles to respond and references Jim Ryan’s testimony instead of answering the question related to Dr. Lee’s testimony. “That’s not what I asked,” says Judge Corley.

    Judge Corley is really fixated on Call of Duty here. Another FTC lawyer has stepped in to try and help explain.

    Tom Warren
    Tom Warren
    Would we be here if Sony had a deal with Microsoft?

    Judge Corley wants to know what the harm to consumers is if the merger goes ahead and whether we’d be here if Sony had a deal with Microsoft for Call of Duty.

    FTC: If the merger goes forward and if you believe that Microsoft has the incentive to advantage its own platform. There will be content, there will be timing issues, there will be exclusivity that benefits Xbox and not the PlayStation.

    Judge Corley: Aren’t we just talking about Call of Duty? Sony just acquired another publisher and they make a lot of stuff exclusive. You’ve told me this has really always been about Call of Duty, how’s that going to drive?

    Judge Corley: If Sony had a deal with Microsoft for Call of Duty, would we be here?

    FTC: I think we would have still had an investigation.

    Judge Corley: That’s good, but here on a preliminary injunction.

    FTC: We would be here because of concerns about the other markets.

    Judge Corley: Outside the console market, ok that’s fair.

    Tom Warren
    Tom Warren
    FTC is up first.

    FTC’s first opening argument:

    Last Thursday, we promised the court the evidence in this hearing would show at the Federal Trade Commission has raised substantial questions about this proposed transaction. Substantial questions about whether this transaction would cause anti competitive effects. All the evidence is showing, your honor, that Call of Duty and triple-A games in particular drive games. The majority driver by far the synergies from Microsoft comes from driving users to engage and join Game Pass, because they understand the value of this content.

    Judge Corley wants to know which Bethesda game is comparable to Call of Duty? FTC says The Elder Scrolls. FTC also argues Call of Duty is “so exceptionally valuable and so unique.”

    Tom Warren
    Tom Warren
    Closing arguments are about to begin.

    We’re now on the homestretch of this hearing after five days of grueling testimony for all involved. It’s time to hear the closing arguments from both the FTC and Microsoft. After this Judge Corley will make a final decision in the coming days.